GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 430
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 2:47:56 PM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 2:53:43 PM | message detail |
|
Hm. If you add the votes for Mario and Samus (the vast majority of
them), a little under half of Snake's, and then only about 400 or so
from Sephiroth, Link ends up beating Cloud by a little more than he did
last year. That may be somewhat faulty, but it's hard to think of a situation where Link is going to lose. I think it ended up being 53,000 for Cloud and 59,000 for Link. That only adds up to 112,000 votes, but we haven't had every vot cast here. It'll probably end up with a slightly wider gap and more votes to make it come out to a Link/Cloud vote total esque match. But I am rather confused on why people were saying that Cloud had some sort of good chance here earlier. Link is still losing votes here just like Cloud would be from Sephiroth. Even with that, he's still pulling in numbers that are extremely similar to last year -- he has a 5,000 vote lead right now. I think Link also gets more of the "on the edge" votes as we get closer to Twilight Princess coming out. I never viewed his chances are particularly good this year and my mind definitely isn't changing after Link's dominant performance here. --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 3:09:55 PM | message detail |
|
On another note, I'll be interested in seeing how the percentages
change from day to day. It's not too often you get to see the same
characters (mostly Link and Cloud) in the same poll for successive days. --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 3:10:31 PM | message detail |
|
Yeah, that'll be another thing that makes tomorrow's poll worth watching. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| NoDiceCurt | Posted 11/14/2006 3:15:28 PM | message detail |
|
Cloud is going to win. Add up all the Nintendo votes total. 56,520. All the FF7 votes total. 47,666. People have always claimed that Snake is SFF with Final Fantasy chars. But in stead of just making it a full split, we'll make it 75 - 25. So, 75% of 16,000 is 12,000. 25% of 16,000 is 4,000. 56,520 + 4,000 = 60,520. 47,666 + 12,000 = 59,666. Looks like it should be close, but I'm thinking Cloud will end up with the vote because it's still only 6:15 and there are a lot more votes coming in. --- Que sera, sera. Whatever will be, will be. -The biggest Sonic fan ever.- |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/14/2006 3:24:08 PM | message detail |
|
Anyone else think the vote totals might suffer a bit on the next day?
When Ryu H Vs. Jill was reran, it got low totals because people thought
they had voted in that poll already. Do you think people will notice
the difference enough to vote? >_> --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/14/2006 3:30:30 PM | message detail |
|
I think that different pictures will be enough to solve that problem. --- "Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 4:21:37 PM | message detail |
|
At the very least, the Samus voters will know it's a new poll. I wonder if CJayC will rearrange the poll options as well. Seems likely. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 4:21:59 PM | message detail |
|
nah, should still be in ABC order. --- zizzy |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 4:23:04 PM | message detail |
|
Wait, it's alphabetical order? ...Didn't realize that before. Bah. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 4:39:18 PM | message detail |
|
At 19:35, this match has 132492 votes. Tifa/Samus had 120898, and Zelda/Final Fantasy had 138865 votes. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 4:47:51 PM | message detail |
|
man, I can't wait to see TRE's writeup for this match. instead of
having one wrong option, we've got five. add to it that a lot of the
casual Samus pickers would naturally assume she'd outlast the guy she
just beat and we could see some serious shakeup. --- zizzy |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/14/2006 4:53:40 PM | message detail |
|
Going back to the discussion on how well non-video game characters would fare in a contest, this poll may be pretty telling: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=866 Which is your favorite super-franchise? Final Fantasy 63.89% 19610 Star Wars 24.8% 7611 I can't stand either 11.31% 3472 TOTAL VOTES 30693 I believe this was taken right around the time Episode 2 came out, by the way. It is 2002 data, but it seems fairly good evidence that Clinkeroth at least would beat Darth Vader. --- "........!" ~Magus |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 4:54:18 PM | message detail |
|
Series =/= Characters Huzzah! --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/14/2006 4:55:09 PM | message detail |
|
That poll also had only thirty thousand votes. I'm sure votals this high would favor movie characters. --- Demyx > Axel Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/14/2006 4:56:32 PM | message detail |
|
man, I can't wait to see TRE's writeup for this match. instead of
having one wrong option, we've got five. add to it that a lot of the
casual Samus pickers would naturally assume she'd outlast the guy she
just beat and we could see some serious shakeup. Yeah, if I get the BR perfect, I might actually win a consolation prize. I'm already in the top 250. And Cloud vs Link will probably be relatively split. --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 4:58:11 PM | message detail |
|
And Cloud vs Link will probably be relatively split. 63.77% had Link beating Cloud in the ToC last year, and 44.70% had him beating Sephiroth/2005 Champ. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/14/2006 5:01:03 PM | message detail |
|
63.77% had Link beating Cloud in the ToC last year, and 44.70% had him beating Sephiroth/2005 Champ. Well, for Link, that's relatively split. --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/14/2006 5:01:15 PM | message detail |
|
And stop trying to dash my dreams. :( --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| Kaxon | Posted 11/14/2006 5:02:20 PM | message detail |
|
That poll also had only thirty thousand votes. I'm sure votals this high would favor movie characters. Most of the "high vote totals favor X" statements are pretty baseless, but this one is even more out there than most. Why would people visiting a gaming site in 2006 be more likely to prefer movie characters than people who visited a gaming site 2002? --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 5:02:27 PM | message detail |
|
Yeah, I suppose so. I wish we would have the prediction percentages to see who predicted whom to go out tomorrow instead of just the female winner. Speaking of which, do you expect Female Winner to have over 50% prediction percentage here? --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 5:03:27 PM | message detail |
|
hm... no. I'll say 44%. that's a complete guess. --- zizzy |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/14/2006 5:04:04 PM | message detail |
|
Speaking of which, do you expect Female Winner to have over 50% prediction percentage here? I expect Female winner to come close... I mean, 41% had Samus getting to the finals but only 12% had her escaping. To me, that indicates a lack of faith in the strength of the female winner against males. --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 5:04:54 PM | message detail |
|
though I think this is one where the high scores do worse than the low ones. --- zizzy |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/14/2006 5:05:02 PM | message detail |
|
So even in a 6-way poll, Snake still has enough votes to quadruple Tanner. Interesting. --- CB5 Points: 131/192, Current Oracle placement: 21/170 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2006 5:06:19 PM | message detail |
|
If today's match alone was the BR, my BR would be perfect. Figures =p Sucks that I stunk up the main bracket. ~*ST*~ --- Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/14/2006 5:09:34 PM | message detail |
|
though I think this is one where the high scores do worse than the low ones. Maybe simply by virtue of the theory that if Samus can beat the male winner, she can outlast him in a 6-way poll. --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/14/2006 5:15:29 PM | message detail |
|
Although, on the other hand, the people at top now are people who knew
enough about the contest to know Samus would win, so they probably know
enough to know she was going out first. --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 5:18:41 PM | message detail |
|
they also knew enough about the contest to take Snake to win the male bracket. --- zizzy |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 5:22:57 PM | message detail |
|
nah, should still be in ABC order. Huh. I didn't notice that. I just figured that it was ordered by the way they appear in the picture. --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 5:24:07 PM | message detail |
|
multi-option polls are always in ABC order. or I think they are, anyway. --- zizzy |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 5:26:54 PM | message detail |
|
Heh. With 127 more votes, Link will have surpassed the lead he beat Cloud with last year. --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 5:50:41 PM | message detail |
|
And he only needed 20,000 more votes and 4 more characters to do it! Face it! Link is doomed! --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 6:21:57 PM | message detail |
|
Huzzah! He's ahead of what he got on Cloud last year despite two other Nintendo characters being in the poll !! Doomed? More like guaranteed victory! --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 6:23:22 PM | message detail |
|
ha -- I like how you conveniently ignore Sephiroth and Snake! --- zizzy |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 6:24:50 PM | message detail |
|
Snake's votes don't go to Cloud -- at least not all of them! BOLD PREDICTION: Link gets over 53.5% against Cloud on Saturday! Book it! --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/14/2006 6:28:11 PM | message detail |
|
Link can barely do it despite 20,000 more votes, two Nintendo
characters to steal votes from, and with characters whom Cloud can't
leech off of? And you consider this a victory? Strange man. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 6:32:49 PM | message detail |
|
Pfft! Those blasted Nintendo fans aren't voting correctly here! Look at all those votes for Mario and Samus that are just begging to be added to Link's total! Victory is assured! --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 11/14/2006 6:47:55 PM | message detail |
|
...And, Cloud/Link's votals have been surpassed for the third time. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| Phediuk | Posted 11/14/2006 7:10:50 PM | message detail |
|
Fall 2006 "Optimum" Bracket, according to the X-stats. Norfair Division 1- Samus 8- Jade 4- Ryu Hayabusa 5- Gordon Freeman 3- Riku 6- Ada Wong 2- Auron 7- Celes Midgar Division 1- Vincent Valentine 8- Roll 4- Zero 5- Claire Redfield 3- Leon Kennedy 6- Prince of Persia 2- Yoshi 7- CATS Triforce Division 1- Princess Zelda 8- Carmen Sandiego 4- Chun-Li 5- Kairi 3- Peach 6- Tidus 2- Yuna 7- Terra Blur Division 1- Sonic the Hedgehog 8- Cortana 4- Kratos 5- Sheena Fujibayashi 3- Jill Valentine 6- Phoenix Wright 2- Aeris 7- Nidoran F Gear Division 1- Solid Snake 8- Alyx Vance 4- Master Chief 5- Lara Croft 3- Ryu 6- Captain Falcon 2- Ganondorf 7- Tingle Bomber Division 1- Mega Man 8- Sarah Kerrigan 4- Sub-Zero 5- Axel 3- Luigi 6- Marle 2- Dante 7- Joanna Dark Epoch Division 1- Crono 8- Lenneth Valkyrie 4- Rikku 5- The Boss 3- Kirby 6- Ivy 2- Squall 7- Soma Cruz 7th Heaven Division 1- Tifa 8- Daisy 4- KOS-MOS 5- Alucard 3- Bowser 6- Amy Rose 2- Sora 7- Kasumi --- "Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle." -Toad in Super Mario Bros. |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/14/2006 7:11:32 PM | message detail |
|
According to whose x-stats? --- Portugal. The Man Cheer Up Emo Kids |
| Phediuk | Posted 11/14/2006 7:12:28 PM | message detail |
|
The unadjusted ones. --- "Thank you, Mario. But our princess is in another castle." -Toad in Super Mario Bros. |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 7:12:30 PM | message detail |
|
optimum more like most boring first round ever --- zizzy |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/14/2006 7:14:04 PM | message detail |
|
tranny morel iek old man river --- Portugal. The Man Cheer Up Emo Kids |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 7:14:34 PM | message detail |
|
3- Peach 6- Tidus this makes me laugh though. --- zizzy |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/14/2006 7:17:23 PM | message detail |
|
Tidus would find a way to lose with 3%. --- Portugal. The Man Cheer Up Emo Kids |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/14/2006 7:47:26 PM | message detail |
|
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb5/cb565.jpg New picture -- and it's headshots! I don't know about anyone else, but I can't help but see Link before anyone else. Hello there picture advantage!! --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 7:48:15 PM | message detail |
|
ha, the FF7 posse looks so fruity there. --- zizzy |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/14/2006 7:49:28 PM | message detail |
|
as far as picture advantage: Mario > Snake > Link > ...Cloud > Stephiroth --- zizzy |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 11/14/2006 7:49:51 PM | message detail |
|
Mario > Link > The rest --- - Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII. |
