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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 413

zwong1 | Posted 11/1/2006 3:56:13 AM | message detail
What is the meaning of Nintendo Power hour.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/1/2006 3:56:49 AM | message detail
It's an awesome reference to the most awesome TV show ever
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
zwong1 | Posted 11/1/2006 3:59:25 AM | message detail
Sorry if i am not clear, I am asking the concept of it. I mean why do Nintendo character do well at that specific hour or time.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
therealmnm | Posted 11/1/2006 4:02:40 AM | message detail
Many of the voters located in the US demographic are still up at the start of the poll. Seeing how the poll is so front loaded, many of what used to be "afterschool or dayvotes" from the previous poll time are being cast all up front. Once the frontloaded votes are consumed, it quickly goes back to the traditional night vote.
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Devil May Cry, Mega Man ZX
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2006 4:30:26 AM | message detail
*Looks at poll*

Damnit! You gotta be kiddin me! At least put up a fight Aeris! Oh well, I guess we really won't have an interesting match till Round 3 is over >_>
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
cyko | Posted 11/1/2006 4:43:04 AM | message detail
even if KOS-MOS and Zelda are both at the same point as last year though, Zelda is still only expected to win with 58.8%,

...Wait, what? Zelda 2k5 is expected to get 68.4% on KOS-MOS 2k5...unless I read what you were saying wrong.


i know this is from last night, but i was saying that Zelda would be expected to get 58.8% against Aeris if Zelda and KOS-MOS both stayed constant from last year.
.
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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2006 4:46:53 AM | message detail
Aeris is at least putting up a fight with this morning vote... but Zelda already has a 3000 vote lead. Aeris has a good chance to finish this with over 45%
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"........!" ~Magus
Xuxon | Posted 11/1/2006 5:02:34 AM | message detail
Zelda's certainly doing better here than at night. It looks like the morning vote is giving Zelda a little over 55% of the vote as opposed to just under 50%. She did so well in the beginning that she didn't allow her percentage to get low enough where it's actually improving significantly, despite receiving much more of the vote currently. Not sure about the after school vote, but I think 43+ is guaranteed for Aeris, 44 is likely and even 45 is possible.
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Take off every sig.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/1/2006 6:01:11 AM | message detail
Whoa, GJ Aeris with that night vote.

Now just roll over and die through the day vote and I'll be happy.

TuRtLe
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55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Xuxon | Posted 11/1/2006 6:16:08 AM | message detail
Heh, looks like I spoke too soon. 15 minutes after I post that, and Zelda starts going on a charge. Very odd that the morning vote would just pick up like that an hour and a half after it started, though.
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Take off every sig.
KingBartz | Posted 11/1/2006 6:49:40 AM | message detail
WHEEEEEEEEEEE!
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 62/68 Today's pick: Zelda
gonf | Posted 11/1/2006 7:13:41 AM | message detail
So who would win? Zelda or Tifa?
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Most wanted game: LoZ: TP
dragoontheguy | Posted 11/1/2006 7:20:58 AM | message detail
I'd probably take zelda, although she wouldn't beat tifa quite as badly as she's beating Aeris.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
zwong1 | Posted 11/1/2006 7:22:49 AM | message detail
Zelda will beat Tifa.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
KingBartz | Posted 11/1/2006 7:28:31 AM | message detail
Zelda
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 62/68 Today's pick: Zelda
XIII_rocks | Posted 11/1/2006 7:59:05 AM | message detail
XD, I laughed so hard when I saw the results.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 68/72 Today: Zelda
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/1/2006 8:26:12 AM | message detail
I'd take Zelda over Tifa, but it would be a hell of alot closer than today's match.

Which makes me wonder how Aeris got in in 2k2 and 2k3 but not Tifa. Tifa coulda been an absolute monster back then.

TuRtLe
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55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Who Cares? | Posted 11/1/2006 8:51:02 AM | message detail
That still baffles me to this day. I always had a feeling Tifa was the more popular of the two since 2k2. Back then I only played like a few hours of FF7 so I didn't know too much about it, but I remebered seeing Tifa all over the place when it came to Final Fantasy, moreso than Aeris at least. So I was somewhat shocked to see Aeris in the first two contests. Hell, maybe Tifa could've beaten Sonic back in 2k3.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Yuna (Tomorrow)
*Go play Tales of the Abyss NOW!!*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/1/2006 8:58:28 AM | message detail
Vincent or Tifa being in the contest 2k3 would have meant that we wouldn't have a Noble Nine.

