GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 416
| Draco1214 | Posted 11/6/2006 5:56:11 PM | message detail |
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I find it ironic that his value will likely end up being pretty damn close to his 2005 value. --- Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/6/2006 5:59:06 PM | message detail |
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Also, poor Crono. Of all the explanation for Auron's overperformance, none of them are good for Crono. First, it implies that Ganon may have been stronger than we thought last year, meaning Sonic is looking to be an absolute beast. Secondly, it makes Sora's performance against Mega Man seem more valid, meaning the winner of MM/Snake will be looking good. Lastly, it implies that Auron may have been underrated due to Smaus/Mario adjustments not being high enough. From being a lock to take the male bracket and give Samus a run, Crono sure isn't looking too good. Hopefully he can overcome these obstacles. It's also good to see the bottom 5 members of the NN looking to be closer than once thought. TuRtLe ~~~ 81/88 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| Haste_2 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:00:06 PM | message detail |
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Wow...Auron's past 55% now. That's just odd. He only gained 3% on
ALUCARD between his lowest percentage and his final percentage, yet
he's gained over 5% on Crono from his lowest percentage already. 'll bring up an old point - pre-KH, who would you take to win, Squall or Auron? Pre-KH1, eh? Auron, by far. =p I'd probably take Auron in 2K3 and 2K4, as well, but I don't think 2K5. If anything, Auron's practically validating [Vincent/Crono] as a normal matchup. I think Vincent/Crono's result also confirms that Auron isn't overperforming on Crono, and even more strongly on that part, since you would expect FF7 to have more powerful SFF! Assuming Auron ends at 45.5% and using a constant Crono, Auron goes up to 36.28% on BL. Wowzers...though I can't say I'm surprised... Sub-Zero threw me off a bit. That makes Alucard equal to 25.11%, by the way. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:00:58 PM | message detail |
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Last year, Sonic was projected to score over 56% on Ganondorf. This
year, he's projected to get only 54%. I think it's pretty obvious Ganon
was underrated, which makes Auron's boost a little less extreme. --- Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003 |
| red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:03:02 PM | message detail |
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Hmm... FFXII helping Auron here would also validate my theory that
FFXII would help those affected more during the afterschool and evening
because that is when people play games and thus come to look at faqs
more frequently. Of course, it didn't seem to give Aeris any help at
resisting Zelda's afterschool vote. --- "........!" ~Magus |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/6/2006 6:03:29 PM | message detail |
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Unless Ganondorf just boosted. Zelda's looking pretty good this year
compared to last year. Ganondorf could have gotten into her stash too. --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:10:44 PM | message detail |
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I still say Zelda's matches are a bit inconclusive. I'll wait and see
what she does to Yuna before I'll say she boosted at all. The match is
also good in that we can compare what she gets on Yuna to how Ganondorf
did. --- Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 6:24:24 PM | message detail |
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Holy crap, Auron is STILL chugging? He's almost equal to 2005 Bowser
now based on a constant Crono. If he ends at 45.4% (random guess), he
ends up at 36.20% on Base Link (between Bowser and Vincent). Subbie
ends up at around 29% on BL, and MC at 28% something... So 2005 MC ends up more or less legit? lol @ that. It's also strange how I thought MC would be at 27-28% on BL, which may end up correct, just not in the way that I at all expected. Go Go Auron! There's no way he was THIS underrated in 2005. He had to have recieved a good-sized boost. --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Crono vs. Auron - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Auron (84/92) |
| Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/6/2006 6:25:35 PM | message detail |
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This just makes me question the taste of voters here. HOW DOES SUB-ZERO HAVE ANY STRENGTH AT ALL!!! --- Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum! |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/6/2006 6:27:41 PM | message detail |
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Sub-Zero is awesome, that's why. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 7: Bahamut (2-4) |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 6:29:35 PM | message detail |
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Man, if Auron gets Crono down to 54.09%, then I could use Smurf stats
to say Ganondorf > Crono! That's almost as great as Shadow >
Snake! --- Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded. Crono vs. Auron - Bracket: Crono - Vote: Auron (84/92) |
| zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:31:53 PM | message detail |
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If Snake and Sonic does indeed win their elite eight matches, imagine how many users on the leaderboard will get replaced. --- I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman. |
| Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/6/2006 6:39:16 PM | message detail |
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If MM>Snake and Sonic>Crono, maybe I can be #1 on the leaderboard for a while (#16 now). --- Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum! |
| Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/6/2006 6:40:38 PM | message detail |
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I wonder if I actually have a chance of winning if Sonic > Snake ends up happening. --- "An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows." |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:52:01 PM | message detail |
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I hope Sonic goes on a bloody rampage and owns everything (PoP legit?
