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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 417

MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/7/2006 1:10:06 AM | message detail
I leave this place for a long time if Cloud beats Link a day before Twilight Princess comes out.


(Hint, hint!)

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:10:25 AM | message detail
"Guys. Cloud>Link? Board 8 gets pwned?"

Everyone except Karma Hunter is so screwed.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/7/2006 1:11:27 AM | message detail
Tifa over 49% now.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:12:39 AM | message detail
I plan to leave this place for a long time regardless, but I get the feeling that's what you meant as well. >_>
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
moe44 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:14:34 AM | message detail
...I still think it's the picture...
Seriously, with Solid ****, it was: "Uh, who's that pixel thing? *looks at name* oh, it's Snake, I guess it's from its old game I never played. Go Snake!"

But here it's: "Who the hell is that against Tifa?! *looks a name* Uh? Samus?!? No, that is NOT Samus, what kind of joke is that?!. *votes Tifa*"

<_<

Yes, I'm biased. Go Samus!
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~¹²¤§î¦€Ñ¢€¤²¹~
Vlado | Posted 11/7/2006 1:15:04 AM | message detail
Keep it up, Tifa! ^_^
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Vlado's Awards for Posting Excellence:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30885086
Ngamer64 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:16:25 AM | message detail
Hm... nope, sorry, but SC > Wind Waker's day in the sun would be over. This would be the biggest upset in Contest history. WW was Zelda, sure, but after seeing the rallies StarCraft got against well-respected titles like Halo and KH, no one was expecting WW to take it in a blowout. The average Oracle was Zelda with just 56%, and 5 people actually called the SC upset.

http://oraclechallenge.com/archives.php?contest=SpC2k4&type=match&match=55

Wind Waker might have been a slight favorite to take the 128 bit division, but FFX was right there as well, and plenty of casuals were probably suckered in by Halo and GTA. Samus, on the other hand, was not only the overwhelming favorite to take this whole side of the bracket, but the clear majority choice for overall champion as well. We're talking about 56 points going up in flames on the average predictor's bracket. 56 points! Only Cloud > Link in 2003 comes even close to matching that bracket effect.

This is just... unbelievable.

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thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives
Chinballz | Posted 11/7/2006 1:17:48 AM | message detail
Even if people didn't recognize Suitless Samus via the picture, there's no way in hell they'd look at the name next to the vote button and go "Samus Aran? Who's that?" Unless she's recognizable by her suit alone.
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And that's The Word.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:20:25 AM | message detail
At least there are Gurus that actually have someone other than Samus winning the main bracket. No Guru has Cloud winning the Royale, dammit! It's insulting!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
__hiei__ | Posted 11/7/2006 1:20:48 AM | message detail
suitless samus looks infinitely better anyways

they should just dump the old model and use a suitless one in the next games


also,lead will be below 500 very soon
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/7/2006 1:21:18 AM | message detail
No Guru has Cloud winning the Royale, dammit! It's insulting!

They were smart! =p

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Keno316 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:21:34 AM | message detail
And by very soon you clearly mean. NOW
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
Gaddswell | Posted 11/7/2006 1:21:55 AM | message detail
Lead under 500. Another 58% update for Tifa.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
evp | Posted 11/7/2006 1:22:20 AM | message detail
It seems the FF XII is really pulling in the RPG people to vote. This is the end plays for Crono's pocket in the main bracket. He is the only RPG character alive on the male side. Though this doesn't bode well for anyone but sephy and cloud in the battle royale....
Keno316 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:22:30 AM | message detail
BTW, what's the votal looking like?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:23:30 AM | message detail
Just the fact that a Noble 9er is letting an outsider score 58% updates is insulting. Get your fine, curvy, delicious ass in gear, Samus.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/7/2006 1:24:15 AM | message detail
...Samus is just getting rocked right now. This is just...bad.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
__hiei__ | Posted 11/7/2006 1:24:29 AM | message detail
around 4.000 votes above crono/auron currently
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:25:26 AM | message detail
It seems the FF XII is really pulling in the RPG people to vote. This is the end plays for Crono's pocket in the main bracket. He is the only RPG character alive on the male side. Though this doesn't bode well for anyone but sephy and cloud in the battle royale....

Are you kidding? We've all seen the evidence, it's perfectly clear now -- Snake/Sora SFF, Snake/Squall SFF, FF7/MGS, Sephiroth/Liquid -- Solid Snake is a Final Fantasy character! Aw yeah come on FFXII boost for Snake
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Keno316 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:25:29 AM | message detail
Lots of characters are managing 45%+ on the N9 now...which in the end is a good thing. The N9 dominance is coming to an end.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:27:46 AM | message detail
Also, this sad performance almost forces me to cheer for Samus against Zelda. There's no way the same person who scared Sephiroth, held up better than Mario against Link, and broke 40% on Cloud could have fallen this hard. If she gets past Zelda, I still consider her the overall favorite (assuming she gets a Power Suit pic >_>). Also, I'd just love to see a set of stats where Tifa ranks second.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/7/2006 1:29:25 AM | message detail
The floodgates won't really open until one of them loses to a non-NN character. Once that happens is when everyone starts joining the club!

