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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 415

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/3/2006 9:15:06 PM | message detail
MM doing decent on KH2F Sora Solid Snake is so screwed.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/3/2006 9:15:45 PM | message detail
For reals.
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CB5 Points: 79/84, Current Oracle placement: 24/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/3/2006 9:16:11 PM | message detail
...We're at 315 posts.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/3/2006 9:16:40 PM | message detail
From Adept of Aiur Posted 11/4/2006 12:16:11 AM #003
...We're at 315 posts.

I've made them at 300 during contest season for like 3 years now?

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
Shoeringan | Posted 11/3/2006 9:16:47 PM | message detail
*Hadoken's Sora*
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*Insert Uchiha Bashing here*
-Alt Of Shoenin_Kakashi-
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 11/4/2006 5:39:31 AM | message detail
Getting 53% on Sora is decent?
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 11/4/2006 7:06:28 AM | message detail
Srono > Selda > Snake > Samus.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Who Cares? | Posted 11/4/2006 7:07:46 AM | message detail
o_0 this is decent?
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: Failed! She should've stayed away from the summoner!
*Go play Tales of the Abyss*
Super Luigi | Posted 11/4/2006 7:09:50 AM | message detail
Megaman is bombing bad here. Solid Snake > Megaman with 53%
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Currently playing : Splinter Cell DA(Xbox 360), Dead Rising(Xbox 360), NHL 2K7(Xbox 360).
XBL GT - SuPeR MiKe 86
zwong1 | Posted 11/4/2006 7:10:33 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/4/2006 7:15:23 AM | message detail
It was decent when Ulti made this topic, not anymore though.

I don't understand anybody who isn't thinking that Snake is at least the favourite to win this, if not a lock just yet.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 76/80 Today: Snake
MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/4/2006 7:19:13 AM | message detail
You can't call it a lock at all.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 11/4/2006 7:20:08 AM | message detail
Megaman is bombing bad here. Solid Snake > Megaman with 53%

Even considering Crono not doing that good on MM?
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/4/2006 7:33:09 AM | message detail
Even considering Crono not doing that good on MM?

MM dropped. Crono would be over 55 on MM this year.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 76/80 Today: Snake
Master Moltar | Posted 11/4/2006 7:38:11 AM | message detail
So let's see, either Sora is now at 35% on BL around 2005 Kirby and Squall...or MM has dropped a bit.

And while MM definitely doesn't seem to be his 2005 self, this topic has gone a bit overboard with the anti-MM stuff.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sora vs Mega Man - Bracket: MM - Vote: Sora (76/84)
transience | Posted 11/4/2006 7:38:47 AM | message detail
haven't you heard? Snake's winning with 86%!
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 11/4/2006 7:39:01 AM | message detail
oh um book it it's a lock
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xyzzy
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/4/2006 7:39:14 AM | message detail
FACT OR FICTION: MM's pred % is below 40%.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 80/84 Today: MM
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/4/2006 7:40:06 AM | message detail
I don't think Solid Snake could ever be considered the favourtie this year because:

1: Megaman has already won over him twice.

2: Megaman IS doing 10% worse on Sora than what Solid Snake did last year, but Solid Snake did 11% worse on Yoshi than what Megaman did last year. So we still can't tell who is stronger.

3: It's a toss up.
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Supporter of Megaman and Sonic
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/4/2006 7:41:44 AM | message detail
All right, who's vote stuffing for Mega Man!?

10:29
Sora - 286
Mega Man - 328

10:39
Sora - 286
Mega Man - 368

Just kidding. >_>
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caps
janembaman | Posted 11/4/2006 7:43:36 AM | message detail
If Snake end up winning against Megaman,im 100% certain that MM will have the lead for the first few hours...

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laff
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/4/2006 7:55:32 AM | message detail
Well, I was completely wrong about this. Stupid me.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
Haste_2 | Posted 11/4/2006 8:01:47 AM | message detail
I'm glad that "Sora couldn't have boosted that much" nonsense is over. You guys shoulda known Gordon/Sora was a risky match to extrapolate from, since -both- Sora and Gordon have been suspected to be non-linear (Sora more in terms of facing fodder, though).

On a side note, it looks like Sora will not only beat out Aeris in the x-stats, but Squall, too. :P

---
Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/4/2006 8:05:00 AM | message detail
IMHO Sora dropped hardcore this year, but Mega Man plummeted thrice as much.

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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARSONICA
AmazingKirby | Posted 11/4/2006 8:08:08 AM | message detail
XD Sora dropping.
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caps
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 11/4/2006 8:09:47 AM | message detail
Damn. And I thought a pick of around 54.2 was a bit low...
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Terrible demon. Ouch...
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/4/2006 8:11:35 AM | message detail
Sora getting 45% on MM? Not too shabby!
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Chamek | Posted 11/4/2006 8:14:55 AM | message detail
Sora didn't drop, he just didn't boost as much as the other KHII characters (or has at least failed to impress as much).
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Upon having Rosie O'Donnell corner him in the forest, the pizza delivery man knew how a Goomba felt when Mario got a star. ~ SSJ3 Popo
KingBartz | Posted 11/4/2006 8:15:56 AM | message detail
Wow. Sora is looking like a monster with this morning vote. By weekend statistics, how long until the full-blown dayvote?

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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 78/84 Today's pick: Mega Man
SmurfFAQs | Posted 11/4/2006 8:16:49 AM | message detail
I forgot the </sarcasm> tag. My bad. <_<
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Yesmar | Posted 11/4/2006 8:19:14 AM | message detail
If Sora can keep this up, (although it looks like Mega Man is fighting back, right as I start typing this) this is just embarrassing for Mega Man. I would definitely consider taking Vincent over Mega Man if they met up next year.

I can't say I'm terribly surprised that Mega Man dropped suddenly though. His popularity on here always surprised me. He definitely has his fans, and I'm not trying to be mean, but Mega Man just plain hasn't been relevant to gaming in over ten years. It's a good thing the Virtual Console is coming up, since that'll probably bounce him back up, and it should help Crono remain constant if necessary.
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Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest
The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/4/2006 8:22:12 AM | message detail

2: Megaman IS doing 10% worse on Sora than what Solid Snake did last year, but Solid Snake did 11% worse on Yoshi than what Megaman did last year. So we still can't tell who is stronger.

But there was SFF in Mega Man vs Yoshi and stuff!!!
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Chamek | Posted 11/4/2006 8:22:18 AM | message detail
He definitely has his fans, and I'm not trying to be mean, but Mega Man just plain hasn't been relevant to gaming in over ten years.

This doesn't explain Crono though. If anything I'd expect a character who was in a myriad of games, who is much closer to a "household name" than is Crono, and who still has tons of spin-off series with games coming out in them to do much, much better than a character who starred in only one game for the SNES. Crono is the biggest anomaly this contest will ever see.
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Upon having Rosie O'Donnell corner him in the forest, the pizza delivery man knew how a Goomba felt when Mario got a star. ~ SSJ3 Popo
KingBartz | Posted 11/4/2006 8:23:59 AM | message detail
oh, my 54.5 megaman pick is looking very good.
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 78/84 Today's pick: Mega Man
Adept of Aiur | Posted 11/4/2006 8:25:58 AM | message detail
This doesn't explain Crono though. If anything I'd expect a character who was in a myriad of games, who is much closer to a "household name" than is Crono, and who still has tons of spin-off series with games coming out in them to do much, much better than a character who starred in only one game for the SNES. Crono is the biggest anomaly this contest will ever see.

Well, for the first year, Cloud had and Sephiroth had only been in one game also.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
SmurfFAQs | Posted 11/4/2006 8:34:46 AM | message detail
One very good game. CT sold like crap and never even made it to Europe. It has no business being anything other than cult.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
Tediz247 | Posted 11/4/2006 8:49:40 AM | message detail
Actually, Cloud had FFT as well. Cloud and Sephiroth had Ehrgeiz, but that probably wasn't worth much >_>
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
Gaddswell | Posted 11/4/2006 9:04:59 AM | message detail
As we all know, Crono has DBZ going for him. A fair chunk of his power might come from it.

Anyways, Sora's already over 45%? To think that Mega Man used to be equal with Sephiroth...
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
zwong1 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:11:39 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
zwong1 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:12:33 AM | message detail
I won't say Snake>Mega Man is a lock, but Mega Man has been underperforming in all of his matches so far. Everyone was expecting Sora to only get 40-42% on Mega Man.

Even though it looks like Mega Man will most likely lose to Snake, i hope that Zero and Mega Man will regained their strength next year and be a monster again. I don't like the idea of Ganondorf or Vincent defeating Mega Man next year. Mega Man is a gaming icon and i respect him no matter what. Good luck, Mega Man.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
SmurfFAQs | Posted 11/4/2006 9:14:39 AM | message detail
Zero won't be in a character battle ever again.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
YoAriel33 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:25:34 AM | message detail
I think this has surpassed Mega Man's 2003/2004 matches with Sephiroth and Link. This is his worst match ever, and it's coming at an absolutely fabulous time for Snake fans.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:26:36 AM | message detail
DBZ VOTE DOES NOT EXISTS DAMNIT
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CB5 Points: 79/84, Current Oracle placement: 24/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
SmurfFAQs | Posted 11/4/2006 9:27:28 AM | message detail
Right now, MM should be proud of getting doubled Link.
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President Of Board 8. (10/14/2006 onwards)
zwong1 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:30:26 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Gaddswell | Posted 11/4/2006 9:30:35 AM | message detail
DBZ VOTE DOES NOT EXISTS DAMNIT

Aww, you're no fun.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
zwong1 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:31:04 AM | message detail
Smurf, you have already witness the downfall of Mega Man and Zero so please spare them. Stop criticizing them anymore.
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I am a Singaporean and I hope Snake will beat Megaman.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:31:27 AM | message detail
Nope. I'm anti-fun.
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CB5 Points: 79/84, Current Oracle placement: 24/169
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
HaRRicH | Posted 11/4/2006 9:43:13 AM | message detail
Solid Snake has every reason to be called the favorite now, except for the fact that Mega Man's beat him twice both times they've faced off...ahem.

The match can go either way and don't let anybody tell you differently...but most factors are pointing at Solid Snake winning. Sure the same thing happened with Dante against Yoshi...but how many times does that really happen, especially in the same contest?
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Diddy did it. Diddy did it.
DAMMIT! What didn't Diddy do?!
Janus5000 | Posted 11/4/2006 9:44:09 AM | message detail
Actually, Crono's DBZ factor gets him over nine... over nine votes. Yeah.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4