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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 420

Redtooth | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:00 PM | message detail
I still believe in MM. I am, however, incredibly surprised at Snake's board vote. What was his board vote like previously against MM?

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:02 PM | message detail
Snake wins the board vote over Mega Man?

Mega Man keeping the lead tight after the first freeze?

This is shaping up to be a good match with potential for a good vote swing.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:04 PM | message detail
Looks like Mega is done here, unless he somehow wins the day vote. Which he hardly ever does.

I almost took that seriously.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:04 PM | message detail
Solid Snake 54.72% 846
Mega Man 45.28% 700
TOTAL VOTES 1546

Snake with a lead of 141 at the freeze! And while Mega Man will get the day vote, it shouldn't be anything monstrous due to how crappy it's been in this year. And Snake has the night vote to look forward to! GO SNAKE!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:04 PM | message detail
both are board vote beasts.. but MM's absolute strongest time this entire contest has been the board vote. he's pretty much fallen in percentage the entire rest of the match save Ryu, and that's because of his hideous morning vote.
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zizzy
The_Ocelot | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:10 PM | message detail
pfft stop worryin guys megaman has it in the bag
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Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:19 PM | message detail
Snake just has to make some Solid increases and try to put this to bed early!

(because he'll certainly be heading off to sleep when the sun rises)
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:25 PM | message detail
kekeke
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CB5 Points: 107/112, Current Oracle placement: 22/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII, Children of Mana
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:26 PM | message detail
I'm quite surprised at the support Snake is getting in this topic. I figure Board 8 would always be a pro Mega Man type board. Or maybe I just hang around Shine too much >_>
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/8/2006 9:06:27 PM | message detail
Pft, Board 8's been hanging off Snake's nuts since MGS3 and that SSBB trailer.

MEGA MAN WILL STILL WIN! Maybe. >_>
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CB06 - Score: 106/112 Rank: Tied - 208th Yesterday's Pick: Princess Zelda
Today's Pick: Mega Man Tomorrow's Pick: Crono Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:01 PM | message detail
What was his board vote like previously against MM?

Mega Man started off at 59% with the board vote in 2004.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
bobby200614 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:29 PM | message detail
I declare Megaman the winner.
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I ate my family because Z1mZum owned me so hard in the Guru Contest.
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:39 PM | message detail
this board has had Snake fever for the past eight months. I prefer MM by far, but I certainly seem to be in the minority.
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zizzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:40 PM | message detail
Mega Man's opponents are 2 KH characters, and a funky Ryu who's respectable during the day.

Snake's day vote has been traditionally, utter trash. He lost...what? 2500 votes to Bowser during the day last year?

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:46 PM | message detail
Mega Man must still be using Sora's ability.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:47 PM | message detail
All Time Most Popular Polls

01. 158527 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (1) Final Fantasy (2006 Series Final)
02. 157773 - (1) Final Fantasy vs (1) Super Mario Bros. (2006 Series Semfinal)
03. 147637 - (1) Cloud Strife vs (1) Link (2003 Characters Semifinal)
04. 144128 - (1) Samus Aran vs (1) Tifa Lockhart (2006 Characters Quarterfinal)
05. 137513 - (1) Metal Gear vs (2) Kingdom Hearts (2006 Series Quarterfinal)
06. 136154 - (1) Final Fantasy vs (2) Resident Evil (2006 Series Quarterfinal)
07. 135980 - (1) Solid Snake vs (4) Squall Leonhart (2006 Characters Round 2)
08. 135562 - (1) Final Fantasy vs (4) Mega Man (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
09. 135217 - (1) Princess Zelda vs (1) Yuna (2006 Characters Quarterfinal)
10. 134604 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (2) Metroid (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
11. 134577 - (3) Auron vs (7) Sub-Zero (2006 Characters Round 2)
12. 133797 - (2) Mega Man vs (1) Sora (2006 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
13. 133005 - (1) Mario vs (4) Crono (2003 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
14. 132410 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (1) Metal Gear (2006 Series Semifinal)
15. 132251 - (1) Sonic the Hedgehog vs (2) Luigi (2006 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
16. 130058 - (2) Luigi vs (7) Zero (2006 Characters Round 1)
17. 129977 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (5) Mega Man X (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
18. 129703 - (1) Mario vs (2) Cloud Strife (2002 Characters Quarterfinal)
19. 129569 - (6) Yoshi vs (2) Dante (2006 Characters Round 2)
20. 129537 - (3) Rikku vs (2) Kairi (2006 Characters Round 2)
21. 128290 - (7) Sub-Zero vs (2) Master Chief (2006 Characters Round 1)
22. 128286 - (2) Kingdom Hearts vs (3) Castlevania (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
23. 128006 - (5) Vincent Valentine vs (4) Ganondorf (2006 Characters Round 1)
24. 127218 - (5) WarCraft vs (4) Grand Theft Auto (2006 Series Round 1)
25. 126178 - (2) Super Smash Bros. vs (3) Sonic the Hedgehog (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)

