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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 417

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/6/2006 6:08:11 PM | message detail
Ulti has a whoooooooole new respect for TV today.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:08:46 PM | message detail
Crono > Sephiroth > Mario
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"........!" ~Magus
Tediz247 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:10:54 PM | message detail
I don't know what you're referring to, but I've gained respect for cameramen today. The poor guys have to sit through this piece of crap game on ESPN...
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/6/2006 6:12:53 PM | message detail
Snake > Sonic > Crono > Mega Man
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 7: Bahamut (2-4)
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:14:48 PM | message detail
Crono > Sephiroth > Mario

??????
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 10:20:15 PM | message detail
Samus, Mega Man, and Crono are doomed.

The Reign of Characters I Can't Stand is nearly at an end.
---
5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/6/2006 10:20:58 PM | message detail
Sonic > Snake > Crono > Samus > Mega Man

The new order of the lower Noble Nine!
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Demyx > Axel
Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Phoenix Wright 2: Justice For All
goku z | Posted 11/6/2006 10:21:03 PM | message detail
This is just sad. Sonic and Snake could do this to Tifa >.>
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Dirty old men > Squall || Check out Contact, the GotY 2006!
Every time red13n mods a fad, a nerd gets his zits.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 10:21:40 PM | message detail
Mega Man > Samus is alive and well, *****es!
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 10:21:49 PM | message detail
It's beautiful.

Please day vote, give Tifa the win and let Samus forever be known as She Who Destroyed the Noble Nine.
---
5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
Big Bob | Posted 11/6/2006 10:21:52 PM | message detail
Watch everyone get excited about the Snake/Mega Man/Sonic/Crono fourpack only for every match to be anticlimactic.

*cheers for Sonic*
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/6/2006 10:21:57 PM | message detail
Cloud > Link confirmed, baby. Believe it.

I do not believe!

---
"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/6/2006 10:23:25 PM | message detail
Maybe FFXII is helping FF characters after all O_o

And Aeris's match was too early! =D
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 11/6/2006 10:24:29 PM | message detail
Even if it's the case that Samus gets less people than normal to recognize her wiht this pic in the day, she'll still win it and end with a better % than this. The thing I'm thinking here is that this isn't all picture (it never is), and that she's going to legitimately rank lower than she has before. She (like Crono) seems to be a character that thrives in years with lower voter turnouts.
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Keno316 | Posted 11/6/2006 10:24:35 PM | message detail
Cloud > Link confirmed, baby. Believe it.

Now watch something weird happen, like Sephiroth outlast Cloud in the BR, and completely ruin that.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/6/2006 10:24:46 PM | message detail
From The n00b Avenger Posted 11/7/2006 1:23:25 AM #013
Maybe FFXII is helping FF characters after all O_o

And Aeris's match was too early! =D


Or maybe FF12 actually did help Aeris, but Zelda is such a beast this contest that she went up way more than Aeris. And don't say it's not possible after seeing what's going on here.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 10:24:52 PM | message detail
If after all this everything plays out according to pre-contest expectations (i.e. Samus > Crono > Mega Man > Sonic > Snake) I will be immeasurably disappointed.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/6/2006 10:25:13 PM | message detail
I wouldn't mind seeing a 2k2-esque match against between Link and Sephiroth!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
HaRRicH | Posted 11/6/2006 10:25:28 PM | message detail
Barely beat Sonic. And, iirc, there were some hours of day vote missing from that match that would likely have reversed the match. Also, the game being brought into question as being a major contributor of her strength was already out at the time.

That was Sonic/Tidus you're thinking of. That said, I would think it's safe to say Samus wouldn't have beat Sonic if SSBM wasn't out -- not even the SSB series, just SSBM.
---
Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 11/6/2006 10:25:50 PM | message detail
At this point I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see Zelda > Samus, though I wouldn't dare place money on that one.
---
If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 10:25:56 PM | message detail
Tell me about it. There must be blood. Upsets MUST happen. Samus/Mega Man/Crono must DIE.
---
5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
falcofan88 | Posted 11/6/2006 10:26:44 PM | message detail
TP hype is at a fever pitch - for Link to lose... that's impossible.

But Samus is underperforming. PIC IST BIAS.
---
Don't slack off - the wife and heavens are watching.
Make sure to check out Contact, GotY 2006!
Keno316 | Posted 11/6/2006 10:33:24 PM | message detail
Maybe its is all legit and KH2F really exists. Kairi and Axel really are that powerful. Sora, Tifa and Auron boosted up the ying yang. Aeris boosted as well, and Zelda boosted even MORE making her > Samus all the more likely. And Auron super increasing means Crono is still going strong.


....Come on Crono/Zelda final. >>
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
Gaddswell | Posted 11/6/2006 10:35:33 PM | message detail
So, how's people's opinion on Mega Man/Snake looking, now that we've seen the true power of KHII?
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Aprosenf | Posted 11/6/2006 10:35:46 PM | message detail
Damn it, it's Yin Yang.
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If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 10:38:41 PM | message detail
So, how's people's opinion on Mega Man/Snake looking, now that we've seen the true power of KHII?

Snake whipped post-KH2 Squall.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/6/2006 10:39:10 PM | message detail
....Come on Crono/Zelda final.

I could deal with this!

---
"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/6/2006 10:41:24 PM | message detail
Snake whipped post-KH2 Squall.

