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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 413

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GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/31/2006 5:02:30 PM | message detail
BLUE... BLUE... SNAKE... BLUE...
Mr. Carpainter was right!



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
trannyscience | Posted 10/31/2006 5:03:27 PM | message detail
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 412 UltimaterializerX 323 10/31 7:59PM
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zizzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/31/2006 5:44:12 PM | message detail
Tag.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/31/2006 5:46:25 PM | message detail
Too earrrrrrrly

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/31/2006 5:49:03 PM | message detail
SNAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAKE!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 6: Han Solo (5-0)
transience | Posted 10/31/2006 10:15:37 PM | message detail
yeah, Zelda is arguably stronger than Ganondorf right now and she hasn't had one of those 12% moments. but uhhh not much more than 45% if even that high

round 4 is gonna rule
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xyzzy
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/31/2006 10:16:02 PM | message detail
Remember when Zelda stomped Vivi and people gave her a shot at Snake?

Zelda will fail to break 40% on Samus.


Zelda 2k5 - 33.71%BL
Solid Snake 2k4 - 33.05%BL

Zelda not beating Solid Snake had more to do with him boosting than Zelda being overrated.
---
I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:17:20 PM | message detail
If I didn't know anything about these contests, I would automatically assume Zelda to be stronger than Ganondorf. She shows up more than just the final boss, and her name's in the freakin' title of each game.
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CB5 Points: 67/72, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/31/2006 10:17:50 PM | message detail
And, yeah, Zelda is already projected to get over 40% in 2005. You can argue that Samus is underrated...but it's really hard to deny that Zelda has boosted. We've heard the "Zelda is just overperforming on fodder!" for the first two rounds and now she's just dominating Aeris with neary a 2000 vote lead in 2 hours and 15 minutes.

I think it's really safe to say that Zelda is going to easily beat Ganon's performance on Samus.

---
"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
HaRRicH | Posted 10/31/2006 10:21:15 PM | message detail
Yeah -- now, again, to clarify, I'm not trying to say Zelda will or even could pull the upset. It's hard for me to imagine her surpassing 45%, even, with all things going her way...but Zelda shall impress against Samus by at least outdoing Ganon, something nobody liked to think about for years now.
---
http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
transience | Posted 10/31/2006 10:21:21 PM | message detail
well, let me ask - who's stronger, Vivi or Yuna?
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xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:22:39 PM | message detail
Vi...eh...no, Yuna.
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CB5 Points: 67/72, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
DpObliVion | Posted 10/31/2006 10:23:19 PM | message detail
ROFL at me indeed.

I SWEAR TO ****ING GOD I DIDN'T MEAN TO HAVE PEACH YESTERDAY! IT'S BULL****!!

---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
HaRRicH | Posted 10/31/2006 10:23:28 PM | message detail
Oh, and also, people have got to stop making topics so ridiculously early. From GFK to Ulti, it's been happening a lot lately, and it's non-sensical.

For the love of God, I don't care who you are or what match is on the horizon, PLEASE, no more topics where the post count in the previous topic hasn't hit at least 400, and I wouldn't mind if we didn't even have pre-emptive topics anymore either.
---
http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
HaRRicH | Posted 10/31/2006 10:24:14 PM | message detail
I'll take Yuna for $2,000, please.
---
http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:24:41 PM | message detail
Somone needs to do it at least a little early or else we end up with 10 different ones when the previous topic closes.
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CB5 Points: 67/72, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
transience | Posted 10/31/2006 10:26:53 PM | message detail
not true at all - I watched a topic for the strongest villain or something hit 500 and the person made the next one and they continued right there. at the very least, 450 - it's not like we get 50 posts in a minute here very often.

anyway, I'd take Yuna as well - the point is that Zelda wasn't indirectly stronger than Ganondorf last year, the year before or ever. this year is the first time she's looked that way.
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xyzzy
transience | Posted 10/31/2006 10:27:15 PM | message detail
oh and now that the Nintendo Power Hour is over, Zelda is slowing down considerably. Aeris will win some updates throughout the night.
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xyzzy
creativename | Posted 10/31/2006 10:28:14 PM | message detail
I think Zelda should get 43+%...don't know about 45% though. But she's got a good shot at 45%, yeah.

Zelda has really been impressive so far. Now, in the past we've seen characters be real impressive and then disappoint. But I don't think Zelda will do that against Samus.


For the love of God, I don't care who you are or what match is on the horizon, PLEASE, no more topics where the post count in the previous topic hasn't hit at least 400, and I wouldn't mind if we didn't even have pre-emptive topics anymore either.

IMO this is a non-issue.
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
zwong1 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:31:29 PM | message detail
I think Zelda will break 56% at the end of the match. Zelda is just plain impressive this year. She thrash fodder like they are ants and then she proceed to kick Aeris back to her grave. I agree she will do well(maybe 43-44%) against Samus but definitely does not stand a chance of winning her.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/31/2006 10:38:18 PM | message detail
So is TP still scheduled to come out near the BR final (the last two characters)?


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Can't think of a good sig.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:38:35 PM | message detail
Whoa! This is amazing, and I'm one of those few people who have claimed that Zelda > Samus was actually a semi-realistic upset for the daring. Anyway, it's good to see people other than HM and me argue for Zelda's chances to break 45% on Samus. Finally!
---
I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:39:00 PM | message detail
Last day for the BR is November 18th. 1 day before the release of TP.
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CB5 Points: 67/72, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
DpObliVion | Posted 10/31/2006 10:41:25 PM | message detail
It's official....I'm going on record! I had Tifa yesrterday!

