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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 423

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transience | Posted 11/10/2006 6:04:58 AM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog 47.73% 19690
Crono 52.27% 21560
TOTAL VOTES 41250

this should be fun.

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
cyko | Posted 11/10/2006 6:06:24 AM | message detail
GO CRONO!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
neonreaper | Posted 11/10/2006 6:06:37 AM | message detail
bump
---
Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter?
Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards.
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 8:22:52 AM | message detail
Nice 500 post in the last one, tranny. And hey, you started this one!

---
Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:23:34 AM | message detail
What a crappy 500 post.
---
CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 8:23:57 AM | message detail
Continuing the "rate Sonic's chances on a scale" thing...

5 being 50-50, 10 being certain, 4 being Crono is still the slight favourite etc.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
Who Cares? | Posted 11/10/2006 8:24:18 AM | message detail
You weren't just trying to pull a Slowflake were you tranny? >_>
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: Failed! She should've stayed away from the summoner!
*Go play Tales of the Abyss*
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 8:24:36 AM | message detail
Unlike Sonic/Mega Man, I'll actually be around all day to watch this one.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 8:25:05 AM | message detail
Only a gain of 5.....come on, don't stop now Sonic.

---
Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 8:25:14 AM | message detail
eh, this is 50/50 right now. actually, it's probably more than that: Crono's day vote this year is hideous, up there with the Jill Valentines of the world. Sonic's better than Peach... yeah.
---
xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:26:04 AM | message detail
Damnit, tranny, don't be a wuss and give in!
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CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/10/2006 8:26:25 AM | message detail
Oh no, I'm going out with my friends today.

"Sorry guys, I have to watch Sonic defeat Crono on a video game website all day long." >_>
---
caps
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 8:27:19 AM | message detail
"give in"? sorry -

LOL SONIC FANS CRONO'S GOT THIS *****
---
xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:27:46 AM | message detail
That's better.
---
CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 8:29:16 AM | message detail
That better be the last gain Crono makes!
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 8:29:28 AM | message detail
BTW, I forgot the n_n
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:29:37 AM | message detail
Oh yeah, Crono's back to winning updates, Sonic is so screwed.
---
CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:31:03 AM | message detail
4/10

And Crono finally won an update!
---
"........!" ~Magus
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 8:31:24 AM | message detail
Continuing the "rate Sonic's chances on a scale" thing...

5 being 50-50, 10 being certain, 4 being Crono is still the slight favourite etc.


4

Sonic can still win, that's for sure, but 1500 votes is a lot, and I don't see Crono pulling a Jill Valentine here. LOLS the after school voters will agree with Zylo for once, oh wait a second, they won't Crono takes it.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
NewLib | Posted 11/10/2006 8:32:21 AM | message detail
And finally it seems that MegaMan and Crono have begun their decline. The only thing that can save them now is SSB:B for MM and CT on VC being a hit for Crono
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--NL--
Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her.
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 8:32:57 AM | message detail
Come on, Sonic! You can do it!
---
"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:33:04 AM | message detail
Crono hasn't really declined...he's actually appeared extremely constant this year.
---
CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
HaRRicH | Posted 11/10/2006 8:33:43 AM | message detail
6/10.

Sonic has my prediction right now, but he's got his work cut out.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 8:34:17 AM | message detail
Crono hasn't really declined...he's actually appeared extremely constant this year.

This. Crono will drop eventually, but not this year. It'd have to be all Sonic for him to win.

...There might have been a SLIGHT Crono drop, but really nothing of note.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
Big Bob | Posted 11/10/2006 8:35:05 AM | message detail
Sonic won that one.
---
Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 8:36:02 AM | message detail
You know, if Sonic wins, I'm feeling pretty good with Snake winning the male half.

If it's Crono on the other hand, I feel it's pretty split, and I slightly favor Crono at the moment. How strange, or is my lack of faith in the Blue Blur just crazy?
---
Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Crono - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Sonic (104/120)
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 8:36:24 AM | message detail
That's good, but he has to do more...and stop Crono spikes like a few minutes ago.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 8:36:37 AM | message detail
Crono hasn't really declined, but his trends have changed. this isn't the Crono that can go 50/50 with Mega Man in the day anymore.
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 8:36:55 AM | message detail
I feel the same way, Moltar.
---
xyzzy
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 8:38:29 AM | message detail
THAT's what I'm talkin about!

---
Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 8:38:29 AM | message detail
Hell yeah!
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/10/2006 8:39:06 AM | message detail
Will Crono start gaining again around noon EST?
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CB06 - Score: 106/120 Rank: Tied - 1109th Yesterday's Pick: Mega Man Today's Pick: Crono
Tomorrow's Pick: Samus Aran Losses: Cortana, Ganondorf, Zero, Master Chief, Kirby, Mega Man
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:39:44 AM | message detail
Go Sonic Go.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:40:31 AM | message detail
Knuckles by the Hour vs. Magus:

All Times in Eastern.

4:00 | 46.13%
5:00 | 46.44%
6:00 | 50.89%
7:00 | 51.83%
8:00 | 50.30%
9:00 | 51.95%
10:00 | 52.85%
11:00 | 52.67%
12:00 | 52.04%
13:00 | 53.39%
14:00 | 52.64%
15:00 | 53.21%
16:00 | 53.21%
17:00 | 53.26%
18:00 | 51.19%
19:00 | 49.11%
20:00 | 48.81%
21:00 | 49.21%
22:00 | 50.47%
23:00 | 49.59%
24:00 | 48.75%
1:00 | 47.13%
2:00 | 46.35%
3:00 | 44.18%

Knuckles's peak hour was from noon to 1, and Magus started coming back after 6. Once again, there was no school on this day, so it may not be analogous of today's match.
---
"........!" ~Magus
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/10/2006 8:41:24 AM | message detail
JESUS CHRIST ALMIGHTY SONIC DO THAT AGAIN

Whoa.
---
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 108/120 Today: Sonic
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/10/2006 8:41:51 AM | message detail
Yeah, I don't think that poll really reflects actual trends for today's match.
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CB06 - Score: 106/120 Rank: Tied - 1109th Yesterday's Pick: Mega Man Today's Pick: Crono
Tomorrow's Pick: Samus Aran Losses: Cortana, Ganondorf, Zero, Master Chief, Kirby, Mega Man
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/10/2006 8:42:26 AM | message detail
Wow, I've got a feeling my leaderboard berth will be short-lived. Sonic has been chipping away at this lead for a while, and he could really make a comeback push with the afterschool vote, especially seeing how bad Crono's day vote has been this year.

...y'know, if I'd just made my bracket in terms of bias this year, I have an odd feeling I'd be in prime contention to win this. o_O
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:43:50 AM | message detail
Ouch. Lead down to 1405.
---
"........!" ~Magus
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 8:44:01 AM | message detail
Nice follow-up.

---
Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 8:44:05 AM | message detail
Another one? Sweeeeeet :)
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 8:44:15 AM | message detail
I wouldn't use trends from a match a year ago between different characters during a time when there was no school. you can pretty much throw old trends out and look at it this way - Sonic has done well for himself in every match this year during the day and Crono has done terrible. Crono might be able to hold him off, but it doesn't look good given that the afterschool vote is going to hit fast and hard.
---
xyzzy
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 8:44:22 AM | message detail
What'd I miss? n_n
---
Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
HaRRicH | Posted 11/10/2006 8:44:22 AM | message detail
Sonic has chipped away 100+ in ten minutes.

Keep. This. Up.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 8:44:59 AM | message detail
I know how you feel KH. If I had my other bracket be my real bracket (with Snake > Sonic), it would have a real shot. Oh well...
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Crono - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Sonic (104/120)
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:45:06 AM | message detail
n_n

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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 8:45:40 AM | message detail
...y'know, if I'd just made my bracket in terms of bias this year, I have an odd feeling I'd be in prime contention to win this. o_O

Haha, I know. I usually put Sonic a match ahead of where he should go out. This time I don't, and he just may end up pulling it off. That bastard....

---
Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/10/2006 8:46:20 AM | message detail
I got a feeling this is gonna be a pho tow finish.
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CB06 - Score: 106/120 Rank: Tied - 1109th Yesterday's Pick: Mega Man Today's Pick: Crono
Tomorrow's Pick: Samus Aran Losses: Cortana, Ganondorf, Zero, Master Chief, Kirby, Mega Man
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 8:48:08 AM | message detail


4:00 | 46.13%
5:00 | 46.44%
6:00 | 50.89%
7:00 | 51.83%
8:00 | 50.30%
9:00 | 51.95%
10:00 | 52.85%
11:00 | 52.67%
12:00 | 52.04%
13:00 | 53.39%
14:00 | 52.64%
15:00 | 53.21%
16:00 | 53.21%
17:00 | 53.26%
18:00 | 51.19%
19:00 | 49.11%
20:00 | 48.81%
21:00 | 49.21%
22:00 | 50.47%
23:00 | 49.59%
24:00 | 48.75%

1:00 | 47.13%
2:00 | 46.35%
3:00 | 44.18%


I like that prospect.
---
Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 8:48:17 AM | message detail
n_n
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
LeonhartForever | Posted 11/10/2006 8:48:33 AM | message detail
Man, Sonic is ripping Crono apart now! SONIC BOOM!
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"A strong man doesn't need to read the future. He makes his own." - Solid Snake
"I'll show you what true speed really is!" - Sonic