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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 427

chocoboslayer | Posted 11/12/2006 1:31:26 PM | message detail
XFD
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*dances Yuna-style through this topic*
Contest Score: lol wate i mess up
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/12/2006 1:31:42 PM | message detail
Snake is a beast
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 1:35:59 PM | message detail
The votals in this match are crazy right now.

And snake appears to be regaining percentage again. He has a good chance at making sonic look worse then megaman, he wouldn't have to gain much percentage to do it.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/12/2006 1:38:43 PM | message detail
First update Sonic won in a while. n_n
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/12/2006 1:38:53 PM | message detail
And snake appears to be regaining percentage again. He has a good chance at making sonic look worse then megaman, he wouldn't have to gain much percentage to do it.

Stalls and gains are two very different things.
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"Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda
Kaxon | Posted 11/12/2006 1:39:04 PM | message detail
Looks like Snake's halted the percentage decline for the last half hour. Come on Snake, push that hedgehog back down where he belongs: below Mega Man!
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....TCELES B HSUP
voltch | Posted 11/12/2006 1:39:38 PM | message detail
megaman/sonic/crono too old for snake?
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
shadow8021 | Posted 11/12/2006 1:40:13 PM | message detail
Nope, Sonic needs to get above 45% by the end of the match.
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Character Battle Score: 124/144
Today's Vote: Sonic the Hedgehog
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/12/2006 1:43:12 PM | message detail
Samus Aran – 41.69%
Tifa Lockhart – 41.28%
Princess Zelda – 37.30%
Solid Snake – 36.97%
Sonic the Hedgehog – 33.27%
Mega Man – 33.03%
Crono – 32.76%
Aeris Gainsborough – 32.17%
Yuna – 32.06%
Vincent Valentine – 31.88%
Yoshi – 31.68%
Squall Leonhart – 31.36%
Dante Sparda – 31.33%
Ganondorf – 30.23%
Sora – 30.20%
Auron – 29.81%
Riku – 28.39%
Princess Peach – 28.03%
Jill Valentine – 28.02%
Bowser Koopa – 27.89%
Ryu – 27.72%
Luigi – 26.49%
Rikku – 25.85%
Kirby – 25.26%
Chun-Li – 25.11%
Leon Kennedy – 24.85%
KOS-MOS – 24.68%
Zero – 24.52%
Sub-Zero – 24.07%
Kratos – 23.78%
Master Chief – 23.61%
Lara Croft – 22.33%
Ryu Hayabusa – 21.80%
Gordon Freeman – 21.79%
Kairi – 21.57%
Sheena Fujibayashi – 21.28%
The Boss – 21.01%
Claire Redfield – 20.67%
Axel – 19.90%
Ivy Valentine – 19.67%
Marle – 19.44%
Prince of Persia – 19.35%
Phoenix Wright – 18.21%
Tidus – 17.55%
Amy Rose – 17.06%
Captain Falcon – 16.93%
Ada Wong – 16.86%
Celes Chere – 16.36%
Kasumi – 15.70%
Terra Branford – 15.33%
Nidoran F – 15.13%
Tingle – 14.73%
Joanna Dark – 14.07%
Roll – 13.27%
Soma Cruz – 13.20%
Lenneth Valkyrie – 12.93%
CATS – 12.72%
Sarah Kerrigan – 12.67%
Cortana – 11.19%
Carmen Sandiego – 10.38%
Alyx Vance – 10.02%
Princess Daisy – 9.47%
Jade – 8.13%

Peach > Bowser? Three strongest FF characters all female?
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Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Final Four: Sonic the Hedgehog
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 1:44:17 PM | message detail
Stalls and gains are two very different things.

He's stopped sonic's momentum, and is starting to gain percentage on a constant basis. Within an hour he'll be making noticable percentage gains.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/12/2006 1:49:49 PM | message detail
He's stopped sonic's momentum, and is starting to gain percentage on a constant basis. Within an hour he'll be making noticable percentage gains.

...He's been around the same spot for nearly an hour. Where are you getting the idea that he's constantly increasing now?

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/12/2006 1:54:27 PM | message detail
Meh, I worded that badly: I mean his halting of sonic';s momentum is a good sign that he'll start making constant gains soon.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Janus5000 | Posted 11/12/2006 1:58:04 PM | message detail
I like how Sonic's sorta spiking every 15 minutes.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Sir Bormun | Posted 11/12/2006 1:58:21 PM | message detail
So, how much do you think people are going to overestimate Yoshi in next year's contest based on this year's x-stats? I think at the very least we're looking at next year's Kirby here.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31266649 - Fanfiction based on the 2k6 contest.
Lopen | Posted 11/12/2006 1:58:31 PM | message detail
Hey guys, I heard Mega Man hasn't lost a damn step. Is that true? Oh yeahhh!
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/12/2006 1:59:12 PM | message detail
This match is absolutely insane... how the **** does Snake boost so much in one year? SSBB trailer doesn't do it for me. Either way, this is gonna be incredibly hard to base stats off of. We don't really know where Samus stands, and now with Snake looking like he could take it to Mario, we'll have no idea where exactly he stands either.

Also lol @ Snake/Squall not being SFF.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Keno316 | Posted 11/12/2006 1:59:22 PM | message detail
Man, no matter how you base them...stats will definitely look wonky somehow! Specially with Tifa finishing off where ever Samus will.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/12/2006 1:59:24 PM | message detail
Yeah, Yoshi is next year's Kirby, for sure. Still, I don't think he'll be overrated by a whole lot.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/12/2006 2:00:18 PM | message detail
Also lol @ Snake/Squall not being SFF.

Sure makes Squall look good! Even better if it actually WAS SFF!
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/12/2006 2:01:38 PM | message detail
I haven't caught up on the past couple topics at all... but who's looking like the favorite in tomorrows match around here? Snake? I would assume so, but just wondering. Yesterday was totally the best day ever btw.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Keno316 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:02:00 PM | message detail
Man! Come on Sonic! Push forward! Don't let Crono finish under MM. >>
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair & Millia Rage*
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/12/2006 2:02:36 PM | message detail
When it comes to next year, I honestly think we should accept this contest as having VC-levels of canonity - IE, none at all. Snake's 'roids are looking to screw up the entire bracket, Tifa's overperformances on Samus and Boss ****s up her division, Bowser is looking pathetic, as is Leon, Kirby looks terrible (he'd get like 37% on Sonic now, and 32% on Snake if I'm doing the maths right), Ryu and Kratos both boosted handily, Yoshi is at Squall's level, Yuna is coming ridiculously close to Aeris...and there's a whole bunch of stuff I'm missing, probably.

I know the higher votals and possible preference shift might account for SOME of those to some extent, but this contest has simply been too ****ed up for me to take it seriously. Don't get me wrong - it's awesome - but in the future, god knows.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 132/144 Today: Sonic
shadow8021 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:03:48 PM | message detail
"but who's looking like the favorite in tomorrows match around here?"

The fact that Snake almost has the same % on Sonic as Samus had on Zelda shows that Snake is the fave tomorrow.
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Character Battle Score: 124/144
Today's Vote: Sonic the Hedgehog
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/12/2006 2:03:59 PM | message detail
but who's looking like the favorite in tomorrows match around here? Snake?

Considering Snake is looking to beat Crono, Sonic, and Mega Man as badly as Samus beat Zelda, I'd say so.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/12/2006 2:04:25 PM | message detail
It's not nearly as messed up as you're making it seem.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/12/2006 2:04:33 PM | message detail
Snake's 'roids are looking to screw up the entire bracket,

But if it's legit, it messes up nothing.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/12/2006 2:05:17 PM | message detail
Yeah, and he should be as Sonic is most definitely > Zelda. I'm expecting Snake to win tomorrow with like 51% or something.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:06:16 PM | message detail
The only two matches that I think are wonky are Tifa against Zero Suit Samus and Yoshi against Sprite Snake. And both of those have reasons to be messed up.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
trizob the hedgehog | Posted 11/12/2006 2:07:13 PM | message detail
I say disqualify Snake for using performance enhancing drugs.

>_>
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"No, not just an urge - more than that. It was my destiny to be here; in the box."
- Naked Snake
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/12/2006 2:07:34 PM | message detail
It'd be awesome if Samus ended up at the bottom of the Noble Nine this year! Make it happen, Snake!
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 11/12/2006 2:08:03 PM | message detail
Doesn't your Sonic curse live on?
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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/12/2006 2:08:33 PM | message detail
I doubt he's going to beat her that badly... even if Samus fell, I don't think she fell that hard.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Keno316 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:08:48 PM | message detail
How exactly is Tifa's % on an untested The Boss "wonky?"
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
Keno316 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:09:25 PM | message detail
It'd be awesome if Samus ended up at the bottom of the Noble Nine this year! Make it happen, Snake!


...Dear God how I wish it!!! COME ON SNAKE!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/12/2006 2:09:46 PM | message detail
Yes, it does! Good thing I changed to Sonic winning the male bracket because he would've had to find some way to lose to Luigi instead! I say Snake boosted specifically to keep my curse going! That's the most reasonable explanation!

And it's looking probable that my Champion Curse will live on tomorrow if Samus loses! If that happens, Link had better watch out because I have him winning the Battle Royale!
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
Janus5000 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:10:08 PM | message detail
How exactly is Tifa's % on an untested The Boss "wonky?"

Potential FFVII/MGS SFF.

...Granted, it's probably not much more than 1 or 2%.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/12/2006 2:11:11 PM | message detail
How exactly is Tifa's % on an untested The Boss "wonky?"

