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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 413

transience | Posted 11/2/2006 5:00:21 AM | message detail
she'll break 60, but it's only because of how truly crappy Chun Li's morning vote is. I don't think Yuna will gain all that much during the daytime once SF's strange patheticness that is the morning vote subsides.
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xyzzy
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/2/2006 5:04:48 AM | message detail
I don't either, but the afterschool vote sucks for SF too. Ryu actually held up the in morning (maybe because of MM sucking, I dunno), but he fell apart afterschool.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Haste_2 | Posted 11/2/2006 6:39:09 AM | message detail
For fun...if Yoshi over-performs in proportion to what Bowser did and measuring from a constant 2K5 Dante...Snake gets 51.80% on Yoshi. On the other hand... using Yoshi 2K5 (creative's) and measuring Snake from 2K5 Squall, Snake gets 65.01% on Yoshi, if pictures don't matter in this case. So, there's the extreme case scenario for tomorrow, sorta.

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transience | Posted 11/2/2006 6:43:21 AM | message detail
unless Dante is just massively overrated for no real reason, I can't see creative's Yoshi 2k5 number being worth much of anything. 60% is about as high as I'd be willing to go with a sprite picture, and that's assuming we're dealing with a super Snake here.
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xyzzy
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/2/2006 6:45:23 AM | message detail
If Snake breaks 57.5% I'll be absolutely shocked. I'm expecting like 54/46 or so.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Haste_2 | Posted 11/2/2006 6:48:03 AM | message detail
Dante/Yoshi and Squall/Snake are about the only two matches that put the Vincent/Crono result in question. However, the Round 1 matches of both Squall (bar some of the biggest SFF ever) and Dante suggest otherwise, and Squall/Snake SFF might make some sense...not to mention Vincent seems fine, since a 1% boost from DoC seems pretty fitting.

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zwong1 | Posted 11/2/2006 6:54:45 AM | message detail
I am sorry but why did everyone say Dante was overated last year..
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 7:08:43 AM | message detail
Preliminary stats through Zelda/Aeris:

Samus Aran – 41.69%
Princess Zelda – 34.98%
Tifa Lockhart – 33.57%
Aeris Gainsborough – 30.17%
Rikku – 25.85%
KOS-MOS – 23.14%
Princess Peach – 22.79%
Jill Valentine – 22.78%
Kairi – 21.57%
Claire Redfield – 20.67%
Marle – 18.23%
Sheena Fujibayashi – 17.30%
The Boss – 17.09%
Ada Wong – 16.86%
Amy Rose – 16.00%
Ivy Valentine – 15.99%
Nidoran F – 15.13%
Terra Branford – 14.38%
Celes Chere – 13.30%
Lenneth Valkyrie – 12.93%
Sarah Kerrigan – 11.88%
Carmen Sandiego – 9.74%
Jade – 8.13%
Princess Daisy – 7.70%

Triforce Division Stats

Princess Zelda – 50.00%
Aeris Gainsborough – 43.13%
KOS-MOS – 33.08%
Marle – 26.07%
Amy Rose – 22.87%
Terra Branford – 20.55%
Sarah Kerrigan – 16.98%
Carmen Sandiego – 13.92%
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
Haste_2 | Posted 11/2/2006 7:09:56 AM | message detail
That's because Dante and Knuckles (in the same division) had two enormous boosts that year, and (debatably) Squall, too.

And, I forgot about how Riku's affected by how you place Yoshi...I can't see him at 30% on BL, so...we'll see how things go with Yoshi/Snake. Unfortunately, Yoshi/Snake involves the Snake sprite, so maybe you can't trust it. :/ I think Snake's face is too dominant this time around to make much of a difference, though...

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charmander6000 | Posted 11/2/2006 7:18:16 AM | message detail
Well keeping Dante constant to what he would get on Squall 2k5 Yoshi should be expected to barely break 40%.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 7:28:36 AM | message detail
An impressive performance by Yuna, I must say. Chun-Li is at 23.15% on BL, assuming a constant Crono for Bowser this year, .01% above what my stats put KOS-MOS at here.

...The sad thing is, that's still better than all but six females.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
zwong1 | Posted 11/2/2006 7:32:44 AM | message detail
Do any of you know what do "i feel asleep" in that Snake vs Bowser picture means.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
Haste_2 | Posted 11/2/2006 7:36:06 AM | message detail
Some enemy soldier at the beginning (maybe other parts?) of Metal Gear says that if you wake him up from his sleep (before that, when he actually falls asleep, he says "I'm getting sleepy")...then he attacks, of course. The phrase just doesn't make sense, not to mention the grammatical error.

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zwong1 | Posted 11/2/2006 7:39:09 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
zwong1 | Posted 11/2/2006 7:40:01 AM | message detail
Thanks Haste_2. Are you an alt of another account.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 7:43:06 AM | message detail
Yuna's current percentage (59.65%) puts her at 28.73%~ on BL (which is...basically no man's land in the SC2K5 stats, about the middle ground between Tidus and Leon Kennedy), meaning she gets 41.07% on Ganondorf through Vincent through 2005 Sonic. Basically, she seems to be stronger this year. There's really no way around it. Beats me how it happened. That little cameo in KHII shouldn't have done...well, anything.

Oh, and she beats Rikku with 55.01%, for the record.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/2/2006 8:01:43 AM | message detail
She may push a little over 60 after school too.

Wow. I wonder what happened to Yuna. Or maybe something happened to Chun Li.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
transience | Posted 11/2/2006 8:04:38 AM | message detail
heh, she's now projected to lose to Knuckles 55.8-44.2 if those numbers are right. funny how they stay proportional.
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xyzzy
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 8:07:00 AM | message detail
Nah, I think she's fine where she is based on Bowser through constant Crono. In my opinion, like Zelda, it's difficult to deny that Yuna is stronger this year.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
BDawg | Posted 11/2/2006 8:10:54 AM | message detail
Yes, Yuna is still looking good, but she still has to do something against Zelda before I really believe. Sigh, I thought Yuna was amazingly bland but if she's now higher than Tidus I guess a fanservice game and pointless cameos can really do something around here.
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Should I start running now?
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 8:17:19 AM | message detail
Yuna is amazing in Final Fantasy X. I choose to neglect the fact that she was in FFX-2, personally.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/2/2006 8:24:37 AM | message detail
I'm liking Yuna here. :)

To be honest, I'm looking to the Battle Royale more than anything else in the contest, at the moment. I particularly want so see Link vs Cloud vs Sephiroth. ^_^

Snake vs Mega Man and Crono vs Samus should be fun, as well.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/2/2006 9:05:26 AM | message detail
Let's play... random questions!

1. Who's stronger between Roxas and Axel?
2. Can any of the two beat Wario?
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Yuna with 57.89%
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/2/2006 9:05:59 AM | message detail
I just wanna see how Ceej will be doing the match pictures for the Battle Royale. Split-screen faceshots, or massive orgy of awesomeness.

TuRtLe
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55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/2/2006 9:09:57 AM | message detail
And Yuna is really impressing me here.

If you want an explanation, maybe her and Ganny were massively underrated (either through Mario/Smaus or Smaus/Ganny) meaning Vincent boosted to Crono-like levels, meaning Sonic boosted to Mario-like levels.

Sonic for male bracket?

lol xstats

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
KingBartz | Posted 11/2/2006 9:11:46 AM | message detail
What if.... THERE IS NO BATTLE ROYALE PICS!!!1
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 70/76 Today's pick: Yuna
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/2/2006 9:12:35 AM | message detail
From KingBartz
What if.... THERE IS NO BATTLE ROYALE PICS!!!1

INCONCIEVABLE!

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/2/2006 10:16:30 AM | message detail
Picture-wise, one thing that's a shame is how early we're seeing MM vs. Snake. If the match happened later, we'd get half a dozen awesome user made pics, but now we could see something like what we got in 2k4.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Cecil XIX | Posted 11/2/2006 10:22:17 AM | message detail
From: Mac Arrowny | Posted: 11/2/2006 1:16:30 PM | Message Detail
Picture-wise, one thing that's a shame is how early we're seeing MM vs. Snake. If the match happened later, we'd get half a dozen awesome user made pics, but now we could see something like what we got in 2k4.