And Mega Man beat the guy with the biggest benefit of the KH2 boost in Sora. Therefore you still can't draw any damn conclusions. I love both MM and Snake to death, but I'm not gonna draw any conclusions till the match is on >_>
---
Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
nobleIII | Posted 11/6/2006 10:43:10 PM | message detail
Ok, lets see..first of all. Tifa staying close depends on the morning vote. Last year, Sonic completely dominated her in it. Samus doesn't have the morning vote of Sonic, and this picture could prove lethal. I expect Tifa to go down some perhaps, but..if she follows Vincent's trend on Sonic, who barely lost % during morning vote, this could turn into a nice match. Vincent was actually doing very well in day vs sonic as well, gaining %, and he wasn't in KH2..Tifa who is in it might gain some % on Samus during that time. Nintendo characters tend to do well during after school vote, but..will Samus picture be well received, and will it be enough to stop the KH2 afterschool vote which so far has dominated even N9 members..MM and Crono. I really don't know what to make of this match. Also, Zelda..she has a shot I think, but Zelda and Tifa were close last year. Tifa is doing this well, then she must have boosted a ton, or Samus was overrated. Tifa might be stronger or equal to Zelda this year.
FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 10:45:26 PM | message detail
Meh, it seems obvious to me that FFXII is having a larger effect on the Final Fantasy cast than KH2.
---
5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
Gaddswell | Posted 11/6/2006 10:49:27 PM | message detail
53% update for Tifa!
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
__hiei__ | Posted 11/6/2006 10:50:37 PM | message detail
lol

Tifa will reach 48% if things keep going like this.
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 10:50:55 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Keno316 | Posted 11/6/2006 10:51:29 PM | message detail
An overrated Samus wouldn't surprise me, honestly. I never bought adjusting her to Mario's level after THAT beating she got. Sure, the match SFF but no way that much...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 10:51:43 PM | message detail
Zelda>Samus
Snake>Megaman
Sonic>Crono

It will be the ultimate bracket killer ever.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 10:52:28 PM | message detail
And Mega Man beat the guy with the biggest benefit of the KH2 boost in Sora.

Sora isn't on Squall's level, and never has been.

Tifa staying close depends on the morning vote.

Not necessarily. We're just getting out of the hours now that have typically favored Nintendo. Tifa ended up even higher at the end of the match with Peach than she did at this time.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/6/2006 10:52:35 PM | message detail
I must say, this year's elite eight is shaping up to be much better than last year's.

TuRtLe
~~~
81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Keno316 | Posted 11/6/2006 11:02:00 PM | message detail
Man, leads not even at 1000 yet.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 11:02:53 PM | message detail
TIfa + Final Fantasy 12 + Advent Children + Kingdom Heart 2 + Bad Samus Picture= Formidable Enemy for Samus.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
Kaxon | Posted 11/6/2006 11:04:16 PM | message detail
Tifa's coming awfully close to winning 15 minute updates here. In the last 45 minutes, the lead has only grown by 51 votes.
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....TCELES B HSUP
RockMFR 5 | Posted 11/6/2006 11:17:16 PM | message detail
I can see Tifa taking the day vote in this one. It will definitely be very close.
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O RLY? ALVEOLA RLY! o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 11:18:00 PM | message detail
I can see Tifa taking the day vote in this one.

Oh no you can't.
---
*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Redtooth | Posted 11/6/2006 11:18:17 PM | message detail
This was...unexpected. But at least this could mean a lot more fun during the BR! It feels like we have no idea who could make it at this point, and if we thought the BR was unpredictable before the contest, this match seems to imply that anything is still possible.

In the elite 8, 6 are still considered contenders for the win. Now that's how a contest should go. Sure, some may flop, but at this point the arguments are there and all at least somewhat plausible.

Oh, and now I'm just waiting for Yuna to pull some sort of miracle upset. Female bracket boring my ass! It's given a few great matches, let's not let the bad(fodder)apples spoil the amazing ones.

---
Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 11/6/2006 11:18:44 PM | message detail
Goddamn you Zero Suit Samus.
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CB06 - Score: 90/96 Rank: Tied - 222th Yesterday's Pick: Crono
Today's Pick: Samus Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC, Kirby
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 11:19:58 PM | message detail
Oh, and now I'm just waiting for Yuna to pull some sort of miracle upset.

No, i don't think so.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
BeTheMan | Posted 11/6/2006 11:21:29 PM | message detail
This is...wow. But on the plus side, if the Zelda-beast hangs 55% on Samus, Aeris can still come out ahead of Tifa. Hurrah!
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ALL YOUR VOTES ARE BELONG TO Z1mZum FOR ROCKING THE GURU WORLD
__hiei__ | Posted 11/6/2006 11:22:27 PM | message detail
it would be great if tifa kept this strenght in the day.a match that no one cared about suddenly becomes a very good one
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/6/2006 11:22:35 PM | message detail
Oh, and now I'm just waiting for Yuna to pull some sort of miracle upset.

Let's not hope for such things when there is a chance for Zelda to break the Noble Nine !!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 11:23:48 PM | message detail
Zelda beating Samus has a way much higher chance than Yuna beating Zelda.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 11:23:50 PM | message detail
Damn it Samus, just let Tifa win a fifteen minute update you unrecognizable whore
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.