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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 442

LeonhartForever | Posted 6/13/2007 10:03:45 PM | message detail
Huzzah for controversial stealing of topics during the offseason when it's not necessary!

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php




Balthier > Vivi
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
Big Bob | Posted 6/13/2007 10:10:06 PM | message detail
Rampardos > Pikachu
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"You can see by this bar that our bar is bigger than the bars that other companies have." - Reggie (Penny Arcade)
transience | Posted 6/13/2007 10:12:15 PM | message detail
HEY CHUM WHY SO SOON DO YOU MAKE THIS TOPIC
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xyzzy
*waits patiently for CJayC to announce a Game Contest*
ZFS | Posted 6/14/2007 8:18:49 PM | message detail
how in the world are we getting through topics without a contest

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Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/14/2007 9:01:45 PM | message detail
Wario/Ness discussion.
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 6/14/2007 9:05:52 PM | message detail
Yay, finally I spot a topic that's low enough that I don't feel obligated to sludge through pages of arguing.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/14/2007 9:14:06 PM | message detail
*hurries up and floods the topic with arguments so BT doesn't read anymore*
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
ZFS | Posted 6/14/2007 9:20:56 PM | message detail
Man, I can't think of any good matches anymore. It's like we've seen everything five times already.

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Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/14/2007 9:23:14 PM | message detail
Oh, there are still plenty of good matches out there. We just need to see them in a bracket.
---
"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 6/14/2007 9:36:26 PM | message detail
I'd like to see something like Zero vs Knux or Magus.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 6/14/2007 10:53:59 PM | message detail
Ok seriously. I'm so ****ing bored lately. We need a contest or something to keep me occupied. Desperately.
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Official Greatest GSB User Mike Awesome Tourney Winner
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/15/2007 1:27:01 PM | message detail
To continue with the Kratos/Shadows talk, I believe once the trilogy of God of War is said and done he'll be on par with Dante and the like. Would I take him over Knuckles or Magus? Not right now, no. Unless Chrono Trigger characters continue to drop, then maybe over Magus once the trilogy is completed. Would I take Kratos over Leon? Thats a shady one...but Kratos over Shadow, something about that just sounds right. Especially considering how poorly Shadow's spinoff game did.
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Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
trannyscience | Posted 6/15/2007 1:28:45 PM | message detail
I wonder if Shadow getting his own high-profile game will slow the Shadow = Sonic votes.

assuming that's what they are.
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zizzy
*hopes for a Game Contest announcement*
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/15/2007 1:33:31 PM | message detail
All I know is I can verify that game totally blew. Now so did DMC2 but that didn't really affect Dante too horribly if I recall right. But Shadow doesn't have three games of him on his own to back him up. All he's got otherwise than Shadow the Hedgehog is Sonic Adventure 2 and the "omg Shadow is a black Sonic" factor.
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Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/15/2007 1:35:59 PM | message detail
I haven't played GoW so manybe no one should listen to me, but I doubt that Kratos will ever be more than just a middle tier character who might win a match soon. We have already seen that Masterchief is a fading character in these contests, I see the same happening to Kratos.

And lets be honest about Kratos. If you haven't played GoW, there's nothing that makes you want to vote for him. Blad men with swords will never be as attractive as spiky hair dudes with swords, emo dudes with a sword, elves with a sword, vampires with a sword, A half demon with a sword or old men with sunglasses and a sword.

But as I said before I haven't play GoW, so I have no idea how awesome/lame Kratos really is, but his boring looks should hurt him,


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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/15/2007 1:37:52 PM | message detail
That logic totally makes no sense >_>
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Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
trannyscience | Posted 6/15/2007 1:43:50 PM | message detail
Kratos is at least as visually appealing as Alucard, and he's never had a problem. and he's essentially only got one game.
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zizzy
*hopes for a Game Contest announcement*
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 6/15/2007 1:45:17 PM | message detail
No way, Alucard is a lot more attractive than Kratos. <_<
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I made a living on time trial blowing myself off to cross the finish line at ludicrous speed. -transience
Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/15/2007 1:46:06 PM | message detail
Alucard looks like Sephiroth, of course that won't help him on this site >_>
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day.
trannyscience | Posted 6/15/2007 1:46:57 PM | message detail
well if you're voting based on hotness then Yuri Hyuga wins 2k7
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zizzy
*hopes for a Game Contest announcement*
Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/15/2007 1:48:24 PM | message detail
Yuri looks like one of the smosh dudes >_>
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/15/2007 1:53:11 PM | message detail
Mario is a fat plumber with overalls. Look how far he gets.

MYTH BUSTED!
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Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
trannyscience | Posted 6/15/2007 1:55:01 PM | message detail
EC has Mario/Peach sex dreams, be careful what you say

..okay that's just EC but whatever
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zizzy
*hopes for a Game Contest announcement*
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/15/2007 1:56:00 PM | message detail
I bet Ulti does too...

>_>
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Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/15/2007 1:56:49 PM | message detail
Yeah that's just EC, the rest of us dreams about Mario + Luigi + Yoshi.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/15/2007 1:57:36 PM | message detail
if you like plummer on donkey dinosaur action sure
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Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
Zylo the wolf | Posted 6/15/2007 1:58:36 PM | message detail
if you like plummer on donkey dinosaur action sure

If I didn't like that, then I wouldn't like Super Mario World ;)
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day.
swirIdude | Posted 6/15/2007 2:22:35 PM | message detail
Aw yeah represent SMW
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Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
Dude, the Romans didn't slap two pieces of stone together, minus adhesive, and call it a day. ~WVI
therealmnm | Posted 6/15/2007 3:09:18 PM | message detail
Catching up with a few things:

Kratos would beat a few of those guys, yeah. Hell, Leon's already ranked ahead of Zero, and after GoW2, I definitely take Kratos over Leon.

lol x-stats

Thats a shady one...but Kratos over Shadow, something about that just sounds right. Especially considering how poorly Shadow's spinoff game did.

Since when did how good a Sonic team game is determine how much their popularity rises (or drops)? Last I checked, most of the recent Sonic games absolutely blew, yet he's as strong as ever. I seriously doubt that Shadow hasn't boosted since the last time we've seen him. Remember that age-old DMC2 argument?

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Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/15/2007 3:17:22 PM | message detail
I anticipate Shadow being *much* stronger from the last time we saw him... I'm talking disgustingly strong. I don't see him losing to Knuckles, so...

As for Kratos... while I wouldn't bet on it and it'd probably be even more disgusting to me, I wouldn't be shocked at all to see him surpass Dante by the next contest. Both the GoW games come off to me as more popular than DMC and DMC3 here, which means in theory Dante's just working off DMC2 and his character design to put him ahead. I couldn't put much stock in the former and the latter is something Kratos is no slouch in, either (though I guess he fails to grab the "Sephy look-alike votes".

How close do you think Yoshi is to Mega Man? How much stronger is he than Ryu? I take Kratos to beat Ryu, Alucard, and well over half the field next contest... so really, I have to consider this. GoW2 is just insanely popular right now, and Kratos is getting every smidgeon of benefit he can from that.
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"TIME TO _____ THEN." - Karma Hunter, ABSENT 8
Commit it to memory.
therealmnm | Posted 6/15/2007 3:30:51 PM | message detail
I haven't played GoW so manybe no one should listen to me, but I doubt that Kratos will ever be more than just a middle tier character who might win a match soon. We have already seen that Masterchief is a fading character in these contests, I see the same happening to Kratos.

You're totally wrong. Kratos is on the exact same path as Dante. In fact, Kratos 2k6 actually looked stronger than Dante did after his first game in SC2k2. Your comparison to Master Chief is baseless. And how is Master Chief fading? Are you going by his x-stats values or something? We all know he's non-linear... But close matches with Frog, Donkey Kong, and Sub-Zero don't seem like someone who is fading to me. Master Chief has remained in the same range of strength.

And lets be honest about Kratos. If you haven't played GoW, there's nothing that makes you want to vote for him. Blad men with swords will never be as attractive as spiky hair dudes with swords, emo dudes with a sword, elves with a sword, vampires with a sword, A half demon with a sword or old men with sunglasses and a sword.

You don't have to have played God of War to know who Kratos is, especially coming from a game as popular as God of War. Gamers aren't idiots. God of War is all over the place. You could not have played God of War and still see Kratos and say "Hey, that's the badass dude from God of War". And I don't see how Kratos's design isn't appealing to the average gamer. Bad ass Spartan dude with blades on chains. Kratos spells nothing but casual appeal. Hell, I would say they might have over done it with all the random yelling, smashing skulls, and cheesy ultra-stylish moves. No, he doesn't do it with coolness a la Dante, but replace that coolness with a blunt badass attitude, and the average gamer will still draw the same conclusion "Hey, that guy kicks ass".
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Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 6/15/2007 5:15:35 PM | message detail
EC has Mario/Peach sex dreams, be careful what you say

Mario/Daisy. Day-Zee

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 6/15/2007 8:41:26 PM | message detail
Since when did how good a Sonic team game is determine how much their popularity rises (or drops)? Last I checked, most of the recent Sonic games absolutely blew, yet he's as strong as ever. I seriously doubt that Shadow hasn't boosted since the last time we've seen him. Remember that age-old DMC2 argument?

I know, thats why I totally clarified that if you read the rest of my post :)
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Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/15/2007 10:25:13 PM | message detail
Kratos would beat a few of those guys, yeah.

You'd take him to overcome the deficit against Ryu and beat him this year? Kratos is boosting, but I just don't see it being THAT large, I don't care how big GOW2 is. The rest of the guys I mentioned are essentially at Ryu's level or higher.

lol x-stats

LOL 45% on Bowser > 46% on Luigi

I'm sure I'll hear the "Zero collapses against Nintendo" argument or some such, but I'll take Leon over Zero, especially with RE4 Wii Edition coming out next week to help him out even more, as if he needs it.

As for Kratos... while I wouldn't bet on it and it'd probably be even more disgusting to me, I wouldn't be shocked at all to see him surpass Dante by the next contest.

You see him going even with Yoshi? I don't. Sure, Riku got 45% on him, and you'd have to think Kratos could do better, but I still don't see him breaking 49% there. I don't see GOW2 doing wonders for him like some people here are thinking. That's a large boost you're calling for.

*looks at the stats to see the highest ranked character I'd take him over*

Huh...According to this, Kratos isn't that far from Zero right now. Then again, I don't trust Snake/Sonic, so I don't trust that closeness. I'm sure HaRRicH is going to argue the point, but way too much looks wrong to me if Crono and Mega Man are equals. Of course, I've been wrong about this kind of stuff before, but last year's stats are practically unusable to me anyway. There are just way too many problems with it, and the main problem is that we can't spot what's causing the problems with any certainty. I'd have to look at Kratos in a bracket before I decide what I'll do with him.
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
ZFS | Posted 6/15/2007 11:46:12 PM | message detail
Kratos over Shadow is definitely one of those things that just seems right to me. I've seen people throw out some names like Ryu, Zero, and so on, but I wouldn't take Shadow over any of them. I'd take the chance there with Kratos, because it's not like that one is a blowout at all. Kratos with GoW2 helping him should be a beast. It's everything people loved about Kratos in GoW1 taken to the next level.

---
Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/15/2007 11:47:10 PM | message detail
Again, I'll believe a huge boost when I see it.
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
ZFS | Posted 6/15/2007 11:48:38 PM | message detail
If anyone's going to get a huge boost this year, it's Kratos. Given how successful GoW2 has been already, much quicker than GoW1, I'll bank on it being big.

---
Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/15/2007 11:51:47 PM | message detail
I just have a hard time seeing him top perennial favorites so easily. Maybe it's just me.
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/15/2007 11:56:43 PM | message detail
It's really just that new, strong characters don't really come along that often as far as the history of this contest has gone. The last "true" newblood of more than decent strength before Kratos... probably have to say Master Chief, and he's got a MILLION problems holding him back as far as this site is concerned. Before that...? You guessed it - Dante.

I'm pretty much resigned to the fact that Kratos *will* surpass Dante. Maybe not by next year, but unless DMC4 is surprisingly more popular than I anticipate GoW3 will be the nail in the coffin there.
---
"TIME TO _____ THEN." - Karma Hunter, ABSENT 8
Commit it to memory.
ZFS | Posted 6/15/2007 11:59:36 PM | message detail
That's just how God of War has been. The series has only been around for a couple of years, and it's gotten huge, like bigger than Devil May Cry kinda huge. It's a great action game with tons of casual appeal -- and Kratos is the perfect character to love. He's got a great design (great pictures), he just oozes badass, and he rips the heads off of things and screams a lot. I don't have much of a problem believing he can make his way to the top so fast, really.

---
Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/16/2007 12:00:10 AM | message detail
Also, the fact that Dante isn't going to actually be the main playable character of DMC4 isn't going to help him on that front at ALL. Meanwhile, looking at the setup that GoW2 has created for the third game... Kratos is going to get even MORE insanely popular. Remember, we're talking about a guy that has continued to impress over and over on the back of one game. Now we've got an even more popular one of his here.

Kratos is what MC would be on this site if he weren't Xbox, essentially - and that's simply scary to think about.
---
"TIME TO _____ THEN." - Karma Hunter, ABSENT 8
Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/16/2007 12:00:54 AM | message detail
What perennial favorite has Dante managed to defeat though? Sure, he's come close, and he had every reason in the world to beat Yoshi, but he didn't. I'm just skeptical of how much Kratos can boost, regardless of how well received GOW2 was. I don't see it being enough for him to beat Ryu now, for example.

...No, I'm not saying Dante would lose to Luigi. (Kratos would though, this year!)
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/16/2007 12:02:19 AM | message detail
Also, the fact that Dante isn't going to actually be the main playable character of DMC4 isn't going to help him on that front at ALL.

Hey, Solid Snake isn't in MGS3! There's no way he can get a boost from it!

(Yes, I know, the circumstances are completely different! I just wanted an excuse to throw that around!)
---
"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
ZFS | Posted 6/16/2007 12:03:53 AM | message detail
If he didn't beat Ryu this year, it'd be really close.

---
Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/16/2007 12:04:54 AM | message detail
Meh, I'll give him 47-48% now, I suppose. I don't expect a nailbiter there, personally.
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
ZFS | Posted 6/16/2007 12:06:55 AM | message detail
I'd take him to beat Ryu there, myself. But if he lost, he'd be getting above 49%, I think. When I think of all he's managed so far with just one game, and then getting another even more popular game, I'm ready to take this guy up there with some of the bigger guys.

---
Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/16/2007 12:07:57 AM | message detail
What perennial favorite has Dante managed to defeat though? Sure, he's come close, and he had every reason in the world to beat Yoshi, but he didn't.

You're basing that on stats... it's not like there's some sort of glass ceiling that separated Dante from getting those few thousand votes to propel him past Yoshi. Hell, it's arguable that Dante SHOULD have beaten Yoshi if the pic factor weren't so obscenely in the dino's favor.

As for every reason in the world to beat Yoshi... I contest that heavily. Dante's strength is pretty much one of the strangest mysteries of the contest to me. DMC games are *not* that popular overall, and they're even less popular here. The series' lackluster showing in the Series Contest is more or less proof enough of that. Dante has a grand total of three games to his name, two of those games being well-received. And yet, based pretty much on character design and attitude alone, he's able to contend with extremely well-established characters. Faulting him for losing to Yoshi - especially post-Boost... I can't agree with that assessment at all. And again... Kratos is a different story. He doesn't have the same *type* of coolness as Dante, but he's still badass as all hell. And the GoW games are extremely popular.
---
"TIME TO _____ THEN." - Karma Hunter, ABSENT 8
Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 6/16/2007 12:08:52 AM | message detail
He's managed 43% on a Ryu that's probably not as strong as he used to be, really. He still failed to outdo Rikku, and I don't really think highly of her strength! But either way, I don't think this is the same Ryu that got 45% on Sonic three years ago, strength-wise.
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"I'm only here to see how the story plays out. Any self-respecting leading man would do the same." - Balthier
*waits for Games Contest announcement*
ZFS | Posted 6/16/2007 12:10:03 AM | message detail
Oh, and while I'm at it, I'd like to see if Lara could work some magic against Chun in a rematch !!

aww yeah tomb raider anniversary with the epic boost

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Called "Godslayer" by some, feared by most.
Karma Hunter | Posted 6/16/2007 12:11:33 AM | message detail
I'm *very* inclined to say Ryu 2k6 > Ryu 2k5. Outdoing his performance on Bowser significantly against Mega Man... sure, a weaker Mega Man, maybe some pic factor there... but c'mon.
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"TIME TO _____ THEN." - Karma Hunter, ABSENT 8
Commit it to memory.
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