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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 423

BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 10:58:02 AM | message detail
Did you just imply that a trailer or two made a 5% difference in yesterday's match?

Well, it's over. Snake beats everyone in existence after his games actually release.


Yes <_<

I find it hard to swallow that Mega Man would randomly fall off the map like he did, and he has every reason to be a constant character going up against all the people that have had reason to boost/be underrated last year.

And I've been saying Snake would beat Sephiroth after MGS4 and SSB:B since E3 >_>

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:58:11 AM | message detail
Because he's a known vote stuffer.

So is Crono >_>
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:58:30 AM | message detail
Er... That was in reply to zwong's question.
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"........!" ~Magus
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/10/2006 10:58:50 AM | message detail
Well, it's over. Snake beats everyone in existence after his games actually release.

That's the funny thing about trailers...they dilute the effects of an actual game releasing. Link already gets 55% on his 2k2/2k3 self, so he won't be able to increase as much from TP as he would've if the game had had no hype at all.
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"Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:59:05 AM | message detail
Because he's a known vote stuffer.

Sorry for being a noob. I never know Smurf was vote stuffer in the past. Who did he vote stuff.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:59:15 AM | message detail
And another gain for Crono; come on, take it back over 1000!
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"........!" ~Magus
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 10:59:16 AM | message detail
X-stats is chaining and comparing matches that never happened. Mega/Sonic went 50/50 and Crono beat MM, and MM/Snake happened 2 years in a row and both ended in a vicious beatdown of Snake.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 10:59:39 AM | message detail
I find it hard to swallow that Mega Man would randomly fall off the map like he did, and he has every reason to be a constant character going up against all the people that have had reason to boost/be underrated last year.

...Yeah. You keep finding it hard to swallow after he has not one, not two, but three unimpressive performances and then gets blasted by Snake as a result. You're inability to accept what did happen is sort of the problem here. Mega Man can fall. He did fall.

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2006 10:59:42 AM | message detail
Friction but why do you have to post this question.

During the match with Jill people were so suspcicious of me that a mod actually suspended me for Cjay to do a thorough check on my activities.
If people were that suspicious about me for Jill, imagine what they'll think for a Sonic match. o_o
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
MasterMoltar | Posted 11/10/2006 11:01:04 AM | message detail
I never considered Crono > Sonic a lock. I thought it was going to be a 52-48 match back then, and that could easily go either way.

I was pretty confident in MM > Snake pre-Contest though, but once the male-half kicked in, it began to falter slightly more and more each day.
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Back from the shadows...
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2006 11:03:07 AM | message detail
Most people felt that Crono would get between 51-52 on Sonic, before Sonic boosted yet again.
I fail to see how anybody could see this as a lock.
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 11:03:43 AM | message detail
900 barrier?
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:03:46 AM | message detail
During the match with Jill people were so suspcicious of me that a mod actually suspended me for Cjay to do a thorough check on my activities.
If people were that suspicious about me for Jill, imagine what they'll think for a Sonic match. o_o


Sorry to know that. Don't worry, i will upper cuts those who suspects you after this match.

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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:04:26 AM | message detail
Nobody thought this was a lock.... In other news, Sonic just tore off over 63 votes that update.
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"........!" ~Magus
Kaxon | Posted 11/10/2006 11:04:35 AM | message detail
During the match with Jill people were so suspcicious of me that a mod actually suspended me for Cjay to do a thorough check on my activities.
If people were that suspicious about me for Jill, imagine what they'll think for a Sonic match. o_o


Let's be honest here - you were axed. I think it's safe to say that the suspicious activities were found.
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....TCELES B HSUP
JamesOwnzMaz | Posted 11/10/2006 11:05:42 AM | message detail
Sonic will either pass 900, or Crono will win another 10-20 update.
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http://herecomethehawks.ytmnd.com/
Oilers 4-Dead Things-2....Detroit SUCKS
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/10/2006 11:05:48 AM | message detail
Let's be honest here - you were axed. I think it's safe to say that the suspicious activities were found.

You're thinking of Claire. For Jill, the mods were on me like a ton of bricks for saying "I predict a spike n_n". <__<


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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 11:06:34 AM | message detail
Smurf was axed during the Claire VS Kairi, for unknown reason. Then he was found not guilty in Jill VS Peach despite Ulti whining like a 5 year old child when his precious Peach didn't have the lead.


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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 11:06:44 AM | message detail
Nice to see Sonic has been pretty solid since I've been gone.

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Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 11:07:14 AM | message detail
Let's be honest here - you were axed. I think it's safe to say that the suspicious activities were found.

That was with Claire, though it's safe to say that Smurf deliberately aroused suspicion with Jill (and probably tried to stuff as well, but was blocked).
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:07:15 AM | message detail
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won, welcome back.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:07:46 AM | message detail
Crono by the Hour:

14:00 | 48.09%
13:00 | 48.33%
12:00 | 48.34%
11:00 | 47.81%
10:00 | 49.81%
09:00 | 49.47%
08:00 | 48.26%
07:00 | 48.54%
06:00 | 49.38%
05:00 | 52.69%*
04:00 | 53.09%*
03:00 | 54.83%
02:00 | 53.70%
01:00 | 54.59%

*Updater missing updates; 4:16 used as 4:00.