OPEN 'EM UP ZELDA FOR GREAT JUSTICE !!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
__hiei__ | Posted 11/7/2006 1:30:10 AM | message detail
Samus isn't even a lock to win this match anymore.>_>
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:31:06 AM | message detail
Ah, if only. If it weren't for predictable voting trends I'd be pissing myself with excitement right now.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Keno316 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:31:41 AM | message detail
Wow, if the FF12 is truly in effect here...this could even be a second Sub-Zero/MC during the day...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/7/2006 1:32:10 AM | message detail
The fact that there is the morning vote and then the after school vote after that, this match is definitely over. There's no guarantee that Tifa will even get the lead here during the night. Impressive performance, no doubt, but this one is done come morning.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:33:22 AM | message detail
No one is calling her a lock, but if she does manage to win the bracket, it's conceivable that Tifa could come in second.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:33:31 AM | message detail
Okay, fine, FFXII blamers, put your money where your mouth is! ^_^ If Link/Cloud is held today (none of that day before Wii/TP hype jazz !!), who wins???
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
moe44 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:33:47 AM | message detail
Even if people didn't recognize Suitless Samus via the picture, there's no way in hell they'd look at the name next to the vote button and go "Samus Aran? Who's that?" Unless she's recognizable by her suit alone.

And that's my point. Some people will be frustrated to see someone who they think is NOT the Samus they know and love. Thus they vote for Tifa (assuming they know Tifa of course).

Also, I'm sure some people don't actually know what's Samus name and normally vote because they recognize the pic. Yes, that's ridiculous, but I have little doubt many people are that clueless.

Also, FFXII and KHII.

<_<
rpgapzx | Posted 11/7/2006 1:33:56 AM | message detail
With the influx to Tifa's count being attributed to FF12, theres no reason a change in voting demogrpahic may not favor Tifa's day vote. It might not, but it might. No need to call it now HM.


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Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 93/96 // Today: Samus Leaderboard 40th
Ngamer64 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:34:07 AM | message detail
But that's just the thing. Tifa is pulling in these huge 58% update victories during the hours of voting dominated by Europeans. Euroes, as in... the one group that isn't playing FF12 right now. I don't see why it should be a given that things are going to be "set straight" once the FF12-loving American crowd begins to wake up. Especially not when this KH2 pic plays so well into the same hands that Sora and Auron have exploited to the utmost this past week...

Frankly, I'm nervous!

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thengamer.com/xstats - "lol x-stats," The Contest Simulator
thengamer.com/gamefaqs - The Contest Archives
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:34:43 AM | message detail
Err... Link? Easily at that?
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/7/2006 1:35:51 AM | message detail
If Link/Cloud is held today (none of that day before Wii/TP hype jazz !!), who wins???

Link wins today, tomorrow, next week, the week after, and two years later.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:35:56 AM | message detail
Err... Link? Easily at that?

...I shall strike that atrocious reply from my mind and continue undeterred!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/7/2006 1:39:13 AM | message detail
I bet there's a number of people who don't even know Samus' name and just vote for the person in the cool robot suit >_> Without the suit pic, Samus is powerless!
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CB06 - Score: 90/96 Rank: Tied - 222th Yesterday's Pick: Crono
Today's Pick: Samus Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:39:55 AM | message detail
Has a Noble 9er ever actually trailed at a notable time in the match (ie. after the opening seconds)? I'm drawing blanks...
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:40:41 AM | message detail
Ryu had a lead on Sonic for a good while throughout the night.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
__hiei__ | Posted 11/7/2006 1:42:24 AM | message detail
how much time left till the morning vote begins? i don't live near US so i don't know
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:42:40 AM | message detail
In fact, he lead from the 40 minute mark to the 1:30 mark. His highest percentage was 51%.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:43:29 AM | message detail
I typically think of the morning vote as starting at around 7 am, so at least two more hours I'd say.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:44:53 AM | message detail
That's EST, of course.

...goodness I can't wait until EC wakes up.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/7/2006 1:46:16 AM | message detail
Samus is still underrated
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Keno316 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:46:28 AM | message detail
JESUS....TAPDANCING...CHRIST!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/7/2006 1:46:40 AM | message detail
...Holy crap that was a 64% update...

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/7/2006 1:46:56 AM | message detail
A 64% update, Jesus L Chris
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/7/2006 1:47:10 AM | message detail
64% UPDATE FOR TIFA GG SAMUS
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
__hiei__ | Posted 11/7/2006 1:47:10 AM | message detail
Wow.big update for tifa O_o

lead went from 411 to below 350
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/7/2006 1:47:20 AM | message detail
WHOAMG 5 in a row
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
JamesOwnzMaz | Posted 11/7/2006 1:49:27 AM | message detail
Hi guys.
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Oilers 4-Dead Things-2....Detroit SUCKS
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/7/2006 1:50:26 AM | message detail
My god...

Tifa is definitely getting the lead before morning.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!