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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 429

The_Ocelot | Posted 11/13/2006 9:05:35 PM | message detail
This is cool to watch. Snake seems to be doing pretty well.
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Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101
trannyscience | Posted 11/13/2006 9:05:47 PM | message detail
ranking night votes:

Snake > Samus > Sephiroth > Cloud > Link > Mario

reverse that for the day, of course. when 6am hits, I'd expect the first two to lose percentage while the latter four gain.
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zizzy
Applekidjosh | Posted 11/13/2006 9:05:50 PM | message detail
SFFiroth has seen better days
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"It was a horrible day! But... I wish every day was like today."
Janus5000 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:05:52 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 20.27% 355
Link 28.73% 503
Mario 13.93% 244
Samus Aran 11.14% 195
Sephiroth 11.82% 207
Solid Snake 14.11% 247
TOTAL VOTES 1751

Snake > Mario confirmed again!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/13/2006 9:06:05 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 20.27% 355
Link 28.73% 503
Mario 13.93% 244
Samus Aran 11.14% 195
Sephiroth 11.82% 207
Solid Snake 14.11% 247
TOTAL VOTES 1751


Hot damn. Link is at 29% within the first five minutes? With that dominant Zelda morning vote? Oh, man, this is going to kick ass.

And Sephiroth is nearly even with Samus? Did not expect that!

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/13/2006 9:06:13 PM | message detail
So, Sephiroth disappointing heavily so far. If he keeps up this level of suck, I'll say Mario and Snake outlast him resulting in a Cloud dominated poll for 2 days.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/13/2006 9:06:29 PM | message detail
God I hate Sephiroth's board vote. It's like all the idiots wait up to anti-vote him.
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
Dark115 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:06:55 PM | message detail
As long as Cloud is there Sephiroth is going to continue to suffer
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O RLY?
My Collection: http://club.ign.com/b/list/custom?lid=100018&owner=Dark115.&mode=vown
trannyscience | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:01 PM | message detail
dominant morning vote? more like Nintendo Power Hour!

seriously, I don't expect this to hold throughout the night. Link will probably drop a good bit before the morning vote hits.
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zizzy
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:06 PM | message detail
Well, I say Samus probably ends up losing today, but it'll be interesting for the next two days also.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
sammich | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:11 PM | message detail
Not surprising that Snake is doing so well right now. He has the least to worry about when it comes to SFF. He might outlast Samus and Sephiroth.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:13 PM | message detail
Yeah, anyone who picked Cloud>Link, food luck with that. He's 8% above Cloud while dealing with Mario and Samus.

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I suppose people like IX because it was most similar to their favorite cartoon, Dragon Ball Z.- poupadis
charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:19 PM | message detail
Samus Aran 11.14% 195
Sephiroth 11.82% 207

If Sephiroth doesn't go today he will tomorrow with the majority of Samus' votes going to Mario and Link.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
The Great Onion Kid | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:55 PM | message detail
Link'll win this one hands down. The FInal Fantasy vote'll split between Cloud and Sephiroth, and Mario doesn't seem to have the following he had in the past.

And TP is coming out within a week.
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I own the world's largest 3D puzzle
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:56 PM | message detail
Why are Cloud and Sephiroth suddenly SFFing each other now? It's never happened in their 1 vs 1 matches.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
Dark115 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:07:59 PM | message detail
I wonder how much more powerful Mario and Link become once Samus is gone O_o
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O RLY?
My Collection: http://club.ign.com/b/list/custom?lid=100018&owner=Dark115.&mode=vown
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:08:09 PM | message detail
Very good job by Link, very poor job by Sephiroth in the early showing...but that's probably to be expected. Based on the first five minutes I predict the next six days (hah!) as follows:

Link > Cloud > Mario > Snake > Sephiroth > Samus

It looks like Mario/Snake/Sephiroth could go pretty much in any order, though, and Snake isn't safe even here if he falls apart in the day. He does have the worst day vote relative to everyone else.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/13/2006 9:08:25 PM | message detail
When I wake up in the morning, I fully expect Snake to be flat out whooping some ass. I'm talking AT LEAST going head to head with Mario like he is now.
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
sammich | Posted 11/13/2006 9:09:59 PM | message detail
In their 1 vs. 1 matches, there were no other options. Mario fans, Link fans, etc. had to vote for one or the other. Apparently, the majority of non-FF fans voted Sephiroth. Must be some kind of an old lady fetish.
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:20 PM | message detail
HOLY LINK O_O
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:21 PM | message detail
Boo Samus

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I suppose people like IX because it was most similar to their favorite cartoon, Dragon Ball Z.- poupadis
trannyscience | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:31 PM | message detail
wow, Samus just collapsed.
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zizzy
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:33 PM | message detail
Link increases! OH YES!

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
Who Cares? | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:40 PM | message detail
Heh, bye bye Samus!
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: Failed! She should've stayed away from the summoner!
*Go play Tales of the Abyss*
Janus5000 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:42 PM | message detail
Snake > Seph > Mario > Samus now!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:51 PM | message detail
I expect Snake to take the hardest hit in the day, even if he will have one of the relatively lower percentages to begin with. If, as speculated, he is riding a newfound Nintendo wave of support, it will quickly abandon him with the morning vote.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:55 PM | message detail
O_O Sephiroth is ahead of Mario now.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Master Moltar | Posted 11/13/2006 9:10:59 PM | message detail
Link went..up?!

Seph also passes Mario, and Snake holds strong in 3rd!
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Moltar Status: 5th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Battle Royale Day 1 - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (152/192)
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/13/2006 9:11:11 PM | message detail
That's what I like to see, Sephiroth. Next update he'll be above Snake! =D
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:11:46 PM | message detail
Ummm... yeah, Link is like... good and stuff.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/13/2006 9:12:06 PM | message detail
Hmm... Sephiroth should keep going up so this won't look too bad for him. Link is looking insane right now though.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
creativename | Posted 11/13/2006 9:12:23 PM | message detail
Looks like Link will finish above 30%...that's just amazing.

If he happens to finish with 33.3%, a third of the votes in a 6-person match, that would be ridiculous.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2006 9:12:26 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
158----1--------0.0000000
157----1--------0.0000000
156----2--------50.0000000
155----1--------100.0000000
154----1--------0.0000000
153----2--------50.0000000
152----2--------100.0000000
151----7--------42.8571429
150----8--------62.5000000
149----14-------42.8571429
148----17-------29.4117647
147----23-------43.4782609
146----36-------44.4444444
145----40-------52.5000000
144----45-------33.3333333
143----63-------49.2063492
142----55-------23.6363636
141----66-------25.7575758
140----72-------40.2777778
139----69-------27.5362319
138----89-------32.5842697
137----98-------30.6122449
136----90-------40.0000000
135----134------35.8208955
134----121------30.5785124
133----144------32.6388889
132----170------32.3529412
131----159------31.4465409
130----171------29.2397661
129----225------32.0000000
128----206------28.6407767
127----240------28.7500000
126----256------26.5625000
125----279------21.1469534
124----316------26.5822785
123----370------33.2432432
122----383------27.4151436
121----449------29.3986637
120----432------30.0925926
119----433------30.7159353
118----431------23.8979118
117----443------23.0248307
116----411------25.3041363
115----413------27.1186441
114----459------22.0043573
113----475------25.2631579
112----483------16.9772257
111----463------18.3585313
110----508------21.2598425
109----502------22.9083665
108----548------19.8905109
107----539------19.1094620
106----493------16.4300203
105----533------16.3227017
104----506------18.9723320
103----536------15.4850746
102----573------16.4048866
101----512------13.0859375
100----565------17.6991150
99-----519------16.9556840
98-----566------15.7243816
97-----522------13.6015326
96-----561------14.7950089
95-----610------15.2459016
94-----571------13.8353765
93-----538------13.7546468
92-----588------12.5850340
91-----565------15.2212389
90-----588------12.2448980
89-----596------11.4093960
88-----565------11.8584071
87-----571------12.4343257
86-----558------12.1863799
85-----570------11.4035088
84-----567------10.7583774
83-----564------10.2836879
82-----548------11.6788321
81-----590------7.7966102
80-----579------7.0811744
79-----563------6.5719361
78-----519------8.2851638
77-----522------7.0881226
76-----530------6.6037736
75-----501------5.5888224
74-----529------6.4272212
73-----510------7.6470588
72-----523------5.5449331
71-----525------4.7619048
70-----493------4.6653144
69-----462------5.1948052
68-----467------4.2826552
67-----468------2.7777778
66-----416------2.1634615
65-----430------2.0930233
64-----440------2.9545455
63-----440------2.0454545
62-----448------1.5625000
61-----410------0.7317073
60-----394------1.7766497
59-----387------1.2919897
58-----379------0.2638522
57-----357------1.1204482
56-----351------1.1396011
55-----360------1.1111111
54-----328------0.9146341
53-----328------0.0000000
52-----312------0.3205128
51-----313------0.3194888
50-----298------0.0000000
49-----292------0.0000000
48-----290------0.3448276

Everybody with a score of 48 or less got the match wrong.
Overall prediction percentage: 12.54%
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/13/2006 9:12:28 PM | message detail
If the updates keep going like that, I'm guessing my BR will be perfect. Link > Cloud > Sephiroth > Mario > Snake (well, Sonic, but whatever) > Samus.

Samus plummeted and is currently looking to lose first. Her votes should transfer to Mario and Link mostly, and if Sephiroth keeps increasing today, he'll be beyond Snake. So then Snake loses and his votes probably go a little more to Cloud and Sephiroth (since they're all on Playstation). And Sephiroth is probably gonna beat Mario today anyway, so that'll happen again with Samus and Snake out of the picture. After that, it's all easy.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/13/2006 9:12:29 PM | message detail
Pretty chaotic near the top. Overall it seems Solid Snake was the slight favorite over Samus to take the bracket by the top tiers. The top tiers has prediction percentages in the 40 range.

Thirty people fell off the top 50 today. Rabite, Sabaoth9, quicksilvver, Notorious_KT, Hatebreeder_COB, bizkit31387, Jilduros, LuxAvalon, MercuriusRed, ShadowVoa, the7joker7, nuclearwinter10, ScytheMagus, inferno138, neoanduril, XDoggManX, wrek_les, CyberGrayFox, Bernard_Wiseman, snoopiku222, the_vagabundo, PurpleBehemoth, karma_poster, thewindfish26, Brewski_Man, BigDLeverenz, DirtySparkels, ISpinkickBabies, jockyee and former first place CadeFlayer did not have Samus taking out Solid Snake.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/13/2006 9:12:37 PM | message detail
So, Link vs Cloud? ;)
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/13/2006 9:13:02 PM | message detail
I like how the closest person's bar is only a little over half of Link's bar.

Oh yeah

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:13:03 PM | message detail
All Time Lowest Prediction Percentages:

