GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 423
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:09:38 AM | message detail |
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Total Votes: At 6 AM: Samus/Tifa: 33087 Zelda/Yuna: 32751 Snake/Megaman: 30203 Crono/Sonic: 29195 Crono/Auron: 28539 At 8 AM: Samus/Tifa: 41295 Zelda/Yuna: 40873 Snake/Megaman: 38002 Crono/Sonic: 36237 Crono/Auron: 35554 At 10 AM: Samus/Tifa: 53843 Zelda/Yuna: 51251 Snake/Megaman: 48165 Crono/Sonic: 46940 Crono/Auron: 45333 At 12 PM: Samus/Tifa: 67675 Zelda/Yuna: 62604 Crono/Sonic: 59722 Snake/Megaman: 59527 Crono/Auron: 56234 At 1 PM: Samus/Tifa: 74280 Zelda/Yuna: 68045 Crono/Sonic: 65977 Snake/Megaman: 64446 Crono/Auron: 61541 Notice how Crono/Sonic has improved in vote totals relative to the other matches during the school day. Also, this confirms that Samus/Tifa also had a diluted day vote, as that match started was close to Zelda/Yuna at 6, and 6000 votes ahead by 1. --- "........!" ~Magus |
| LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 10:10:38 AM | message detail |
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I don't know why people have so much faith in Crono. Well, because Sonic has failed to get over the hurdle so many times before, and he's in a match with who was considered to be the strongest male in the bracket. Plus, he's still behind, and I'm personally worried about some Crono fluke in the after school vote or something. I'm not going to be confident until I see 50.01%+ beside Sonic's name. Plus, Sonic/Mega Man last year got my hopes up and dashed them, too. This is almost a similar situation, where Sonic looks like he might pull it off and then some freak trend out of nowhere keeps him from winning. But if he pulls off the comeback, this will be one of the best matches (and thus making it one of the best contests) we've ever had. --- "A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake "I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:10:56 AM | message detail |
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Exactly, pre-2k3! It was like a day or so before the 2k3 contest. Don't compare it to 2k2. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 10:12:07 AM | message detail |
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I still don't consider it a lock, but I DEFINITELY think Sonic can overcome 1000 votes. He's already done it once this match. --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| R0YKEANO | Posted 11/10/2006 10:12:41 AM | message detail |
| If Sonic chokes again, I swear I'm going to smash EC's face in. O_O |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:14:11 AM | message detail |
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Boo Crono gained. Anyway I don't think anyone should feel confident in Sonic, he's still 1100 votes behind, and yes the dayvote should favour him, but that's far from a lock. --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:16:49 AM | message detail |
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And Crono gains. Crono by the Hour: 13:00 | 48.33% 12:00 | 48.34% 11:00 | 47.81% 10:00 | 49.81% 09:00 | 49.47% 08:00 | 48.26% 07:00 | 48.54% 06:00 | 49.38% 05:00 | 52.69%* 04:00 | 53.09%* 03:00 | 54.83% 02:00 | 53.70% 01:00 | 54.59% *Update missing updates; 4:16 used as 4:00. --- "........!" ~Magus |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 10:17:16 AM | message detail |
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Sonic deserves to lose if he cannot win the after school vote -- diluted or not -- from freaking Crono. I also forgot to mention something.... Sonic > Crono > Vincent > Ganon? HOLY GANON UNDERRATION LAST YEAR M I RITE GUYS, M I RITE!?!? GO-GO SAMUS WITH 66% More like across the table Zelda boost, am I right?! ZELDA > SAMUS CONFIRMED !! --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:17:37 AM | message detail |
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"Watches Smurf breaking the barrier and hit Crono for the home run" --- I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:18:41 AM | message detail |
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And now Sonic has took back more than 50% of Crono's lead, before the after school vote ;) --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| R0YKEANO | Posted 11/10/2006 10:18:54 AM | message detail |
| Smexy. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:20:22 AM | message detail |
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The gain Sonic made against Mega Man with
the afterschool vote may be enough for Sonic to lock this up by the
time 3:00 rolls around. Then consider that Mega Man is much
better with the day than Crono (Crono/MM confirms this), that this
looks like an even worse Crono with the day vote, that there is
virtually no second night vote to save Crono, that we have much higher
votals (and thus the potential for bigger comebacks)...I see no
advantage for Crono here whatsoever. His one hope is that the trends
will have to go wonky today, and seeing as how they sort of have so far
I wouldn't put it out of the question...but it definitely doesn't look
good. And as an aside, Black Turtle's comment about a 10,000 vote swing today makes me want to gouge out my eye with a rusty spoon. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| R0YKEANO | Posted 11/10/2006 10:20:23 AM | message detail |
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Sonic deserves to lose if he cannot win the after school vote -- diluted or not -- from freaking Crono. In Typical Sonic fashion he'll probably take the lead and then not know what to do after that, Crono hits back to win by 12 votes. >_< |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:20:27 AM | message detail |
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I just realized this. If Sonic do win here, then he beats Masterchief's record for the biggest comeback! --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| MasterMoltar | Posted 11/10/2006 10:20:58 AM | message detail |
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As much as I'd hate it, I'd laugh if Sonic pulls another failed comeback because of irregular trends. --- Back from the shadows... |
| R0YKEANO | Posted 11/10/2006 10:21:54 AM | message detail |
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Weird patterns maybe. We've already seen a strangely powerful night vote for Crono and Sonic dominating the school vote. But I mean, c'mon. Strange or not, is Crono really going to win the day vote aganist Sonic . There's only so wonky that trends can go. >_< |
| zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:22:19 AM | message detail |
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Karma Hunter, do you know which month is that 2003 poll. I have looked for it for around 10 mins but to no avail. --- I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest. |
| R0YKEANO | Posted 11/10/2006 10:24:02 AM | message detail |
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*readies bat* Hey Zwong, get your rocket launcher ready. Maybe if we strike this barrier at the same time we can break this mutha down! o_o |
| WhiteTuxedo | Posted 11/10/2006 10:24:07 AM | message detail |
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Remember that time Crono got caught with 3000 cheated votes? lolz --- -The biggest Terry Bogard fan ever.- -The biggest Sonic fan ever.- |
| zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:24:53 AM | message detail |
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It is midnight 2.30 in Singapore but i will not sleep until Sonic breaks that 1000 barrier. --- I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:25:29 AM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1284 Oh man Snake has no chance in the Battle Royale against the power of all that SFF --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:25:44 AM | message detail |
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But I mean, c'mon. Strange or not, is Crono really going to win the
day vote aganist Sonic . There's only so wonky that trends can go.
>_< It's actually happened before. Crono took the lead of 800 with the night vote, Mario gained 1000 votes on him to take the lead around noon, and then around now, Crono stopped him, and gained 1000 votes himself during the afternoon and evening, before Mario went ballistic in the final hour and a half to come back 900+ votes and win. lol 2k3 trends. --- "........!" ~Magus |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 10:26:06 AM | message detail |
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If Crono has been constant this year, and he definitely looks like it,
then Vincent ends up being around 35.01% on Link 2k5, which is just
slightly under Sonic 2k5. Ganon goes up to ~33% on Link 2k5, which is
just slightly under Bowser 2k5 (overrated Bowser, that is). Damn Vincent boost! --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:26:16 AM | message detail |
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Just to say this for fun but at this time Auron had 43.38%, he ended with 45.50%. Not that I think Sonic will gain 2% more, but I love how to talk about how Crono did in his previous match. ^_^ --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:26:33 AM | message detail |
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KH, thanks for that poll. --- I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest. |
| Xuxon | Posted 11/10/2006 10:26:36 AM | message detail |
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Heh, it's looking like CATS may predict 3 contest winners now. It's
certainly very possible for Sonic to lose, even today, but in my mind
he is the favorite for the whole thing at this point. --- Take off every sig. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:26:48 AM | message detail |
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IIRC, those weren't school trends. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 10:27:03 AM | message detail |
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hay guys castlevania isn't gonna win the day vote against halo! ...I'm still supporting Sonic, I'm just throwing that out there. >_> --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:27:45 AM | message detail |
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In that case, I'll just talk about the Bowser match to convince myself
Crono will hold on. From here to the end, Crono only lost 0.31% to
Bowser! --- "........!" ~Magus |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 11/10/2006 10:28:03 AM | message detail |
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From Xuxon Heh, it's looking like CATS may predict 3 contest winners now. It's certainly very possible for Sonic to lose, even today, but in my mind he is the favorite for the whole thing at this point. Snake would like to have a word with you. ~~~ The one. The only. Lady Ashe. |
| Janus5000 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:28:09 AM | message detail |
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It didn't. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 11/10/2006 10:28:22 AM | message detail |
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Swing like Duke Ellington! --- Feel my truth. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:30:09 AM | message detail |
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I have a hard time picturing Sonic's day vote being on par with Bowser's, though it's possible. I just don't understand what happened to Crono this year. If this looked like the Crono of old (in terms of trends) I'd still favor him, but he's just stunk up the joint with the day in every one of his matches. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| WilhuffTarkin | Posted 11/10/2006 10:31:48 AM | message detail |
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So, it's looking like Snake will be winning against the winner of this match too, isn't it? --- Evacuate? In our moment of triumph? I think you overestimate their chances. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:32:11 AM | message detail |