Too legit to quit?). Up until Samus gets 75% on him, but Samus rSFFs
everyone and goes on to get every single vote in the BR, eliminating
all competition on the first day. --- Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies! |
| FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 6:52:27 PM | message detail |
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Crono's constant bleeding pleases me to no end. The Blue Blur must have satisfaction. Crono must die. I don't even care about Snake/Mega Man vs. Sonic. Hell, if it were Snake/Sonic, I'd be happy with either result. But Crono MUST BE DEFEATED. For great justice. I have watch that worthless mute punk destroy too many amazing characters. I've witnessed too much sin, too many indignities. The red-headed step child of Goku will fall, and I will celebrate by finally changing my sig. --- 5/18/05 Never forget. Never forgive. |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:54:24 PM | message detail |
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If Snake actually wins the male bracket this year, I can't even imagine
what he'll be like after SSBB and MGS4 actually come out. Not that I
think it's happening, it's between Sonic and Crono in my mind still,
though Snake certainly has a chance. --- Cheer Up Emo Kids. |
| EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:55:23 PM | message detail |
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Plus Sonic making the BR would be the best possible outcome... that or
Crono. MM & Snake would both get rocked into oblivion, I want to
see how Sonic or Crono could do. --- Cheer Up Emo Kids. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 7:37:17 PM | message detail |
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Sonic got rocked in the Battle Royale poll with Crono, Snake, and Sora. I'd only take him over Samus and maybe Mario if he's lucky. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/6/2006 7:39:19 PM | message detail |
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^That wasn't a real poll though KH. IIRC the question was who was most
likely to win the male bracket, not who would you vote for. --- Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum! |
| Big Bob | Posted 11/6/2006 7:40:39 PM | message detail |
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If Sonic won the male bracket, I can see him outlasting Mario on Day 1. --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/6/2006 7:41:19 PM | message detail |
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To think that Crono has gone from 50-50 with Mario to 50-50 with Sonic --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 7:41:39 PM | message detail |
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And? People end up voting pretty similarly to that anyway. Look at the
Series Contest poll that asked which 1 seed was most likely to get
upset, it goes Zelda > FF > Mario > Metal Gear. Imagine that. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 7:42:25 PM | message detail |
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...in terms of strength, not in terms of who's getting upset. Metal Gear doubled up faces in that poll !! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Cecil | Posted 11/6/2006 7:50:21 PM | message detail |
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To think that Crono has gone from 50-50 with Mario to 50-50 with Sonic It was bound to happen, it's not like Crono will ever have a remake or another game. He's been so powerful for so long because so many believe that Chrono Trigger was one of the greatest rpg's ever, his popularity won't last forever. Don't get me wrong, I would still rank Chrono Trigger as my favorite rpg....though Crono is my least favorite character in the game...*shrug* |
| FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 7:52:44 PM | message detail |
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I may be confused, but didn't the series contest go Zelda> FF> Mario> Smash Bros> Sonic> Metal Gear? --- 5/18/05 Never forget. Never forgive. |
| CountCrazy007 | Posted 11/6/2006 7:53:36 PM | message detail |
| Of course Crono will be the first noble nine to
lose, but Crono isn't down to 50-50 with Sonic just yet. Oh well, I
guess we'll find out soon enough. --- 4th Place of the Fall 2005 10-Year Anniversary Contest |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 7:54:07 PM | message detail |
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Neither Smash Brothers nor Sonic were in that poll. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 7:55:07 PM | message detail |
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I was thinking in terms of the Series Contest. --- 5/18/05 Never forget. Never forgive. |
| CountCrazy007 | Posted 11/6/2006 7:57:37 PM | message detail |
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From FourthDeus I may be confused, but didn't the series contest go Zelda> FF> Mario> Smash Bros> Sonic> Metal Gear? Correct. --- 4th Place of the Fall 2005 10-Year Anniversary Contest |
