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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 427

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/11/2006 9:42:37 PM | message detail
Snake, I.... think I love you.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/11/2006 9:42:43 PM | message detail
*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 9:42:58 PM | message detail
SNAKE
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Garsha_III | Posted 11/11/2006 9:43:00 PM | message detail
Go Snake!
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The Beatles >>>> Lolicon.
wavedash101 | Posted 11/11/2006 9:43:26 PM | message detail
Hawt!
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
The_Ocelot | Posted 11/11/2006 9:43:42 PM | message detail
Damn this is awesome. I seriously have nothing else to say.
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Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/11/2006 9:43:42 PM | message detail
Back off Ulti. Snake is m-*gets hit by futuresuperstar*

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I suppose people like IX because it was most similar to their favorite cartoon, Dragon Ball Z.- poupadis
falcofan88 | Posted 11/11/2006 9:43:45 PM | message detail
Snaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaake!... Meryl?!
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Don't slack off - the wife and heavens are watching.
Make sure to check out Contact, GotY 2006!
Janus5000 | Posted 11/11/2006 10:51:01 PM | message detail
*shakes fist at closest box*
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 10:52:08 PM | message detail
lol soul calibur
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 10:52:13 PM | message detail
I deserved this topic ;___;

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Draco1214 | Posted 11/11/2006 10:52:25 PM | message detail
Snake making the finals = best contest ever!
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Currently Playing: Xenosaga Episode 3, Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 10:53:19 PM | message detail
Oh well, I'm off to bed. I hope I wake up to see Snake over 60% <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 10:53:46 PM | message detail
Then again........ all of this begs to question: what the **** happened to Zero???

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
WiggumFan267 | Posted 11/11/2006 10:53:49 PM | message detail
;_;

---
Wigs (Now w/ 100% Less Fan!): ~Helping Bald People Since 1987~
Sonic's Victory Path: 5th Victim: Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 10:54:49 PM | message detail
Zero dropped in 2005, him dropping again without bringing MM with him isn't inconceivable.

Then again, it's not assured that MM stayed constant, either. Though I have NO clue what to base these stats off of.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
dethfdddddh | Posted 11/11/2006 10:54:50 PM | message detail
Maybe Zero depended on the MMZ series.
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/11/2006 10:55:13 PM | message detail
Poor Zero... I forgot all about how bad this makes him look. ;_;
---
Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Mister Mario | Posted 11/11/2006 10:55:49 PM | message detail
Wait until after school tomorrow to make any assumptions. Who knows how much Sonic will close the % down by.
---
Z1mZum more like Z1mAwesome.
Support Toadette in the S2k6 Character Contest!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 10:56:04 PM | message detail
Unless higher votals hurt Zero since he doesn't have the iconic power MM does...... which questions why he did so good in 2k3 >_<

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/11/2006 10:56:12 PM | message detail
Just base them off Mega Man. Oddly enough you could say he's the most constant one I suppose, and Snake just boosted like a danged animal, although that does put Sora a little higher then I might like.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
dethfdddddh | Posted 11/11/2006 10:56:16 PM | message detail
DAM THE SUNDAY SCHOOL VOTE
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/11/2006 10:56:28 PM | message detail
Wait until after school tomorrow to make any assumptions.

lol weekends
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 10:56:45 PM | message detail
Sonic's never been THAT good with the day vote...he wasn't down by that much against Mega Man but couldn't capitalize it into a win. He'll close the percentage, but he'll be doing VERY good to match MM's performance at this rate.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/11/2006 10:56:57 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 10:57:03 PM | message detail
Unless one other possibility exists: that Zero is helped by lower votals, and WAS SFF'd by Mega Man <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/11/2006 10:58:38 PM | message detail
Wait until after school tomorrow to make any assumptions. Who knows how much Sonic will close the % down by.

The best thought ever, minus the after school part. The amount of characters that actually drop because of this result are quite large in number. No reason to determine where it all stands during Snake's best time and Sonic's worst.

---
"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 10:58:58 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter
Sonic's never been THAT good with the day vote...he wasn't down by that much against Mega Man but couldn't capitalize it into a win. He'll close the percentage, but he'll be doing VERY good to match MM's performance at this rate.

Sonic has been good with the day vote, it's just that Mega Man has a decent day vote of his own, so Sonic couldn't capitalize on it as much as he did against Crono, who has a vampiric day vote.

Sonic will slice some percentage, but not nearly as much as some people are thinking.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 10:59:52 PM | message detail
The thing is, this is going to get worse for Sonic before it gets better. MM > Sonic at night, and this isn't even Snake's best time yet.

Sonic can still outdo MM, but it's going to take a mighty effort.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
zwong1 | Posted 11/11/2006 11:00:40 PM | message detail
Just when people say Snake is the weakest NN member, he takes down 3 NN at once and shoves it down our face.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
dethfdddddh | Posted 11/11/2006 11:00:45 PM | message detail
Snake's 2k6 run or Cloud's 2k3 run?
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/11/2006 11:01:00 PM | message detail
Snake
---
CB5 Points: 115/128, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 11:01:09 PM | message detail
That's what I said last topic. MM is pretty consistant with the day and the night, whereas Sonic is more lopsided towards the day. I'm sure there's some way to compare his percentages against MM last year with MM's percentages against Snake and get a rough estimate of how this will go down.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 11:02:08 PM | message detail
Most people had Cloud getting to the Final Four I believe, it was just the Link win that was unprecedented. This run may eclipse it in terms of board shock if Snake can pull it off.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 11:02:11 PM | message detail
From dethfdddddh
Snake's 2k6 run or Cloud's 2k3 run?

Snake. Cloud was never completely out of Link's reach, and his run only looked impressive because of how he got screwed against Mario in 2k2 and looked like crap in the stats.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/11/2006 11:03:26 PM | message detail
The thing is, this is going to get worse for Sonic before it gets better. MM > Sonic at night, and this isn't even Snake's best time yet.

Sonic can still outdo MM, but it's going to take a mighty effort.


The fact that he can is all the reason to wait instead of jumping to conclusions about how this will end or where everything sits as of now. This is nearly as bad as when people were handing it to Crono with just an hour into the match. Sonic's not going to win, but he can easily take off a ton of percentage, or he may not. Just best to wait.

---
"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 11:04:51 PM | message detail
I called Sonic swinging the biggest comeback about 1 hour into Sonic/Crono. I've been pretty good at calling these trends. Sonic doesn't bring this below 55.5% at the least

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2006 11:04:53 PM | message detail
The one thing I fear from this contest is that people will resent Solid like they now resent Cloud since he won a contest.

Please, don't let that happen.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
dethfdddddh | Posted 11/11/2006 11:05:48 PM | message detail
It's pretty weird that most casuals seem to think that Cloud/Seph/FF VII have more of a stranglehold on these contests than Link and LoZ.
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/11/2006 11:05:50 PM | message detail
People hardly resent Mario for last year, so I don't think they'll start hating Snake either.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/11/2006 11:06:04 PM | message detail
I called Sonic swinging the biggest comeback about 1 hour into Sonic/Crono. I've been pretty good at calling these trends. Sonic doesn't bring this below 55.5% at the least

...Turtle, just shut it. You have done nothing that everyone else hasn't done some time before. We all get something right at times. You're no better at calling this than anyone else.

---
"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 11:06:33 PM | message detail
Noone will resent Snake because he was always the black sheep of the Noble Nine, and finally got a Cinderella run to rival Scorpion's.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
zwong1 | Posted 11/11/2006 11:06:34 PM | message detail
Wonder what will happen to Smurf when he finds out Megaman > Sonic.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 11:06:51 PM | message detail
But the fact that we're talking about if he can is also telling. Snake has turned yet another debated match into a total farce no matter how you slice it, and there will be ramifications REGARDLESS of where this ends up (for example, Yoshi > Bowser).
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 11:07:56 PM | message detail
From dethfdddddh
It's pretty weird that most casuals seem to think that Cloud/Seph/FF VII have more of a stranglehold on these contests than Link and LoZ.

It's because of the way this site used to be. I know I've always had FF7 characters winning my bracket before coming to Board 8.

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/11/2006 11:08:28 PM | message detail
The one thing I fear from this contest is that people will resent Solid like they now resent Cloud since he won a contest.

If snake's obnoxious as hell fanboys don't make people hate him, winning a contest won't either. >_>
---
Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 11:08:42 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter
But the fact that we're talking about if he can is also telling. Snake has turned yet another debated match into a total farce no matter how you slice it, and there will be ramifications REGARDLESS of where this ends up (for example, Yoshi > Bowser).

I think this proves that Yoshi did benefit from Solid **** <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/11/2006 11:09:18 PM | message detail
But the fact that we're talking about if he can is also telling. Snake has turned yet another debated match into a total farce no matter how you slice it, and there will be ramifications REGARDLESS of where this ends up (for example, Yoshi > Bowser).

That's pretty much a foregone conclusion at this point unless Sonic ends up making some damn fine percentage cuts during the day, which is entirely possible. I haven't bothered to check it, but there are tons of just off the wall, insane results that will pop up in the stats as a result of this. Unless it just ends up balancing itself out, there will be almost no reason to pay attention to them. I'm not believing that the amount of characters who are going to drop actually dropped because one character had a crazy run.

---
"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
Janus5000 | Posted 11/11/2006 11:09:33 PM | message detail
...You know, if Snake's match with Yoshi is any indication, Sonic is probably going to end up either outperforming Mega Man or coming really close.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/11/2006 11:10:05 PM | message detail
And it's sad to think Zero's near-elite days are basically completely over. He's a midcarder at best now ;________;

Probably the biggest casualty of this bracket

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats