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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 424

Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 1:37:19 PM | message detail
Best match ever, because it's still not over.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 1:37:31 PM | message detail
And I have NO idea what to base the stats off this year. Samus? Haven't had a good read since 2k4, and there's no way I'd bet on her being at that value right now. Snake? Obvious boost. Mega Man? Obvious drop. Crono seems to have lost a slight step looking at his day, Sonic has looked more impressive, and the Battle Royale ain't doing us any favors...

...Gordon Freeman? o.O
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 1:37:38 PM | message detail
...morbid curiosity, what do we need for Bowser = Luigi?
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zizzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 1:38:14 PM | message detail
Haha, Gordon Freeman stats.
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 1:38:42 PM | message detail
was thinking about that earlier. I'd say.. Crono or Sonic. definitely not Samus, MM or Snake. whichever numbers "look best", I guess.
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zizzy
Janus5000 | Posted 11/10/2006 1:39:23 PM | message detail
...morbid curiosity, what do we need for Bowser = Luigi?

Vincent > Crono. Not sure on the exact percentage and too lazy to pinpoint it, though. >_>
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 1:40:23 PM | message detail
For Bowser = Luigi, Sonic would have to beat Crono with 53.23%, so...not happening.

For Bowser = Yoshi, Snake would have to be able to beat Crono with 50.33%, for what it's worth.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
Shoeringan | Posted 11/10/2006 1:41:19 PM | message detail
This year is ****** up 0_o
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*Insert Uchiha Bashing here*
-Alt Of Shoenin_Kakashi-
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 1:41:21 PM | message detail
I'd use Crono, honestly. Sonic's match with Luigi seemed to indicate that he had boosted enough to at least go 50/50 with Crono, not accounting for some small boost that Luigi appears to have gotten.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 1:42:47 PM | message detail
The real question here is why has Sonic boosted? There's a small bit of hype for the next-gen games, but not nearly enough to justify this. That's what confuses me the most.
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
Saiyan X | Posted 11/10/2006 1:43:39 PM | message detail
Voters got smart.



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"is Huff good Hentai? I gotta check that out"- ChicaneCity
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 1:43:53 PM | message detail
Obviously because of the greatness of Sonic Rush!!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Crono - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Sonic (104/120)
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 1:44:23 PM | message detail
hmm.. Sonic at 40-41%? I can deal with that. I wonder what the best way to gauge Snake is? I'd love to extrapolate that match. maybe.. uh.. uh, I guess we'll have to wait a couple days.
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zizzy
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 1:44:42 PM | message detail
Honestly, random variation from the big increase in vote totals could've been enough because Sonic is looking to have boosted...maybe 1.5% based on his 2005 number if Crono is constant. That's not a big deal.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 1:45:29 PM | message detail
agree with Leon. since when was Crono a mortal lock to beat Sonic? he beat Mega Man with like 51.5% of the vote. gotta get your head away from the x-stats if you think they're that accurate.
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zizzy
Lopen | Posted 11/10/2006 1:46:00 PM | message detail
Random fluctuation, fools. Sonic didn't exactly have to boost much to beat Crono.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 1:46:29 PM | message detail
Yeah, like I said, Sonic should have been the logical favorite for this from the getgo simply because they were so close and Sonic would have more reason for a tiny, seemingly insignificant boost that Crono.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/10/2006 1:46:54 PM | message detail
Base the stats off of Rikku.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Lopen | Posted 11/10/2006 1:46:54 PM | message detail
Of course I should always check back to make sure I'm not repeating Leonhart, eh?
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 1:47:27 PM | message detail
Maybe against Crono, but what was Sonic predicted to get against Luigi?
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
trannyscience | Posted 11/10/2006 1:48:17 PM | message detail
about .3% less than what he got.
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zizzy
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/10/2006 1:48:48 PM | message detail
This is one of the best contests we've ever had. :)
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 1:48:52 PM | message detail
Hmmm....why did I think it was a lot less than that...
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 1:49:24 PM | message detail
Sonic against Luigi last year? 59.32%

Based on what he got this year, it projected a 50.67% for Crono, so like I said, it's possible Luigi boosted slightly.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2006 1:49:46 PM | message detail
If Sonic goes on to beat Snake and maybe Samus too, one can only wonder how well Knuckles would done.

Could he have beaten MM?
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 1:56:39 PM | message detail
Could he have beaten MM?

No.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2006 1:57:11 PM | message detail
After StH next year, he will.
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 1:57:41 PM | message detail
After StH next year, he will.

Who, Knuckles?
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 1:57:56 PM | message detail
He's barely going to be in it, from the sounds of things.