Well, if you want to believe Sheena > The Boss and that Celes is THAT pathetic (she's bad, but not THAT bad), then sure. Still, Tifa's double overperformance should cancel out a little of the wackiness, much like how Bowser sort of evened out Ryu and Rikku by overperforming on Snake, too.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
o4o22oo4 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:12:33 PM | message detail
With the exceptions of Tifa/Samus and Yoshi/Snake, I can't think of any other matches this contest where the results haven't made some sort of sense.
Of course, assuming that Snake actually has boosted -- and I think that's a totally legitimate line of thought, given how Snake has consistently performed in this contest.

His only remotely underwhelming performance was against Yoshi in the Sprite Round, and I remember getting into arguments with Ulti before with Snake V Frog and Snake V Bowser regarding how I believe Snake's performances always dip during the Sprite Rounds.

Solid **** rounds do have an impact on the contest, and Tifa/Samus and Yoshi/Snake this year have both proven that contest pictures do have a slight impact on character's performances. Stick Samus out of her suit and stick Snake with an old MSX/NES era-sprite, and watch 'em underperform.
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/12/2006 2:14:40 PM | message detail
You know, the great thing is that THIS account has Snake winning it all! Too bad the overall score is pretty bad, but it's nice to know I'll be getting points somewhere if Snake beats Samus!
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Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Final Four: Sonic the Hedgehog
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/12/2006 2:16:22 PM | message detail
And it's looking probable that my Champion Curse will live on tomorrow if Samus loses! If that happens, Link had better watch out because I have him winning the Battle Royale!

Pfft! There is only one thing that can stop Link from winning -- The Wind Waker !!

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
Terran | Posted 11/12/2006 2:19:12 PM | message detail
This contest may be a realignment. The big ones that fell the most are Crono and Mega Man who have both been out of the spotlight for a while (There's still new Mega Man games, but they're in no way best sellers or close to it). Maybe that's simply caught up with them.

Keep in mind that before Solid Snake beat Mega Man and before Sonic beat Crono, Auron and Sora both did significantly better then excepted against the two Noble Niners.

Tifa doing so well against Samus though is much easier to brush off. The match happened just after FFXII came out for one.

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Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo merge to create...Microtendony!
"When the president does it, that means it is not illegal." - Richard Nixon
o4o22oo4 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:22:30 PM | message detail
This contest may be a realignment. The big ones that fell the most are Crono and Mega Man who have both been out of the spotlight for a while (There's still new Mega Man games, but they're in no way best sellers or close to it). Maybe that's simply caught up with them.

Keep in mind that before Solid Snake beat Mega Man and before Sonic beat Crono, Auron and Sora both did significantly better then excepted against the two Noble Niners.


I've said it for several days now, with the influx of casual voters this contest has become more of a "What have you done for me lately?" realignment. Characters with promising next-gen games who are being marketed by the big-name companies (Snake, Sonic) are doing well, whereas characters who have disappeared from the spotlight and have lingered on because of their classic appeal (Mega Man, Crono) are losing a tad of their competitive edge.

Meanwhile we have characters like Sora gaining because of new popular games (KH2 has definitely boosted Sora and probably Squall, too, given Squall's prominence in that game -- he was arguably the most influential FF character in both Kingdom Hearts.)

It really all makes some level of sense once you analyze it. I don't think Tifa should have gotten 49.5% on Samus, though. A suited Samus would have performed slightly better.
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/12/2006 2:29:23 PM | message detail
A suited Samus would have performed slightly better.

Slighty?
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AC2K6 Score: 132/144 Today: Sonic
Janus5000 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:33:17 PM | message detail
Just curious, but if Sora = Auron, how much was Snake expected to win this by?
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/12/2006 2:33:21 PM | message detail
Eh, Tifa was the only character in the main bracket with the full Advent Children boost, add her KH2 appearance on to that and she could very well have gone up a considerable amount.
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/12/2006 2:36:13 PM | message detail
"Tifa doing so well against Samus though is much easier to brush off. The match happened just after FFXII came out for one."


Why the heck do you guys keep insisting it was FFXII that caused Tifas overperformance? I guarantee you that at least a third of the people who vote for Samus don't even know shes a woman. Much less that that pic was of her. Zelda could beat Tifa.

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Can't think of a good sig.
TelegraphRoad | Posted 11/12/2006 2:40:44 PM | message detail
Gosh, today's matchup makes me wish we had gotten Sonic/MM again this year.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/12/2006 2:43:31 PM | message detail
How the **** can people still be saying stuff like MM disappointed and Sonic isn't, that MM has dropped off, and Sonic hasn't? They're looking to be equal in the x-stats.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/12/2006 2:52:32 PM | message detail
After all of Smurf's talk about Megaman being crappy, Sonic goes and doesn't do that much better
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
wavedash101 | Posted 11/12/2006 2:54:58 PM | message detail
Bah WW Link doesnt affect crap...now Fludd Mario, thats a different story!

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