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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 446

Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/7/2007 2:33:17 PM | message detail
pft, DK dominates if you're talking about design. I mean, he's an ape...with a tie. It just doesn't get any better than that.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
RPGuy96 | Posted 8/7/2007 2:34:49 PM | message detail
Even then, I might take SF64 > DKC -- it did make it to the Virtual Console, afterall.

Incidentally, DKC and DKC2 are both on the VC.
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ToadYoshi | Posted 8/7/2007 2:36:50 PM | message detail
Midna beats Balthier.

I think DK beats Fox, but it's close. We don't have too much of a read on either of them, except that DK/MC match.
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therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 2:38:08 PM | message detail
Well, I'm talking about mainstream popularity. DK64 was hugely popular in America, twice as popular as SF64.

It was? I mean it might have higher sales... but I definitely don't think it was more popular. DK64 has plenty of detractors (myself included). I don't know many people who didn't love Star Fox 64.
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trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 2:40:14 PM | message detail
DK through 2k6 Master Chief probably is as good of an x-stat value as you'll be able to assign him. that puts DK at like 27%. seems like a good spot, I guess.
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xexyz
trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 2:42:47 PM | message detail
Master Chief (2006c) VS Vivi (2005c)

Master Chief has a strength of 27.47.
Vivi has a strength of 27.26.

Master Chief wins with 50.38% of the vote!
A win of 891 with 116,571 total votes cast.

heh. you can tell I'm bored.
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xexyz
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/7/2007 2:49:08 PM | message detail
Meh, I think that the dislike for DK64 is probably overrated. Lots of people did like it. I'd certainly put it above, say, Banjo-Kazooie, if the two were to meet. Looking at the stats...I'd put if above Doom. Not terribly strong, no, but again, it's better than most of Fox's games.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/7/2007 2:58:46 PM | message detail
DK also has the bigger association with Mario. He's been in the Mario Sports games, Mario Party, and Mario Kart. Not to mention the popular Donkey Kong Land games on the Game Boy. Being an icon isn't really enough to be popular in my eyes: you have to have the games to have actual strength. And games are what Fox doesn't really have. Yeah, there's Star Fox 64...but that's it.
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therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 3:03:15 PM | message detail
DK64 would beat Banjo-Kazooie just by the association with DK. But I've seen nothing to suggest that DK64 is the more popular game. And it isn't just this board, it's from what I've seen around the gaming community. And again, I point to Samus 2k2 if you're bringing up needing games for popularity.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/7/2007 3:04:37 PM | message detail
Fox's design is a long way from being anywhere near as cool as Samus's.

Unless you're a furry. >_<
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trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 3:07:12 PM | message detail
you don't have to want to bang Fox to like his character design!

I point to Sonic.
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xexyz
therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 3:08:26 PM | message detail
Which is why he's not as popular as Samus dur! But I'm not specifically talking about Fox's physical character design when I mention design. I'm talking about the design of the Star Fox universe and his role in it.
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HaRRicH | Posted 8/7/2007 3:09:39 PM | message detail
Incidentally, DKC and DKC2 are both on the VC.

Really? I stand corrected, though I predict SF64 still sold more on the VC than either of them.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/7/2007 3:11:42 PM | message detail
DKC1 and Star Fox 64 are both in the top 5 on the VC, IIRC. Or were when Nintendo posted the top five list. Wish I could find it.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/7/2007 3:12:19 PM | message detail
well, I'd still take Fox > Diablo.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/7/2007 3:12:23 PM | message detail
By the way, why do you predict SF64 sold more? DKC is, after all, the best-selling non-pack in SNES game.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/7/2007 3:14:56 PM | message detail
http://games.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=07/06/01/1638253

Guess I was wrong.

4/5 Mario games is pretty crazy though.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 8/7/2007 3:26:11 PM | message detail
Give me DK > Fox any day of the week. There's really no stats to go on, it just feels right.

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XIII_rocks | Posted 8/7/2007 3:30:46 PM | message detail
Your mother feels right.

Or something to that effect.
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ZFS | Posted 8/7/2007 3:36:55 PM | message detail
Yoshi > Sora; DK > Fox; Midna > Balthier.

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Haste_2 | Posted 8/7/2007 3:41:35 PM | message detail
Random thought: if Mega Man vs. Bowser occured, would it be a crazy SFF-fest like MM/Yoshi?

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/7/2007 3:44:35 PM | message detail
it wouldn't be as bad.
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trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 3:46:32 PM | message detail
okay, looking at suggestions about my bracket..

- Marcus Fenix is "wasted" (who should I "waste" instead of him? someone's got to get tossed to the wolves. maybe Kefka/Phoenix and Fenix/GF? meh, doesn't seem any better to me and you're removing what I think is a very interesting Kefka/GF matchup.)

- Toad is wasted - perhaps switch him with Wario and try to find a more interesting match for Toad?