---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/31/2006 10:44:52 PM | message detail
So is TP still scheduled to come out near the BR final (the last two characters)?

Yep!

Twilight Princess is scheduled to come out one day after the BR ends. So if we get a one day delay, it'll fall on the Link/Cloud match.

And based on everything I'm hearing, it lives up to the hype and then some. Go go, one day delay!

---
"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:45:47 PM | message detail
But then everyone will be playing it, not voting!
---
CB5 Points: 67/72, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Phoenix Wright 2, Final Fanasy XII
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/31/2006 10:45:58 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Chinballz | Posted 10/31/2006 10:52:48 PM | message detail
Say, isn't this the first time a FF7 character has lost to a non N9er?
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And that's The Word.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/31/2006 10:54:52 PM | message detail
Say, isn't this the first time a FF7 character has lost to a non N9er?

That's true. Ganon has already ****ed it up twice for the Zelda crew. And Tingle, but he hardly exists.
---
I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
TrueHeroComplex | Posted 10/31/2006 11:01:45 PM | message detail
Wow, Zelda's doing better than Sonic did.

Weird stuff.
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A hero is a man who is afraid to run away.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/31/2006 11:03:08 PM | message detail
Zelda will end up giving Aeris her worst loss ever. Looks like Nintendo does have the two strongest female characters.
---
I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
zwong1 | Posted 10/31/2006 11:05:18 PM | message detail
I don't mind CjayC giving Snake a bad sprite picture. Lets hope CjayC will compensate the Snake's fans by giving Snake a decent picture when he is against Mega Man.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/31/2006 11:06:24 PM | message detail
Not only will this be Aerith's worst loss ever, it may well be the worst loss by anything related to Final Fantasy VII. The biggest beatdown of a Final Fantasy VII character, game, or series ever is Link vs Sephiroth from 2002 Characters, where Sephiroth managed only 43.55% of the vote.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
Janus5000 | Posted 10/31/2006 11:54:43 PM | message detail
Hmmm... pretty solid thrashing so far, though if Aeris lowers Zelda's % the same amount FF did to LoZ from this point on, it'll end about 55/45 - probably optimistic for Aeris, though it would be respectable enough.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Janus5000 | Posted 11/1/2006 12:12:17 AM | message detail
COMEBACK ACTIVATE 2900 VOTE SPOILER
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/1/2006 12:20:45 AM | message detail
This makes Vincent look pretty impressive for beating Ganondorf, now. o_0
---
Smurf. The Cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARSONICA
TheCruelAngel | Posted 11/1/2006 12:22:07 AM | message detail
HOLY MOTHER ****ING YES

I was somewhat worried about this match, but Zelda soothed that all away.

Now all I need is to see Link > Cloud + Sephiroth with 55% of the at the Battle Royale!
---
Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
nobleIII | Posted 11/1/2006 12:28:25 AM | message detail
Ganondorf Vs. Zelda, who you guys got? I'd take Ganondorf. If he IS stronger, I'm wondering how much a boost Vincent got.
zwong1 | Posted 11/1/2006 12:30:12 AM | message detail
Zelda is probably stronger than Ganondorf.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
nobleIII | Posted 11/1/2006 12:32:25 AM | message detail
womg, aeris wins an update1!~
transience | Posted 11/1/2006 12:32:29 AM | message detail
Zelda is dropping like a rock.. Aeris is winning updates regularly now. I wouldn't be amazed to see this at like 53% when the morning comes.

when it does come, though? oh man, it's going to be brutal. I could see Zelda gaining 3, 4% come daytime. 56% seems a good guess as to where this will end up.

good show, Zelda.
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xyzzy
Lady Ashe | Posted 11/1/2006 2:37:10 AM | message detail
From KleenexTissue50
Last day for the BR is November 18th. 1 day before the release of TP.

Oh, hay. It ends on my birthday. HAY GUYS LET'S HAVE ZELDA WIN THE BATTLE ROYALE FOR MY BIRTHDAY PRESENT K?
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Not_1 | Posted 11/1/2006 3:14:25 AM | message detail
Aw, Zelda isn't allowing Aeris to break 45%. She's kept her at 44.99% for two updates now.
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And I need all the love I can get
And I need all the love that I can't get to(o)
zwong1 | Posted 11/1/2006 3:29:44 AM | message detail
It is strange that Aeris increased in such a furious speed. I believed there must be vote stuffing or maybe rallying from other website.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
jonthomson | Posted 11/1/2006 3:38:57 AM | message detail
It'd be real nice if this stayed around 55% until the end of the match.
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Jon Thomson - Z1mZum pwned me good and proper.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/1/2006 3:44:11 AM | message detail
Geez, 59%? Them first hour voters loves them so Nintendo.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
janembaman | Posted 11/1/2006 3:45:52 AM | message detail
Next update- 3000 lead
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laff
red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2006 3:50:56 AM | message detail
It is strange that Aeris increased in such a furious speed. I believed there must be vote stuffing or maybe rallying from other website.

It's just that there's a huge difference between the Nintendo Hour and the rest of the night vote.

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"........!" ~Magus
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/1/2006 3:51:15 AM | message detail
I'd laugh if Yuna does better than this somehow
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 11/1/2006 3:52:36 AM | message detail
The first hour is the Nintendo Power Hour
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.