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In that case, I'll just talk about the Bowser match to convince
myself Crono will hold on. From here to the end, Crono only lost 0.31%
to Bowser! But that's Bowser, the guy who couldn't get more than 55% on Leon. That's what Sonic is expected to get on Ganondorf. --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 10:32:23 AM | message detail |
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Ahhhh, good to see my prediction of MASSIVE VOTE SWINGS!!!!!! is holding up so far. Go Sonic! Mangle my completely destroyed bracket further! And I daresay Board 8 got pwned this contest between Mega Man and Zero TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/10/2006 10:32:29 AM | message detail |
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hay guys castlevania isn't gonna win the day vote against halo! People really need to stoping using that as some sort of example of how we can be wrong when the day vote doesn't go as predicted. The difference between the series contest and these characters contests has a pretty large key -- we have seen these characters perform for multiple years. We simply assumed that because Alucard -- and SOTN -- had terrible day votes that Castlevania would follow suit. As it turns out, it actually is bit better as an entire series, as one might expect because I certainly argued that it could take the day vote from Halo. I know you're not necessarily saying that's the case, but it's not a good example to use. Sonic is pretty good with the day vote and Crono, this year in particular, is horrible with it. We've seen this time and again; it's rather expected that Sonic takes the day vote here. If he doesn't, it'd be because of the weird trends we've been seeing -- or perhaps this is just Crono sucking hard! If he doesn't get the after school vote, though, Sonic just sucks. >> --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:32:43 AM | message detail |
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Snake v. the winner of this match is a tossup. Hell, every NNer match
from here on out seems to be a tossup. This is frigging fantastic. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:33:36 AM | message detail |
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But that's Bowser, the guy who couldn't get more than 55% on Leon. That's what Sonic is expected to get on Ganondorf. Strength has no bearing on trends. Knuckles' day vote >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Sonic's. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:33:38 AM | message detail |
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Another Crono gain :( 1000 barrier? --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 10:35:51 AM | message detail |
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I think Knuckle's legendary day vote has more to do with him going up
against Night Crawlers like Snake, Magus and Squall. Of course his day
vote is going to look monstrous when all of his opponents suck with it.
I maintain that Knuckle's day vote is no more or less potent than
Sonic's TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/10/2006 10:36:08 AM | message detail |
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For some reason I dont see Samus having much trouble beating Snake. Well see though. --- Can't think of a good sig. |
| MasterMoltar | Posted 11/10/2006 10:36:25 AM | message detail |
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Crono's first good update in a long while... And Snake's actually looking very good going into the finals. I mean, 55% on Mega Man, whether he dropped or not, is pretty impressive. He could very well have the favorite status no matter who he faces. --- Back from the shadows... |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 10:36:43 AM | message detail |
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Yes! Big gain for Crono there! And from the department of more
misleading (or are they?) statistics, Crono only lost 0.58% against
Vincent from here on last year. Sonic..... had the same percentage as
what he finished with. --- "........!" ~Magus |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 10:37:28 AM | message detail |
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For some reason I dont see Samus having much trouble beating Snake. Well see though. Ditto. Maybe it's a psycholoical barrier or something, but I just fail to see Snake beating Samus. Or Sonic, or Crono. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/10/2006 10:37:40 AM | message detail |
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And his only other opponents were Kefka, Yuna and Akira Yuki TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 10:37:51 AM | message detail |
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Snake will win, I can't see Megaman being weaker than Auron. --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 10:38:10 AM | message detail |
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Then you're delusional. Knuckles has swung with the day insanely in
every match he's been in. He's turned 50/50's into easy victories
multiple times with it, and there's no way in hell Sonic swings 6-7% in
his match against Snake. You just don't comprehend voting trends, Turtle. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| MasterMoltar | Posted 11/10/2006 10:38:33 AM | message detail |
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Oh, and I'm still feeling good with Samus taking the whole thing. As
long as ZSS was a fluke, she should be fine. However, I wanting until
her match with Zelda to finalize my thoughts. --- Back from the shadows... |
| Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/10/2006 10:38:35 AM | message detail |
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Heh, I hate Snake Crono and Sonic. The only thing I can hope for in the
next male match is Snake to beat Crono/Sonic by more than he beat Mega
Man by I suppose, and we all know that isn't going to happen. --- Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum! |
