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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 410

MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/28/2006 9:06:03 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy characters not from FFVII generally aren't the greatest with the day vote, though FFX's is fairly good.

I would imagine that Auron being in KH2 will help him out quite a bit.

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
charmander6000 | Posted 10/28/2006 9:06:05 PM | message detail
Great job Sub-Zero for keeping Auron under 60%
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
HaRRicH | Posted 10/28/2006 9:06:19 PM | message detail
...just to make sure -- I want to hear it -- are Scorpion and Sub-Zero still palette-swaps and can't have one being noticably stronger than the other?
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Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
cyko | Posted 10/28/2006 9:06:23 PM | message detail
i dunno. seeing how Auron seems to have the whole Kingdom Hearts 2 thing going for him, i think that he will have a bit of an edge on Sub-Zero for the day vote.

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/28/2006 9:06:30 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero's highest lead so far is 2.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2546

XD
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Hispanics 1 | Whites 5
Asians 4 | Blacks 3
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2006 9:06:46 PM | message detail

I would imagine that Auron being in KH2 will help him out quite a bit.


I would imagine you being wrong as usual!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:06:58 PM | message detail
I would imagine that Auron being in KH2 will help him out quite a bit.

Hasn't done Squall any favors.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/28/2006 9:07:13 PM | message detail
I would imagine you being wrong as usual!

The only person who is wrong here is the one who thinks "LOL KH2 DID NOTHING!"

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2006 9:07:31 PM | message detail

The only person who is wrong here is the one who thinks "LOL KH2 DID NOTHING!"


Who's that?

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:07:39 PM | message detail
Hey, the more KHII does for Auron, the better Sub-Zero looks!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
cyko | Posted 10/28/2006 9:07:44 PM | message detail
...just to make sure -- I want to hear it -- are Scorpion and Sub-Zero still palette-swaps and can't have one being noticably stronger than the other?

i'm man enough to admit it. i was totally wrong about that one. but Auron will still crush Sub-Zero today!!


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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/28/2006 9:07:50 PM | message detail
Let me think...

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2006 9:08:23 PM | message detail
Let me think...

Letting!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/28/2006 9:08:28 PM | message detail
Go Sub-Zero! This is awesome!
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New York Mets: 97-65: At least we had a better run than the Yankees!
# 1 Fan of the best video game character, Squall Leonhart <3
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/28/2006 9:09:03 PM | message detail
The amount of people supporting Sub-Zero in here makes me want to vomit. =(

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 9:09:05 PM | message detail
Even if we're using last year's, very potentially underrated Auron, 40% here means that Sub-Zero is at least 25% on BL, and that's not accounting for any KH2 boost either. Of course, that means Sub-Zero has to maintain...so come on, Subby!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2006 9:09:10 PM | message detail
Go Subby!

Guesses on Aurons prediction %?

Less than 30?

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:09:24 PM | message detail
...just to make sure -- I want to hear it -- are Scorpion and Sub-Zero still palette-swaps and can't have one being noticably stronger than the other?

Aww, I wanted the privilege of asking that question!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/28/2006 9:10:07 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
59-----3--------100.0000000
58-----35-------97.1428571
57-----56-------87.5000000
56-----150------94.6666667
55-----333------92.7927928
54-----541------91.6820702
53-----813------90.2829028
52-----1170-----89.4871795
51-----1504-----89.1622340
50-----1803-----86.6333888
49-----2117-----84.5536136
48-----2222-----81.3681368
47-----2231-----79.6952039
46-----2302-----76.8027802
45-----2210-----71.8552036
44-----2217-----69.3279206
43-----2181-----66.2998624
42-----2116-----63.0907372
41-----1976-----59.0080972
40-----1926-----53.9979232
39-----1933-----54.6301086
38-----1685-----49.1394659
37-----1703-----46.8584850
36-----1536-----45.8333333
35-----1293-----42.4593968
34-----1182-----40.3553299
33-----1022-----38.6497065
32-----887------36.8658399
31-----757------32.3645971
30-----591------34.8561760
29-----445------35.7303371
28-----403------36.2282878
27-----319------30.0940439
26-----208------32.2115385
25-----146------27.3972603
24-----106------33.9622642
23-----70-------38.5714286
22-----56-------35.7142857
21-----38-------28.9473684
20-----25-------36.0000000
19-----18-------11.1111111
18-----11-------9.0909091
17-----10-------10.0000000
16-----3--------33.3333333
15-----5--------20.0000000
14-----6--------50.0000000

Everybody with a score of 13 or less got the match wrong.
Overall prediction percentage: 63.73%

A good performance today. All three -1s get it right so the -1s go perfect. Other than the -3s who do unusually bad on this match, all the groups down to -7 get the match correct.

Two people on the Top 50 fell today. Dragon_Quarter and 420addict bet against the Noble Nine and did not have Crono winning the match today.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
HaRRicH | Posted 10/28/2006 9:10:09 PM | message detail
TOO LATE NOW ANSWER THOUGH I KNOW WHATCHU GON' SAY
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Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:10:14 PM | message detail
It's odd how many people were badmouthing Sub-Zero against Master Chief, and yet it's the topic being impressed with him against Auron.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:10:44 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero increases! Huzzah!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/28/2006 9:10:46 PM | message detail
Damnit how is Sub-Zero getting any votes at all!
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/28/2006 9:10:58 PM | message detail
58.4%

Go Sub-Zero!
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:11:14 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero's getting votes by virtue of being cool (literally and otherwise)! I know I voted for him.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/28/2006 9:11:21 PM | message detail
Damnit how is Sub-Zero getting any votes at all!

