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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 428

transience | Posted 11/12/2006 9:46:01 PM | message detail
Well, compared to previous years Snake shouldn't look *too* bad...

it's not Snake I'm worried about - rather I should say that everyone sans Snake's division is going to look bad. let's say Samus wins with... 52%. Snake's at 40%, MM and Sonic are at 35.75% or so and Crono's down near 35%. interesting stuff.
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xyzzy
Mister Mario | Posted 11/12/2006 9:46:15 PM | message detail
349. Doin' well, baby.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:46:21 PM | message detail
It was always obvious.

We've been over this countless times before, but please, feel free to explain how. The only piece of evidence present at the time was the Games Contest, and that never made it "obvious."
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/12/2006 9:46:31 PM | message detail
I never understood the Smaus > Mario bandwagon. I mean, sure Samus looked better in the 2k4 stats, but IT'S FREAKING MARIO! the guy who beat Cloud Strife at the peak of FF7FAQiness.

Yes, and that same guy had been beaten by Crono in 2004.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/12/2006 9:47:25 PM | message detail
I think the main reason Samus was such a big favorite was because people couldin't shake off Mario's horrible loss to Crono in 2k4. A falling from grace thing like Mega Man had earlier this contest.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
HaRRicH | Posted 11/12/2006 9:47:32 PM | message detail
That same guy who allowed Shadow to get 45% on him.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
creativename | Posted 11/12/2006 9:48:28 PM | message detail
We really don't need to go over Samus/Mario again after all this time, guys :) If people don't understand things, whatever. We don't need to hold their hands through it.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:48:34 PM | message detail
Don't forget the fact that she outperformed Mario against Link. During 2005, the whole "Samus is awful with Nintendo SFF" theory did not exist.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2006 9:48:47 PM | message detail
the guy who beat Cloud Strife at the peak of FF7FAQiness.

Ummm excuse me?

Do you want to see what happened to Mario during the height of FFVIIFAQiness?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1363
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/12/2006 9:48:55 PM | message detail
From MegatokyoEd
I think the main reason Samus was such a big favorite was because people couldin't shake off Mario's horrible loss to Crono in 2k4. A falling from grace thing like Mega Man had earlier this contest.

Which managed to not be a fall from grace at all.

TuRtLe
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Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
XxSoulxX | Posted 11/12/2006 9:49:08 PM | message detail
Just flipping through Ulti's site, and we really need to get Protoman in the next contest.

Fox would crush Protoman.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/12/2006 9:49:57 PM | message detail
This is it. Which character will win it all? Today's pictures were created by DbleBassDrummer, Who Cares?, Ratty GFA, ssjkerry4, GANON1025, sasabe, MakeYourChance, FAHtastic, Agent M, MasterMoltar, aga GFA, and GhostOfLegault.

That gave me a chuckle

TuRtLe
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Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Mister Mario | Posted 11/12/2006 9:50:07 PM | message detail
We've been over this countless times before, but please, feel free to explain how. The only piece of evidence present at the time was the Games Contest, and that never made it "obvious."

Common sense? Why would, knowing everything about the GameFAQs contests that we know, Samus ever have won over Mario? Because the x-stats pegged her as higher for one year? That's silly.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/12/2006 9:50:54 PM | message detail
From XxSoulxX
Just flipping through Ulti's site, and we really need to get Protoman in the next contest.

Fox would crush Protoman.


Not if Protoman is in SSB:B

If Protoman, Mega Man and Zero are in SSB:B, I will cream myself reapeatedly for the rest of my life.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2006 9:51:05 PM | message detail
Samus ever have won over Mario? Because the x-stats pegged her as higher for one year? That's silly.

They pegged her higher in EVERY SINGLE YEAR before then. I picked Mario and all, but I was nervous as **** about it all the way up until the match.
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/12/2006 9:51:17 PM | message detail

Which managed to not be a fall from grace at all.


Thats what I ment really. It seems that whenever we think a Noble Niner has fallen they come back and own us.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
XxSoulxX | Posted 11/12/2006 9:51:46 PM | message detail
Not if Protoman is in SSB:B

If Protoman, Mega Man and Zero are in SSB:B, I will cream myself reapeatedly for the rest of my life.


