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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 424

KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2006 2:26:56 PM | message detail
Nah, Sonic's got this wrapped up, I think. The second night vote barely exists anymore.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/10/2006 2:27:09 PM | message detail
Wait, you mean this match isn't over yet?
Oh, cool
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SC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Crono with 50.95%
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 2:28:25 PM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog - 50.33% - 47707
Crono - 49.67% - 47077
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2006 2:29:07 PM | message detail
Those numbers can only mean one thing; Alucard is interfering with the poll. Curse you, plan!

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 2:29:20 PM | message detail
Given his previous "2nd night vote" performances this contest. It's likely that Crono won't even make gains on Sonic and just go 50/50.

But, this isn't some Schmo that Sonic is aganist. This is a popularity beast of a noble 9'er, I won't be comfortable until I see Sonic's name in green.
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:29:22 PM | message detail
Looking at Vincent's match with Sonic, I think Crono has potential to come back around 900 votes tonight if he's really lucky.
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"........!" ~Magus
Janus5000 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:29:53 PM | message detail
If Knux/Magus trends are worth anything, Sonic should be peaking relatively soon... though they're probably not, and some westerners might still be in school.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:30:18 PM | message detail
If he's not, he may not come back at all.
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"........!" ~Magus
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 2:31:49 PM | message detail
Crono really did had a vampire's dayvote >_>
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
palindration | Posted 11/10/2006 2:32:03 PM | message detail
LOOK AT HOW CLOSE THIS BATTLE IS!!!
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Someone told me one day to "apologize to whomever you may have insulted". The thing is, they insulted me. I have no apologies to the insultors.
TrueHeroComplex | Posted 11/10/2006 2:32:09 PM | message detail
Here are some good pictures for Super Sonic, if CJayC needs them. I can't make any more topics today.

http://tn3-1.deviantart.com/300W/i/5/d/a/Super_Sonic.jpg

http://content.answers.com/main/content/wp/en/thumb/4/48/180px-S-son_pose001.png

http://static.flickr.com/53/107145171_55896f2674_m.jpg

Also...

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=31537552
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 2:32:34 PM | message detail
Comparing this to Jill/Peach (not the best to compare it to, but it's still day vote vs night vote characters).

Jill was up 1400 when Peach came back, but Peach's highest lead was 334 votes before Jill started bringing that down again (the second night vote). At this point in that match, Jill was still leading, which means that the day vote had still not hit its full strength. Sonic will keep increasing for a while.

In other words, Crono is so ****ing screwed.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 2:33:28 PM | message detail
The Sonic support around this place is rediculous after this match.

I've been a Sonic supporter from the beginning!
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
TrueHeroComplex | Posted 11/10/2006 2:34:09 PM | message detail
No I've been a Sonic supporter from the beginning.

I even made that topic long before anyone even thought Sonic had a chance.
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2006 2:34:42 PM | message detail
I like Crono a little more but am rooting for Sonic now just because Crono dominating each year is getting old.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 2:35:07 PM | message detail
I had Sonic from the beginning as well, though I'm not sure he'll be able to handle Snake next round. Should be a hell of a match.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:37:03 PM | message detail
I was a Sonic supporter from the start also.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:40:00 PM | message detail
Anyway, I'm willing to call this match over. Sonic is stuttering every now and then, but the west coast hasn't even gotten out of school yet, and won't for another 20 minutes. Crono has almost no shot of coming back.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
TheFreeshooter | Posted 11/10/2006 2:40:38 PM | message detail
I'm one of the biggest Sonic fans in this topic although I'm not as vocal about it when it comes to these contests.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/10/2006 2:41:49 PM | message detail
I don't even want to begin thinking about who to pick for Snake/Sonic... >_<
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SC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Crono with 50.95%
Gaddswell | Posted 11/10/2006 2:41:50 PM | message detail
O_O

I come back from school to see Sonic actually WINNING and still increasing? I mean I wanted Sonic to win, but when I saw that Crono lead of 2207, I thought it was almost all over.

So much for that Nintendo/Square BR. Snake/Sonic is going to make that very interesting. Also, LEADERBOARD DESTRUCTION!
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2006 2:42:05 PM | message detail
I'm a big time supporter of Snake, Crono, and MM, so this match in particular is a disappointment to me.
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
whatev | Posted 11/10/2006 2:42:56 PM | message detail
If Sonic goes on to win, this will be the second "transitivity loop" that we have observed in these contests (i.e. A>B>C>A). The first one involves the notorious Cloud/Mario match.
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The world is toroidal
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:43:08 PM | message detail
Now I just have to hope Sonic beats Snake (and I think he will; I don't think Crono fell but I do think Mega Man did), and then I might win a cool $50!
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 2:43:15 PM | message detail
I'm been following this match for 15 hours straight. I so pwn all you pretender Sonic fanboys. ^_~
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 2:43:19 PM | message detail
wow, more than half the leaderboard has Crono winning it all.
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zizzy
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 2:43:20 PM | message detail
Yeah, what do you think Sonic's prediction percentage for reaching the Final Four is?
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/10/2006 2:44:19 PM | message detail
15%, 10% for reaching the final >_>
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
whatev | Posted 11/10/2006 2:44:23 PM | message detail
Actually, there are two different loops for Cloud/Mario. One involves Link and one involves Sephiroth.
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The world is toroidal
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 2:45:33 PM | message detail
I'd go with something around 25%. I don't think Crono would have much more.
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
ShadowOwns | Posted 11/10/2006 2:46:28 PM | message detail
How about a very generous guess at 10%
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NHL, get new officials please. Lovin Oil Country.
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 2:46:32 PM | message detail
I need sleep.

Sonic, buddy. You're on your own. Don't screw up like you did last year. o_o
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
janembaman | Posted 11/10/2006 2:47:37 PM | message detail
Sonic, buddy. You're on your own

Oh,now he IS going to lose
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laff
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 2:47:41 PM | message detail
Sonic...is awesome. I want him now, and I'm not even a furry. *sex*
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:50:48 PM | message detail
This is when Knuckles peaked on Magus last year. It doesn't look like Sonic will peak for some time, but then there was no warning signs for the beginning of Magus's comeback either.
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"........!" ~Magus
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:51:57 PM | message detail
Well, actually, I say about 17% have Sonic getting past this match. 40% had Sonic getting here and 46% had Crono. Among casuals in general, I'd think a little less than half that already had Sonic going this far will have him continuing.

As far as the people with scores above 100, however, I say there is about a 5-10% prediction percentage, max.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:52:09 PM | message detail
And Sonic has swung over 3000 votes on Crono. Wow.
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"........!" ~Magus
Janus5000 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:52:47 PM | message detail
Sonic, buddy. You're on your own. Don't screw up like you did last year. o_o

...

This is when Knuckles peaked on Magus last year.


Go figure.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 2:52:59 PM | message detail
eh, Sonic with 23% or so. this half is stacked, but not enough where Sonic gets that low of a percentage.
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zizzy
janembaman | Posted 11/10/2006 2:53:08 PM | message detail
^XD
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laff
janembaman | Posted 11/10/2006 2:53:37 PM | message detail
erm...it was for Janus
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laff
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 2:53:47 PM | message detail
I think he's almost at what MC swung on DK

TuRtLe
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81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
shadow8021 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:54:22 PM | message detail
"If Knux/Magus trends are worth anything"

Knux/Magus = Summer Match
Sonic/Crono = School Match, although some schools are off today...
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Character Battle Score: 108/120 Guru Place: 33rd
Today's Pick: Crono
Evil_REmade | Posted 11/10/2006 2:55:54 PM | message detail
Crono wins when Ceej removes 2100 votes from Sonic and Smurf gets axed for Vote stuffing

I'm calling it! <_<;;
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[=[_] =] Nintendo DS~
[+[_]·:·] See double while sober!
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 2:56:43 PM | message detail
Sonic has swung 3031 votes on Crono. Master Chief swung 3612 on Donkey Kong.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
Xuxon | Posted 11/10/2006 2:57:43 PM | message detail
Now I just have to hope Sonic beats Snake (and I think he will; I don't think Crono fell but I do think Mega Man did), and then I might win a cool $50!

Unless Sonic beats Samus.
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Take off every sig.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:57:57 PM | message detail
Pacific Coast gets out of school in a few minutes!!!!!!
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 2:58:06 PM | message detail
If Sonic can keep this up until 7, he might reach that magical number. If he does, then my prediction of the biggest vote swing in contest history will also have come true ^_^

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:58:15 PM | message detail
If this follows Knux/Magus trends, Crono is going to win, and it won't even be that close. Magus swung 0.68% against Knuckles from here to midnight. That would give Crono a win with 50.24%, and maybe 600 votes.
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"........!" ~Magus
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:58:34 PM | message detail
Unless Sonic beats Samus.

Well, if that happens then I... I... I scream in anguish!!! For like a second or two.

Seriously, that would piss me off.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."