It's quite unfortunate, I know!

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"Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire."
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2006 9:11:49 PM | message detail
Until further notice I still think they're no more than 1% away from each other. And unless Sub-Zero is well above Scorp's 2K3 number, or below for the matter, I won't be conceding it, as plenty of things could have changed since then. The possibility for difference is there, but I don't see it happening. Oh, and I pretty much think Subby is at 25% on BL, which is only slightly above Scorps 2K3 value, so the outcome so far isn't all that shocking, especially considering that I expect Auron to improve later on a bit.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 9:12:27 PM | message detail
I voted for him despite liking Auron more thanks to my 1337 uber-bandwagoning skills, to see him as high in the stats as possible!

Aw yeah take that Frog.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:12:33 PM | message detail
Until further notice I still think they're no more than 1% away from each other.

I think you have your further notice right now, sir!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2006 9:13:29 PM | message detail
From THEJackSparrow
It's odd how many people were badmouthing Sub-Zero against Master Chief, and yet it's the topic being impressed with him against Auron.

Subby wrecked our brackets, so we want to see him doing good to make sure it was more him winning that match than Master Chief losing it.

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 9:13:50 PM | message detail
This is just proof that KH2F did nothing though !!

(yet still manages to have Samus be somehow underrated because THAT makes so much sense)
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/28/2006 9:14:16 PM | message detail
Sorry... but I enjoy not calling matches 10 minutes into them. You'd think after Crono/Bowser yesterday people would learn that what we have now is hardly concrete, add to that I only expected Auron to have 2.5% more at the end of the match, and I'll reserve judgement until later.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/28/2006 9:14:25 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero is looking to have the ability to decisively beat Alucard. Who would have thought?

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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
Master Moltar | Posted 10/28/2006 9:14:39 PM | message detail
There's still time Auron, push to 64% and beyond!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Auron vs. Sub-Zero- Bracket: Auron - Vote: Auron (54/62)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2006 9:14:45 PM | message detail
To add to that, how often does this topic badmout an upsetter, yet cheer them on in their next match? I'd like to see the stats topic reaction to Knux/Magus comparned to Squall/Knux

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:15:18 PM | message detail
2.5% more doesn't even give Auron 61% here, and that's still noticeably better than Scorpion did in 2004 against an Auron that has every reason to be weaker than the one we're seeing now.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
Gaddswell | Posted 10/28/2006 9:15:30 PM | message detail
Another slight percentage gain for Sub Zero!
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:16:09 PM | message detail
I'd like to see the stats topic reaction to Knux/Magus comparned to Squall/Knux

Even Ulti was cheering for Knuckles. It was the feel-good upset of the year!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 9:16:30 PM | message detail
To add to that, how often does this topic badmout an upsetter, yet cheer them on in their next match? I'd like to see the stats topic reaction to Knux/Magus comparned to Squall/Knux

Knuckles was cheered on like crazy in both instances.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2006 9:17:03 PM | message detail
Then how about Pac-Man/Ocelot and then Pac/Yoshi?

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
HaRRicH | Posted 10/28/2006 9:17:04 PM | message detail
Scorpion got 35.15% on Auron pre-KH2, while Sub-Zero currently has 41.63% on Auron post-KH2. I expect Subby to drop too, but that would be a monster drop to see...so unless Sub-Zero falls below, say, 36%, I don't think Sub-Zero being enough above Scorpion to hush nay-sayers is even arguable.
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Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/28/2006 9:17:04 PM | message detail
This is just proof that KH2F did nothing though !!

(yet still manages to have Samus be somehow underrated because THAT makes so much sense)


You take my KH2F stuff way too far. The only way I start believing it is if Auron pushes for 65% today. As much as I think Auron is underrated, he'd still need to go beyond expectations of someone arguably around 25% on BL, still nothing would be conclusive since Subby's unknown. I've been saying forever that this match had me the most confused out of any other as far as %'s were concerned.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2006 9:18:45 PM | message detail
I won't be convinced about Auron's strength until he goes up against the most consistant character in these battles next round.

Speaking of which, anybody see Auron outperforming Bowser on Crono?

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 9:19:24 PM | message detail
Pac-Man was cheered on against Ocelot, too, and you had far less people upset as it came to their brackets (mainly because Pac/Ocelot was a first round match while Knux/Magus killed everyone's brackets). And...no one cared about Pac/Yoshi.

Seriously, Turtle, you're wrong. As per usual.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:19:42 PM | message detail
Then how about Pac-Man/Ocelot and then Pac/Yoshi?

People were happy that Pac-Man got one last feel-good moment before he made his exit from the contest scene.

Pac-Man/Yoshi? Nobody really cared about the match itself. We were all about the picture!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 9:20:07 PM | message detail
*Pac/Ocelot was a one point match, I should say, while most people had Magus going to Crono again.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2006 9:20:26 PM | message detail
Then I have no explanation for the sudden Subby love, which even I am feeling.

TuRtLe
~~~
55/62 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:20:37 PM | message detail
I won't be convinced about Auron's strength until he goes up against the most consistant character in these battles next round.

...Crono isn't the most consistent character. He clearly increased in 2003 and 2004.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/28/2006 9:21:04 PM | message detail
Knuckles/Magus was a one point match for me!!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: W, 35-15 vs. Darkwing Duck
HaRRicH | Posted 10/28/2006 9:21:54 PM | message detail
ONLY BECAUSE YOUR BIAS LED TO SUPERIOR LOGIC
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Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)