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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 426

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/10/2006 7:58:57 PM | message detail
From The_Lady_Ashe Posted 11/10/2006 10:55:56 PM #005
Hey, I keep my trolling out of the stats topics

Not good enough, buddy. Next.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php



XD =p
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 7:59:23 PM | message detail
*ignores*

o wate

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
xp1337 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:59:38 PM | message detail
426?

SO SOON!?

>_>
---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (102/120) Sonic v Crono
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:59:57 PM | message detail
WTF WHY SO EARLY
---
CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
My Immortal | Posted 11/10/2006 7:59:58 PM | message detail
So soon? Part 425 is at 5 posts >_>
---
My Immortal, The cream of Smurf FODDER.
Engaged to Justin Lee Steger on 06/05/2006
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 7:59:59 PM | message detail
This is about 500 posts early. >>;
---
"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
trizob the hedgehog | Posted 11/10/2006 8:00:20 PM | message detail
Did you lose count, or are we using Smurf's for 425?
---
"No, not just an urge - more than that. It was my destiny to be here; in the box."
- Naked Snake
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/10/2006 8:00:46 PM | message detail
From xp1337 Posted 11/10/2006 10:59:38 PM #003
426?

SO SOON!?


XD

=p

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 8:01:31 PM | message detail
I'm willing to bet Ulti is still feeling the effects of 420 <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 8:01:37 PM | message detail
hey, check it out!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10
---
zizzy
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 8:01:56 PM | message detail
Let's just skip part 425.
---
Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:02:16 PM | message detail
transience more like cheater
---
CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/10/2006 8:02:41 PM | message detail
Oh well. I think this is a bit extreme just because I like FFTA, but that's up to you.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/10/2006 8:03:19 PM | message detail
Heh.
---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/10/2006 8:03:40 PM | message detail
From BlAcK TuRtLe Posted 11/10/2006 11:01:31 PM #009
I'm willing to bet Ulti is still feeling the effects of 420 <_<

God I wish. I have the migraine from hell tonight.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
Who Cares? | Posted 11/10/2006 8:03:56 PM | message detail
An hour til the next match and still 44 open feedbacks? C'mon Ceej...PICS NAO!
---
Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: Failed! She should've stayed away from the summoner!
*Go play Tales of the Abyss*
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/10/2006 8:05:13 PM | message detail
more like cjay delaying the contest 1 day yes?

Link vs Cloud on TP's release, baby!

(I wish. ;_;)
---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 8:06:34 PM | message detail
Update'd sig

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
CyberMachine08 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:08:17 PM | message detail
Snake vs. Sonic will be an interesting match.

Crono is so screwed.
---
I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585* in the Purg'D Prison (19 days left)
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/10/2006 8:08:33 PM | message detail
From Who Cares? Posted 11/10/2006 11:03:56 PM #016
An hour til the next match and still 44 open feedbacks? C'mon Ceej...PICS NAO!

He's probably annoyed that AKJ got a bunch of people to submit account closure requests =p

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
fluffyflyingpig | Posted 11/10/2006 9:19:54 PM | message detail
Why the heck is everyone such an elitist snob over who creates the stats topic anyway?

Can't you people come up with something more productive to do and get back to arguing about this internet popularity contest already?

---
CJayC | 6/3/2003 | Message Detail
GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site…
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2006 9:22:28 PM | message detail
Remember that time Hiko created stats topics and everyone let it be?

Why can't the same be done with Ashe? >_>
---
Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/11/2006 10:19:32 AM | message detail
Hmmm...
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/11/2006 10:21:02 AM | message detail
BECAUSE THEY ARE TROLLS! ANYONE THAT MAKES A STATS TOPIC IS A TROLL
---
New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/11/2006 3:24:43 PM | message detail
ZELDA > SA---oh, wait, that's already done.

Hm.

...I'll come up with something.

---
"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/11/2006 3:28:27 PM | message detail
Snake > Cloud sounds good to me.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/11/2006 3:29:18 PM | message detail
From HeroicTronBonne
Remember that time Hiko created stats topics and everyone let it be?

Why can't the same be done with Ashe? >_>


I made one a couple of days ago and it was left alone. Though, that was because Ulti wasn't around until it had like 100 posts. >_>
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/11/2006 4:04:35 PM | message detail
And thus it is decreed!
---
Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Elite Eight: Sonic the Hedgehog
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/11/2006 4:12:08 PM | message detail
Samus barely edging out Sonic is how the main bracket goes down!

---
"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2006 4:12:21 PM | message detail
If I never knew anything about the contests my wrongs would've been.

Claire > Kairi
Celes > The Boss
Amy Rose > KOS-MOS
Ganondorf > Vincent
Master Chief > Sub-Zero
Lara Croft > Chun Li
Gordon Freeman > Sora
Bowser > Crono
Master Chief > Auron
Bowser > Master Chief
Zelda > Samus

For the rest I would have Sonic winning it all.

---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/11/2006 4:12:37 PM | message detail
I know it's late, but I just saw those stats that were posted back on page 8 in the last topic now, and I must say that those look very nice to me. Skane > Smaus confirmed!
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2006 4:24:03 PM | message detail
I'm not sure if anybody remembers this, but I just thought of it.....



Which male character do you think will win the battle?
Crono 25.67% 25254
Solid Snake 33.4% 32856
Sonic the Hedgehog 11.94% 11749
Sora 15.13% 14890
One of the lower seeds 13.86% 13636
TOTAL VOTES 98385


Yes, TECHNICALLY it's possible, but I think this is enough to call into question just how accurate these types of polls really are. They probably have the ordering right, but I don't foresee the percentages being exactly reliable except for maybe "One of the lower seeds" because usually only people who know the bracket will vote for that one...and even then, hey, I bet there was still more than that.
---
Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/11/2006 4:25:58 PM | message detail
but I think this is enough to call into question just how accurate these types of polls really are.

Uhh...We didn't have enough against it before?

Either way, it's a poll asking who you THINK will win. Based on Sonic's prediction percentage, it's looking halfway accurate in that regard.
---
Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Elite Eight: Sonic the Hedgehog
HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2006 4:36:29 PM | message detail
Favorites polls, yeah, but I don't remember anything about bracket-percentages -- as far as I knew, we all just took it for granted.
---
Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/11/2006 5:32:53 PM | message detail
Every time I look at that poll, I'm still amazed that Sonic was outdone by Sora.
---
Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Elite Eight: Sonic the Hedgehog
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 5:34:26 PM | message detail
I don't know what Sonic has done to make so many people have no faith in him (it's not like Snake has been any more impressive), but hopefully he'll have washed away that stigma by the end of this contest.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/11/2006 5:36:21 PM | message detail
Well, Sonic has generally been the LEAST impressive Noble Niner against the rest of the field (Yes, probably even moreso than Snake in the grand scheme of things). He blew two big chances to win a big match in the past, and the doubling against Cloud was just bad.

Either way, the biggest successful comeback in contest history should go a long way to redeeming his image.
---
Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Elite Eight: Sonic the Hedgehog
omegamanGXE | Posted 11/11/2006 5:37:35 PM | message detail
Ulti, I love your freeweb page. Keep up the good work.
---
SEATTLE PRIDE, BABY! Won't change sig till the Mariners, Sonics, or Seahawks win a championship. ::4-17-06::
someone owned me today
CountCrazy007 | Posted 11/11/2006 5:39:07 PM | message detail
Y'know, Magus's huge drop lately should have made Crono not winning obvious. >_<
---
Board 8's Voice of Reason Since 2003 ©
Oklahoma Sooners 7-2 - Next Victim: Texas Tech
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 5:39:33 PM | message detail
Magus didn't drop, he was overrated...
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
LegendarySnake | Posted 11/11/2006 5:40:33 PM | message detail
...People just can't get past that. Magus and Frog didn't drop. They were exposed. Big difference.
---
Solid Snake's Road to the Character Battle V Championship
Elite Eight: Sonic the Hedgehog
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/11/2006 5:48:19 PM | message detail
And if you hadn't noticed, Crono still did just fine that year
---
ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
CountCrazy007 | Posted 11/11/2006 5:56:06 PM | message detail
No, when I said drop I meant not making the contest at all.
---
Board 8's Voice of Reason Since 2003 ©
Oklahoma Sooners 7-2 - Next Victim: Texas Tech
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 5:56:59 PM | message detail
If you want to put it that way, Knuckles didn't make the contest this year...

Marle and Amy Rose both made it, I guess...which of them was stronger, again?
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
CountCrazy007 | Posted 11/11/2006 6:06:16 PM | message detail
Sure, but Magus had a 3 seed last year and there was a reasonable amount of shock around the board when he didn't make it. Knux was a 6th seed so he wasn't expected to receive too many noms.
---
Board 8's Voice of Reason Since 2003 ©
Oklahoma Sooners 7-2 - Next Victim: Texas Tech
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 6:07:10 PM | message detail
It wasn't *too* shocking. Magus fell out of favor with the board once he was exposed. Ocelot was a 2 seed last year and he didn't make it this year because of his bombing, and Snake's looked better than ever.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Big Bob | Posted 11/11/2006 6:13:08 PM | message detail
Based on recent events, Amy > Marle.

Though I wouldn't have the guts to take it. >>
---
Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/11/2006 6:13:34 PM | message detail
In other words, if Magus had proved himself and won the Devil Division like he was supposed to last year, no way in hell would he have missed this year. If he had, then you could say it was 'foreboding'.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/11/2006 6:13:44 PM | message detail
There's no way Amy > Marle happens. Their own four-pack defies the idea.
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2006 6:18:33 PM | message detail
Hey now, I've been callin' Magus to miss this year's bracket since last year's contest!
---
Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!