- move Yoshi from the 6 seed in his division to the 7 for a matchup with Sora

- rearrange the "new blood" so they have more interesting matches - right now I have a lot of the new blood taking each other on (Raiden/Mewtwo, Balthier/Midna), and it would be good to sacrifice a good matchup for overall bracket unpredictability. I'm thinking that moving Balthier into the bottom half of division 6 is an idea, and then splitting up Raiden/Mewtwo somehow. it's kinda tough to give them anything but a debatable match followed by a tripling to a noble niner, though.

- Bowser/Ganondorf is too early. I love that matchup though and I want Mega Man to run a serious Gauntlet. hmm.. maybe switch one of them and Crono? now THAT would be a division, and Squall/Bowser or Squall/Ganondorf would be a pretty awesome matchup. of course, that doesn't solve the "too early" problem..

- SORRY LOPEN, I AM NOT PUTTING GILGAMESH/CATS IN MY BRACKET.
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xexyz
therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 4:00:17 PM | message detail
Hmmmm, how about sticking Marcus Fenix against Ashe, sticking Hayabusa against Seifer and then throwing Phoenix Wright to Vincent? That was at quick glance. I probably could find something better.
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therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 4:03:31 PM | message detail
Or perhaps switch Phoenix Wright with Nightmare... Mainly, sacrifice Phoenix Wright and give someone else wasted at least a somewhat debatable match against Fenix.
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trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 4:04:23 PM | message detail
I tried to give PW a somewhat decent seed because he's going to get a lot of nominations. I like your initial idea at first glance though.
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xexyz
Haste_2 | Posted 8/7/2007 4:05:45 PM | message detail
If Phoenix Wright can someday break the fodder line, the world is a success.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
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therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 4:08:58 PM | message detail
Eh, Phoenix was given a spot last year that other fodder spends their life dreaming about. A chance to not only win a match, but to be forever remembered in that match. It's one thing if fodder is beating fodder (Vyse/Laharl). It's another thing if fodder steps up and adds on to GFNW! Phoenix had his chance to shine!
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ZFS | Posted 8/7/2007 4:14:04 PM | message detail
Is anyone actually expecting much out of Fenix? Assuming he manages to get in, that is.

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"We need to remember -- to spread the word -- to fight for change." - Snake
trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 4:17:20 PM | message detail
some people seem to expect a solid midcarder. others, about the fodder line.

I expect something closer to the fodder line than to DK, but to each their own.
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xexyz
therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 4:18:26 PM | message detail
Again, given how Gears of War sold much more than I thought it did, and given the right matchup (i.e. non-Nintendo character, no matter how weak), he'd probably be a bit stronger than Sam Fisher. I'd expect him to beat Gordon Freeman if anything else.
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Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge
ZFS | Posted 8/7/2007 4:19:23 PM | message detail
Closer to fodder, if not fodder, more than anything else is what I'd go with, too. Doesn't seem like he's got a whole lot of characters you can put him up against and have it be interesting. Guess we'll see, though.

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"We need to remember -- to spread the word -- to fight for change." - Snake
MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/7/2007 4:26:33 PM | message detail
will he be as big as Hayabusa?
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therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 4:28:21 PM | message detail
Nah, definitely not. Marcus doesn't carry Gears of War like Hayabusa carries Ninja Gaiden. Ryu Hayabusa is Ninja Gaiden. Can't really say the same about Marcus and Gears of War.
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therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 4:29:07 PM | message detail
Gears of War does seem to be more popular though, so Marcus has that as an advantage. He just doesn't have enough presence in his game to be a solid midcarder.
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Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge
trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 4:38:56 PM | message detail
okay, I changed a bunch of things. is this better?

~1~

(1) Link
(8) Bidoof

(4) Ryu Hayabusa
(5) Toad

(3) Kirby
(6) Ashe

(2) Leon Kennedy
(7) Sub-Zero

~2~

(1) Mega Man
(8) Frog

(4) Bowser
(5) Ganondorf

(3) Vincent Valentine
(6) Phoenix Wright

(2) Zelda
(7) Gilgamesh

~3~

(1) Solid Snake
(8) Klonoa

(4) Fox McCloud
(5) Riku

(3) Crono
(6) Nightmare

(2) Squall
(7) CATS

~4~

(1) Sephiroth
(8) Aeris

(4) Luigi
(5) Magus

(3) Marcus Fenix
(6) Akuma

(2) Samus
(7) Wario

~5~

(1) Cloud
(8) Banjo

(4) Raiden
(5) Donkey Kong

(3) Midna
(6) Alucard

(2) Balthier
(7) Tidus

~6~

(1) Master Chief
(8) KOS-MOS

(4) Mewtwo
(5) Vivi

(3) Shadow
(6) Zero

(2) Kratos
(7) Yuna

~7~

(1) Sonic
(8) Ike

(4) Kefka
(5) Gordon Freeman

(3) Auron
(6) Tommy Vercetti

(2) Sora
(7) Yoshi

~8~

(1) Mario
(8) Seifer

(4) Knuckles
(5) Ryu

(3) Tifa
(6) Pac-Man

(2) Dante
(7) Rikku

other thoughts: Fenix/Pac-Man, switching Fox and Yuna (and probably more after that to try and find Fox a good match), moving Bowser (but to where?), etc

(why am I bothering doing this? who knows!)
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xexyz
Jay Lv99 | Posted 8/7/2007 4:42:06 PM | message detail
Newcomer to the Stats topic right here.

Just kinda browsing and seeing the sorts of things you guys discuss.

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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/7/2007 4:42:20 PM | message detail
I've come to the conclusion that putting Link and Cloud in the bracket is dumb. Now Ryu gets squashed! That just sucks!
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SonicRaptor | Posted 8/7/2007 4:48:00 PM | message detail
Is anyone actually expecting much out of Fenix? Assuming he manages to get in, that is.

I actually think Augustus "Cole Train" Cole has the best chance of all the Gears of War protagonists in getting in. He has a bit of a cult fanbase amongst GoW fans. General RAAM, the main antagonist, has a good chance as well of getting in, IMO.
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/7/2007 4:51:09 PM | message detail
Why would anyone vote for RAAM? He didn't do anything besides kill the chinese guy with a sword and have an annoying boss fight.
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Draco1214 | Posted 8/7/2007 4:58:27 PM | message detail
I'll predict it:

ROUND 1:

(1) Link
(4) Ryu Hayabusa
(3) Kirby
(2) Leon Kennedy

(1) Mega Man
(5) Ganondorf
(3) Vincent Valentine
(2) Zelda

(1) Solid Snake
(5) Riku
(3) Crono
(2) Squall

(1) Sephiroth
(4) Luigi
(6) Akuma
(2) Samus

(1) Cloud
(5) Donkey Kong
(3) Midna
(2) Balthier

(1) Master Chief
(4) Mewtwo
(6) Zero
(2) Kratos

(1) Sonic
(4) Kefka
(3) Auron
(2) Sora

(1) Mario
(5) Ryu
(3) Tifa
(2) Dante

ROUND 2:
(1) Link
(3) Kirby

(1) Mega Man
(2) Zelda

(1) Solid Snake
(3) Crono

(1) Sephiroth
(2) Samus

(1) Cloud
(3) Midna

(4) Mewtwo
(2) Kratos

(1) Sonic
(2) Sora

(1) Mario
(3) Tifa

ROUND 3:
(1) Link
(1) Mega Man

(1) Solid Snake
(1) Sephiroth

(1) Cloud
(2) Kratos

(1) Sonic
(1) Mario

ROUND 4:
(1) Link
(1) Sephiroth

(1) Cloud
(1) Mario

FINALS:
(1) Link
(1) Cloud

WINNER: (1) Link

I have much faith in Mewtwo and Kratos. And I don't think Marcus Fenix will be worth much.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/7/2007 4:59:20 PM | message detail
one could debate Toad > Ryu Hayabusa but I'd take Ryu just to be safe.
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trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 5:00:37 PM | message detail
well, saying Toad > Ryu is basically saying Toad > Peach.

some people believe this, but I think it's a stretch.
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xexyz
Draco1214 | Posted 8/7/2007 5:03:15 PM | message detail
I know this has probably been debated all over the place in these topics, but I'm curious to see how Kratos will do. Maybe I'm overrating his boost, but I think he can take Zero, especially after Zero's bombing last year. Or maybe Mega Man in general had a bad year?
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/7/2007 5:04:14 PM | message detail
I think Toad would be weaker than Peach because he doesn't have SSBM but it does leave you thinking.
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therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 5:07:12 PM | message detail
I think Toad and Peach would be about comparable. Peach probably has more fans, but Toad doesn't have to deal with the Peach hate/indifference.
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trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 5:13:29 PM | message detail
I think Toad and Peach would be about comparable. Peach probably has more fans, but Toad doesn't have to deal with the Peach hate/indifference.

I want to agree with this, but I fear it's my oldschoolness talking. Toad was a kicker of asses in Mario 2, but these days he's not much more than a party game character. he's really not that much different than Waluigi.
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xexyz
MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/7/2007 5:16:33 PM | message detail
I thought Toad was like, the worst SMB2 character.
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trannyscience | Posted 8/7/2007 5:16:57 PM | message detail
Mario is by far the worst M2 character.
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xexyz
therealmnm | Posted 8/7/2007 5:19:24 PM | message detail
Yeah, but it's not like old school gamers have completely disappeared from this site. He still got a solid 8-9% in the favorite Mario poll. I'd still say he's well liked all the way up to the N64 generation. Now he's an afterthought, but I still think a good deal of the GameFAQs demographic right now would be among that potential Toad fanbase.
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