2002 Characters - 1
2003 Characters - 2
2004 Games - 0
2004 Characters - 0
2005 Villains - 0
2005 Characters - 0
2006 Series - 11
2006 Characters - 11
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:51 PM | message detail
Snake's fans are the best Board 8 has to offer. Seriously.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lopen | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:52 PM | message detail
I'd assume Snake has a pretty sizable bracket advantage this year... I think Mega Man pretty much stalling Snake after the first 3 minutes is a good sign for him. This match isn't over.
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Squall: "Hi, like Cloud from the last game, I am full of angst and am named after weather." - Slow Beef
ESY16 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:07:58 PM | message detail
Is this a shift in the board vote, or just a lessening of its impact due to the earlier poll time?
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"I was just trying to get it out for you" -Me
"All I saw was pie" - My girlfriend
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:08:13 PM | message detail
From DaruniaTheGoron
Pft, Board 8's been hanging off Snake's nuts since MGS3 and that SSBB trailer.

MEGA MAN WILL STILL WIN! Maybe. >_>


The moment I started my first Metal Gear game(2), he became one of my top ten VG characters.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
janembaman | Posted 11/8/2006 9:08:24 PM | message detail
-_-
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laff
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/8/2006 9:08:52 PM | message detail
From: Karma Hunter
What was his board vote like previously against MM?

Mega Man started off at 59% with the board vote in 2004.


Actually after 7 minutes it was down to 55%.
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CB06 - Score: 106/112 Rank: Tied - 208th Yesterday's Pick: Princess Zelda
Today's Pick: Mega Man Tomorrow's Pick: Crono Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
Draco1214 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:08:58 PM | message detail
WOO SNAKE! <3
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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
frisqo | Posted 11/8/2006 9:09:11 PM | message detail
I dont even care about my bracket anymore. I hope Snake wins this match, beats Crono by 10 votes, and Zelda beats Samus only to lose worse to Snake than she did last year.

And Link somehow losing the BR would make this the best contest ever!
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2006 9:09:19 PM | message detail
This is what happens when Snake gets SSBB and MGS4 hype, coupled with bracket voters.

Of course, MM is still screwed. Can't come back from this.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/8/2006 9:09:46 PM | message detail
And Link somehow losing the BR would make this the best contest ever!

That's the one bit that would make this one of the worst!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
MasterMoltar | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:18 PM | message detail
Snake increase!
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Back from the shadows...
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:20 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
103----2--------100.0000000
102----18-------100.0000000
101----24-------95.8333333
100----64-------96.8750000
99-----104------98.0769231
98-----140------94.2857143
97-----188------96.8085106
96-----227------87.2246696
95-----236------88.5593220
94-----270------76.2962963
93-----319------78.9968652
92-----388------77.8350515
91-----376------73.9361702
90-----433------78.2909931
89-----537------71.8808194
88-----506------68.9723320
87-----662------71.9033233
86-----665------70.8270677
85-----696------71.5517241
84-----743------66.2180350
83-----748------66.4438503
82-----796------65.5778894
81-----807------66.0470880
80-----855------66.5497076
79-----891------63.7485971
78-----896------61.7187500
77-----886------64.8984199
76-----966------56.5217391
75-----978------63.8036810
74-----962------58.1081081
73-----992------59.0725806
72-----1022-----57.8277886
71-----1018-----55.4027505
70-----990------56.8686869
69-----961------53.7981270
68-----1037-----53.1340405
67-----983------53.1027467
66-----973------56.5262076
65-----1035-----51.2077295
64-----982------52.4439919
63-----954------49.7903564
62-----980------49.3877551
61-----950------46.8421053
60-----889------48.5939258
59-----868------45.8525346
58-----887------43.8556933
57-----854------43.7939110
56-----785------44.4585987
55-----838------41.2887828
54-----759------44.5322793
53-----703------38.6913229
52-----666------38.4384384
51-----630------36.5079365
50-----608------35.8552632
49-----572------39.1608392
48-----573------32.8097731
47-----494------31.5789474
46-----487------27.5154004
45-----420------27.8571429
44-----379------22.1635884
43-----372------26.3440860
42-----305------27.2131148
41-----267------26.5917603
40-----265------20.7547170
39-----217------26.2672811
38-----193------22.2797927
37-----191------20.9424084
36-----135------22.2222222
35-----144------18.7500000
34-----102------20.5882353
33-----79-------20.2531646
32-----72-------19.4444444
31-----73-------17.8082192
30-----56-------10.7142857
29-----45-------13.3333333
28-----41-------9.7560976
27-----20-------5.0000000
26-----27-------11.1111111
25-----18-------5.5555556
24-----19-------0.0000000
23-----14-------7.1428571
22-----10-------10.0000000

Everybody with a score of 21 or less got the match wrong.
Overall prediction percentage: 52.79%

Not a bad prediction percentage for the first non-Noble Nine character to reach the Final Four in a Character Battle, even if the bracket was rigged. The -1s and -2s manage to go perfect and the -3s, -4s, -5s, -6s and -7s break 90.

Only one person fell off the Top 50 today. cleansedbyfire2 did not have Zelda taking out Yuna today.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:26 PM | message detail
It... went up... and so did the %...
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
XxSoulxX | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:26 PM | message detail
OUCH!

Big increase there.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:31 PM | message detail
SNAKE OVER 55% !!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
charmander6000 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:35 PM | message detail
>_<

now it's over.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Gaddswell | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:35 PM | message detail
Snake gains!

Solid Snake 55.02% 1459
Mega Man 44.98% 1193
TOTAL VOTES 2652
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:41 PM | message detail
OUCH

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:49 PM | message detail
And Snake increases to 266 !!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
zwong1 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:50 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/8/2006 9:10:58 PM | message detail
And off to bed I go! Hopefully things will be different in the morning... though I don't really think they will be.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
janembaman | Posted 11/8/2006 9:11:01 PM | message detail
God....I give up
**** you Snake
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laff
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:11:13 PM | message detail
*decorates room in cardboard boxes*
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Super Luigi | Posted 11/8/2006 9:11:32 PM | message detail
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.
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Currently playing : Splinter Cell DA(Xbox 360), Dead Rising(Xbox 360), NHL 2K7(Xbox 360).
XBL GT - SuPeR MiKe 86
Terran | Posted 11/8/2006 9:11:35 PM | message detail
This is what happens when Snake gets SSBB and MGS4 hype, coupled with bracket voters.

Of course, MM is still screwed. Can't come back from this.


If Snake does win this I wouldn't peg it all on his strength. Mega Man has arguably been disappointingly in all of his matches thus far. This could be more a sign of him weakening then Snake getting stronger.

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Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo merge to create...Microtendony!
"When the president does it, that means it is not illegal." - Richard Nixon
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/8/2006 9:11:57 PM | message detail
Go Snake! Destroy my bracket and kick that little blue robots ass!
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 9:12:05 PM | message detail
All right everyone, let's be gracious winners.

...AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA (what? this is very gracious for my standards!)
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/8/2006 9:12:06 PM | message detail
Up 120 in FIVE minutes. Given how bad Mega has been all contest, this is effin' ovah!

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
trannyscience | Posted 11/8/2006 9:12:10 PM | message detail
heh yep, today is going to be unbearable up in here.

...gg sir chris?
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zizzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/8/2006 9:12:42 PM | message detail
Go Snake. Looks like he finally has a good chance to break that stigma that's been haunting him all these years. Mega can still win this, but the damage is done. Hopefully the winner impresses in the next round.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/8/2006 9:13:05 PM | message detail
From trannyscience Posted 11/9/2006 12:12:10 AM #345
heh yep, today is going to be unbearable up in here.

...gg sir chris?


EVERY day is unbearable during contest season.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/8/2006 9:13:06 PM | message detail
My victory in the guru contest is one step closer!!!
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
MasterMoltar | Posted 11/8/2006 9:13:23 PM | message detail
Samus would be doing better than this on MM.

Yeah, I went there!!
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Back from the shadows...
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/8/2006 9:13:34 PM | message detail
Well, it looks like Sonic is the last Noble 9er with zero wins against his peers.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!