TuRtLe
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55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Mac Arrowny | Posted 11/1/2006 9:19:09 AM | message detail
I'm not so sure about that. Zero vs. Sonic was still closer than Aeris vs. Sonic, and Aeris did have KH.

Regardless of how the Tifa/Aeris/Vincent debate goes, Zelda vs. Ganon should be settled next round. I'd never noticed before, but Zelda will face Yuna, a character Ganon faced last year! Zelda could've boosted since then, sure, but it'll be interesting to see how they compare.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
BDawg | Posted 11/1/2006 10:13:15 AM | message detail
Man Chun Li needs to step up and slap down that overrated fraud Yuna (no I don't believe she is now near-elite just because she slaughtered fodder). But of course pre-match it looks even less likely than Yoshi>Dante did.
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Should I start running now?
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/1/2006 10:36:39 AM | message detail
Looks like Nintendo does have the two strongest female characters.

Tifa would like a word with you. She'd beat Aeris far worse than this!!

Speaking of Tifa, preliminary stats!

Samus Aran – 41.69%
Tifa Lockhart – 33.57%
Rikku – 25.85%
Princess Peach – 22.79%
Jill Valentine – 22.78%
Kairi – 21.57%
Claire Redfield – 20.67%
Sheena Fujibayashi – 17.30%
The Boss – 17.09%
Ada Wong – 16.86%
Ivy Valentine – 15.99%
Nidoran F – 15.13%
Celes Chere – 13.30%
Lenneth Valkyrie – 12.93%
Jade – 8.13%
Princess Daisy – 7.70%

Limit Division Stats

Tifa Lockhart – 50.00%
Princess Peach – 33.95%
Jill Valentine – 33.94%
Sheena Fujibayashi – 25.77%
The Boss – 25.45%
Ivy Valentine – 23.82%
Celes Chere – 19.81%
Princess Daisy – 11.48%
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 11/1/2006 11:06:21 AM | message detail
Aeris is gaining %. I like that.
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 11/1/2006 11:55:18 AM | message detail
Its still gonna be 55/45 by the end :(
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/1/2006 12:02:35 PM | message detail
Is KOS-MOS can bring Aeris down over 1% after school then dammit so can Zelda. This should end at ~57%!
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
Janus5000 | Posted 11/1/2006 12:07:05 PM | message detail
Sheena > The Boss? Awesome.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/1/2006 12:07:12 PM | message detail
Zelda's pulled three 60+ updates out of the last four. Even though we know it pretty well, it's still fun to watch the after school vote.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Master Moltar | Posted 11/1/2006 12:11:50 PM | message detail
Zelda stomping over the after-school vote so far...ouch Aeris is all I have to say. Can't deny that she's dropped now, combined with a Zelda boost.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Zelda vs. Aeris - Bracket: Zelda - Vote: Zelda (64/72)
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/1/2006 12:12:53 PM | message detail
Why is Aeris on the decline while Tifa is on the rise? WTF?
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Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARSONICA
RPGuy96 | Posted 11/1/2006 12:18:10 PM | message detail
Yikes. The last three fifteen minute updates for have been Zelda with 59.51%, 59.83%, 58.65%.

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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/1/2006 12:19:20 PM | message detail
Damn this makes Vincent look real good for beating Ganondorf. Faith in Sonic>Crono is semi-restored. Now to find some way to restore my faith in MM>Main bracket!
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/1/2006 12:32:49 PM | message detail
Zelda back up over 56%.

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Can't think of a good sig.
HaRRicH | Posted 11/1/2006 12:36:13 PM | message detail
Looks like she wants more, too...57% will take a hell of a push, but she's doin' plenty nice today even if she drops from here on out.
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
Jmast7 | Posted 11/1/2006 12:37:11 PM | message detail
FACT or FICTION?: Zelda will finish with over 57.5%
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"I've tried 'em all, I really have, and the only church that truly feeds the soul, day in, day out, is the Church of Baseball." - Annie Savoy
HaRRicH | Posted 11/1/2006 12:38:43 PM | message detail
FICTION -- she'll be real lucky to hit 57.5%, much less finish with it.
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 11/1/2006 12:39:34 PM | message detail
FACT or FICTION?: Zelda will finish with over 57.5%

Fiction, I predicted 57% for this match and I'm stickin to it!

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30499508&page=2
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
KingBartz | Posted 11/1/2006 12:40:10 PM | message detail
Oh. That after school vote is treating Zelda well.
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 66/72 Today's pick: Zelda
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/1/2006 12:44:55 PM | message detail
I'm not sure if she can get as high as 57.5%, but I think she definitely finishes with over 57% in this match.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/1/2006 1:07:07 PM | message detail
I'm still not convinced Zelda is any stronger than last year, or outperforms Ganon on Samus this year. Match 1) Complete unknown joke fodder. 2) Complete Fodder that projects her to beat Mario (halo thar overperformance) 3) Aeris was the biggest turd last round, and she's looking to be the biggest turd again this round. Hmm... if I didn't know any better, I'd say Aeris isn't as strong as everyone thought!

She still can outperform Ganon, but if she does it won't be by much, or it'll be because Zelda (series) is up across the boards .

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/1/2006 1:08:21 PM | message detail
...Man, EC, you just really back Samus, don't you?

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Draco1214 | Posted 11/1/2006 1:08:42 PM | message detail
This match really does remind me of when Zelda destroyed Vivi. She ain't breaking 45% on Samus, folks!
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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
PortugalTheMann | Posted 11/1/2006 1:10:38 PM | message detail
...Man, EC, you just really back Samus, don't you?

It has nothing to do with Samus... Zelda can get 5% or 45% on Samus, and my mind won't change on where Samus stands. Well actually if she only got 5% it would, but you get the idea. My point is everyone is jumping a bandwagon, except they forgot to realize it doesn't have any wheels.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/1/2006 1:10:51 PM | message detail
And even if you take Zelda 2k5 against Aeris 2k2, Zelda is only projected to win with 54.58%. Zelda has most certainly boosted some, and it helps that she was already expected to get over 40% last year.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
THEJackSparrow | Posted 11/1/2006 1:12:18 PM | message detail
The only problem is that we're dealing with an Aeris that 3 years old. We really don't know where she stands. Basically, you have to have KOS-MOS > Peach if Aeris is still equal to her 2003 value.

Take that for what you will.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/1/2006 1:12:27 PM | message detail
This match really does remind me of when Zelda destroyed Vivi. She ain't breaking 45% on Samus, folks!

...I'd like to think there is a pretty big difference between Vivi and Aeris.

My point is everyone is jumping a bandwagon, except they forgot to realize it doesn't have any wheels.

You mean the completely reasonable "Zelda outperforms Ganon on Samus" bandwagon?

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Draco1214 | Posted 11/1/2006 1:13:56 PM | message detail
And FYI, if Zelda breaks 45%, that puts her above the likes of Vincent, Ganondorf, and most importantly, above the man who 54-46'd her last year.
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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003
Choggy | Posted 11/1/2006 1:15:09 PM | message detail
I wish this contest was actually "Who would win in a fight" instead of who is more popular.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 11/1/2006 1:19:06 PM | message detail
And if you boost Zelda by 2% from last year and then use Aeris 2k2, Zelda is projected to get 56.97% on Aeris. This also puts her equal to Vincent 2k5 and projects Samus to beat her with about 57%. If there is any rSFF or whatever in favor of Zelda, it would take practically nothing to reach 45%, regardless of whether or not it's her actual strength.

But the downplaying of three extremely impressive performances is getting a wee bit ridiculous. It starts out with the whole "It's only fodder she's overperforming on!" and now that she's beating down someone from FFVII who isn't fodder it's "Aeris is just much weaker than before!" I don't know how many times that Zelda has to outperform the stats and expectations before you get everyone acknowledging that she did, in fact, boost and will perform quite well on Samus.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 11/1/2006 1:20:32 PM | message detail
"I wish this contest was actually "Who would win in a fight" instead of who is more popular."


It would still be a popularity contest.

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Can't think of a good sig.
Draco1214 | Posted 11/1/2006 1:22:01 PM | message detail
Now why would Zelda get rSFF on Samus when Ganondorf couldn't (and it's arguable whether or not Ganondorf got SFF'd himself)?

Samus has one bad match against Nintendo's mascot, and now everyone thinks anything Nintendo can rSFF her.
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Currently Playing: Final Fantasy XII, Tales of the Abyss, King of Fighters 2002/2003