Which angers me.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
She Got Me On Sale | Posted 11/10/2006 1:58:32 PM | message detail
Whats everyones score so far? I have 107. I picked sonic for today, it's pretty good so far.
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The odds are good, but the goods are odd
yep
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 1:58:38 PM | message detail
I wish they would bring the 3D games back to the roots and only have Sonic, Tails, Knuckles, and Robotnik in them.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 1:58:57 PM | message detail
Whats everyones score so far? I have 107. I picked sonic for today, it's pretty good so far.

114, picked Sonic today.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 2:00:04 PM | message detail
I'm rather looking forward to the new Sonic games, actually. Sure, they need more Knuckles, but still, they're looking good.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2006 2:01:04 PM | message detail
Restricting Knuckles makes him more badass. You don't want him whored out to every corner like Shadow, do you?
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 2:02:17 PM | message detail
You can still, you know, give him a role in a Sonic game...
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 2:02:48 PM | message detail
That latest Sonic Next-Gen trailer renewed my faith in the game. Sonic & the Secret Rings is also looks like it'll be fun.

But Sonic Rush really restored my faith. I still don't get why a lot of people don't like it; it's easily the best Sonic game in years.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 2:03:45 PM | message detail
The only thing that I didn't like about Rush is that I've never seen a game that made it easier to fall to your death via bottomless pit.
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 2:05:45 PM | message detail
Wow, how are people surprised at this result? We're talking Sonic's day vote vs Crono's day vote, of course Sonic is going to obliterate him.

I also maintain that this Crono is the same one we've been seeing since 2k2, it's just that voter influx helps characters like Mario/Sonic than him.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Janus5000 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:05:59 PM | message detail
I found myself running into a lot of enemies that I barely even saw in Sonic Rush because I was running so fast.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:07:31 PM | message detail
I did like Sonic Rush, but for some reason, it seemed like it lacked the soul of Sonic 3 & Knuckles. It really felt more like Sonic 2 in that respect (and I vastly prefer S3&K to Sonic 2). Also, it was kind of easy.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 2:07:39 PM | message detail
Shadow deserves more time in the spotlight than Knuckles. I mean, Knux is cool and all, but he's no Shadow the Hedgehog!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Crono - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Sonic (104/120)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:09:57 PM | message detail
The Sonic support around this place is rediculous after this match.
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:10:52 PM | message detail
Also, next gen Sonic looks like a prettier entry into the Adventure series, to be honest. Sonic and the Secret Rings looks a lot better, in my opinion, but I'm worried it might end up being shallow.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:12:30 PM | message detail
Crono by the Hour:

17:00 | 45.55%
16:00 | 46.49%
15:00 | 48.18%
14:00 | 48.09%
13:00 | 48.33%
12:00 | 48.34%
11:00 | 47.81%
10:00 | 49.81%
09:00 | 49.47%
08:00 | 48.26%
07:00 | 48.54%
06:00 | 49.38%
05:00 | 52.69%*
04:00 | 53.09%*
03:00 | 54.83%
02:00 | 53.70%
01:00 | 54.59%

*Updater missing updates; 4:16 used as 4:00.

For comparison: Sonic by the Hour vs. Vincent for the last 9 hours:

16:00 | 52.78%
17:00 | 54.15%
18:00 | 52.89%
19:00 | 53.09%
20:00 | 53.82%
21:00 | 51.29%
22:00 | 50.60%
23:00 | 48.67%
24:00 | 47.42%

And Knuckles by the Hour vs. Magus:

4:00 | 46.13%
5:00 | 46.44%
6:00 | 50.89%
7:00 | 51.83%
8:00 | 50.30%
9:00 | 51.95%
10:00 | 52.85%
11:00 | 52.67%
12:00 | 52.04%
13:00 | 53.39%
14:00 | 52.64%
15:00 | 53.21%
16:00 | 53.21%
17:00 | 53.26%
18:00 | 51.19%
19:00 | 49.11%
20:00 | 48.81%
21:00 | 49.21%
22:00 | 50.47%
23:00 | 49.59%
24:00 | 48.75%
1:00 | 47.13%
2:00 | 46.35%
3:00 | 44.18%
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"........!" ~Magus
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:19:14 PM | message detail
Knuckles won 10:00 against Magus? o.0
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 2:21:25 PM | message detail
10 in the morning...
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"........!" ~Magus
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2006 2:22:02 PM | message detail
I'm a little concerned that Sonic might not build enough. He needs to break 1000.
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 2:24:31 PM | message detail
10 in the morning...

No, 22:00 is 10:00 at night.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 2:26:41 PM | message detail
Sonic still has a lot of time Smurf, don't worry.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
TheFreeshooter | Posted 11/10/2006 2:26:46 PM | message detail
Sonic isn't out of the woods yet. Crono built up his 2000 vote lead in all of 5 hours. If that trend even hints at returning soon, then Crono can still win.