No sign of the 12-3 block; these trends do look a lot like Magus/Knuckles. I wouldn't count Crono out of this yet; It's possible he will start gaining again in only 4 hours at best. At worst..... Sonic could win this by over 1000.
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"........!" ~Magus
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 11:08:00 AM | message detail
And I think the 50/50ness of the school vote is conclusive proof of European influence.

lol europe

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:08:27 AM | message detail
Repeat after me: Tis better to stuff Jill than to stuff for Jill.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:08:32 AM | message detail
Well, things are looking pretty grim for Crono here.
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/10/2006 11:08:45 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/10/2006 11:09:34 AM | message detail
It would be awesome if Sonic somehow pulls off this win. Come on after school vote!!!

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Can't think of a good sig.
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:10:16 AM | message detail
This topic suddenly becomes pro-Sonic, i swear it wasn't like this in the night.

Just joking,ignore me.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 11:11:08 AM | message detail
somehow? this is pretty much inevitable, barring something really weird.
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 11:11:15 AM | message detail
And just out of curiosity, who's the most night-heavy character Sonic has gone up against?

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Xuxon | Posted 11/10/2006 11:11:43 AM | message detail
Funny how that logic works. Sonic is doing better now, so Crono has better potential to win the match O_o. Not that I'm saying it's faulty, just odd.
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Take off every sig.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:12:30 AM | message detail
And for all the reputation Sonic's day vote has had over the past few years, Sonic's best hour thus far is only 7% better than his worst. Bowser's best hour was some 12% better than his worst against Crono. Of course, Sonic still has the afterschool vote to come, but does anyone really believe he's going to get a 57% hour later?
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"........!" ~Magus
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:12:49 AM | message detail
And just out of curiosity, who's the most night-heavy character Sonic has gone up against?

Definitely Ryu.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/10/2006 11:13:33 AM | message detail
Sonic's day vote isn't that good guys, if it were, he would've beaten Mega Man last year.....

This match is just as 50/50 as it's ever been.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 11:13:53 AM | message detail
And just out of curiosity, who's the most night-heavy character Sonic has gone up against?


...Crono >_>

(Ryu?)
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/10/2006 11:14:04 AM | message detail
50/50 in terms of who is more likely to win of course.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
Gooper Blooper | Posted 11/10/2006 11:14:08 AM | message detail
Keep it up, Sonic!

Man, this is awesome.
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face it cjay i have the high ground i have powend you - ertyu
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:14:15 AM | message detail
900 Barrier Broken...
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"........!" ~Magus
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 11:14:18 AM | message detail
Mega Man's day isn't bad either, though. Look at what he did to Crono with it.

Which is why it dumbfounds me how poorly he did against Snake.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 11:14:57 AM | message detail
only one thing makes me question this result here.. has any character won the first 90 minutes of the poll and then lost the afterschool vote? I guess Mega Man vs. the KH guys, but not too many other people - the NPH usually is just a day vote stuck at the beginning of the poll for some reason. Crono won that decisively.
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xyzzy
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 11:14:58 AM | message detail
I love how the entire tournament is up in the air, and we're in the last round of the elite 8.

Snake appears to have boosted quite high.
Crono looks to have remained constant or a little weaker.
If Sonic beats Crono, it implies he's stronger than the #2 character last year.
Samus is still favored, though after her match with Tifa her strength is uncertain.

If anything, I want Sonic to get to the finals just so I can use my match pic. >_>
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 11:15:02 AM | message detail
Sonic doesn't have to be that good with the dayvote. At this time Auron had 43.47% and he ended with 45.50%. It's Crono who just plain sucks with it.


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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 11:15:57 AM | message detail
Which is why it dumbfounds me how poorly he did against Snake.

Snake is now a Nintendo character. >_>
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 11:16:09 AM | message detail
has any character won the first 90 minutes of the poll and then lost the afterschool vote?

Not to be pessimistic, but CRONO IN EVERY ONE OF HIS MATCHES THIS YEAR. <____<
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 11:17:32 AM | message detail
not against Bowser! he did better overnight. same with CF. but Crono really didn't do any better overnight than he did in the opening hour and a half vs. Sonic.
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 11:18:15 AM | message detail
From Karma Hunter
Mega Man's day isn't bad either, though. Look at what he did to Crono with it.

Which is why it dumbfounds me how poorly he did against Snake.


Snake taking the day vote, and limiting MM to only 7 updates the whole day is evidence to his boost. Snake = day AND night beast.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 11:18:58 AM | message detail
though it's definitely true against Auron now that I look at it.. I thought Crono extended his lead overnight, but not so.
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xyzzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 11:19:23 AM | message detail
Well, I was talking about how he was doing in the NPH relative to how he was doing in the afterschool hours. Crono has had a very nice NPH this year -- not as good as his true night, but that's to be expected -- and he's still stunk up the day vote. Same for Snake this year -- though oddly enough, his most impressive day vote was against Mega Man (or Soma, I guess...but really, Soma?).
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 11:19:25 AM | message detail
Well, even if Crono does manage to pull this off, I just don't see him beating Snake next round. I can't see Samus doing it either. At this point, I'm taking Snake to win this.
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 11:19:38 AM | message detail
And Crono having any worse a day vote this year than any other year is a result of him going up against 2 NIntendo characters and KH2/FF12 roided Auron

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1