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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 416

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2006 9:11:23 PM | message detail
Colts > Pats!!

...*sigh*



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
Super Luigi | Posted 11/4/2006 9:11:48 PM | message detail
Any chance of Titans winning tomorrow? :(
---
Currently playing : Splinter Cell DA(Xbox 360), Dead Rising(Xbox 360), NHL 2K7(Xbox 360).
XBL GT - SuPeR MiKe 86
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2006 9:12:35 PM | message detail
Who they playing?

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
Super Luigi | Posted 11/4/2006 9:13:05 PM | message detail
At Jacksonville. <_<
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Currently playing : Splinter Cell DA(Xbox 360), Dead Rising(Xbox 360), NHL 2K7(Xbox 360).
XBL GT - SuPeR MiKe 86
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2006 9:13:51 PM | message detail
I doubt it. They got smart and remembered to start Garrard.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/5/2006 12:22:44 PM | message detail
Blue streak speeds by...
---
Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo - W, 28-26
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/5/2006 9:08:28 PM | message detail
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Evil_REmade | Posted 11/5/2006 9:28:45 PM | message detail
Colts > Pats!!

Why yes indeed-y.
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[=[_] =] Nintendo DS~
[+[_]·:·] See double while sober!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/5/2006 9:29:11 PM | message detail
I didn't think the Colts D would step up this much o_O

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
Draco1214 | Posted 11/5/2006 9:29:34 PM | message detail
I don't care too much about this match either. I'm just happy to see one of my favorite characters keep it respectable and solidify his status as a near-elite.
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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
zwong1 | Posted 11/5/2006 9:29:37 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
cyko | Posted 11/5/2006 9:32:33 PM | message detail
go Manning!! whooo!!!

as of the 30 minute mark in his match against Bowser, Crono was near 60% and climbing. against Auron here, he's at 59.58%. i'm thinking that KH2 is gonna give Auron as much of a day vote boost as Bowser did, so i'm predicting that Auron will indeed finish with a little better than Bowser.

---
i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/5/2006 9:41:57 PM | message detail
Crono peaked at 62% and finished with 57.44%. Auron needs to work some similar magic here!

---
"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/5/2006 10:20:58 PM | message detail
All Time Most Popular Polls

01. 158527 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (1) Final Fantasy (2006 Series Final)
02. 157773 - (1) Final Fantasy vs (1) Super Mario Bros. (2006 Series Semfinal)
03. 147637 - (1) Cloud Strife vs (1) Link (2003 Characters Semifinal)
04. 137513 - (1) Metal Gear vs (2) Kingdom Hearts (2006 Series Quarterfinal)
05. 136154 - (1) Final Fantasy vs (2) Resident Evil (2006 Series Quarterfinal)
06. 135980 - (1) Solid Snake vs (4) Squall Leonhart (2006 Characters Round 2)
07. 135562 - (1) Final Fantasy vs (4) Mega Man (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
08. 134604 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (2) Metroid (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
09. 134577 - (3) Auron vs (7) Sub-Zero (2006 Characters Round 2)
10. 133797 - (2) Mega Man vs (1) Sora (2006 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
11. 133005 - (1) Mario vs (4) Crono (2003 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
12. 132410 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (1) Metal Gear (2006 Series Semifinal)
13. 132251 - (1) Sonic the Hedgehog vs (2) Luigi (2006 Characters Sweet Sixteen)
14. 130058 - (2) Luigi vs (7) Zero (2006 Characters Round 1)
15. 129977 - (1) The Legend of Zelda vs (5) Mega Man X (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
16. 129703 - (1) Mario vs (2) Cloud Strife (2002 Characters Quarterfinal)
17. 129569 - (6) Yoshi vs (2) Dante (2006 Characters Round 2)
18. 129537 - (3) Rikku vs (2) Kairi (2006 Characters Round 2)
19. 128290 - (7) Sub-Zero vs (2) Master Chief (2006 Characters Round 1)
20. 128286 - (2) Kingdom Hearts vs (3) Castlevania (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
21. 128006 - (5) Vincent Valentine vs (4) Ganondorf (2006 Characters Round 1)
22. 127218 - (5) WarCraft vs (4) Grand Theft Auto (2006 Series Round 1)
23. 126178 - (2) Super Smash Bros. vs (3) Sonic the Hedgehog (2006 Series Sweet Sixteen)
24. 126164 - (2) Tifa Lockhart vs (7) Ivy Valentine (2006 Characters Round 1)
25. 125897 - (1) Princess Zelda vs (2) Aerith Gainsborough (2006 Characters Sweet Sixteen)

