GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 422
| dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 10:30:09 PM | message detail |
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And Sonic is hardly Master Chief. He swung a net of 325 votes
against Mega Man last year (1075 down to 0 back up to 750), which
doesn't exactly inspire confidence. True. I don't like this match being over so quickly any more then everyone else... but this is over. Crono hasn't even hit his peak yet (that comes in another hour or so), and sonic is at his lowest around the same time. --- Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others. |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 10:32:38 PM | message detail |
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Scratch that, 1075 -> 250 -> 750, same net; Sonic actually
took the lead during the night, not during his day vote comeback.
That's what I get for sorting, not actually looking through the match! Heh, it's still not looking good for sonic. Even if we were dealing with master chief here, I still wouldn't give him a chance in hell of coming back. By the time the after school vote hits Crono's lead will be way too high for anyone to overcome. --- Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others. |
| Kaxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:34:38 PM | message detail |
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If tranny's projection is correct, a 2700 vote comeback is very
possible. We've already seen a 2400 vote comeback that ended 7 votes
short, and that was when vote totals were MUCH lower. Crono should
probably be the favorite at this point, but it's far from over. --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/9/2006 10:36:28 PM | message detail |
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Awesome update for Sonic! :) --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/9/2006 10:36:28 PM | message detail |
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Static Votes (Votes that a character will get no matter who the
oponent) will be very essential in the early stages of the battle
royale. And this is why Sizzeph is gonna pizzown Clizzoud. I am far too white to ever to that again. --- New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees! # 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3 |
| Kaxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:37:10 PM | message detail |
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Heh, it's still not looking good for sonic. Even if we were dealing
with master chief here, I still wouldn't give him a chance in hell of
coming back. By the time the after school vote hits Crono's lead will
be way too high for anyone to overcome. Sonic doesn't have to wait until the afterschool vote... he will benefit from the morning vote. Yes, Crono will regain a little ground with the during-school vote, but that's not as big as the morning vote. --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| Xuxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:37:16 PM | message detail |
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Sonic should do well between the morning and after-school vote, don't
forget. Also, Crono hit his peak very quickly against Auron (2am
exactly) if that means anything. True, Sonic doesn't have very good
chances. But if Crono has already peaked and shrinks a tiny bit in
percentage from now until the morning, I don't think 2700 is too much
to overcome and in fact would expect it. --- Take off every sig. |
| transience | Posted 11/9/2006 10:37:19 PM | message detail |
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it'll probably be closer to 3000 since Crono should theoretically pick
up some steam when the overnight vote hits. Sonic's got just about no
hope here, but I wouldn't say it's 100% certain that Crono wins this.
not yet. let's see if Crono completely falls apart like he did on
Bowser - you know, the same Bowser that went even with Leon Kennedy and
lost to Kirby big in the daytime. --- xyzzy |
| andaca | Posted 11/9/2006 10:37:41 PM | message detail |
| Yeah, but that's a 2700 vote differential at 7:00. Sonic isn't likely to even begin to make any real headway until the school vote hits much later, at which point we're going to be looking at a four of five thousand vote deficit. |
| transience | Posted 11/9/2006 10:39:17 PM | message detail |
| eh, Crono lost some percentage against CF during
the school hours. while it sometimes functions as a second night vote,
it doesn't always work that way. --- xyzzy |
| Xuxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:41:35 PM | message detail |
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He won't make any headway votes-wise, but if he's at 2700 at 7am, he
should at the very least keep things at the same differential and in
fact I'd expect it to drop some before 2:30. --- Take off every sig. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/9/2006 10:43:21 PM | message detail |
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eh, Crono lost some percentage against CF during the school hours.
while it sometimes functions as a second night vote, it doesn't always
work that way. Unfortunately, it's a lot easier to cut percentage than it is to cut votes. Auron did around 4% worse during school than after, yet he was still able to reduce Crono's percentage. That won't work quite so well for Sonic. --- "Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:43:50 PM | message detail |
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Sonic doesn't have to wait until the afterschool vote... he will
benefit from the morning vote. Yes, Crono will regain a little ground
with the during-school vote, but that's not as big as the morning vote. That's not really true. Votals/15 minute from a bit after 8 to a bit before 3 are generally around the same numberj on school days, so it depends on how much of that time you want to classify as morning vs after school. If you give me a minute, I'll make a handy chart. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| Xuxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:45:53 PM | message detail |
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Morning is sort of ambiguous... sometimes there is no shift until nearly noon, sometimes it's before 10am. --- Take off every sig. |
| Kaxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:46:53 PM | message detail |
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What matters is what Sonic can do in the morning... I fully expect
Crono's lead to be growing during school hours, but Sonic may cut off
more in the morning than Crono adds in the middle of the day. --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| __hiei__ | Posted 11/9/2006 10:47:25 PM | message detail |
| that was one big update for crono |
| Kaxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:48:27 PM | message detail |
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Oh well... I'm hoping to see Crono win it (although it will mean my
doom in the Oracle Challenge)... but he's disappointed me so many times
before I'm not ready to hand it to him yet. --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/9/2006 10:50:51 PM | message detail |
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Zylo the wolf Posted 11/9/2006 6:15:38 PM message detail If Crono takes the day vote over Sonic, I'm going to play through Chrono Trigger on PSX, using an Playstation emulator. Oh the horror. Sonic better take the dayvote......... --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 10:53:18 PM | message detail |
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Those fmv's were nice and all from what I played of it, but I never
finished CT on playstation. It just seemed pointless given the annoying
load times. My playstation seemed slightly slower then usual at
loading... but that was something else. I was literally waiting through
minutes long load times between battles sometimes. There is no excuse
for a super nintendo game to run so terribly on a playstation. --- Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others. |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:54:19 PM | message detail |
