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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 422

zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 5:58:23 AM | message detail
Sonic has won a great update.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
xp1337 | Posted 11/10/2006 5:59:12 AM | message detail
Yeah, though I'd like to see Sonic do some more cutting around now, although that's almost entirely unrealistic.

It'd make me feel a lot better though. >_>
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (110/120) Sonic v Crono
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 6:02:51 AM | message detail
oh, Sonic is going to cut at the afterschool vote, don't you worry. and that was a really nice update there too.
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xyzzy
Cecil XIX | Posted 11/10/2006 6:02:55 AM | message detail
Entirely unrealistic.
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 6:07:03 AM | message detail
Another match this may be comparable to is Magus/Ganon. Ganon and Sonic both did about the same with the day vote against Vincent, and maybe Crono's day vote is around what Magus's used to be. The start time was also only one hour after this match's start. At 9 Eastern, Magus was winning by 1675 with 52.97%, and he ended up winning by 650 votes with 50.30%. The vote totals and lead today are higher, but Crono actually has a lower percentage than Magus had at this point.

However, that was during the summer when there was no school, which makes Crono look somewhat better here, as the morning vote starts later. At this point, I'll stick to my Crono with 3000 by 3 prediction, but I'll also add that I think Sonic will pull the lead down a lot later, and Crono will win by a margin similar to Magus's, and Sonic winning this is possible.
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"........!" ~Magus
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/10/2006 6:08:13 AM | message detail
At this point, it comes down to whether the match will follow the patterns typically set by Sonic's previous matches, or if Crono's previous match with Auron and sudden after-school drop-off occurs, making Sonic's best time after-school instead of the usual morning.

Considering the match seems to have followed a disturbing trend set by the Auron match(Crono havingt a very strong 4 hours and then dropping off the face of the Earth) I'm a little concerned.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
transience | Posted 11/10/2006 6:08:25 AM | message detail
I don't think Crono is going to build a lead at all. if he does, it'll be another couple hundred votes max. no way does he see 3000.
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xyzzy
xp1337 | Posted 11/10/2006 6:09:06 AM | message detail
I'm afraid to say anything in fear of jinxing Sonic.
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (110/120) Sonic v Crono
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/10/2006 6:10:06 AM | message detail
Yeah. 8 to 9 was Crono's best time period against Auron, and with Sonic's recent gains, it seems to be showing. And he still even lost that time period.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
FourthDeus | Posted 11/10/2006 6:13:07 AM | message detail
Goddammit Crono you stalling bastard! Let it happen!
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5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/10/2006 6:17:45 AM | message detail
I like Crono matches this year. It's all about building a lead as big as you can in 4 hours and then trying not to lose it.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2006 6:20:28 AM | message detail
*Wonders how bad the day vote for Snake/Crono will be*

>_<

Go Sonic!
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Master Moltar | Posted 11/10/2006 6:23:06 AM | message detail
So Sonic has began cutting the lead. Cool.

Crono's going to need to use that during school vote to build his lead back up, because if the morning vote is any sign, Sonic may very well do some damage with the after-school vote.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Crono - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Sonic (104/120)
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 6:25:10 AM | message detail
WOOOO Soonic ^_^
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/10/2006 6:25:35 AM | message detail
Sleepy time.

I wonder what it will be when I wake up
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
__hiei__ | Posted 11/10/2006 6:34:01 AM | message detail
well,good to see that Crono is managing to stall
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 6:37:19 AM | message detail
I'm at home now.
Implication -> n_n
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 6:37:58 AM | message detail
Welcome back, Smurf and Zylo.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 6:39:08 AM | message detail
Hmm... Crono won the last 4 updates. This is exactly the time Megaman took off against Sonic last year. A sign of the next 5 hours?
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"........!" ~Magus
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 6:39:24 AM | message detail
Thanks Zwong.

Meh things aren't looking good for Sonic, I comeback andsee that he started to comeback, but now he's starting to let Crono pull away again =(

Vote Sonicfanboys! Vote!
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 6:40:29 AM | message detail
That trend of Crono putting up a fight is about to change, trust me.
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 6:42:18 AM | message detail
Hmm... Crono won the last 4 updates. This is exactly the time Megaman took off against Sonic last year. A sign of the next 5 hours?

That's a logical conclusion.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 6:48:50 AM | message detail
Wooo Sonic won an update.

This is the happiest 5 minutes of my life >_>

*dances*
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
Gooper Blooper | Posted 11/10/2006 6:57:14 AM | message detail
That trend of Crono putting up a fight is about to change, trust me.

=O
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face it cjay i have the high ground i have powend you - ertyu
__hiei__ | Posted 11/10/2006 6:58:40 AM | message detail
he's still putting up a fight.sonic should be easily wining updates at this time acording to the voting trends,and not just stalling crono
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 6:59:31 AM | message detail
Boo @ Crono winning updates.

Hopefully Sonic will be above 48% on the next update n_n
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 7:03:23 AM | message detail
Hah, the n_n is with Sonic.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/10/2006 7:03:45 AM | message detail
Finally he gets a really decisive cut.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:03:46 AM | message detail
Sonic won a big update and is now above 48%.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 7:05:00 AM | message detail
n_n
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 7:18:30 AM | message detail
Good Morniing Crono! :)
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:19:49 AM | message detail
Crono melts when he sees the daylight.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:20:34 AM | message detail
the after school vote is going to be sick to watch.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Kyle Bowen | Posted 11/10/2006 7:21:13 AM | message detail
With the new hour Sonic seems to gain votes... kiddies are waking up.

Dont forget the 1-3 hours where the non day vote getter does well.

Good show, Crono and Sonic, good show.


KB
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 7:22:20 AM | message detail
THE SUNLIGHT.... IT BURNS!
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:25:53 AM | message detail
Sonic is really cutting again. I wonder what percentage of American schools are closed today? If it's like half, that would very much dilute the school and afterschool votes.
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"........!" ~Magus
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:31:12 AM | message detail
From here to the end:

Crono lost 2.78% to Auron
Crono lost 1.52% to Bowser (weekend)
Crono lost 2.96% to Captain Falcon

Sonic lost 0.15% to Luigi (weekend)
Sonic lost 0.30% to Vincent
Sonic gained 1.01% on CATS
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"........!" ~Magus
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 7:32:42 AM | message detail
I like that odds, but unlike all the others Sonic has to win updates to gain any percent.

At least he's stronger than Auron.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/10/2006 7:33:08 AM | message detail
Yummy =)
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:34:11 AM | message detail
Whoa! 56% update for Sonic there.
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"........!" ~Magus
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:34:22 AM | message detail
Crono: Please close the curtain, the sunlight is burning me to hell.

Sonic: No.
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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 7:34:36 AM | message detail
There's a nice chunk taken away as I wake up. How's the comeback chances looking?

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Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:39:12 AM | message detail
There's a nice chunk taken away as I wake up. How's the comeback chances looking?

The match is still up in the air until the afterschool vote comes in, unless Crono decides to go crazy after I leave for school in about an hour.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Sonic 2 Shouldve Won | Posted 11/10/2006 7:42:00 AM | message detail
Well, let me just say, if Sonic comes back from a 2200+vote deficit to beat Crono, it will be the greatest day of my life. Err....as far as GameFAQs goes.

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Spring 2004 Contest - Sonic the Hedgehog 2 should've beat Super Mario World
*DpOblivion*
Garsha_III | Posted 11/10/2006 7:42:00 AM | message detail
My prediction: Sonic will get very close to Crono, and possibly take the lead, but Crono'll take the night vote and win.
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The Beatles >>>> Lolicon.
zwong1 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:43:58 AM | message detail
My prediction: Sonic will get very close to Crono, and possibly take the lead, but Crono'll take the night vote and win.

The second night vote may not exist. Look at Zelda/Yuna,Snake/MegaMan and etc.

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I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:46:34 AM | message detail
Crono by the Hour:

10:00 | 49.81%
09:00 | 49.47%
08:00 | 48.26%
07:00 | 48.54%
06:00 | 49.38%
05:00 | 52.69%*
04:00 | 53.09%*
03:00 | 54.83%
02:00 | 53.70%
01:00 | 54.59%

*Updater skipped several updates; 4:16 was used as 4:00.
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"........!" ~Magus
PlatinumSmurf | Posted 11/10/2006 7:46:40 AM | message detail

Crono: Please close the curtain, the sunlight is burning me to hell.

Sonic: No.


XD
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Smurf
The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:47:20 AM | message detail
The 2nd night does exist it's just that it's just too short for most characters to do anything with it.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2006 7:48:59 AM | message detail
My prediction: Sonic will get very close to Crono, and possibly take the lead, but Crono'll take the night vote and win.

Like Samus! For a few more hours, negative 1500 is still Sonic's largest vote swing! Not that I believe Crono will do much of anything with the second night vote; it has been eliminated by the earlier start time and school.

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"........!" ~Magus