2002 Characters - 1
2003 Characters - 2
2004 Games - 0
2004 Characters - 0
2005 Villains - 0
2005 Characters - 0
2006 Series - 11
2006 Characters - 11
---
Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/5/2006 10:26:19 PM | message detail
Out of the top 25 votals ever, I only spot three matches that came outside of 2006... I knew this year had the best overall vote total we've ever seen, but I didn't know it had claimed so many spots in the top votals... wow.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/5/2006 10:28:32 PM | message detail
The only other matches that are even close are the 2k4 finals (Link/Cloud) and the other two of the last three 2k3 matches (Cloud/Sephiroth and Sephiroth/Mega Man).
---
Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
HaRRicH | Posted 11/5/2006 10:50:16 PM | message detail
Yesterday was EASILY Sonic's best vote-totaling match to date...likely thanks to Luigi who has always been a vote-draw, though Sonic oddly has been the opposite many times.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/5/2006 11:36:38 PM | message detail
WTF, why is Crono going down with the night vote? This better be temporary O_o
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/5/2006 11:47:57 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/6/2006 12:13:09 AM | message detail
Gordon Freeman wins a match? Someone gets above 60% on Freeman? Vincent > Megaman? Sonic is in one of the most popular polls of all time? Crono is almost under 60% during the night vote?

What the hell is going on!? Will the universe implode?
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
HaRRicH | Posted 11/6/2006 12:33:24 AM | message detail
I hope all of this is because of the new influx from 360-owners, guaranteeing that next year will be absolute hell all over to predict...

...except, you know, Link winning.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
Gaddswell | Posted 11/6/2006 1:12:28 AM | message detail
Auron's doing really well against the Crono night vote.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Larbeight | Posted 11/6/2006 1:31:07 AM | message detail
Auron won an update.
I'm certain that wasn't in the script.
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~Larbeight~. The finest mind of his generation.
transience | Posted 11/6/2006 1:54:52 AM | message detail
hmm.. I thought Auron doing as well as 2k5 Vincent was a possibility and it looks like he'll end up around there. Auron doesn't have a beastly day vote, but any day vote should do all right against Crono. it looks like Auron > Bowser will be confirmed, though not by a significant amount. Sub-Zero is going to look kickass when the numbers come, I love it. and we'll have a great read on Master Chief as well.
---
xyzzy
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/6/2006 1:58:56 AM | message detail
From transience
Auron doesn't have a beastly day vote, but any day vote should do all right against Crono.

Ah, but this is Kingdom Hearts 2 Auron we're talking about. Did you miss Kairi and Sora's matches or something?
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
HaRRicH | Posted 11/6/2006 2:08:23 AM | message detail
Right, but considering his main fanbase is most constant or night-oriented, his KH2-pull will only help a lil' more for his day-time vote. You don't see Squall with a killer day-vote or anything, and he has been in every KH game...

...but this is Crono, so Auron should still look pretty good with it, even if it is a same-fanbase match.
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
transience | Posted 11/6/2006 2:11:51 AM | message detail
I don't think Auron will outright destroy Crono in the day, but I could see him going 50/50 during the afterschool vote no problem. FFX has always had a sweet overnight vote though so this is just Auron doing well during his best time - even better than Crono's best time.

if Crono beats Sonic, it'll be strange to see him at or above Ganondorf.
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xyzzy
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 2:43:06 AM | message detail
Crono is making Auron looks like he was the King of Day Votes, wonder what will happen to Crono when he faces Sonic during the day.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
xp1337 | Posted 11/6/2006 2:59:30 AM | message detail
Watch Sonic pull a Halo and lose the day vote to Crono. >_>
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (078/088) Sonic v Zero
__hiei__ | Posted 11/6/2006 3:14:25 AM | message detail
auron won that last update >_>

maybe there's some sort of sff happening here
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/6/2006 5:42:23 AM | message detail
Despite me vastly preferring Snake to MM, I hope MM smacks Snake down. I don't think MM has lost a step, after Riku/Yoshi, no one should have been expecting MM to come close to hitting 60% on Sora. I do however, think Snake is slightly stronger than last year, that, or the DD is overrated. It's 50/50 to me, but I could also see MM winning easier than Snake.

---
Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/6/2006 5:45:04 AM | message detail
I also forgot to mention "AHA, AURON TOTALLY OWNING SO FAR TODAY, SAMUS/MARIO HOLY UNDERRATION? YOU BETTER BELIEVE IT!"

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
cyko | Posted 11/6/2006 5:50:33 AM | message detail

...but this is Crono, so Auron should still look pretty good with it, even if it is a same-fanbase match.


oh, now come on. this match has as much SFF as Tifa vs. Vyse. even if their genre and company are the same, Crono and Auron come from completely different series and generations. i seriously doubt there is much, if any, significant SFF today. give Auron credit where credit is due!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/6/2006 5:56:06 AM | message detail
This doesn't look very good for Crono at all... Wow, I might actually be right that Sonic and Snake are going to the finals of the male bracket. That will be a nice resuscitation to my seemingly dead bracket.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 5:56:24 AM | message detail
oh, now come on. this match has as much SFF as Tifa vs. Vyse. even if their genre and company are the same, Crono and Auron come from completely different series and generations. i seriously doubt there is much, if any, significant SFF today. give Auron credit where credit is due!

The same could be said for Aeris and Sora. Both Aeris anbd Sora came from different series and generations yet Aeris was able to SFF him several years ago.

Auron might rSFF Crono considering he just made a cameo in Kh2 not long ago. However i will not discredit Auron here. Kh2 has given Auron another type of fanbase(target more toward children) just like how SSBB would give Nintendo and younger kids fanbase to Snake. Auron is definitely much stronger than last year and i won't be surprise if he actually breaks 44% on Crono.

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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/6/2006 5:58:58 AM | message detail

The same could be said for Aeris and Sora. Both Aeris anbd Sora came from different series and generations yet Aeris was able to SFF him several years ago.


There is a much more significant difference between PS2 and SNES than there is between PS2 and PS1.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 5:59:49 AM | message detail
Chrono Trigger was released on PS1 too but i don't know how is the sales of Chrono Trigger on PS1.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
cyko | Posted 11/6/2006 6:01:56 AM | message detail

The same could be said for Aeris and Sora. Both Aeris anbd Sora came from different series and generations yet Aeris was able to SFF him several years ago.


then there is also the fact that Aeris and Sora WERE IN THE SAME GAME! not to mention - half of Aeris's co-stars were also in Sora's game. there's a pretty big deifference between Chrono Trigger and Kingdom Hearts.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:03:23 AM | message detail
I don't remember Aeris being in Kh, if she did then sorry for my above statement.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:09:50 AM | message detail
Looks like the strongest newcomer is Sub-Zero and the strongest female newcomer will probably be Peach.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:23:12 AM | message detail
Tell me this year isn't the best year.

Jill lost by 27 votes for two year.

Gordon Freeman finally wins a match.

Yuna and Tifa making it into the Elite Eight.

Someone broke 60% on Gordon Freeman.

Ganondorf and Zero can't make it into the second round.

The closest percentage a NNN has ever scored on NN.Vincent scored 48% on Sonic.(Snake/Bowser won't count if you believed Bowser overperformed in that match)

Samus finally changed her costume and revealed her face.(I may be wrong though)

Snake and Sonic(The two underdog) could possibly take on NN(their lifelong nemesis) with the new boost they gathered.

Etc.........................
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
FourthDeus | Posted 11/6/2006 6:27:25 AM | message detail
There is a much more significant difference between PS2 and SNES than there is between PS2 and PS1.

Most people on this website never played Chrono Trigger when it was originally released on SNES, but on emulators and the PS1 release.
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5/18/05
Never forget. Never forgive.
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:29:54 AM | message detail
FourthDeus, i remember that "Have you ever played CT before" poll now. Yeah, most played CT on PS1 and emulator.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/6/2006 6:42:15 AM | message detail
Crono 57.81% 54,496
Ganondorf 42.19% 39,767
TOTAL VOTES 94,263


Auron > Ganondorf is possible. Of course that would require that Crono beats Sonic, which seems more and more like it's going to be a close match with no clear favourite.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
nobleIII | Posted 11/6/2006 6:45:56 AM | message detail
Auron won't stop now, he'll be gaining % for a while. That'd be putting him just that much more above Ganondorf.
Who Cares? | Posted 11/6/2006 6:47:48 AM | message detail
Looks like the strongest newcomer is Sub-Zero and the strongest female newcomer will probably be Peach.

I just hope Board 8 hatred of Mortal Kombat doesn't keep out another strong character, much like the board's hatred of Shadow! And even though Peach won, I'd rather see Jill come back more. She just has a knack for being in the spotlight in these contests! :)
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: Failed! She should've stayed away from the summoner!
*Go play Tales of the Abyss*
nobleIII | Posted 11/6/2006 6:51:56 AM | message detail
The second I saw Sub-Zero's pic Vs Auron, I knew he lost. People like the Classic Sub, and that is what they remember him by, not shredder wannabe.
zwong1 | Posted 11/6/2006 6:55:16 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/6/2006 7:06:59 AM | message detail
Auron > Ganondorf is possible. Of course that would require that Crono beats Sonic, which seems more and more like it's going to be a close match with no clear favourite.

It would also require Ganon 2k6 to = Ganon 2k5, and for Ganon 2k5 to not be underrated, which is unlikely at this point given Yuna and Auron's success.
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"Luckily, I brought my smart sword. It won't hurt anyone 'friendly'. In fact, it makes them talk!" - Princess Zelda
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/6/2006 7:32:52 AM | message detail
This doesn't look very good for Crono at all... Wow, I might actually be right that Sonic and Snake are going to the finals of the male bracket. That will be a nice resuscitation to my seemingly dead bracket.

Or that once again Samus was horrendously underrated. He already b-slapped Bowser, all this is proving to me is Ganon is most definitely > Bowser, and Samus was underadjusted.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids