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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 420

XxSoulxX | Posted 11/8/2006 9:13:43 PM | message detail

If Snake does win this I wouldn't peg it all on his strength. Mega Man has arguably been disappointingly in all of his matches thus far. This could be more a sign of him weakening then Snake getting stronger.


Don't overlook the fact that Snake has looked like a monster in every one of his matches as well.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
Aprosenf | Posted 11/8/2006 9:13:50 PM | message detail
Damn it to hell, but this one, along with my bracket, is over. I knew I should have taken Sonic over Mega Man, but my bias for the Blue Bomber was my downfall.
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If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:14:09 PM | message detail
no, he's right - Mega Man just hasn't been the same this year. it's like 2k3 Sonic all over again.
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zizzy
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:14:24 PM | message detail
Well, it looks like Sonic is the last Noble 9er with zero wins against his peers.

That's what tomorrow is for, silly.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/8/2006 9:14:38 PM | message detail
Lawl at board 8 thinking Snake had no chance. By the way, did anyone take that one guy up on the acount bet? Sir Chris I think?

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Can't think of a good sig.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2006 9:14:48 PM | message detail
Or 2K4 Snake. Or 2K4 Mario. Every Noble Niner has a year where they look like crap.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
MasterMoltar | Posted 11/8/2006 9:14:49 PM | message detail
...So MM will rebound the next year and eventually end up stronger than ever in 2-3 years?
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Back from the shadows...
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/8/2006 9:14:50 PM | message detail
Yeah, Snake won. Screw you, Megaman fans.

I find it funny how offended some people get when people disagree with them. You being a prime example with that post. It wasn't the conclusion I had a problem with, it was your faulty as hell reasoning (which is still faulty as ever).
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/8/2006 9:15:04 PM | message detail

That's what tomorrow is for, silly.


Yep. In fact, Sonic is going to rack up TWO Noble Nine wins this year. :)
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Majin Lou | Posted 11/8/2006 9:15:25 PM | message detail
Heh, lead up to 349.
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I like my coffee black, just like my metal.
http://danceandstomp.net/forum/index.php
Gaddswell | Posted 11/8/2006 9:15:30 PM | message detail
Snake under 55% again.

Solid Snake 54.8% 1993
Mega Man 45.2% 1644
TOTAL VOTES 3637
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:15:31 PM | message detail
From Blade Of Evils Bane
Lawl at board 8 thinking Snake had no chance. By the way, did anyone take that one guy up on the acount bet? Sir Chris I think?

I don't think anybody was saying that.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
zwong1 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:15:46 PM | message detail
dragoontheguy, it is just a joke. Sorry about it. I will delete that post.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:16:03 PM | message detail
...So MM will rebound the next year and eventually end up stronger than ever in 2-3 years?

I wouldn't be surprised if it happened, either. why did Sonic fall off the map like that in 2k3? I've not a clue.
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zizzy
__hiei__ | Posted 11/8/2006 9:16:08 PM | message detail
lead increases again


Snake seems to be good with the night vote,like Crono.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/8/2006 9:16:12 PM | message detail
Snake increased his lead to 349 with the night vote to look forward to. I'm liking this!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Kyle Bowen | Posted 11/8/2006 9:16:24 PM | message detail
This makes Squall look like a hardass.

If there is any amount of SFF with Snake and Squall...

Squall is still in fact = to Vince and > Ganon, Bowser, ect.

I am such a fanboi.

KB
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:16:33 PM | message detail
The percentage went down *just* a smidge, but Snake increases to 349 there.

If anyone cares, 15 minutes in last year Snake had 54.13% on Bowser with a 114 vote lead.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:16:53 PM | message detail
At the pace he's going, and knowing his night vote powah, I can see Snake being OVER NINE THOUSANNNNNNNNNNNNNND by morning.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/8/2006 9:16:59 PM | message detail
dragoontheguy, it is just a joke. Sorry about it. I will delete that post.

Eh, I wasn't offended or anything, I just thought you were being serious. >_>
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Terran | Posted 11/8/2006 9:17:37 PM | message detail
...So MM will rebound the next year and eventually end up stronger than ever in 2-3 years?

I don't know but I don't think so. Mega Man, more then any other Noble Nine character - with the exception of Crono - is a product of his past. While he does appear in games still, I doubt that they've significantly added to his fanbase and if he was just being voted on based on his post-SNES games, I don't think he'd be a major factor in this tournament.

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Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo merge to create...Microtendony!
"When the president does it, that means it is not illegal." - Richard Nixon
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:18:09 PM | message detail
Just out curiosity, how do you guys like Snake's chance against Crono based on this match so far (yeah, yeah assuming they both win <_<).
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CB5 Points: 107/112, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:18:23 PM | message detail
I'm still holding out for MM in SSB:B and a Metroid-style FPS on the Wii <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:18:29 PM | message detail
If anyone cares, 15 minutes in last year Snake had 54.13% on Bowser with a 114 vote lead.

Hah, and that was during the dead of night. Maybe MM doing worse on Ryu was a sign of good things to come!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:18:38 PM | message detail
Crono still beats Snake. oh, I went there!
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zizzy
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/8/2006 9:18:49 PM | message detail
Just out curiosity, how do you guys like Snake's chance against Crono based on this match so far (yeah, yeah assuming they both win <_<).

Again, Sonic, not Crono, will be beating Snake.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/8/2006 9:19:01 PM | message detail
At the pace he's going, and knowing his night vote powah, I can see Snake being OVER NINE THOUSANNNNNNNNNNNNNND by morning.

I agree, although that nine thousand fad is slowly but surely getting lamer then Solid Snake.

>_>
<_<

*runs away from ravenous snake fanboys*
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:19:19 PM | message detail
I don't know what to think. I'm still thinking this is more Snake then it is Mega, but I also think Crono is at the exact same spot he's been for the last 4 years.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/8/2006 9:19:26 PM | message detail
Crono > Snake with 52%
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Hot Meat Hot Rats Hot Cats Hot Ritz Hot Roots Hot Soots
Hot Meat Hot Rats Hot Cats Hot Zitz Hot Roots Hot Soots
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/8/2006 9:19:44 PM | message detail
Crono still beats Snake. oh, I went there!

Too bad Crono won't have the chance to prove that after he loses to Sonic ^_^.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
Majin Lou | Posted 11/8/2006 9:20:21 PM | message detail
Lead up to 427 now, teehee.
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I like my coffee black, just like my metal.
http://danceandstomp.net/forum/index.php
janembaman | Posted 11/8/2006 9:21:10 PM | message detail
brb,suicide T_T
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laff
Gaddswell | Posted 11/8/2006 9:21:15 PM | message detail
MC for ultimate loser? Won't that be fun.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:22:46 PM | message detail
Assuming constant Crono, Snake has a shot against him...but it's a stretch. The best he can probably hope for is matching Crono's percentage from last year on him, and this is almost certainly a weaker Mega Man.

I just realized that if Snake pulls this out I'm finally making the leaderboard -- and in a big way!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
ESY16 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:23:03 PM | message detail
So, does Snake lead the rest of the poll, or does MM pull ahead during the day before Snake wins?
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"I was just trying to get it out for you" -Me
"All I saw was pie" - My girlfriend
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:23:17 PM | message detail
Oh Smurf, if only you were still here...
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:23:40 PM | message detail
I was like one place away from the leaderboard :(

oh well, not like that thing was eligible! there's gonna be some leaderboard destruction tomorrow if Snake does pull this off.
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zizzy
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:24:21 PM | message detail
If Mega Man pulls ahead during the day, Snake's not coming back. This is where Snake needs to win this match, by putting up an insurmountable lead that MM simply cannot come back from.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/8/2006 9:24:32 PM | message detail
So, does Snake lead the rest of the poll, or does MM pull ahead during the day before Snake wins?

Because of the earlier start times for polls this year, the second night vote practically doesn't exist.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:25:04 PM | message detail
And he's looking good to do just that!
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CB5 Points: 107/112, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/8/2006 9:25:23 PM | message detail

oh well, not like that thing was eligible! there's gonna be some leaderboard destruction tomorrow if Snake does pull this off.


I really, really, really hope so. I would love if my bracket is still in contention, but I need a HUGE shakeup tomorrow and the day after for that to happen.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
trizob the hedgehog | Posted 11/8/2006 9:26:33 PM | message detail
Yeah, Mega Man isn't coming back from this one.
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"No, not just an urge - more than that. It was my destiny to be here; in the box."
- Naked Snake
Majin Lou | Posted 11/8/2006 9:26:47 PM | message detail
Looks like Snake will be up by more than 500 next update. Go Snake! And go Sonic tomorrow!

>_>
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I like my coffee black, just like my metal.
http://danceandstomp.net/forum/index.php
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:26:54 PM | message detail
Leaderboard destruction? I figure Snake will be the favorite.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/8/2006 9:27:32 PM | message detail
Yeah, Snake's definitely the casual favorite here. If you want true destruction it will be Sonic tommorow if he pulls off the win.
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/8/2006 9:27:42 PM | message detail
Leaderboard destruction? I figure Snake will be the favorite.

Well, we can't be sure. On the one hand, he's a casual favorite. On the other hand, the people that are in the lead right now are hardly "casual" in their bracket choices, so they might know that Mega Man was the "logical" choice.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:27:54 PM | message detail
Leaderboard destruction? I figure Snake will be the favorite.

Among the casuals, sure. But these are the people who are supposedly 'in the know'. We've gone from seeing nearly half the leaderboard brackets having Solid Snake win the whole thing to barely four or five. There WILL be destruction, of that you can be assured.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:27:54 PM | message detail
From: Janus5000 | Posted: 11/8/2006 9:26:54 PM
Leaderboard destruction? I figure Snake will be the favorite.

Not among the people on the top.
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CB5 Points: 107/112, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:28:24 PM | message detail
the leaderboard isn't "casual" though, they're people who know what they're doing. 50/50 had Crono winning his division, etc. I bet at least 20 of them have Mega Man if not more.
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zizzy
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/8/2006 9:28:26 PM | message detail
Leaderboard destruction because most casuals aren't on the leaderboard and board 8ers mostly had Mega Man.

Anyway, Snake is dropping off in votes more quickly than Mega Man.. still some hope Mega Man supporters! >_>
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CB06 - Score: 106/112 Rank: Tied - 208th Yesterday's Pick: Princess Zelda
Today's Pick: Mega Man Tomorrow's Pick: Crono Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby