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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 419

THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/8/2006 10:33:19 AM | message detail
Wow, Yuna held up amazingly well against the Zelda morning vote. I am extremely impressed. She's very close to Aeris's percentage right now, too, so if you want to chalk up FFXII influx to this, that's as good of an excuse as any, I suppose. Nobody in their wildest dreams would've projected Yuna and Aeris to be closer than Zelda and Aeris pre-contest. It'll be awesome if she outdoes Aeris, too. Yuna deserves it.

Preliminary stats forthcoming!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
TehMissingLink | Posted 11/8/2006 10:35:30 AM | message detail
They should indeed end up pretty close, but Aeris should have some distance between her and Yuna when it's all said and done.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
transience | Posted 11/8/2006 10:37:38 AM | message detail
the fact that Yuna's even close to Aeris is amazing. heck, you could have argued Aeris / Auron pre-contest.
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xyzzy
TehMissingLink | Posted 11/8/2006 10:39:45 AM | message detail
Yeah. It'll be interesting to how they ended up being that way in the end, whether it was Yuna increasing and Aeris decreasing about the same or one going way up and the other way down.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/8/2006 10:43:39 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/8/2006 10:44:59 AM | message detail
Preliminary stats (with Yuna at 43%):

Samus Aran – 41.69%
Tifa Lockhart – 41.28%
Princess Zelda – 34.98%
Aeris Gainsborough – 30.17%
Yuna – 30.08%
Princess Peach – 28.03%
Jill Valentine – 28.02%
Rikku – 25.85%
Chun-Li - 23.56%
KOS-MOS – 23.14%
Kairi – 21.57%
Sheena Fujibayashi – 21.28%
The Boss – 21.01%
Lara Croft – 20.95%
Claire Redfield – 20.67%
Ivy Valentine – 19.67%
Marle – 18.23%
Ada Wong – 16.86%
Celes Chere – 16.36%
Amy Rose – 16.00%
Nidoran F – 15.13%
Kasumi – 14.73%
Terra Branford – 14.38%
Joanna Dark – 13.21%
Lenneth Valkyrie – 12.93%
Roll – 12.45%
Sarah Kerrigan – 11.88%
Cortana – 10.50%
Carmen Sandiego – 9.74%
Princess Daisy – 9.47%
Alyx Vance – 9.41%
Jade – 8.13%

Female Bracket Lower Half Stats

Princess Zelda – 50.00%
Aeris Gainsborough – 43.13%
Yuna – 43.00%
Chun-Li – 33.68%
KOS-MOS – 33.08%
Lara Croft – 29.95%
Marle – 26.07%
Amy Rose – 22.87%
Kasumi – 21.06%
Terra Branford – 20.55%
Joanna Dark – 18.88%
Roll – 17.80%
Sarah Kerrigan – 16.98%
Cortana – 15.01%
Carmen Sandiego – 13.92%
Alyx Vance – 13.45%



Note that Chun-Li got 34.10% on Bowser last year. Pretty close, yo!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/8/2006 10:45:51 AM | message detail
Am I the only one surprised by the rejoicing over Yuna's performance here?

Yeah she's matching Aeris, and that's clearly impressive, but in the wake of Tifa/Samus, shouldn't she be doing much, much better?

Well, I guess my problem with this rejoicing then is because it doesn't make Tifa/Samus any more clearer. If the FFXII effect were that big, you'd think Yuna would benefit from it as well, no? So if Yuna's doing just okay (and I think that's about as well as she is doing, well, but not extraordinary), what went wrong with Tifa/Samus?

Picture factor? I've been so horribly against that for years now...it hurts to consider it.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 11:02:34 AM | message detail


Oh, EC, and Dante has a great day vote!


That wasn't me, that was tranny, but nice try defending your hopeless cause!

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/8/2006 11:06:06 AM | message detail
From FastFalcon05
What went wrong with Tifa/Samus?

Samus dropped.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 11:06:48 AM | message detail
Picture factor? I've been so horribly against that for years now...it hurts to consider it.


It's stupid to completely ignore it too. Just because something you used to believe has been completely shattered, why stop believing it right? And how can you be against it when matches like Snake/Frog have gone down? Samus isn't dropping 10% in 2 years. Tifa isn't boosting that much either, unless of course Jill and Peach are suddenly worth a damn.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
transience | Posted 11/8/2006 11:07:50 AM | message detail
this match is telling me that Zelda isn't some dominating Noble Nine killer. she certainly looked the part as she ripped through her division, but I have a hard time believing that Yuna's suddenly worth 32% or something. before this match I pegged her at 29%, figuring that Zelda would be around 35 and that looks about accurate. it looks like Aeris just fell off the face of the earth for some odd reason.

this doesn't mean Zelda / Samus is a sure thing though - Samus, for all we know, could have just dropped severely. nobody really knows what happened there against Tifa, so that match is somewhat unpredictable. I'd be shocked if Zelda actually pulled off the win, but the percentages are certainly up for debate.
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xyzzy
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 11:08:56 AM | message detail
Zelda didn't exactly look like a killer if you looked at it logically.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
transience | Posted 11/8/2006 11:17:37 AM | message detail
ah yes, of course. 80% on Terra? pfft, overperformance! 56% on Aeris? of course Aeris dropped!
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xyzzy
BDawg | Posted 11/8/2006 11:23:45 AM | message detail
The problem with the pic factor is your faith in humankind wants to say "No voters can't be THAT dumb" and yet time and time again the stats say "Yes, yes they are."
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Should I start running now?
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/8/2006 11:26:01 AM | message detail
And Tifa was probably the least impressive of the female 1 seeds...until yesterday. So go figure.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 11:26:48 AM | message detail
ah yes, of course. 80% on Terra? pfft, overperformance! 56% on Aeris? of course Aeris dropped!

Actually yes. Zelda wasn't suddenly going to beat Mario, and Aeris had underperformed in every match prior to that. It wasn't really surprising at all.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
TRE Public Account | Posted 11/8/2006 12:04:33 PM | message detail
So Zelda didn't look like a killer because she did too well in her matches?
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/8/2006 12:10:53 PM | message detail
It's stupid to completely ignore it too. Just because something you used to believe has been completely shattered, why stop believing it right? And how can you be against it when matches like Snake/Frog have gone down? Samus isn't dropping 10% in 2 years. Tifa isn't boosting that much either, unless of course Jill and Peach are suddenly worth a damn.

I never said I was ignoring it. I implied that it's a radical turnaround for someone who's been discounting picture factor to have to really believe it exists. Maybe you should have thought about what I said before portraying me as inflexible?

The problem with the pic factor is your faith in humankind wants to say "No voters can't be THAT dumb" and yet time and time again the stats say "Yes, yes they are."

Agree, agree, agree.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
voltch | Posted 11/8/2006 12:12:53 PM | message detail
so did yuna gain popularity since her first appearence?
she seems to have jst switched strength with the old tidus.
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 12:13:19 PM | message detail
So Zelda didn't look like a killer because she did too well in her matches?

Only in Terra's case, no one bought that match as reality when it happened, please site one person who was taking Zelda > Mario after that happened. Carmen was an unknown, and guaranteed fodder, and Aeris looked like ass 3 rounds in a row. There was no reason to think that Zelda had boosted any significant amount.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
WhiteTuxedo | Posted 11/8/2006 12:14:12 PM | message detail
Pic factor doesn't exist, Tifa is just stronger this year.

Watch, Zelda will lose to Samus.

Sonic will beat Samus in the finals.
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-The biggest Terry Bogard fan ever.-
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-
TehMissingLink | Posted 11/8/2006 12:19:50 PM | message detail
Zelda didn't exactly look like a killer if you looked at it logically.

...Yeah. So how exactly do you look like a "killer" then?

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 12:21:19 PM | message detail
Go up against someone who isn't overrated and do well, and don't perform to obviously ridiculous numbers that make you look like God. It's not like this is the first time I'm saying this.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 12:21:20 PM | message detail
Dress like an elf and carry a sword.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Mister Mario | Posted 11/8/2006 12:24:23 PM | message detail
Wait, Tifa cheated? Interesting.
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Z1mZum more like Z1mAwesome.
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Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/8/2006 12:26:26 PM | message detail
"Pic factor doesn't exist, Tifa is just stronger this year."


Uh, she would be able to beat Snake and Sonic if that was her real strength. Theres no way that was legit. Vincent is stronger than she is.

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Can't think of a good sig.
Keno316 | Posted 11/8/2006 12:31:29 PM | message detail
Wait, Tifa cheated? Interesting.

Trying earnestly to down play her, huh?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
BDawg | Posted 11/8/2006 12:33:33 PM | message detail
Well it looks like the afterschool will try to keep Zelda over 57% at least.
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Should I start running now?
Janus5000 | Posted 11/8/2006 12:37:10 PM | message detail
Compared to Aeris, Yuna's holding up remarkably well so far.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/8/2006 12:38:51 PM | message detail
From TehMissingLink
Zelda didn't exactly look like a killer if you looked at it logically.

...Yeah. So how exactly do you look like a "killer" then?


http://img65.imageshack.us/img65/3914/1158320642840dx6rz3.jpg

That's how.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
TehMissingLink | Posted 11/8/2006 12:39:03 PM | message detail
THE WORK OF FFXII!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 12:39:32 PM | message detail
*Mario/Samus
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mmm feel the vibration baby
TehMissingLink | Posted 11/8/2006 12:40:16 PM | message detail
lol ec

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Keno316 | Posted 11/8/2006 12:40:28 PM | message detail
From: TehMissingLink | Posted: 11/8/2006 4:39:03 PM | Message Detail
THE WORK OF FFXII!


You know what that means!!! ZELDA > MAIN BRACKET!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 12:40:32 PM | message detail
lol hm
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mmm feel the vibration baby
TehMissingLink | Posted 11/8/2006 12:41:16 PM | message detail
You know what that means!!! ZELDA > MAIN BRACKET!

Better believe it!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/8/2006 12:45:53 PM | message detail
Wow, I came home from school and clicked poll results, and it was my exact oracle prediction. Too bad Zeldumb is going to ruin it now.
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caps
TehMissingLink | Posted 11/8/2006 12:47:59 PM | message detail
We're ahead of Zelda/Aeris right now by about 6,000 votes and that ended with 125,000. Good stuff.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
WhiteTuxedo | Posted 11/8/2006 12:49:41 PM | message detail
Uh, she would be able to beat Snake and Sonic if that was her real strength.

What? I guess it's impossible for Tifa to have benefitted from AC, KHII and DoC (not to mention FFXII). Mainly AC I can see her boost coming from, as she was pretty important in the movie.

But Sonic already beat a boosted Vincent and Sonic >>>> Samus anyway. Samus got blown out by Mario last year, didn't she?
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-The biggest Terry Bogard fan ever.-
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-
red sox 777 | Posted 11/8/2006 12:50:50 PM | message detail
But Sonic already beat a boosted Vincent and Sonic >>>> Samus anyway. Samus got blown out by Mario last year, didn't she?

She also blew out Sonic the year before that.
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"........!" ~Magus
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 12:51:45 PM | message detail
Stop arguing with Smurf's alts jesus christ.

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Master Moltar | Posted 11/8/2006 12:58:33 PM | message detail
lol @ Zelda and Yuna splitting the morning vote. Yuna once again looks impressive, and may hold during the day. Definitely the star of the female bracket in my eye so far.

Oh, and blargh FFXII influx.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Zelda vs. Yuna - Bracket: Zelda - Vote: Zelda (96/104)
GyratingGrandma | Posted 11/8/2006 12:58:55 PM | message detail
blargh your mother
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mmm feel the vibration baby
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/8/2006 1:06:53 PM | message detail
I'm pleasantly surprised here. Barring massive SFF, Samus should be able to take Zelda down.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
Keno316 | Posted 11/8/2006 1:10:35 PM | message detail
I'm pleasantly surprised here. Barring massive SFF, Samus should be able to take Zelda down.

Anise: Boooooooooooo!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/8/2006 1:11:43 PM | message detail
Wow, I came home from school and clicked poll results, and it was my exact oracle prediction. Too bad Zeldumb is going to ruin it now.

I thought you really liked Zelda? Didn't we always save her a lot in the old tournaments?
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Mister Mario | Posted 11/8/2006 1:13:47 PM | message detail
Trying earnestly to down play her, huh?

To be fair, look at the Ceej topic. She did cheat. Not too much, but it still casts doubt on her strength.
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Z1mZum more like Z1mAwesome.
Support Toadette in the S2k6 Character Contest!
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/8/2006 1:16:30 PM | message detail
I do really like Zelda, but I like Yuna too, and HM is rooting for Zelda, so....>_>
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caps
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/8/2006 1:17:25 PM | message detail
Am I the only one surprised by the rejoicing over Yuna's performance here?

Yeah she's matching Aeris, and that's clearly impressive, but in the wake of Tifa/Samus, shouldn't she be doing much, much better?


Why "much, much better?" Nobody honestly expected her to be around Aeris's number even so. It's impressive when you consider just how much Zelda had been killing everything up to this point. Yes, Yuna had, too, but nobody expected her to be more than middle of the road. We knew Zelda was near-elite. That's what makes this impressive.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/8/2006 1:20:29 PM | message detail
To be fair, look at the Ceej topic. She did cheat. Not too much, but it still casts doubt on her strength.

Both sides cheated, the Tifa side just happened to do it a couple thousand votes more. And neither side counted. It means precisely nothing.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.