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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 409

The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/28/2006 12:55:53 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter
ZELDA DIDN'T BOOST ALL RIGHT

You're right. She just wanted us to think that she was weak. She will break the noble nine this year, so I guess that will come to an end though. =/
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/28/2006 12:56:15 PM | message detail
From Sir Crono | Posted 10/28/2006 3:53:28 PM | #298
Unless you think XS3 really had a big impact, KOS-MOS is the biggest indicator of an Aeris drop.

Or Luigi overperformed on her last year!

Truth! And Bowser overperformed on Ryu, yay coincidences!
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Crono vs. Bowser- Bracket: Crono - Vote: Bowser (52/60)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 12:57:16 PM | message detail
Like I said before, I don't believe in coincidences.

...except when it comes to Tidus and Shadow being proportionally overrated. That one just gets me.
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therealmnm | Posted 10/28/2006 12:57:18 PM | message detail
i do.Bowser is doing better against crono in the day than he does in the night.by the current definition we have,he is ''winning'' the day vote

that definition makes no sense though,as he is still losing and the lead is still getting bigger.


*sigh* Instances where a match is 50-50, thus letting who actually is GAINING are quite rare. In every match, there is going to be a percentage swing where one character does better than before and vice-versa. It doesn't matter if it's happening in a 50-50 match or an 80-20 match. Resorting it to only when a character can break 50% in a percentage swing is kinda silly to me. Crono is much stronger than Bowser. Of course he's going to keep increasing his lead, as is what you will see for tons of matches.
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Janus5000 | Posted 10/28/2006 1:01:52 PM | message detail
I'm not sure who'd be stronger between Leo and Mikey, though I'd imagine they're both decisively more popular than Raph and Don. No idea about the Shredder.

...I sorta want to see a non-VG character tournament now. Batman over Goku finals FTW!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
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RPGuy96 | Posted 10/28/2006 1:03:03 PM | message detail
Speaking of taking the day vote, Crono's percentage by the hour!

17:00 | 56.11%
16:00 | 56.79%
15:00 | 56.46%
14:00 | 55.70%
13:00 | 54.80%
12:00 | 54.89%
11:00 | 54.50%
10:00 | 52.86%
09:00 | 54.33%
08:00 | 55.54%
07:00 | 55.87%
06:00 | 58.37%
05:00 | 61.67%
04:00 | 64.72%
03:00 | 63.29%
02:00 | 61.36%
01:00 | 60.76%

Crono has more or less recovered from the awful morning and poor day, but he's still quite a ways from matching the percentages he was putting up even in the Nintendo Hour.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/28/2006 1:04:47 PM | message detail
I honestly forgot today was Saturday, though it being a weekend easily explains how Crono did so bad early, but recovered a lot earlier than normal after-school hours. "After-school" vote on weekends is probably just the morning.

~*ST*~
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 1:05:46 PM | message detail
Assuming a constant Crono and Sonic, Ganondorf is projected to beat Bowser right now with 51.45% of the vote. For all the flak that their proportional overperformances on Sephiroth got (including from me), Ganondorf is expected to beat Bowser with 51.64% based on their percentages against Sephy.

However, nothing is set in stone. If Crono beats Sonic by more than expected it makes the match closer, if it's closer than expected Ganon wins by more. Right now Crono needs to beat Sonic with 53.12% for Bowser = Ganondorf.
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Sir Crono | Posted 10/28/2006 1:14:41 PM | message detail
...I sorta want to see a non-VG character tournament now. Batman over Goku finals FTW!

More like Captain Jack Sparrow > Spider-Man!
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As you wish.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/28/2006 1:21:15 PM | message detail
Pssh, Jesus > Homer.

I wonder how well Mohammad would do in that kind of tourney. We wouldn't be able to use pictures of him.....
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Janus5000 | Posted 10/28/2006 1:22:43 PM | message detail
If Homer and Jack Sparrow ever met, the rum would definitely be gone.
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The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/28/2006 1:24:07 PM | message detail
Captain Jack would destroy the competition.
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/28/2006 1:25:07 PM | message detail
Captain Jack, Spider-Man, Batman, Darth Vader and Homer would all own Link.
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Sir Crono | Posted 10/28/2006 1:25:50 PM | message detail
Spider-Man > Batman
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As you wish.
nobleIII | Posted 10/28/2006 1:26:59 PM | message detail
^^

NO

Batman >Spiderman


I can sort of see Wolverine beating link too
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/28/2006 1:28:34 PM | message detail
Nobody has pointed out the flaw in my post yet. >_>
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Janus5000 | Posted 10/28/2006 1:34:03 PM | message detail
Captain Jack would almost SFF Captain Jack Sparrow.

Though he wouldn't remember it because he's both dead and not a fictional character. >_>
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Yesmar | Posted 10/28/2006 1:38:41 PM | message detail
Now all this talk about fictional characters makes me wish Ceej would do it, just for fun.

I honestly have no ****ing clue who would win. None at all.

Darth Vader, James Bond, Super/Spider/Bat Man, and Harry Potter would all be up there I think. Not to mention saying how all the ancillary characters from the series play out.

Ron Vs. Hermoine Who wins? As much as I love Hermoine, I think Ron might be more popular overall.

I would also LMAO if Amidala was ahead of Leia in the X-Stats.

Umm...so, Sub-Zero? Any shot at breaking 40?
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Sir Crono | Posted 10/28/2006 1:39:54 PM | message detail
There's no way Superman beats Batman or Spider-Man. He's just not what he used to be. Can't see Bond being THAT strong comparatively either.
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As you wish.
transience | Posted 10/28/2006 1:43:00 PM | message detail
huh, guess Crono's turned into Frog or Magus over time. this suddenly looks a lot less embarrasing.
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xyzzy
Janus5000 | Posted 10/28/2006 1:43:45 PM | message detail
Would Harry Potter even be the most popular character in his series? I don't really know. Not sure I could see any HP character being too popular anyway.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
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Sir Crono | Posted 10/28/2006 1:43:58 PM | message detail
Yeah, Crono's day vote usually doesn't suck this badly.

...And it feels like this poll should have a lot more votes than this.
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As you wish.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 1:45:44 PM | message detail
Kirby/Luigi put us in a slump. Damn them.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 1:46:54 PM | message detail
Well, relatively. << Damn this contest is averaging out to have high votals.
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*kills self*
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Sir Crono | Posted 10/28/2006 1:47:35 PM | message detail
Hmmm...Maybe it's not as bad as I thought. It's about even with Yoshi/Dante, which got 129,000.
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As you wish.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/28/2006 1:54:54 PM | message detail
From Janus5000
Captain Jack would almost SFF Captain Jack Sparrow.

Though he wouldn't remember it because he's both dead and not a fictional character. >_>


Kay, you get the cookie. *gibs cookie*
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2006 1:57:46 PM | message detail
Well, Yoshi Vs. Dante was a weekday. To compare to other weekend matches, it's on pace for just over 120,000
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Ed Bellis | Posted 10/28/2006 2:01:59 PM | message detail
I set up this four-pack awhile ago:

Darth Vader/Goku
Harry Potter/Spider-Man

I see these four as being the highest in a non-vg fictional character contest. I originally had Homer instead of Spider-Man, but I think Spidey's a good touch.
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2006 2:05:14 PM | message detail
I don't know why people are so positive Leonardo would be stronger than Raphael. He might be stronger than Donatello, but I think Raphael would be the favorite over Leonardo if anything.

Michaelangelo was definitely the strongest back when the cartoon has hottest. But Raphael was the guy pushed most in the movies, and was essentially their main character. I don't remember Leonardo really having his own fanbase, like Michaelangelo and Raphael did.


Darth Vader, Batman, and possibly Spider-Man and Wolverine would beat Link. Pretty sure Batman would, not as much about Spider-Man and Wolverine. Superman would almost certainly be weaker than Batman, and might be weaker than Spider-Man and Wolverine too.

I don't think James Bond would even be close to Batman level in strength.

Harry Potter should definitely be the most popular character from his own series, but I don't think he'd be all that strong overall. He'd probably get wrecked by Batman or Darth Vader, for instance.
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2006 2:05:53 PM | message detail
Darth Vader/Goku
Harry Potter/Spider-Man


I really can't see Spider-Man doing anything but owning Harry Potter.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/28/2006 2:07:14 PM | message detail
Michaelangelo > Donatello > Raphael > Leonardo

Everyone knows LL represents GameFAQS >_>
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
therealmnm | Posted 10/28/2006 2:08:52 PM | message detail
Assuming a constant Crono and Sonic, Ganondorf is projected to beat Bowser right now with 51.45% of the vote. For all the flak that their proportional overperformances on Sephiroth got (including from me), Ganondorf is expected to beat Bowser with 51.64% based on their percentages against Sephy.

Still doesn't mean I'd take Ganon over Bowser in a direct matchup. The whole argument from the villains contest is that a SFF matchup could easily go Bowser's way enough to reverse that 51.64% win for Ganon by stats.
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/28/2006 2:09:28 PM | message detail
I think your underestimating the power of Spider-Man, creativename. He's without a doubt the most popular superhero nowadays among the general demographic of GameFAQS. Thats the exact reason I would expect Superman to be weak. That same demographic hates Supes.
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Demyx > Axel
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Yesmar | Posted 10/28/2006 2:11:42 PM | message detail
I am so going to try to write a Mock Fictional Character Contest. I'm already trying to set up a bracket.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/28/2006 2:11:56 PM | message detail
Darth Vader, Spider-Man, Batman, Wolverine.

As far as I'm concerned there's not many else that can come close. I have no faith in Goku for instance, much less Harry Potter.
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therealmnm | Posted 10/28/2006 2:12:41 PM | message detail
Why the hell are people putting Goku in the same tier as Spider-Man, Batman, and Darth Vader? Even at DBZ's peak I wouldn't put him there. Definitely not now.
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2006 2:13:01 PM | message detail
I think your underestimating the power of Spider-Man, creativename. He's without a doubt the most popular superhero nowadays among the general demographic of GameFAQS. Thats the exact reason I would expect Superman to be weak. That same demographic hates Supes.

I don't understand. Perhaps you misread what I wrote? I can't say for sure but I do think that Spider-Man would be stronger than Superman. I also said that Spider-Man could beat Link.

I think the strongest characters would be Batman, Spider-Man, Darth Vader and Wolverine. Spider-Man could well be the strongest, though I'd give the edge to Batman.
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Ed Bellis | Posted 10/28/2006 2:13:02 PM | message detail
Goku could very well be the Master Chief of the Fictional Character Contest, so bogged down by anti-votes that they become a part of his intrinsic strength. Wolverine might very well have upset potential.
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http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/754046421 - For the children.
Tediz247 | Posted 10/28/2006 2:13:33 PM | message detail
I'm not so sure that Goku or Naruto wouldn't be quite strong. After all, Crono probably gets a lot of his strength from looking like Goku >_>
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2006 2:13:44 PM | message detail
Why the hell are people putting Goku in the same tier as Spider-Man, Batman, and Darth Vader? Even at DBZ's peak I wouldn't put him there. Definitely not now.

Agreed. Goku wouldn't come close to the top guys.
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Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/28/2006 2:14:47 PM | message detail
I'd take Lord of the Rings characters over Harry Potter characters.

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creativename | Posted 10/28/2006 2:15:02 PM | message detail
I'm not so sure that Goku or Naruto wouldn't be quite strong. After all, Crono probably gets a lot of his strength from looking like Goku >_>

Actually I was just about to post this. After a split second of thought I realized that Goku could potentially be the Crono of the contest - highly underestimated beforehand by most people (including me), yet someone challenging characters you wouldn't think he could.
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transience | Posted 10/28/2006 2:15:45 PM | message detail
I'm not gonna get into a fictional character argument, but I'd take Link to beat Darth Vader, Batman or Spiderman down. this is a video game site after all.
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xyzzy
Tediz247 | Posted 10/28/2006 2:16:56 PM | message detail
I'd expect it to go something like this:

Darth Vader > Spider-Man > Batman > Goku > Captain Jack Sparrow > Lord of the Rings characters > Yoda/Obi-Wan/Luke Skywalker > Harry Potter Characters > Naruto > everything else
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2006 2:18:13 PM | message detail
but I'd take Link to beat Darth Vader, Batman or Spiderman down. this is a video game site after all.

Link might be able to win the match, but if you think he can beat those guys down you are seriously underestimating them.
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MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/28/2006 2:18:16 PM | message detail
I'm not gonna get into a fictional character argument, but I'd take Link to beat Darth Vader, Batman or Spiderman down. this is a video game site after all.

Same here. I don't particularly care at all for a fictional character contest or whatever, but I'd take Link against all these characters.

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nobleIII | Posted 10/28/2006 2:18:36 PM | message detail
Jack Sparrow would be fodder. Magneto might be pretty strong for a villain.
therealmnm | Posted 10/28/2006 2:18:36 PM | message detail
Goku over Yoda? WTF
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creativename | Posted 10/28/2006 2:19:52 PM | message detail
Jack Sparrow is very unpredictable. At first I was thinking people are really overestimating him. However, he is the star of two of the biggest movies in recent memory.

Don't think he's iconic and time-tested enough to challenge guys like Wolverine, but he could have some decent strength.
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Ed Bellis | Posted 10/28/2006 2:20:28 PM | message detail
Hmm... Bugs Bunny or Mickey Mouse, who ya got?
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http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/754046421 - For the children.