| Big Bob | Posted 11/6/2006 8:01:28 PM | message detail |
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Did some quick Xstats calculations. Sonic is projected to get 45.43% on Ganondorf this year. Right now, Crono has 45.42% on Auron, who Ganondorf easily beat last year. So unless Auron boosted enough to beat Ganondorf, Crono is so screwed --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 11/6/2006 8:06:26 PM | message detail |
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Despite how well Auron has done, he hasn't won a single 15 minute update. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/6/2006 8:06:58 PM | message detail |
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But if the ratio between Bowser and Ganondorf remains the same as it
was in the villains contest, Crono beats Ganondorf with 56%! And you can't argue with the villain's contest. Those values were rock-solid. --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 8:07:01 PM | message detail |
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I told you goofballs I would have taken Auron > Ganondorf this year! Sure, Subby made me lose the faith, but I was initially right! --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 8:10:29 PM | message detail |
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Limit of the Spazer Division: Round 4 - Match 57 – (1)Samus vs. (1)Tifa Moltar’s Analysis Samus - The Best of the Best in the female half, and the whole bracket! Round 1 – 81.85% vs. Nidoran F (18.15%) Round 2 – 79.78% vs. Ada (20.22%) Round 3 – 69.00% vs. Rikku (31.00%) More Samus domination in Round 3 Tifa - The Breast of the Best in the female half, WOO Tifa Breast joke #53324! Round 1 – 76.18% vs. Ivy (23.82%) Round 2 – 74.55% vs. The Boss (25.45%) Round 3 – 66.05% vs. Peach (33.95%) Tifa nearly doubles the Princess. Samus has taken down all that have stepped in her path so far, but now she faces her toughest opponent yet. Hey Samus, Breasts have arrived! Now, Tifa has looked pretty good so far. Good numbers against Ivy and The Boss, decent stuff against Peach. That’s all good and stuff…but you need a bit more than that to face Samus. I mean, Tifa got 43% on Sonic last year, and Samus has beaten Sonic twice in the past. Tifa doesn’t even look to be much stronger than her last year self. Maybe it was just her opponents though… Samus on the other hand is looking to be at or above her 2005 value, and that’s more than enough to win this match easily. Samus beats Tifa 60-40 using last year’s stats, and I honestly don’t see it being to far away from that result. Tifa fans should feel good if she breaks 40%, because 45% is waaay too much to ask for. Oh, and it’s the debut of Zero Suit Samus! Time to see her kick some ass and take some names! Moltar’s Bracket Says: Samus will win. Moltar’s Prediction is: Samus: 59% - Tifa: 41% Ulti’s Analysis We're in the final eight and still have eeeeeeeasy matches on the female side. All this is is a "guess the winner's percent!" type of match. Prediction: Samus with 59.47% HM’s Analysis Samus Aran Previous Matches: Samus Aran – 81.85% -- 95,533 Nidoran F – 18.15% -- 21,180 Samus Aran – 79.78% -- 98,352 Ada Wong – 20.22% -- 24,923 Samus Aran – 69% -- 85,439 Rikku – 31% -- 38,387 Tifa Lockhart Previous Matches: Tifa Lockhart – 76.18% -- 96,118 Ivy Valentine – 23.82% -- 30,046 Tifa Lockhart – 74.55% -- 90,595 The Boss – 25.45% -- 30,934 Tifa Lockhart – 66.05% -- 79,830 Princess Peach – 33.95% -- 41,033 Starting the female bracket now isn’t so bad when you’re starting it off with something like Samus/Tifa! Although the result of this match is a foregone conclusion, it’ll be nice to actually see two strong Nintendo and Square characters going at it. This one should help us get an idea of where Tifa stands after KH2 and where characters like Peach and Jill end up placing. Samus had a pretty “by the stats” match against Rikku last year, out doing them by less than a percent, whereas Tifa put up a pretty impressive doubling on Princess Peach despite starting out pretty badly. I think there is a slight possibility that Samus may undershoot her expectations and projections in this match. I doubt the picture, which is Zero Suit Samus from SSBB, will hurt her that much, but it just seems like the female bracket would have some over and underperformances similar the Villain Contest for whatever reason. It probably won’t be anything major, but Tifa may put up surprising numbers or she may just get rocked hard. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 8:10:53 PM | message detail |
| It’s nice to see that we’re starting to get into
some of the more interesting matches. We pretty much only have the
strong characters left in the contest at this point, which is
particularly good for the female half! The most exciting match – ZELDA
