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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 425

HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2006 9:03:17 PM | message detail
That leaderboard is the most berserk leaderboard I have ever seen.

In other news....is Samus gonna SFF Zelda, or can Zelda keep up in the day? Also...which one has the more impressive day vote?
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:03:21 PM | message detail
W00t!

NUMBER FOUR ON THE LEADERBOARD!

Go SAMUS!
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:03:27 PM | message detail
All Time Lowest Prediction Percentages:

01. 06.00% - (1) Cloud Strife vs (2) Sephiroth (2003 Characters Final)
02. 07.16% - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (16) StarCraft (2004 Games Quarterfinal)
03. 07.91% - (16) StarCraft vs (5) The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker (2004 Games Sweet Sixteen)
04. 12.47% - (5) Vincent Valentine vs (2) Squall Leonhart (2005 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
05. 12.80% - (2) Link vs (1) Mario (2002 Characters Final)
06. 13.31% - (1) Sonic the Hedgehog vs (1) Crono (2006 Characters Quarterfinal)
07. 13.40% - (1) Cloud Strife vs (1) Link (2003 Characters Semifinal)
08. 14.18% - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (3) Final Fantasy X (2004 Games Quarterfinal)
09. 14.50% - (2) Mega Man vs (1) Solid Snake (2003 Characters Quartefinal)
10. 14.60% - (5) Crono vs (2) Solid Snake (2002 Characters Quarterfinal)
11. 14.76% - (7) Diablo vs (1) Kefka (2005 Villains Quarterfinal)
12. 15.62% - (16) StarCraft vs (9) Kingdom Hearts (2004 Games Round 2)
13. 17.30% - (5) Scorpion vs (1) Pac-Man (2002 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
14. 20.27% - (7) Sub-Zero vs (2) Master Chief (2006 Characters Round 1)
15. 21.70% - (2) Sephiroth vs (2) Mega Man (2003 Characters Semifinal)
16. 22.03% - (2) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs (7) Grand Theft Auto: Vice City (2004 Games Round 2)
17. 22.56% - (6) Frog vs (3) Master Chief (2004 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
18. 24.09% - (16) StarCraft vs (1) Halo (2004 Games Round 1)
19. 24.20% - (13) Magus vs (12) Ganondorf (2003 Characters Round 2)
20. 24.49% - (2) Crono vs (1) Mega Man (2005 Characters Semifinal)
21. 24.63% - (1) Chrono Trigger vs (1) Super Mario Bros. 3 (2004 Games Semifinal)
22. 25.14% - (5) Vincent Valentine vs (1) Dante (2005 Characters Round 2)
23. 26.17% - (1) Mario vs (2) Crono (2005 Characters Final)
24. 28.80% - (6) Alucard vs (2) Duke Nukem (2002 Characters Round 2)
25. 29.90% - (2) Kingdom Hearts vs (3) Castlevania (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)

2002 Characters: 4
2003 Characters: 5
2004 Games: 7
2004 Characters: 1
2005 Villains: 1
2005 Characters: 4
2006 Series: 1
2006 Characters: 2

Harder to predict that Cloud over Link? Yikes, if Sonic wins the bracket it'll probably be the lowest prediction percentage ever...
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 9:03:39 PM | message detail
Well, I somehow shot into 11th place so if everything else plays out according to plan, I've definitely got myself a prize. Too bad that's easier said than done.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 9:04:09 PM | message detail
Oh, and woo Samus destruction
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Samus vs. Zelda - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (104/128)
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/10/2006 9:04:50 PM | message detail
lol being on the leaderboard despite getting MM/Snake wrong
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/10/2006 9:04:51 PM | message detail
Come on Samus keep it up babycakes.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 9:05:20 PM | message detail
In other news....is Samus gonna SFF Zelda, or can Zelda keep up in the day? Also...which one has the more impressive day vote?

Well, Ganon brought Samus down during the day, so I would assume that Zelda would do the same here.

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
Janus5000 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:05:21 PM | message detail
Too close for my tastes so far.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Gaddswell | Posted 11/10/2006 9:05:56 PM | message detail
At the freeze:

Samus Aran 54.35% 806
Zelda 45.65% 677
TOTAL VOTES 1483
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 9:06:07 PM | message detail
Samus Aran 54.35% 806
Zelda 45.65% 677
TOTAL VOTES 1483

Zelda actually won that last minute!

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2006 9:06:11 PM | message detail
Zelda is probably expected to get say 47 or 48% by the end though ey? Since this is the final female match and all.
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Janus5000 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:06:34 PM | message detail
07. 13.40% - (1) Cloud Strife vs (1) Link (2003 Characters Semifinal)

I thought it was 13.37%...
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
creativename | Posted 11/10/2006 9:06:36 PM | message detail
I like this picture a lot.

Is there a reason the other 425 was ignored? Lady_Ashe is a regular.
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The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/10/2006 9:07:02 PM | message detail
Snake/Sonic is going to have the lowest prediction percentage ever if Sonic somehow wins. >_>
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The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:07:11 PM | message detail
This is...worrisome. Samus was doing better against Tifa at the first freeze, and Zelda actually won the last minute...
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/10/2006 9:07:23 PM | message detail
From creativename
I like this picture a lot.

Is there a reason the other 425 was ignored? Lady_Ashe is a regular.


I like FFTA.
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The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 9:07:29 PM | message detail
If Zelda can keep this up, I may worry about Samus' chances against Snake in the finals.

TuRtLe
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Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 9:07:52 PM | message detail
This is...worrisome. Samus was doing better against Tifa at the first freeze, and Zelda actually won the last minute...