01. 06.00% - (1) Cloud Strife vs (2) Sephiroth (2003 Characters Final)
02. 07.16% - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (16) StarCraft (2004 Games Quarterfinal)
03. 07.91% - (16) StarCraft vs (5) The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker (2004 Games Sweet Sixteen)
04. 12.47% - (5) Vincent Valentine vs (2) Squall Leonhart (2005 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
05. 12.54% - (1) Samus Aran vs (1) Solid Snake (2006 Characters Final)
06. 12.80% - (2) Link vs (1) Mario (2002 Characters Final)
07. 13.31% - (1) Sonic the Hedgehog vs (1) Crono (2006 Characters Quarterfinal)
08. 13.40% - (1) Cloud Strife vs (1) Link (2003 Characters Semifinal)
09. 14.18% - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (3) Final Fantasy X (2004 Games Quarterfinal)
10. 14.50% - (2) Mega Man vs (1) Solid Snake (2003 Characters Quartefinal)
11. 14.60% - (5) Crono vs (2) Solid Snake (2002 Characters Quarterfinal)
12. 14.76% - (7) Diablo vs (1) Kefka (2005 Villains Quarterfinal)
13. 15.62% - (16) StarCraft vs (9) Kingdom Hearts (2004 Games Round 2)
14. 17.30% - (5) Scorpion vs (1) Pac-Man (2002 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
15. 20.27% - (7) Sub-Zero vs (2) Master Chief (2006 Characters Round 1)
16. 21.70% - (2) Sephiroth vs (2) Mega Man (2003 Characters Semifinal)
17. 22.03% - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (7) Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (2004 Games Round 2)
18. 22.56% - (6) Frog vs (3) Master Chief (2004 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
19. 24.09% - (16) StarCraft vs (1) Halo (2004 Games Round 1)
20. 24.20% - (13) Magus vs (12) Ganondorf (2003 Characters Round 2)
21. 24.49% - (2) Crono vs (1) Mega Man (2005 Characters Semifinal)
22. 24.63% - (1) Chrono Trigger vs (1) Super Mario Bros. 3 (2004 Games Semifinal)
23. 25.14% - (5) Vincent Valentine vs (1) Dante (2005 Characters Round 2)
24. 26.17% - (1) Mario vs (2) Crono (2005 Characters Final)
25. 27.07% - (1) Solid Snake vs (1) Sonic the Hedgehog (2006 Characters Semifinal)

2002 Characters: 3
2003 Characters: 5
2004 Games: 7
2004 Characters: 1
2005 Villains: 1
2005 Characters: 4
2006 Series: 0
2006 Characters: 4
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/13/2006 9:13:58 PM | message detail
I like how the closest person's bar is only a little over half of Link's bar.

Oh yeah


Uh... you meant a little over 2/3?
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/13/2006 9:15:30 PM | message detail
Slight increase for Link that time!

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
creativename | Posted 11/13/2006 9:15:38 PM | message detail
Samus was more of an underdog in the main bracket that Cloud in 2K3? I did not expect that at all. Especially given that 40+% had her going to the finals. That is very strange.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/13/2006 9:15:47 PM | message detail
Looks like it's stabilizing a lil'.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/13/2006 9:16:21 PM | message detail
Come on Snake, stay above Mr. Terrible Character.

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I suppose people like IX because it was most similar to their favorite cartoon, Dragon Ball Z.- poupadis
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/13/2006 9:16:56 PM | message detail
I think at this rate it'll probably be Link > Cloud > Sephiroth > Snake > Mario > Samus.... which is what I would have if not for my Seph > Cloud upset.... ugh.
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/13/2006 9:17:29 PM | message detail
Come on Snake, stay above Mr. Terrible Character.

But... Snake isn't ahead of any terrible characters!
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
Haste_2 | Posted 11/13/2006 9:17:34 PM | message detail
Actually, Samus had more than double the support this contest Cloud did back then.

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Antivote this petition, it sucks and would be wasting bandwidth:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/13/2006 9:18:13 PM | message detail
But... Snake isn't ahead of any terrible characters!

Starts with 'S' and ends with 'ephiroth'.

I went there!

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I suppose people like IX because it was most similar to their favorite cartoon, Dragon Ball Z.- poupadis
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/13/2006 9:18:23 PM | message detail
Snake > Sephiroth!
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/13/2006 9:18:27 PM | message detail
Snake > Sephiroth!
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/13/2006 9:18:33 PM | message detail
Snake>Link
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I suppose people like IX because it was most similar to their favorite cartoon, Dragon Ball Z.- poupadis