But on the bright side, that means we'll get to see a lot of Snake/Sonic pics!
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
H__RR____H | Posted 11/2/2006 10:28:23 AM | message detail
I hope the Elite Eight pics are done like the Final Four pics in 2k4, myself. I'd love to see Mega Man and Solid Snake each own each other...then Samus/Tifa would be good, too. I figure Zelda/Yuna would work out as well, though I'd be curious to see how a picture of Sonic owning Crono would go.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
H__RR____H | Posted 11/2/2006 10:29:46 AM | message detail
Oh, and I would be totally fine if we don't see pictures for the Battle Royal...but, if we have them, it either needs to be face-shots (maybe even interchangable with each shot?) or a bigger picture of bad-assery.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 11/2/2006 10:30:06 AM | message detail
The Final Four pics in 2k4 are probably amongst my favourite ever.

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Terrible demon. Ouch...
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/2/2006 10:36:57 AM | message detail
Oh, and I would be totally fine if we don't see pictures for the Battle Royal...but, if we have them, it either needs to be face-shots (maybe even interchangable with each shot?) or a bigger picture of bad-assery.

I can just imagine a big picture with Samus, Mario, and Link charging on one side, with Cloud, Sephiroth, and Crono on the other...that would be absolutely amazing.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Xuxon | Posted 11/2/2006 10:41:22 AM | message detail
Somehow I've been imagining six different pictures arranged in a circle with the voting dots beside each one. Probably unnecessary, and kind of cluttered.
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Take off every sig.
H__RR____H | Posted 11/2/2006 10:55:56 AM | message detail
Oh, and here's something that crossed my mind...

...FACT or FICTION: assuming Samus and Crono make it into the BR, the total votes for Nintendo characters will outdo the total votes for Square characters all five days of the BR.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
KingBartz | Posted 11/2/2006 11:05:08 AM | message detail
Fiction

Samus just won't be able to draw very many votes that Link and Mario won't alreaddy be getting.
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 70/76 Today's pick: Yuna
Big Bob | Posted 11/2/2006 11:37:59 AM | message detail
Amy Rose – 22.87%
Terra Branford – 20.55%


This pleases me to no end.
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 11/2/2006 11:57:20 AM | message detail
*looks at tomorrow's picture*

Excellent, we won't get a good reading on Yoshi his year, maybe we finally will get it next year?
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Supporter of Chun Li
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/2/2006 12:07:09 PM | message detail
Dammit, Chun, pick it up! Argh. Hmm, hopefully Yuna can do respectfully on Zelda (like 45% >_>).
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 64/68 Today: Tifa
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/2/2006 12:08:48 PM | message detail
Well, I think it's good enough that Chun-Li doesn't seem to be doing any worse with the after-school vote.

Then again, it may be too early to say that.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/2/2006 12:27:36 PM | message detail
And Yuna gets her best update of the match! <3 after-school vote.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 12:30:43 PM | message detail
As much as I love Chun-Li, I do love Yuna, too, and the better she does at this point, the better she's looking to do against Zelda. Downright dirty shame she can't win that match. I'd absolutely mark out if, by some miracle, she outdid Aeris though.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/2/2006 12:33:14 PM | message detail
Well, I despise Yuna, but the better she looks, the better Ganon looks, so I'm happy with her doing better. This also shuts down some of those irritating people who insisted that Yuna couldn't possibly be stronger than Tidus.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 12:49:26 PM | message detail
This doesn't say anything about that because we'll have no idea about Tidus. In any event, she'll be awfully close. Of course, she does have the benefit of starring in a second game to help her out. Without it, she wouldn't stand a chance of beating him.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
BDawg | Posted 11/2/2006 12:56:51 PM | message detail
All I know is if she bombs against Zelda this whole division is gonna look like ass. Which actually is pretty accurate...
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Should I start running now?
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/2/2006 12:57:52 PM | message detail
Feel the augmented power of 1-seed Yuna
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 1:03:53 PM | message detail
Well, I despise Yuna, but the better she looks, the better Ganon looks

Odd, that's the one reason I wouldn't want her to do well.

At the 16:00 mark, this match has 75750 votes. To compare with other matches at the same time:

Sonic/Vincent - 78620
Samus/Rikku - 80149
Tifa/Peach - 79435
Zelda/Aeris - 80008
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 1:16:37 PM | message detail
Hello there, after school vote.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/2/2006 1:28:48 PM | message detail
From BDawg
All I know is if she bombs against Zelda this whole division is gonna look like ass. Which actually is pretty accurate...

XD

Too true

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/2/2006 1:32:52 PM | message detail
Ouch for Thunder Thighs there.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)