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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 422

MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/9/2006 9:36:35 PM | message detail
WTF is Sonic's problem? This is just pitiful.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
cyko | Posted 11/9/2006 9:37:46 PM | message detail
BOO-YA!!! nice one, Crono!

now it's off to bed. i fully expect to see Sonic cutting into Crono's 3000 vote lead when i wake up.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/9/2006 9:38:05 PM | message detail
This is Sonic's worst time BY FAR and Crono's best time BY FAR. This might not stop until the morning vote.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 9:38:13 PM | message detail
dunno what people expected..? Crono has a super night vote. not to say that Sonic's gonna come back and win this or anything, but expecting him to do much against Crono at this hour is a bit optimistic.
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xyzzy
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/9/2006 9:40:41 PM | message detail
Whoa, great stall by Sonic...
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
SubLibz4 | Posted 11/9/2006 9:40:54 PM | message detail
Nice gain for Sonic
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You Will Never know your limits until you go past them.
-There is no knowledge that is not power-
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 9:40:59 PM | message detail
and Sonic goes nearly even that update. still not enough though - kinda reminds me of when Mega Man slowed Snake down for one update and then he exploded the next.
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 11/9/2006 9:41:08 PM | message detail
GAWD FORTY MINUTES IN AND SNOICS NOT WON AN UPDATE BAN HIM FROM THE ELITES
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
DpObliVion | Posted 11/9/2006 9:41:09 PM | message detail
Nice, Sonic held Crono to a gain of 11. Comeback begin?

/wishful thinking

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/9/2006 9:41:23 PM | message detail
Sonic's such a tease. What do you bet he drops under 45% next update?
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 9:41:49 PM | message detail
Silly sonic supporters; nothing can break the tradition of Crono losing to a nintendo character every year!
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
zwong1 | Posted 11/9/2006 9:42:10 PM | message detail
Sonic, please gives Crono a good fight.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/9/2006 9:43:42 PM | message detail
That's right, the only person Crono will be losing to is Samus!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Crono - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Sonic (104/120)
Keno316 | Posted 11/9/2006 9:44:49 PM | message detail
As much as I want to see Crono win it all, I have the feeling Snake will be taking it all this year.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 9:45:12 PM | message detail
that's it. Sonic's the only one left who can't beat a member of the Noble Nine. throw him out.
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xyzzy
DpObliVion | Posted 11/9/2006 9:45:34 PM | message detail
Expected.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 9:46:15 PM | message detail
I agree moltar. I guess Samus will have to beat zelda handily for people to regain their faith in her, despite the obvious reason for her abysmal performance against tifa.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/9/2006 9:46:30 PM | message detail
I'm going to laugh if Samus still manages to win the contest and her match with Tifa really was just the pic.

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Can't think of a good sig.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/9/2006 9:47:10 PM | message detail
Ugly update. I'm going to bed for real this time.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/9/2006 9:47:20 PM | message detail
I guess Samus will have to beat zelda handily for people to regain their faith in her,

We can't let her do that !!

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"My ambition is to create the coolest Link that's ever existed." -- Keisuke Nishimori, Twilight Princess
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 9:47:22 PM | message detail
I'm going to laugh if Samus still manages to win the contest and her match with Tifa really was just the pic.

If her match against tifa somehow wasn't the pic, then none of her other matches this contest make any sense at all.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 9:48:59 PM | message detail
Well, her match against rikku wouldn't anyway. The other two are question marks I suppose.

Losing faith over samus due to a match that had all the reasons in the world to be faulty is just ridiculous though.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/9/2006 9:49:32 PM | message detail
Silly sonic supporters; nothing can break the tradition of Crono losing to a nintendo character every year!

But Snake is a Nintendo character, now! OH SNAP
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SC2k6 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Crono with 50.95%
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 9:50:27 PM | message detail
actually, Samus technically underperformed if you adjust Rikku. but still, 69% on Rikku vs. 57% on Yuna - there's just no arguing which is more impressive.
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xyzzy
Keno316 | Posted 11/9/2006 9:51:52 PM | message detail
And, he's almost at 1000 vote lead by the first hour...And there's still 6 hours of the night vote left...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/9/2006 9:56:37 PM | message detail
Crono is a bit ahead of Snake's pace against Mega Man, and Snake had a 4200 vote lead by 7:00 AM, the very beginning of the morning vote. So it seems that Crono and Snake are finally going to get a rematch after four years.

Which brings me to an interesting question. Chrono Trigger got 42% on FFVII. Metal Gear Solid got 28% on FFVII. Neither character has faced VII's big boys. So, who gets SFF'd by Cloud and Sephiroth in the Battle Royale more - Crono or Snake?
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 10:00:51 PM | message detail
I think Snake would be the more interesting BR candidate. you can say there's a fanbase overlap, but I don't think it's that much. Snake would still do respectably vs. Cloud or Seph. Crono would resist SFF as well, but I'm not sure if Crono has enough fans that would vote him over everything.
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/9/2006 10:01:36 PM | message detail
Snake.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/9/2006 10:02:04 PM | message detail
I'm not sure if Crono has enough fans that would vote him over everything.

And yet he just keeps on rolling.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
ccbfan | Posted 11/9/2006 10:07:03 PM | message detail
Battle Royale is one of those matches that Crono can do very well in.