Good thing 2 of those characters have just about 0% of making it in, while the other has a small chance as well.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2006 9:52:07 PM | message detail
And thank God the NPH is ending soon... then Snake can just go right on ahead and start blasting away. He's gonna need a helluva lead.
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
Mister Mario | Posted 11/12/2006 9:52:32 PM | message detail
Samus keeps climbing, by the way. How long does the NPH usually last? Considering the name, I'm thinking around and hour, but it might have been chosen because it is a snazy name. When did Samus start falling with Tifa?
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MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/12/2006 9:52:38 PM | message detail
I'm really looking forward to the Battle Royale after this.

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
XxSoulxX | Posted 11/12/2006 9:53:14 PM | message detail
And wait, Fox is already in SSBB so even if Protoman makes it in, he'd get SFFed to hell and back.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
creativename | Posted 11/12/2006 9:53:18 PM | message detail
Battle Royale is about as unpredictable as it gets, outside of Link winning.
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dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 9:53:32 PM | message detail
I've said it before, and i'll say it again. Just because people havedeemed this the nintendo power hour doesn't actually mean that nintendo characters always dominate the hellout of it.

With that said snake should increase, but only because he's heading into his peak time in about an hour.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
creativename | Posted 11/12/2006 9:54:08 PM | message detail
You know, actually after all these upsets, I get the feeling that even if Link somehow manages to lose, the impact of that will be diluted heavily :)
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2006 9:54:15 PM | message detail
I've been looking forward to the Battle Royale since it was announced. Sephiroth > Cloud for life, baby.
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/12/2006 9:54:36 PM | message detail
Link losing one day before Twilight Princess would leave me speechless.

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 9:54:49 PM | message detail
Samus keeps climbing, by the way. How long does the NPH usually last? Considering the name, I'm thinking around and hour, but it might have been chosen because it is a snazy name. When did Samus start falling with Tifa?

It usually lasts about 45 minutes, and nintendo hasn't always done as well in it as the name would suggest.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2006 9:54:56 PM | message detail
Oh no, Link losing would mean an absolute eruption on the board. And it'd be ****ing awesome.

Won't happen though. Not even gonna get my hopes up.
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:55:37 PM | message detail
I picked Mario as well, but that match was anything but obvious. Mario had a bad loss to Crono the year prior, while Samus absolutely dominated the entire time (her first two matches projected her to be higher than Cloud) Then there was the fact that Samus did better than Mario against Link (there's no such thing as SFF between elites was the common thought). The only thing Samus had against her was the poor performance of her games, but, well, look at how well Super Mario 64 stood up to SFF. 2005 was a huge flip in the Noble Nine, just like this year is.
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Mustache...and green...
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o4o22oo4 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:56:07 PM | message detail
Eh, Snake will get his revenge on Samus by surpassing her in the Battle Royale. :P
Mister Mario | Posted 11/12/2006 9:56:08 PM | message detail
Wait, she was higher in 2002? Not that it matter, since it's 2002, but y'know.
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dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 9:56:37 PM | message detail
Link could still not place first if this is only a one day thing, because of how many nintendo character that are in it and could potential steal from his vote pool.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
xp1337 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:56:51 PM | message detail
Wait, she was higher in 2002? Not that it matter, since it's 2002, but y'know.

By about 3.5% on BL, no less.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (126/160) Samus v Sonic
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:56:57 PM | message detail
Common sense? Why would, knowing everything about the GameFAQs contests that we know, Samus ever have won over Mario? Because the x-stats pegged her as higher for one year? That's silly.

Common sense? If we go by "common sense," Mario wouldn't have trouble doubling the entire field, let alone losing to an obscure RPG character one year prior. Give me a break, please. Common sense is a terrible reason.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/12/2006 9:56:58 PM | message detail
The Nintendo Power hour lasts about an hour, but there's about 45 minutes of quasi-night vote after it before the real night vote kicks in.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Mister Mario | Posted 11/12/2006 9:57:26 PM | message detail
Eh, Snake will get his revenge on Samus by surpassing her in the Battle Royale. :P

If she wins, how is he going to the battle royale? Only the overall winner gets in, don't they?
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RPGuy96 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:57:30 PM | message detail
Samus keeps climbing, by the way. How long does the NPH usually last? Considering the name, I'm thinking around and hour, but it might have been chosen because it is a snazy name. When did Samus start falling with Tifa?

The Power Hour (originally coined the Nintendo Hour be me, snazzed up by cn) generally gives way to the true night vote between 2 and 3, leaning more towards 3.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
xp1337 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:57:55 PM | message detail
Link could still not place first if this is only a one day thing, because of how many nintendo character that are in it and could potential steal from his vote pool.

It's almost the opposite. The more Nintendo characters there are, the more power Link obtains when he steals them away SFF-style.

...Well, not really, but it's an amusing thought.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (126/160) Samus v Sonic
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2006 9:57:58 PM | message detail
And HM and I had a discussion long before the contest was ever announced that there was a way for Mario to win it all. He'd have to SFF Samus, and Crono would have to beat Mega Man... and we had both established that in Mario/Crono, anything was possible... and on the day the bracket was released, I put Mario > Crono in the finals.

Granted, I changed it back and forth like 15 times.... but about 30 seconds before lockdown, I couldn't sleep, so I got up and made the change, and immediately regretted it...
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/12/2006 9:58:00 PM | message detail
Link could still not place first if this is only a one day thing, because of how many nintendo character that are in it and could potential steal from his vote pool.

The amount that are going to steal from his "pool" are small in number. No one takes that much away from Link's fanbase; he's the Nintendo character.

That said, it's an elimination deal that goes on until about Friday.

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 9:58:18 PM | message detail
The Nintendo Power hour lasts about an hour, but there's about 45 minutes of quasi-night vote after it before the real night vote kicks in.

The unique demographic voting in it certainly doesn't last a full hour. It's just that since the night vote isn't in full swing after it wears off, it can appear to still be going on sometimes.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Mister Mario | Posted 11/12/2006 9:58:26 PM | message detail
Common sense? If we go by "common sense," Mario wouldn't have trouble doubling the entire field, let alone losing to an obscure RPG character one year prior. Give me a break, please. Common sense is a terrible reason.

Common sense in the context of the GameFAQs contest setting. I like how you didn't read my next sentence.
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zwong1 | Posted 11/12/2006 9:58:37 PM | message detail
Eh, Snake will get his revenge on Samus by surpassing her in the Battle Royale. :P

If she wins, how is he going to the battle royale? Only the overall winner gets in, don't they?


Both male and female champion will get in.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/12/2006 9:58:47 PM | message detail
"Link could still not place first if this is only a one day thing, because of how many nintendo character that are in it and could potential steal from his vote pool."


I think it goes for multiple days with the votes being reset and one character being eliminated each day. If thats what it is, all Link has to do is outlast Mario and Samus, which for him wont be that hard.

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TrueHeroComplex | Posted 11/12/2006 9:59:43 PM | message detail
Common sense in the worldly sense would have Sonic vs. Mario finals every year with Sonic winning.
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 10:00:16 PM | message detail
Common sense in the context of the GameFAQs contest setting. I like how you didn't read my next sentence.

Common sense in the context of a gamefaqs setting has characters like sonic losing to characters like samus. Being a game icon hadn't ever given a character an advantage like that before.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2006 10:01:02 PM | message detail
Augh... Power Hour indeed. That update was brutal.
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/12/2006 10:02:01 PM | message detail
Crap, that update made me cry.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/12/2006 10:02:14 PM | message detail
I like how you didn't read my next sentence.

Which one? About her outranking him in the X-Stats for one year? You realize it's incorrect now, right?
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Mister Mario | Posted 11/12/2006 10:02:29 PM | message detail
Being a game icon who shares much of the same fanbase as their opponent might. Especially with the higher vote totals, which we saw even in the Villain contest.
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