> SAMUS – has yet to come though! Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Samus Aran Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Samus Aran – 60% ; Tifa Lockhart – 40% Aitch Emm’s Vote: Samus Aran Yoblazer’s Analysis Before getting to gourge ourselves on the two terrific men's matches, we'll have to sit through two boring, predictable matches on the female side. Despite these matches not being very good for the Elite 8, let's look on the bright side: they're about ten times better than what we've had to deal with so far from the female bracket. Both Samus and Tifa have more or less done exactly what was expected of them. It can be argued that Tifa underperformed against Princess Peach, but it's difficult to argue that point when Peach is completely new to the contest scene. Either way, we all knew both of these characters would be here, and we knew what the ending result would be. Truth be told, the most interesting aspect of this match is probably the fact that it's the first time Samus has been pictured without her Power Suit. Will she underperform? Overperform? Will it make no difference? Unless the percentages are completely out of whack, it will be hard to tell, but the Metroid heroine should have no trouble in winning. Personally, I think Samus is going to look good here, but I'm not sure why either of the FFVII ladies haven't looked more impressive, especially when given the fact that every male character who starred in KHII has looked extremely impressive thus far. It strikes me as very strange, and almost gives me a forboding feeling that Tifa will have the match of her life. Regardless, my Nintendo fanboyism has once again gotten the better of me, so I'm going with Samus for the easy win. See you in Brawl, sexy mama. My prediction: Samus Aran def. Tifa Lockheart (58-42) Lopen’s Analysis This match kinda bores me. None too interesting. I'd like to say Tifa has an upset chance here, but she really doesn't. We saw Sonic smash her into the dirt last year, we know Samus is at least on the level of Sonic. Kind of a no-brainer. Not even the results of this year give it any support. Tifa got less on Peach than Samus got on Rikku… and come on, who here takes Peach over Rikku. Anybody, anybody? I guess Tifa smashing the Boss with 75% or so was pretty impressive, but we know about that FF7/MGS stuff that goes on. Anyway, Samus has shown to typically be stronger than Sonic, Sonic got ~57% on Tifa last year, I expect Samus to get a tad more. Lopen's prediction: Samus with 58.12% KH’s Analysis lol x-stats history Samus Aran Summer 2002 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 4th Place [41.07%] Summer 2003 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 7th Place [36.72%] Summer 2004 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 4th Place [39.50%] Summer 2005 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 5th Place [38.21%] Samus does about as expected on Rikku. Not much to say about it, just like every other female match! Tifa Lockheart Summer 2005 Contest Extrapolated Strength --- 16th Place [30.77%] Tifa doubles up on Peach, not too much to say either way about it. Just like every other female match! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 11/6/2006 8:11:45 PM | message detail |
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Notable Releases Since Last Appearance Samus Aran: Metroid Prime: Hunters (DS), Metroid Prime Pinball (DS), Super Smash Brothers Brawl Trailer (lol internet) Tifa: Kingdom Hearts II (PS2) Upcoming Releases Samus Aran: Metroid Prime 3: Corruption (WII), Super Smash Brothers Brawl (WII) Tifa: N/A Well, this match is only really important because it's the debut of Zero Suit Samus, and will help to quell speculation concerning whether or not it will help or hurt Samus. I really don't think it'll matter either way, maybe a lil' to hurt, but it's not like Tifa had a chance here anyway. Her big goal is to do as well as possible to show that she has a chance at challenging Zelda (though the point is perhaps moot since such a match would be after TP). Karma Hunter's Vote: Tifa. blah blah personality > Samus blah blah Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Samus Aran with 57.46% . Tifa should clear 40% pretty easily here, I should hope. Everything else is fair game. Upset Potential: 0% Tifa isn't affiliated with Nintendo in the slightest! She has no chance here! Guest’s Analysis - nintendogirl Hey it’s me, the user you’ve never seen or even heard of before! I’m stepping in as the guest today because I think that even I can predict this one without looking like too much of an idiot. Before this year, I lurked during contest time but never really paid any interest to the subtleties of the contest. Swings and SFF and surprisingly, I had no concept of the Noble Nine. So now, with all that knowledge and a little hoping I reckon I can quite happily say that Samus is going to win. <_< Okay, so you knew that bit. Samus is Noble Nine and