Static Votes (Votes that a character will get no matter who the oponent) will be very essential in the early stages of the battle royale.

Crono is a lot of people's favorite character unlike someone like Samus who is generally like by everyone but few people's favorite. Heck Master Chief would probably do very well in a Battle Royale.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/9/2006 10:07:17 PM | message detail
Sonic needs more updates like this one before the morning vote.

Anyway I think the worst is over for Sonic, now Crono will just keep small gains for a few hours.

By small I mean less than 70.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
__hiei__ | Posted 11/9/2006 10:07:36 PM | message detail
well,Crono seems to be slowing down now

maybe sonic will just die again in the next update though
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/9/2006 10:08:25 PM | message detail
I bet he will =(
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/9/2006 10:08:35 PM | message detail
Sonic's really been holding up well these past few updates. Seems like the NPH actually did help Crono quite a bit.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
Keno316 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:11:08 PM | message detail
And we're over a 1000.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
__hiei__ | Posted 11/9/2006 10:11:24 PM | message detail
lead over 1000.sonic dies again.bah
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:11:35 PM | message detail
When the night vote hits proper in two hours or so, I wouldn't be surprised to see Crono with 60%+ updates. Of course there's only 800 votes/15 minutes compared to 2000+ during the after school burst, but still. He'll have a very safe lead by the morning.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 10:13:06 PM | message detail
and Snake's fanbase doesn't define hardcore? the amount of people who would vote Snake over everything is pretty big. I would expect him to get at least fourth in a BR setting, maybe third if the FF7 guys split votes.

as for this match, looks like Sonic is going to need the biggest comeback ever to pull this off. he could very well get it given the opposing trends of these two characters.
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xyzzy
Kaxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:13:46 PM | message detail
Crono has plenty of fans who would vote him over anything. If CT can get 42% against FF VII and Crono can get 38% against Link, it's not like there's anything else out there that's strong enough to suck up all his votes.

It seems like everyone's handing this match to Crono right now, but in my opinion he's basically doing just well enough for me to consider him still in the match. Considering how he fell apart against Bowser and Auron, Crono pretty much needs to be over 54% right now if he wants to have a chance of surviving the day.
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....TCELES B HSUP
Kaxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:14:29 PM | message detail
that's it. Sonic's the only one left who can't beat a member of the Noble Nine. throw him out.

XD. Might want to save that for after Smurf wakes up, though.
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....TCELES B HSUP
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 10:14:39 PM | message detail
The morning isn't the end of this onslaught, it'l just create a few hours of slowing it down. The voting that takes place during school pretty much acts as a second night vote. See: Kairi vs. Claire, and Jill vs. Peach.

And then there's the fact that if crono is winning updates by this much by the after after school vote, chances are the shift in votes won't be enough for sonic to actually take off the lead, it might just increase at a slower pace, with crono losing percentage but still having a growing lead.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Xuxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:20:59 PM | message detail
It seems like everyone's handing this match to Crono right now, but in my opinion he's basically doing just well enough for me to consider him still in the match. Considering how he fell apart against Bowser and Auron, Crono pretty much needs to be over 54% right now if he wants to have a chance of surviving the day.

I agree though I am somewhat less confident in Sonic now. Sub-Zero vs MC makes me somewhat doubt the comeback potential, but Sub-Zero's day vote is far better than Crono's and MC still swung nearly 2000.
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Take off every sig.
Kaxon | Posted 11/9/2006 10:24:48 PM | message detail
I can't believe I'm cheering for Crono right now. I've become a soul-less heathen. I do like the guy, just... I dunno, him beating Mario in 04 made me angry.

No reason to hold that against Crono... Mario had it coming after his blatant cheating in 2003.
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....TCELES B HSUP
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 10:25:52 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:26:39 PM | message detail
And Sonic is hardly Master Chief. He swung a net of 325 votes against Mega Man last year (1075 down to 0 back up to 750), which doesn't exactly inspire confidence.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 10:26:44 PM | message detail
this will be well over 2000 come morning. know what this reminds me of? CV/Halo, where people won't count Sonic out no matter how far behind he gets.
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xyzzy
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/9/2006 10:26:55 PM | message detail
It seems like everyone's handing this match to Crono right now, but in my opinion he's basically doing just well enough for me to consider him still in the match. Considering how he fell apart against Bowser and Auron, Crono pretty much needs to be over 54% right now if he wants to have a chance of surviving the day.

54%? Are you serious? You are aware that the higher your percentage gets, the harder it becomes to increase it, right?If Crono has 54% by the afetr school vote, that means he'll at least have a lead of 5k. That's pretty much entirely impossible for anyone to overcome, as it would require sonic to need to average taking about 50 votes off the lead per five minute update to win.

In short: Crono doesn't need 54% to even so much as ensure his victory.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Keno316 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:27:34 PM | message detail
Well...at the rate this appears to be going he'll be gaining 100 votes on the lead every 10 minutes.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/9/2006 10:29:55 PM | message detail
Scratch that, 1075 -> 250 -> 750, same net; Sonic actually took the lead during the night, not during his day vote comeback. That's what I get for sorting, not actually looking through the match!
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
transience | Posted 11/9/2006 10:29:55 PM | message detail
hmm, taking the last match's vote totals at 7:00 AM..

Crono - 54% - 18143
Sonic - 46% - 15455

more like 2700 votes.
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xyzzy