And it's only a lead of 129 votes. This might be good next update.

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/10/2006 9:08:01 PM | message detail
It's official... the voters hate women, now that they know of Samus' happy fruit, they can handle voting for other women against her.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/10/2006 9:08:30 PM | message detail
I am not confident in Samus winning at all right now.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
BDawg | Posted 11/10/2006 9:08:35 PM | message detail
I do not even pretend to know how trends will play out in this...but hey I'm all for close matches.
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Should I start running now?
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:08:49 PM | message detail
I can't believe I'm actually in position to possibly win this contest...I'm actually shaking a little.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 9:08:49 PM | message detail
If Samus loses, I'm blaming the Zero Suit pic in the lower corner for another underperformance.
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Moltar Status: 17th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Samus vs. Zelda - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (104/128)
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/10/2006 9:08:50 PM | message detail
Aw, the new, unfair pics are going to start being used in a few minutes. ;_;

This pic was Zelda's best chance to win.
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caps
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 9:09:51 PM | message detail
I can't believe I'm actually in position to possibly win this contest...I'm actually shaking a little.

Congrats. Who do you have in Snake vs Sonic and do you remember your battle royale?
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 9:09:52 PM | message detail
Samus had a lead of 214 against Tifa right now and 56.57%. She's only got 54.35% here and a lead of 129.

GO ZELDA!

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 9:10:03 PM | message detail
From Master Moltar
If Samus loses, I'm blaming the Zero Suit pic in the lower corner for another underperformance.

Agree'd >_>

TuRtLe
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Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 9:10:37 PM | message detail
Mmm, the sweet smell of a Samus increase.
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Moltar Status: 17th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Samus vs. Zelda - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (104/128)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 9:10:48 PM | message detail
Samus took that update to the bank

TuRtLe
~~~
Pretty much out of the contest
lol x-stats
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/10/2006 9:10:53 PM | message detail
>_<
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/10/2006 9:10:55 PM | message detail
Yes, that's right Samus, push that ***** around!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Kaxon | Posted 11/10/2006 9:11:00 PM | message detail
Zelda > Ganondorf... confirmed.
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....TCELES B HSUP
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2006 9:11:05 PM | message detail
Nice update for Ms. Aran there...
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 9:11:21 PM | message detail
There's always the day vote!

(As long as Zelda ends over 45%, I'll be happy!)

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/10/2006 9:11:31 PM | message detail
Come on SMAUS! Save me and Screw HM!
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"I have no fear of losing my life - if I have to save a koala or a crocodile or a kangaroo or a snake, mate, I will save it. " -Steve Irwin
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/10/2006 9:11:34 PM | message detail
Very nice update for Samus there.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:11:46 PM | message detail
Congrats. Who do you have in Snake vs Sonic and do you remember your battle royale?

Snake.

I don't remember my battle royale (aside from Link winning). Does it count towards prizes? I thought it was just bonus poll fun.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/10/2006 9:12:08 PM | message detail
Hey, if this was a round 1 match, everyone would be super surprised. >_>
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caps
creativename | Posted 11/10/2006 9:12:21 PM | message detail
Not happy that Crono won, and I don't like Sonic, but at least Sonic won't have that loser stigma of his anymore. That was always unfair, especially since his loss against Samus in 2K2 probably wasn't legit, yet it still colored perceptions of him.

So far this has been a very good contest, the 2nd best next to 2K3 IMO. Too bad Slowflake missed it.
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Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 9:12:41 PM | message detail

Snake.

I don't remember my battle royale (aside from Link winning). Does it count towards prizes? I thought it was just bonus poll fun.


Yeah, each match in the battle royale is worth 8 points.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 9:12:47 PM | message detail
Ganondorf was obviously massively SFFed in that match, whereas Zelda may somehow avoid it. Ganon's ranking this year is going to prove it!
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Moltar Status: 17th on the leaderboard! Go my alt!
Samus vs. Zelda - Bracket: Samus - Vote: Samus (104/128)
creativename | Posted 11/10/2006 9:12:56 PM | message detail
Not happy that Crono lost, I mean.
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Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 9:13:18 PM | message detail
There's STILL a guy with Crono winning on the leaderboard.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/10/2006 9:13:45 PM | message detail
The new pics are up!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb5/cb561-2.jpg
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb5/cb561-3.jpg
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb5/cb561-4.jpg
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caps
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/10/2006 9:13:50 PM | message detail
Wow. How did Samus drop to the bottom of the noble nine from being possibly the fifth strongest character in the whole contest in a year?

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Can't think of a good sig.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 11/10/2006 9:14:49 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb5/cb561-2.jpg

Fanart?

And damn those Pics help SMAUS a lot more >_>
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"I have no fear of losing my life - if I have to save a koala or a crocodile or a kangaroo or a snake, mate, I will save it. " -Steve Irwin
dethfdddddh | Posted 11/10/2006 9:14:53 PM | message detail
Screw that, there's still a guy with MEGAMAN winning!
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z1mzum was the one to fill my dark soul with LIIIIGHHHT!
Haste_2 | Posted 11/10/2006 9:14:56 PM | message detail
My eyes nearly bugged out when I saw that prediction percentage for Sonic... exactly WHAT competition did Sonic have in bracket support? Crono? Er, Master Chief? At least when Crono and Mega Man had awful prediction percentages in the past they had Snake to compete with...

Oh, and that leaderboard is like...the leaderboard late in SC2K2, wow...I can't wait until TRE posts the scoring stats.

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PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/10/2006 9:15:02 PM | message detail
Whew.... all the rest of the pics are safe.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids