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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 418

DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/7/2006 9:16:57 AM | message detail
From: EvenMyROgetsB7
Because the kiddies are in school now! Duhh

Yeah, but even on the west coast it's 9AM, who the hell goes to school at 9AM?


I went to school at like 8:45 before high school.
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CB06 - Score: 90/96 Rank: Tied - 222th Yesterday's Pick: Crono
Today's Pick: Samus Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
chocoboslayer | Posted 11/7/2006 9:17:01 AM | message detail
Does your state use public schools as the voting stations? Maybe only in the states where the schools = voting polls they get off.

Yup, we do that here in Maryland. Though since I'm in college, my ass is still in school today.
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*dances Yuna-style through this topic*
Contest Score: 84/94! Next Pick: Samus Aran vs. Tifa Lockhart
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:17:36 AM | message detail
I wish I went to school at 8:45 before highschool... :(

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/7/2006 9:17:37 AM | message detail
Tifa won a one hour update by 1 vote! >_>
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caps
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/7/2006 9:19:10 AM | message detail
From: EvenMyROgetsB7
I wish I went to school at 8:45 before highschool... :(

When did you go to school during elementary?
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CB06 - Score: 90/96 Rank: Tied - 222th Yesterday's Pick: Crono
Today's Pick: Samus Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:19:13 AM | message detail
Phew.... Samus back in control.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:19:56 AM | message detail
Elementary - 8:30AM
Middle - 7:45
High - 7:00

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
Jack White | Posted 11/7/2006 9:20:49 AM | message detail
Phew. <_<;
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DS Gamer XVII in purgatory.
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/7/2006 9:21:17 AM | message detail
How can you be rooting for Samus at a time like this?

Most likely contest winner taken down by some lame, weak character that no one expected to come close? Awesome.
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caps
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/7/2006 9:21:29 AM | message detail
Holy **** those starting times suck. I went to high school at 8 AM.
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CB06 - Score: 90/96 Rank: Tied - 222th Yesterday's Pick: Crono
Today's Pick: Samus Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:22:05 AM | message detail
While that would be awesome in any other situation, I would never hear the end of it, and I need Samus to prove herself without this ass of a pic against Zelda.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/7/2006 9:22:46 AM | message detail
Before high school, I had to be at school by 7:50. In high school, 8:37.
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caps
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:23:15 AM | message detail
Yeah, getting up at 6AM every day sucks nuts. Just because I refuse to go to sleep before midnight, and that leaves my 6 hours of sleep, and I'm someone who can operate well on 6 hours. It usually takes me until 8AM to actually be alert. Oh well!

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:24:10 AM | message detail
8:35? How the hell do you have any time for sports after school? The good thing about starting that early is we get out of school at 1:55 though.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/7/2006 9:24:40 AM | message detail
Well I'm in college now, I go to school at 1:30 today, woot ^_^ And now I'm off to shower. Hopefully Samus doesn't blow this...
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CB06 - Score: 90/96 Rank: Tied - 222th Yesterday's Pick: Crono
Today's Pick: Samus Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:25:39 AM | message detail
Yeah... I can't wait until I can go to class after noon. Only one more year thank god.

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Cheer Up Emo Kids.
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/7/2006 9:27:32 AM | message detail
1:55? I get out at 3:00, and sports we just do after school...

In fact, almost half the school stays until 5:00 for extra classes, sports, and clubs.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 11/7/2006 9:28:23 AM | message detail
Most likely contest winner taken down by some lame, weak character that no one expected to come close? Awesome.

Bracket + Tifa being a horrid character + Tifa beating The Boss + Noble Nine staying in tact + Liking Samus and her games to a point = Samus has to win this.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
XxSoulxX | Posted 11/7/2006 9:30:19 AM | message detail
Samus is getting Dilly Dally'd here. Be afraid NN, be very afraid (except for Sonic)!
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/7/2006 9:32:03 AM | message detail
Oh, my school times are pretty good. Primary (Elementary) School was like 8:30 if I remember, same with High School. I've lived in three different houses - one for all of primary and a little of high, which were pretty close to the school, and then when I moved I lived like 3 minutes away from my new school. Awesome. Means I can afford to get up past 8 o clock most of the time.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 9:33:55 AM | message detail
In the last hour, there has been a change of exactly 0 votes. Hooray 50/50 matches!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/7/2006 9:51:33 AM | message detail
Oh, Christ. If Mega Man's performances were poor and Crono's bad, this is downright atrocious. Samus by the hour:

12:00 | 50.69%
11:00 | 51.36%
10:00 | 51.96%
09:00 | 52.07%
08:00 | 51.20%
07:00 | 48.23%
06:00 | 44.41%
05:00 | 44.16%
04:00 | 47.03%
03:00 | 49.14%
02:00 | 50.58%
01:00 | 52.56%

That' s horrible. Tifa is now the second character to lead a Noble Niner for a decent period of time (first being Ryu against Sonic), and this might end up closer than Snake/Bowser (closest match between a Noble and non-Noble). If Tifa or Zelda break the Noble Nine I will be absolutely shocked.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 9:52:53 AM | message detail
Considering that Tifa/Zelda are virtually equal in my book, and Tifa has EVERY possible factor going in her favor, if Samus holds on for this one, I'm not too worried about Zelda.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 9:54:04 AM | message detail
Samus/Zelda depends on what picture Samus gets, admittedly.

...Seeing Tifa being #2 in the stats is going to be weird if Samus ends up winning the main bracket anyway.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
Jack White | Posted 11/7/2006 9:54:08 AM | message detail
Of course we all know how Samus just seems to fall apart against other Nintendo, and with a TP pic I'd say Zelda would have a great chance.
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DS Gamer XVII in purgatory.
Big Bob | Posted 11/7/2006 9:55:44 AM | message detail
I want to see Samus hold on to this just to lose to Sonic in the finals.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 9:57:01 AM | message detail
Samus/Zelda depends on what picture Samus gets, admittedly.

...Seeing Tifa being #2 in the stats is going to be weird if Samus ends up winning the main bracket anyway.


And Smurf will use lol smurf stats to say Sonic > Samus. And Zelda getting a TP pic will be pretty worthless in my mind. As long as someone doesn't get an unrecognizable picture, I don't think there's ever going to be any significant change from it. If Samus gets another ZS pic next round, and this match stays this close, then I think Zelda is the favorite, if not, then my money's definitely on Samus.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 9:57:34 AM | message detail
And this match might depend on how the after school vote swings. Tifa's doing a good job of stalling right now. I just wish she'd start making more cuts!

Of course, if previous close matches are any indication, Samus will take the after school vote. Peach/Jill and Yoshi/Dante went about the same: Winner jumps out to big early lead, other character chips away at the lead with the night vote, winner pushes ahead with the morning vote, other character fights back during school hours, and then the winner explodes with the after school vote.

...Defy trends, Tifa! Win!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 9:58:30 AM | message detail
And Smurf will use lol smurf stats to say Sonic > Samus.

Not if she beats Sonic!

...But it'd be better if Sonic just flatout beat her anyway!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/7/2006 9:59:28 AM | message detail
Considering that Tifa/Zelda are virtually equal in my book, and Tifa has EVERY possible factor going in her favor, if Samus holds on for this one, I'm not too worried about Zelda.

Every other factor...except Nintendo SFF, which is known to be a decisive weapon in Samus/Metroid-related matches. SWe at least know Samus won't get any degree of SFF on Zelda...but I could see Zelda rSFFing her annd pulling the win.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 10:00:28 AM | message detail
Zelda is NOT doing anything Ganondorf couldn't. She isn't.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
Osfan | Posted 11/7/2006 10:00:31 AM | message detail
Of course, if previous close matches are any indication, Samus will take the after school vote. Peach/Jill and Yoshi/Dante went about the same: Winner jumps out to big early lead, other character chips away at the lead with the night vote, winner pushes ahead with the morning vote, other character fights back during school hours, and then the winner explodes with the after night vote.

Fixed for Tifa victory!
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"I'll do it with my magic!" Tellah-Final Fantasy 4
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 10:01:43 AM | message detail
Link barely got any SFF on Samus, Ganon was hurt by it if anything, and you expect me to believe Zelda gets rSFF on her, when she's probably the weakest of the trio? I'll pass.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/7/2006 10:02:13 AM | message detail
...But it'd be better if Sonic just flatout beat her anyway!

Of course!!

I think Sonic is the NNer with the least amount of people on the leaderboard picking him to win. I've seen tons of Snake, Samus, MM and Crono ones, and only a couple of Sonic ones.

If it's any indication, a friend of mine who doesn't know a huge amount about the contests picked Ganon to win the whole thing.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 10:02:51 AM | message detail
lol ganon winning the contest what an idiot
>_>

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/7/2006 10:04:05 AM | message detail
Samus didn't SFF Ganon...and anyway, if there's any character in that female bracket that's going to pull rSFF on Samus, it's Zelda. Besides, don't weaker characters find it easier to r/SFF?
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AC2K6 Score: 84/88 Today: Sonic
Mumei | Posted 11/7/2006 10:04:05 AM | message detail
Zombie Tifa appears to be reviving. =(

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 10:04:30 AM | message detail
That's about 100 votes gained by Tifa in the last 15 minutes, folks!

...Which means she's doing the exact same thing she was an hour ago. If this follows, Samus will win the next few updates to push her lead back up to where it was.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/7/2006 10:04:58 AM | message detail
Hmm, actually now I come to think of it, he had him losing to Samus in the final.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 10:05:34 AM | message detail
Besides, don't weaker characters find it easier to r/SFF?

...What? I don't even get what you're trying to say and why it would apply to Zelda.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 10:05:42 AM | message detail
Samus didn't SFF Ganon...and anyway, if there's any character in that female bracket that's going to pull rSFF on Samus, it's Zelda. Besides, don't weaker characters find it easier to r/SFF?

Samus SFFd Ganon, or Samus is underadjusted, take your pick. Either way it makes it harder for Zelda to win, and no, weaker characters don't find it easier to rsff.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
TrueHeroComplex | Posted 11/7/2006 10:06:17 AM | message detail
Sonic is going to win the tournament now. Hands down. There is no chance that anyone in this tournament can beat him anymore. I was somewhat worried about Samus for like...a day. Now that I see her performance? I don't even know if she's going to make the finals to lose to Sonic.
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/7/2006 10:06:54 AM | message detail
Tifa's prediction %: 4.27%
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THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 10:07:22 AM | message detail
Nah, her prediction percentage won't be that low. What, 25% of the voters in that poll thought she was going to win the female bracket?
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
Applekidjosh | Posted 11/7/2006 10:08:40 AM | message detail
So I don't know if anybody's mentioned this yet, but could this Tifa overperformance have to do with it being part of the female bracket? We all saw the overperformance anomolies in the Villain contest, Ganon and Bowser doing WAY too well against Sephiroth. Apparently there's something to be said about the lesser character doing better in high profile matches with gimmicks

Of course, the three matches could be coincidence. Three is definitely not enough to base a study on.
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Pikaness is number-a one! AKJ is zero!
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 10:09:06 AM | message detail
I still have no idea who I want to win the male bracket... just not Crono.

1) Snake - He's clearly the best out of the remaining 4, hell he's the best in the contest period.
2) Mega Man - Everyone has counted him out every single round, sighting his weakness, it would be a giant kick to the groin of the stats topic, and KH would explode from being right initially so many times in one contest, switching bandwagons, and then finding out he was right all along.
3) Sonic - Most awesome person to go into the BR, and it would make PoP look awesome.


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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/7/2006 10:09:26 AM | message detail
Oh yeah. >_>

Board 8's prediction % for Tifa: 0.01%
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caps
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/7/2006 10:10:31 AM | message detail
Chocoboslayer is the only person on 8 to pick Tifa.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/7/2006 10:11:09 AM | message detail
Seeing Mega Man win would be great, but...I just can't see it. That would require something crazy like Sora being the 2nd strongest non-Noble Niner. He can beat Snake, but Crono (or Sonic, if he's there)...It's a bit of a stretch.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
TrueHeroComplex | Posted 11/7/2006 10:12:13 AM | message detail
I picked Tifa, Sonic and Snake to win.
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
-The biggest Sonic fan ever.-