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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 432

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/15/2006 9:44:52 PM | message detail
Poor Seph :(



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/15/2006 9:45:29 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/15/2006 9:45:56 PM | message detail
Actually, it's more like poor us. This place was NintendroneFAQs before the Wii was released, and now it'll only get worse.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FF5A, Castlevania: LoI
zwong1 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:46:40 PM | message detail
Snake already had 400 leads ahead of Sephiroth. Sephiroth of making a comeback will be slim.

Konami VS Nintendo VS Square tomorrow ftw.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/15/2006 9:47:20 PM | message detail
I think Seph is done, yeah. I like Snake and all, but it's sad that to gain real strength on this site, you need a Nintendo backing. Real sad.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FF5A, Castlevania: LoI
falcofan88 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:48:13 PM | message detail
It is pretty unfortunate...
---
Don't slack off - the wife and heavens are watching.
Make sure to check out Contact, GotY 2006!
zwong1 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:48:41 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX, i know you like Snake and Sephiroth. Who did you actually vote for today.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/15/2006 9:49:08 PM | message detail
Seph.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), FF5A, Castlevania: LoI
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/15/2006 9:53:23 PM | message detail
Its too early for me to be dancing on top of Sephy's grave <_<

Ill await to see how the morning goes. In the meantime, Ill just go to youtube for the time being >_>
---
"I have no fear of losing my life - if I have to save a koala or a crocodile or a kangaroo or a snake, mate, I will save it. " -Steve Irwin
o4o22oo4 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:55:01 PM | message detail
Welcome to NintendoFAQS, Ulti.

And hell, I'll take a Snake boost any way I can get it. If SSBB provides a catalyst, so freakin' be it; not only will he boost here, but I'll also have a hell of a lot of fun kicking Samus and Link's asses as Snake in SSBB. REVENGE! :P
wavedash101 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:56:39 PM | message detail
It really would be any better as Squarefaqs either...and its freaking ridiculous how many FF characters make it in...No Ninty series even touches that...

I'd perfer Konamifaqs or Biowarefaqs...
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/15/2006 9:57:40 PM | message detail
The funny thing is that Nintendo has this sort of popularity everywhere you go on the Internet, it's not just a GameFAQs thing.

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"I'll bet you my left arm that Commander Keen makes it to the next contest!"
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/15/2006 10:01:56 PM | message detail
I think Seph is done, yeah. I like Snake and all, but it's sad that to gain real strength on this site, you need a Nintendo backing. Real sad.

Define "real strength." I'd say Cloud has it. I can see where one might say that Seph's strength isn't "real" in that he's leeching Cloud's fanbase, but he's still very strong.
---
Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
sammich | Posted 11/15/2006 10:07:22 PM | message detail
Like it's really a surprise that the more universally recognized characters are going to win popularity contests?

I'm more surprised that the FF7 characters do as well as they do.

I thought you were above this kind of whining, Ulti.
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/16/2006 9:06:55 AM | message detail
Uhh...If you're implying that the only reason Snake is beating Sephiroth is because of the SSBB trailer, you're crazy. Do you really think Link wouldn't take almost all of that away since, you know, the game isn't even released yet?
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Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Battle Royale Day 3: Sephiroth
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/16/2006 9:09:02 AM | message detail
This is more like lol sfffaqs

Those damn FF7 fanboys, rallying behind Cloud and leaving Sephiroth to job to Solid Clink

lol sephiroth
lol useless mama's boy

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Not_1 | Posted 11/16/2006 9:11:02 AM | message detail
I don't really care how Snake boosts, as long as he boosts.

Now, if only EVA could be put in SSBB...
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Go ahead and hate me for who I am, but never love me for something that I'm not.
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 9:14:53 AM | message detail
I think Seph is done, yeah. I like Snake and all, but it's sad that to gain real strength on this site, you need a Nintendo backing. Real sad.

While this is sad, IT'S ****ING SOLID SNAKE. I don't care what he uses to boost.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
SmurfFAQs | Posted 11/16/2006 9:17:58 AM | message detail
You'd rather Nintendo kids who've never played a Metal Gear game voting for him?
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Janors 2 | Posted 11/16/2006 9:22:29 AM | message detail
I just don't see a large portion of Nintendrones voting for Snake over Link simply because he's appeared in one trailer.
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GO GATORS! Record: 9-1
Next Game: Western Carolina (@ The Swamp)
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 9:23:24 AM | message detail
You'd rather Nintendo kids who've never played a Metal Gear game voting for him?

I don't give a single damn about WHO votes for him. Hell, Chairman Mao could vote for Solid Snake and I really wouldn't care.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/16/2006 9:43:19 AM | message detail
You'd rather Nintendo kids who've never played a Metal Gear game voting for him?

If the alternative is them voting for Sephiroth? Certainly!
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"Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/16/2006 9:59:45 AM | message detail
Using the word "NintendoFAQs" right now is just stupid. Hell it's always been stupid, just especially now. Samus and Mario both went out in the first two rounds, and there is only 1 Nintendo character left as opposed to 3 outside the company.

Seriously, get over it.

---
Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/16/2006 10:01:03 AM | message detail
ZeldaFAQs is a much more suitable tem for the state of this site.
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/16/2006 10:02:02 AM | message detail
Not really, considering that Vincent > Ganon, Samus > Zelda, and Cloud has a good chance of still defeating Link.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
TrueHeroComplex | Posted 11/16/2006 10:02:24 AM | message detail
Character battle =/= site preference towards a company.

Look at the polls of the day for better references. Aka everything about the Wii, all the hate for the PS3, etc etc.
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/16/2006 10:03:12 AM | message detail
And I still say Tifa beats Zelda as well.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/16/2006 10:03:19 AM | message detail
>XD EC. Cloud has absolutely no chance of even getting 47% on Link. You're out of your mind.
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/16/2006 10:03:52 AM | message detail
Look at the polls of the day for better references. Aka everything about the Wii, all the hate for the PS3, etc etc.

Uh, most of that's about the price. If you look at the poll today, the margin is much closer, since price is not an issue.
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"Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 10:04:40 AM | message detail
Using the word "NintendoFAQs" right now is just stupid. Hell it's always been stupid, just especially now. Samus and Mario both went out in the first two rounds, and there is only 1 Nintendo character left as opposed to 3 outside the company.

Seriously, get over it.


And yet...A Nintendo character won the main bracket, debated matches usually ended in the nint character winning (Yoshi/Dante being the most obvious - everything pointed to Yoshi and yet the N character won), Zelda made most of the male bracket look pathetic and also turned a debatable match with Aeris into a blowout, despite Aeris having much more reason to boost, Ganon - despite losing to Vincent - has also boosted, Luigi beat two characters who should have been stronger than him - and didn't Kirby do better on Luigi than Zero?

Seriously, outside the BR Bowser has been the only Nintendo disappointment...and besides, Mario losing early was always a possibility as long as Link was in the mix - especially since Snake is pretty much god this year.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/16/2006 10:05:31 AM | message detail
I agree that Tifa beats Zelda.

And you're being completely irrational if you don't think Cloud has a shot at Link. Combine Seph/Cloud and they're 900 votes behind Link right now. OH MAN TOTALLY INSURMOUNTABLE SRSLY NO CHANCE IN HELL M I RITE!?!?!

Even if Snake's votes right now split 6000/5200 in favor of Cloud, it would be a 50/50 match. Everyone acting like this is a foregone conclusion seriously needs to use their brains.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/16/2006 10:05:51 AM | message detail
And Yeah, NintendoFAQs still makes quite a lot of sense.
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 10:05:58 AM | message detail
*everything pointed to Dante winning
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/16/2006 10:07:20 AM | message detail

Even if Snake's votes right now split 6000/5200 in favor of Cloud, it would be a 50/50 match. Everyone acting like this is a foregone conclusion seriously needs to use their brains.


Notice how much of Samus and Mario's support went to Snake? Yeah. He's a Nintendo character now. Link'll get more than half of Snake's votes.
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/16/2006 10:08:30 AM | message detail
Stretch some more please. Just because you're preferred characters aren't winning I don't want to hear "boo-hoo nintendofaqs es dum o wate only 1 is left among 4 ummm lol zeldafaqs lol wate cloud can still win wah"

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 10:09:13 AM | message detail
Notice how much of Samus and Mario's support went to Snake? Yeah. He's a Nintendo character now. Link'll get more than half of Snake's votes.

Like somebody else said, if they didn't defect to Link right away, they might not at all. We know how much of an FF7/MGS overlap there is.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/16/2006 10:10:34 AM | message detail
Okay, EC, sure, NintendoFAQs isn't logical at all. Sure.

And you are absolutely out of your mind if you think Cloud is going to be close. It'll be something like 55-45 and it'll be disgusting.
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 10:11:18 AM | message detail
And before somebody says "lololol enough to get Snake SFFed and eliminated m i rite?", Snake has a huge fanbase on his own right now - but the voters that made Solid a great character BEFORE he became god still share some overlap. Cloud and Seph will get more than half of Snake's votes.

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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/16/2006 10:11:58 AM | message detail
From: SecksThaNemesis | Posted: 11/16/2006 10:10:34 AM
Okay, EC, sure, NintendoFAQs isn't logical at all. Sure.

And you are absolutely out of your mind if you think Cloud is going to be close. It'll be something like 55-45 and it'll be AWESOME.



---
CB5 Points: 139/208, Current Oracle placement: 21/170
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/16/2006 10:11:59 AM | message detail
Notice how much of Samus and Mario's support went to Snake? Yeah. He's a Nintendo character now. Link'll get more than half of Snake's votes.

No, actually I was too busy watching how much of Samus' and Mario's support went to Link, and how Snake did better as the votals dropped. If Snake was a Nintendo character, he would have went out first, you're seriously being dense here. Any support he got from the SSB tralier means absolutely nothing when he goes against a person who's already been in the first two, and you can play as them. Link has already taken away any Nintendo support Snake had from SSB, it's still not going to split 100% in Cloud's favor as he's not from FF7/Square, but FF/MG has shown to have serious overlap in the past, acting like he's a Nintendo character now is just stupid. He still has his base strength from before this year, which was built on being a MGS character, and that portion is much more significant than any bonus he might have felt from SSB this year.

---
Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/16/2006 10:12:08 AM | message detail
Notice how much of Samus and Mario's support went to Snake?

Notice how his increase was almost identical to Sephiroth's drop? Coincidence? I think not!
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"Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 10:12:45 AM | message detail
And you are absolutely out of your mind if you think Cloud is going to be close. It'll be something like 55-45 and it'll be disgusting.

No on so, so many levels. With a one day delay, MAYBE. But Cloud will NEVER lose a match with less than 46% of the vote. At least not for the next 5-10 years, and that's not even considering an FF remake.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/16/2006 10:14:27 AM | message detail
Look you two, you know me. I'm as big of an FFVII fan as there comes... but I've spent the last two years grasping at straws about Cloud > Link, and there is just no chance this year.
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/16/2006 10:19:49 AM | message detail
And being a FF7 fan obviously means you have better predicting skills when it comes to their performances in a GameFAQs contest. Link SHOULD be outdoing Cloud+Seph right now, if he wasn't, then everyone would be calling for his head. Guess what? He's outdoing them by 1.5%. If Snake's votes get split 55/45 to Cloud, it's going 50/50. Acting like Link has it won is completely ridiculous.

---
Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/16/2006 10:25:10 AM | message detail
That's also assuming that every last one of Sephiroth's votes are going to Cloud. Granted, most of them will, but not all.
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CB5 Points: 139/208, Current Oracle placement: 21/170
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/16/2006 10:26:05 AM | message detail
And it's also being extremely conservative in how many votes Cloud gets from Snake. I'm not saying Cloud's winning hands down, I'm saying calling it over is idiotic.

---
Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/16/2006 10:26:46 AM | message detail
Look you two, you know me. I'm as big of an FFVII fan as there comes... but I've spent the last two years grasping at straws about Cloud > Link, and there is just no chance this year.

There's about as much chance as Jill had of beating Peach!
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/16/2006 10:27:21 AM | message detail
ya what ever ur argumetn sux get off my internetz
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CB5 Points: 139/208, Current Oracle placement: 21/170
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/16/2006 10:27:54 AM | message detail
I am terrible at predicting in these things. Don't get me wrong. I have Sephy > Cloud, but seriously... I've grasped at straws about Cloud winning for so long, it's just that I can't see it happening.
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/16/2006 10:30:07 AM | message detail
And it's also being extremely conservative in how many votes Cloud gets from Snake. I'm not saying Cloud's winning hands down, I'm saying calling it over is idiotic.

Regardless of how possible you think it is, Cloud's not going to beat Link. He stands no chance, and I've thought that since before the contest started. There's been no evidence to change my mind so far, and I don't see why I should do so now. That match is as over as can be.
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"Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda