GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 431
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:02:15 AM | message detail |
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You can't really compare these results to previous matches, though. The
format is totally different, so it's expected that the results would be
as well. --- CB5 Points: 139/200, Current Oracle placement: 21/170 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/15/2006 9:02:26 AM | message detail |
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Heh, I'm not suggesting it means anything, I'm just saying that
using this as evidence that Samus rSFF'd Snake is kinda ridiculous. Not 'rSFF', but a slight underperformance (for example my stats have Samus getting 52% on Snake, she got 53%). But I don't think anyone's really taking these results to draw any serious conclusions anyway. <_< --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 9:04:41 AM | message detail |
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I'm going back and calling Link/Samus a fluke, BTW. Which part? Samus still got SFF'd. Honestly, do you think Squall jumped up 3.5% in 2005 out of nowhere? Plus, it makes Luigi's and Kirby's supposed boosts in 2005 look a little less extreme. Not to mention, KOS-MOS doesn't end far behind what she got on her in 2003 even NOW. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/15/2006 9:04:54 AM | message detail |
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I'm more perplexed with how Mario is doing. At this rate he'll be
doing very good just to get more than he had yesterday, which means
that he got virtually nothing from Samus' absence. For as bad as he
SFFed her and as much as she seemed to evade SFF against Link...yeesh. The only thing I can think of is that Mario already took all of Samus's voters that he could on day 1. After that, with no SFF'd votes, there weren't any hardcore Nintendo-lovin' voters left to support Samus, so her votes didn't go to Mario. The only question is why so many of her votes went to Link...but that could just be because he's Link. Not 'rSFF', but a slight underperformance (for example my stats have Samus getting 52% on Snake, she got 53%). But I don't think anyone's really taking these results to draw any serious conclusions anyway. <_< Well, okay, that's hardly unreasonable. Some people have suggested that Samus would've been crushed (relatively) if not for rSFFing Snake though, and I've never believed in that. --- "Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda |
| DpObliVion | Posted 11/15/2006 9:06:00 AM | message detail |
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Sephiroth still down about 2% from yesterday, and Mario even down about
.5%. The only reasonable explanation for them dropping is bracket
voters, but certainly by this point they wouldn't have that much of an
impact, right? Especially on Sephiroth. I guess there's no reasonable explanation. --- Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/15/2006 9:06:06 AM | message detail |
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Whoa, don't go into hyper-Squall defensive mode yet, Leonhart. I still
think Samus got SFFed, but not as much as she 'should' have. Samus
would get utterly annihilated today by today's Link, I think. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/15/2006 9:09:26 AM | message detail |
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Whoa, don't go into hyper-Squall defensive mode yet, Leonhart. I
still think Samus got SFFed, but not as much as she 'should' have.
Samus would get utterly annihilated today by today's Link, I think. Well, yeah, but...so would Link. :p --- "Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 9:10:32 AM | message detail |
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Whoa, don't go into hyper-Squall defensive mode yet, Leonhart. Sorry, gut instinct. Plus, if you just want a completely boring reason for why the results are different, we don't have 100% of the voting pool returning today. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| DpObliVion | Posted 11/15/2006 9:11:20 AM | message detail |
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Mario will come back with the after-school vote. Maybe.... --- Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/15/2006 9:12:32 AM | message detail |
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Plus, if you just want a completely boring reason for why the
results are different, we don't have 100% of the voting pool returning
today. Hayabusa/Jill were practically identical on both days. I'm not sure how much difference the different voting pool makes. --- "Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 9:14:33 AM | message detail |
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Well, a one-on-one poll is a little different from a 5-way poll,
although the trends in Hayabusa/Jill seemed to be different the first
day. From what I recall, Hayabusa looked to be on his way to winning
without much threat of comeback before the poll closed. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/15/2006 9:14:54 AM | message detail |
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Maybe a good chunk of the Samus voters just took their ball and went home. ...good riddance! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/15/2006 9:28:48 AM | message detail |
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At least they got to take the main bracket championship with them! --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 9:29:43 AM | message detail |
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They can have it if Snake outlasts Sephiroth! --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 9:33:03 AM | message detail |
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Hmmm...Solid Snake is ahead of Sephiroth by 599 votes right now. Has he been gaining or losing votes on that lead lately? --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 9:55:34 AM | message detail |
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Hmmm...Looks like Sephiroth is gaining fast right now. Doesn't look like Snake will finish 3rd, after all. Oh well. I wonder if CJayC is going to be following the trend of the regular contest picture themes here. After all, we had full body yesterday, head shots today. ...Does this mean sprites tomorrow? If so, Snake is doomed. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| MasterOfHunters | Posted 11/15/2006 10:46:26 AM | message detail |
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Hypothetical situation: Cloud is the other 3rd party character for the SSBB, undoubtedly stronger than Link(raw stats), but does he still end up losing the match? |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/15/2006 10:53:05 AM | message detail |
| If Cloud gets in SSBB, Link stands no chance
against him. I doubt the SFF would be anything too major (especially
once the game is actually released >_>) and his boost would be
absolutely enormous, far larger than whatever Link gets from TP/PH/SSBB. --- "Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda |
| MasterOfHunters | Posted 11/15/2006 10:54:19 AM | message detail |
| I am guessing "impartial nintendo votes" favor Link heavily. No matter which Nintendo character is tossed from the battle royale, Link is the 2nd choice for most Nintendo fans. A Samus fan would vote Samus > Link > Mario, and Mario fans vice versa. There is no other explanation for such a pathetic performance by Mario today. Samus fans who aren't loyal to Nintendo probably hopped on Snake or Cloud bandwagon. |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/15/2006 10:57:05 AM | message detail |
| For some reason, I don't see Cloud getting into
SSBB boosting him all that much. The only way I see Cloud beating Link
anytime soon is if FFVII gets remade. --- CB5 Points: 139/200, Current Oracle placement: 21/170 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| MasterOfHunters | Posted 11/15/2006 10:59:30 AM | message detail |
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If Cloud gets in SSBB, Link stands no chance against him. I doubt
the SFF would be anything too major (especially once the game is
actually released >_>) and his boost would be absolutely
enormous, far larger than whatever Link gets from TP/PH/SSBB. That would be my gut reaction too. But a match between Link vs Cloud has far less votes that can be swayed one way or the other, compared to Snake vs. Samus. I think it is very possible Link can compete with Cloud. Here is hoping Cloud, MM, or Sonic makes the roster! |
| MasterOfHunters | Posted 11/15/2006 11:00:45 AM | message detail |
| But you must consider that Cloud is close enough to Link that even a mild boost gives him a chance. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/15/2006 11:02:48 AM | message detail |
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...Does this mean sprites tomorrow? If so, Snake is doomed ...Haha. I had not even thought about that. I'm not sending in my Crew pick until I see this picture. << --- "I'll bet you my left arm that Commander Keen makes it to the next contest!" |
| transience | Posted 11/15/2006 11:04:02 AM | message detail |
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I doubt he'd do that. oh god, that could go down for worst picture in history. --- xyzzy |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/15/2006 11:34:57 AM | message detail |
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Just stopping in, but XFD @ Link taking basically 100% of Samus' votes. --- Portugal. The Man Cheer Up Emo Kids |
| MasterOfHunters | Posted 11/15/2006 11:38:02 AM | message detail |
| I really wish Crono won the male bracket now, seeing Sephiroth lose to him would be hilarious. |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/15/2006 12:09:55 PM | message detail |
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For some reason, I don't see Cloud getting into SSBB boosting him
all that much. The only way I see Cloud beating Link anytime soon is if
FFVII gets remade. Yeah, agree. The Nintendo fanbase isn't suddenly going to abandon Link just because Cloud appears in Smash; it isn't as if Link won't be in it, in addition to Twilight Princess. --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/15/2006 12:11:51 PM | message detail |
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I've always said that if you appear in something like Smash Bros., you're just asking for Link to SFF you. It's his fanbase -- forget just
Nintendo -- and Cloud appearing there is only going to help him against
non-Nintendo characters. He'd lose that support when he went up against
Link. --- "I'll bet you my left arm that Commander Keen makes it to the next contest!" |
| shadow8021 | Posted 11/15/2006 12:16:39 PM | message detail |
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Link with over 50% tomorrow! --- Character Battle Score: 164/200 Today's Vote: Mario |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/15/2006 12:21:45 PM | message detail |
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Mario is getting less votes today! WTF? --- Supporter of Sephiroth |
| Kaxon | Posted 11/15/2006 1:01:31 PM | message detail |
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Regardless of what effect it had on the contests, it would be awesome
to see Cloud and Sephiroth in Smash just so you could have the
contest's strongest characters fighting it out in a game. --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| voltch | Posted 11/15/2006 1:02:33 PM | message detail |
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Mario vs snake head to head would be interesting. --- Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest. |
| MasterOfHunters | Posted 11/15/2006 1:03:32 PM | message detail |
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Mario vs snake head to head would be interesting. I don't think so. See Samus vs Snake, with wider gap between the two. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 1:11:41 PM | message detail |
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Mario vs snake head to head would be interesting. It wasn't interesting last year, and it wouldn't be interesting this year. A little closer, sure, but not interesting. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 1:13:41 PM | message detail |
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It's nice to come back to Snake still beating Sephiroth and by about
the same margin, too. For some reason, he's holding up a little better
against Sephy's day vote. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/15/2006 1:16:19 PM | message detail |
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Tomorrow should be very cool to see. --- "I'll bet you my left arm that Commander Keen makes it to the next contest!" |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/15/2006 1:23:09 PM | message detail |
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Sephiroth starting to put the heat on Snake here. Snake's only ahead of him by 550 now. --- New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees! # 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 1:25:42 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, wow! Less than 50 votes cut off in 3.5 hours! The heat is on! --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/15/2006 1:26:35 PM | message detail |
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Down to 530. And hey, that's good progress in this setting, damnit! --- New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees! # 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3 |
| BDawg | Posted 11/15/2006 1:27:32 PM | message detail |
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Um yeah I don't think anybody's day vote is gonna look as good as it should in the presence of Link. --- Should I start running now? |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 1:27:32 PM | message detail |
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Either way, here's hoping justice is served tomorrow and I can say that
Solid Snake beat Sephiroth in a contest poll, making all right with the
world. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 11/15/2006 1:28:13 PM | message detail |
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I doubt Sephy survives tomorrow. If Samus losing boosted Link and Snake
(and not Mario apparently what happened there) then Mario losing should
boost him even more. --- I suppose people like IX because it was most similar to their favorite cartoon, Dragon Ball Z.- poupadis |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/15/2006 1:29:31 PM | message detail |
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Hopefully some of the Cloud fans realize Sephy is in danger tomorrow and vote for him. --- New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees! # 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3 |
| SecksThaNemesis | Posted 11/15/2006 1:31:12 PM | message detail |
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519. At this rate Sephiroth should be able to just finish ahead of
Snake today... and hopefully Snake doesn't get that much Mario support
tomorrow. --- New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees! # 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3 |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 1:32:31 PM | message detail |
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Nah, after seeing how far behind Cloud is, they've gotta keep voting for him! Snake is a Nintendo character now! Mario voters to switch to Snake! --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 1:36:45 PM | message detail |
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Percentages at 16:30 yesterday: Cloud Strife - 23.51% Link - 27.51% Mario - 11.32% Samus Aran - 8.01% Sephiroth - 16.16% Solid Snake - 13.48% Percentages at 16:30 today: Cloud Strife - 24.31% Link - 34.71% Mario - 11.07% Sephiroth - 14.68% Solid Snake - 15.24% Net difference: Cloud Strife - +0.80% Link - +7.20% Mario - -0.25% Sephiroth - -1.48% Solid Snake - +1.76% --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| cdw01 | Posted 11/15/2006 1:39:57 PM | message detail |
| I originally had Male winner>Mario, but I changed it. :( 16 more points lost for me, as if my bracket hadn't been killed enough by Crono losing. |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/15/2006 1:40:34 PM | message detail |
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Man, Link's after school vote is insane. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/15/2006 1:41:09 PM | message detail |
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XD Snake winning over Sephy. --- Supporter of Sephiroth |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/15/2006 1:45:53 PM | message detail |
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And now Link has over a 10,000 vote lead! Huzzah! --- "I'll bet you my left arm that Commander Keen makes it to the next contest!" |