there is I don’t think anyone in the main bracket that can hit over 47% on her. She is a fully-suited Nintendo mascot with missiles blaring while Tifa is the big boobed girl from FF7. Yeah, she had a cameo in KHII, but to be honest, it will mean absolutely nothing next to Samus. Incidentally apparently even most of the casuals know that with Samus being the character with the highest bracket support in the second and third rounds and the second highest in the first round. So, in summary, Samus will breeze through this match as she heads all the way to the Battle Royale with a comfortable margin against whoever meets her in the final. Ngirl’s prediction: Samus with 59.83% Crew Consensus: Samus beats Tifa with ease. Crew predicts in the mid-to-high 50's range...yeah, that's been happening alot recently. |
| CountCrazy007 | Posted 11/6/2006 8:12:43 PM | message detail |
| Ganondorf could have dropped slightly. He isn't
fresh on the minds of many gamers considering there hasn't been a game
including him in a while. But come Twilight Princess, he's roxxors. I
also picked Auron > Ganondorf in that match and I'd do it again
today. I'm not sure why, but I feel that Auron's fanbase is fairly
hardcore and the Final Fantasy namebrand is fresh on our minds at the
moment. I mean, I have to think Crono/Auron has some bastardized
version of SFF or rSFF or whatever you'd like to call it. You can't
judge the strength of a character when they're facing another from the
same fanbase. This is really just a judge of within the Square/RPG
fanbase, who is most popular? Auron vs. Crono is kinda new vs. old.
Crono is a classic and Auron is the brand new "badass." When Sonic and
Crono go head to head the fanbases aren't identical and among the
nostalgic gamers Crono has a larger following at GameFAQs. In short, I
just can't see Sonic coming too close to beating Crono. Oh, and, Big
Bob... obligatory "lol x-stats." --- 4th Place of the Fall 2005 10-Year Anniversary Contest |
| HaRRicH | Posted 11/6/2006 8:13:51 PM | message detail |
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Everybody's within 2.54% of one-another...hell, if it wasn't for cuh-raaaaaaaaaaazy KH, everybody would have been within 2%... ...and I probably would have too. --- Diddy did it. Diddy did it. DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?! |
| Big Bob | Posted 11/6/2006 8:14:12 PM | message detail |
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Big Bob's completely biased and nonsensical analysis Tifa has obviously boosted from Kingdom Hearts II. Samus has her ZSS pic, which could possibly hurt or help her. Samus is gonna win easily, but I fully expect this match to set off some alarms. Board 8 will be in a riot after this match happens. Bob's Prediction: Samus with...um...hold on. (goes to check what Sonic got on Tifa last year) ...56.39% --- Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/6/2006 8:15:20 PM | message detail |
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Despite how well Auron has done, he hasn't won a single 15 minute update. *looks at the past 15 minutes* you pulled a Slowflake --- ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand. |
| SubLibz4 | Posted 11/6/2006 8:19:11 PM | message detail |
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Doesn't Aurons performance on Crono show that Sub-Zero is a strong
newcomer, wouldn't he be projected to get like 35% on Crono, which is
better than most would expect before this contest? --- You Will Never know your limits until you go past them. -There is no knowledge that is not power- |
| CountCrazy007 | Posted 11/6/2006 8:20:21 PM | message detail |
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I don't see the Auron/Sub-Zero correlation. --- 4th Place of the Fall 2005 10-Year Anniversary Contest |
| creativename | Posted 11/6/2006 8:25:08 PM | message detail |
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I hope today will firmly put to rest belief in the myth of Master Chief being weird to any substantial degree. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 11/6/2006 8:25:33 PM | message detail |
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I think the biggest question here is...how is Captain Falcon so weak? >_> --- caps |
| Cecil XIX | Posted 11/6/2006 8:26:35 PM | message detail |
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RPGuy96 Posted 11/6/2006 11:06:26 PM message detail Despite how well Auron has done, he hasn't won a single 15 minute update. At 19:53:01, Crono's lead was 10,697. At 20:08:01, Crono's lead was 10,674. --- Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2006 8:28:33 PM | message detail |
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Match LVII: (1) Samus Aran vs. (1) Tifa Lockhart Pervious Matches Samus Aran Defeated Nidoran F, 81.85% - 18.15% Defeated Ada Wong, 79.78% - 20.22% Defeated Rikku, 69.00% - 31.00% Tifa Lockhart Defeated Ivy Valentine, 76.18% - 23.82% Defeated The Boss, 74.55% - 25.45% Defeated Princess Peach, 66.05% - 33.95% Analysis: Last round Samus was once again able to get the blowout of the round by showing how much stronger she is compare to everyone. Tifa had no problem defeating Peach and has being just as impressive as Zelda, too bad most people think she would destroy Tifa after her match against Zelda. Welcome to round 4 where the Noble 9 shall begin their epic matches, but first we have to get the female half out of the way. Tifa may be the third (or second depending on who you ask) strongest female, but she is still no match for Samus. Samus’ free ride to the finals is soon coming to an end and in my opinion she hasn’t shown me that she has what it takes to easily beat out the male winner like some were thinking at the beginning of the contest. If there is one thing that I have noticed in this match is the match picture. For the first time ever Samus gets her Zero Suit picture and as happy the board is about that I have a feeling Samus will underperform in this match. Sure many Metroid fans know her in her suit less form, but Samus does get a lot of her strength from the SSB series. The reason why she was so strong in 2k2 despite 8 years without a Metroid game was because of the SSB series. I can see the picture factor be almost as bad as Solid **** (okay maybe not that bad). Despite thinking she will lose some support because of the picture Samus should have no problem winning this match with ease. Like I said before Samus has yet to impress me and as of now she has just of good of a chance winning the bracket as does any of the males that are left. charmander6000’s Bracket: Samus Aran over Tifa Lockhart charmander6000’s Prediction: Samus wins, 58.92% - 41.08% --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 11/6/2006 8:32:43 PM | message detail |
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I hope today will firmly put to rest belief in the myth of Master Chief being weird to any substantial degree. Despite Auron's amazing performance today, Master Chief is expected to barely clear 36% on Crono. While it may not be to the extent that some were calling for, that's definitely 'substantial'. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| trannyscience | Posted 11/6/2006 8:50:59 PM | message detail |
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MC is definitely nonlinear. he was expected to go 50/50 with 2k5 Auron. Auron has boosted, but not that much. ummm Crono with 33.33% --- zizzy |
| creativename | Posted 11/6/2006 8:52:34 PM | message detail |
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Despite Auron's amazing performance today, Master Chief is expected
to barely clear 36% on Crono. While it may not be to the extent that
some were calling for, that's definitely 'substantial'. Not to any conclusive degree. I've been over this before, but people just seem attached to this notion - they won't let it go. I believed that Master Chief overperformed on Crono last year by a couple points, but that's as likely (if not much more likely) due to the lightsaber advantage as any inherent weirdness trait of his. Also, him dropping this year could easily by explained by Halo 2 not being recent anyway. It's really not a big fluctuation that raises alarm bells; we see bigger shifts regularly. Master Chief has never really proven to be any more weird than anyone else. There are three reasons to believe in him being weird (and one of them, the match against CATS, I dismiss totally as evidence). The others are vs. Felix and vs. Crono. vs. Crono is easily explained by picture advantage, or yearly shifts. By itself it means very little. The thing about the Felix match is that people's retrospective perceptions have shifted greatly from pre-match expectations. Now, people are like "Who's Felix?" It's as if people have completely forgotten that Felix was one of the most popular upset picks that year before the contest even started. Not only did Felix not come out of nowhere, but he was a very popular pick to win the match outright - and this was before any myth about abnormally non-linear performances (no one is truly linear, but there's not much reason to believe Chief is much different from anyone else). It was because people just didn't think Chief was all that popular here, and that someone like Felix could beat him. Also someone from Felix's game, Isaac, didn't really perform worse than a Ken/Ryu same-game relationship. Felix would no doubt be crap fodder today, but back then a large number of people thought him capable of beating Chief pre-contest, without expecting any abnormalities from Chief (outside of lack of Chief's vote drawing ability due to unpopularity). The Chief myth has never had much evidence for it, and in that regard has been one of the biggest asymmetries we've seen in terms of evidence vs. level of acceptance in this topic. It's become an article of faith. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