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Votals by the hour, from Snake/Mega Man: 00:00 | 3471 23:00 | 4203 22:00 | 4951 21:00 | 5312 20:00 | 5992 19:00 | 6713 18:00 | 7016 17:00 | 7107 16:00 | 6779 15:00 | 5604 14:00 | 5217 13:00 | 5377 12:00 | 5706 11:00 | 5647 10:00 | 5185 09:00 | 4970 08:00 | 4270 07:00 | 3352 06:00 | 2356 05:00 | 2546 04:00 | 3427 03:00 | 4640 02:00 | 6806 01:00 | 9452 As with my percent by the hour, the left column should be viewed as "from the previous hour up to XX:00," exclusive. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| transience | Posted 11/9/2006 10:54:37 PM | message detail |
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I don't mind playing CT on playstation as long as I'm not trying to access the menu. that's just painful. --- xyzzy |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2006 10:55:27 PM | message detail |
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From transience eh, Crono lost some percentage against CF during the school hours. while it sometimes functions as a second night vote, it doesn't always work that way. Isn't the school hours the "european vote"? Because if it is, Crono might get screwed by it <_< TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| Keno316 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:57:14 PM | message detail |
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Isn't the school hours the "european vote"? Because if it is, Crono might get screwed by it <_< The European vote should be right now... --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 10:59:19 PM | message detail |
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The largest comeback came from under a 2500 vote defecit, correct? By
morning crono's should be at least a few hundred votes over 2500. --- Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2006 10:59:23 PM | message detail |
| And like I said earlier, I won't count Sonic out
unless Crono is up by 10,000 in the morning. I fully expect this match
to be one of the biggest swings. Hardcore favourite vs icon? Night vote
champ vs king of the day vote (that actually has strength)? TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2006 11:00:17 PM | message detail |
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From dragoontheguy The largest comeback came from under a 2500 vote defecit, correct? By morning crono's should be at least a few hundred votes over 2500. MC was down 2500 against DK, but he ended up winning with over 1000 IIRC, so he technically swung ~3500 votes if memory serves. TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:00:22 PM | message detail |
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Sonic is going to chose and LOSE the day vote to Crono. BOOK IT! --- CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:00:29 PM | message detail |
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Choke, even. --- CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| Janus5000 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:01:08 PM | message detail |
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Sonic wins an update. WHERE IS YOUR VAMPIRIC PLAN POWER NOW CRONO --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/9/2006 11:01:13 PM | message detail |
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Oh yeah! --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 11:01:15 PM | message detail |
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And like I said earlier, I won't count Sonic out unless Crono is up by 10,000 in the morning. Sonic doesn't just have to start winning updates, he has to swing the percentage by a huge amount to do so during the morning. It requires such a big swing, that if he even starts winningu pdates constantly at all, it won't be by much. --- Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others. |
| transience | Posted 11/9/2006 11:01:30 PM | message detail |
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hey, Sonic won an update. --- xyzzy |
| zwong1 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:01:32 PM | message detail |
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Sonic Comeback = Confirmed. --- I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest. |
| Keno316 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:01:38 PM | message detail |
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And Sonic wins back.....all of 1 vote.... --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:01:51 PM | message detail |
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oh mans, corno is doomed --- CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/9/2006 11:02:13 PM | message detail |
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Speaking of winning updates, did Megaman win one? --- Supporter of Megaman and Sonic |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:02:32 PM | message detail |
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Two, I think. --- CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| zwong1 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:02:55 PM | message detail |
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Yes, Mega Man won only one. --- I am a Singaporean and hope Snake will do well for the rest of the contest. |
| Keno316 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:03:12 PM | message detail |
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Two, I think. Nope. 1. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/9/2006 11:03:15 PM | message detail |
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GO SONIC GO! --- "My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess |
| janembaman | Posted 11/9/2006 11:03:35 PM | message detail |
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Megaman won one update,near the end of the match --- laff |
| dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 11:03:36 PM | message detail |
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MC was down 2500 against DK, but he ended up winning with over 1000 IIRC, so he technically swung ~3500 votes if memory serves. It doesn't work that way though. You need to factor in how much the voting patterns have to swing. Basically if mc was behind by 3500 votes, his comeback wouldn't have been enough to win because the vote swing wouldn't have been large enough. --- Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others. |
| transience | Posted 11/9/2006 11:03:41 PM | message detail |
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Crono's percentage by hour: 01:00 - 54.59% 02:00 - 53.70% not much of a dropoff, but maybe the Nintendo hour did indeed help Crono out. --- xyzzy |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2006 11:03:44 PM | message detail |
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I'll call this right now, Sonic will swing at tonne of votes tomorrow, putting this match on the biggest vote swing list. TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:04:33 PM | message detail |
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I just checked, Mega Man won at least 2. --- CB5 Points: 115/120, Current Oracle placement: 22/169 Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2006 11:04:44 PM | message detail |
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And wouldn't it be a riot if in the end, Sonic/Mega Man are equal in the stats still? I also hate what this is doing to poor Zero ;___; TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/9/2006 11:05:56 PM | message detail |
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And after a quick look, seems as though Mega Man won about 7 or 8 updates TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| Janus5000 | Posted 11/9/2006 11:06:06 PM | message detail |
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Mega Man ended up winning... 7 updates. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4 |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/9/2006 11:06:08 PM | message detail |
| Mega Man won a total of 7 updates I believe. |
| transience | Posted 11/9/2006 11:06:20 PM | message detail |
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heh, there goes that. anyway, I'm going to bed before the Sonic posse wakes up. night everyone! --- xyzzy |
