GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 409
| Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/27/2006 10:28:15 PM | message detail |
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Score-Brackets-% Right 57-----8--------37.5000000 56-----72-------48.6111111 55-----143------35.6643357 54-----299------37.7926421 53-----520------46.3461538 52-----729------48.6968450 51-----1029-----51.8950437 50-----1395-----57.0609319 49-----1732-----58.2563510 48-----2086-----57.7181208 47-----2328-----59.8797251 46-----2475-----54.1414141 45-----2437-----53.2211736 44-----2376-----49.1161616 43-----2334-----45.8440446 42-----2348-----42.9301533 41-----2198-----41.7197452 40-----2079-----37.3256373 39-----2053-----33.8528982 38-----1860-----33.4946237 37-----1861-----30.8973670 36-----1637-----27.3671350 35-----1470-----28.3673469 34-----1348-----25.7418398 33-----1092-----21.9780220 32-----924------19.5887446 31-----828------20.5314010 30-----659------21.8512898 29-----499------19.8396794 28-----440------17.2727273 27-----323------13.9318885 26-----231------16.8831169 25-----180------22.7777778 24-----113------14.1592920 23-----74-------9.4594595 22-----62-------14.5161290 21-----40-------7.5000000 20-----27-------11.1111111 19-----18-------5.5555556 18-----12-------8.3333333 17-----10-------10.0000000 16-----3--------0.0000000 15-----6--------16.6666667 14-----6--------0.0000000 13-----6--------0.0000000 12-----4--------0.0000000 11-----9--------22.2222222 10-----5--------0.0000000 9------9--------11.1111111 8------23-------0.0000000 7------38-------7.8947368 6------46-------8.6956522 5------55-------3.6363636 4------39-------7.6923077 3------26-------11.5384615 2------21-------0.0000000 1------1--------100.0000000 Overall prediction percnetage: 41.06% There were five 0 brackets going into Luigi vs Zero. None of them walked out alive. There was one 1 bracket going into Luigi vs Kirby. It didn't make it out alive either. Because of Luigi, the lowest scoring bracket is now a 2. And there's still the Battle Royale. The top tiers didn't do so great this round. The prediction percentage actually improves as you go down for the first few tiers. The -1s don't crack 40. The -2s do oddly well nearly breaking 50. It isn't until the -7s does a group break 50. 22 people fell off the Top 50 today. guitarboyYFC, ProfessorBen, chillaxin_homie, charmander6000, Skaigear, IFMalice, RagingDragonair, Fuzzles, Stationery__Man, Dark115, Zeratul10009, LeahTsu, BubbleT, Flufflez, Liquid_Snake_64, trannyscience, Luis_Sera89, Ultima_X, Icehawk9902, Grand_Healer, AceMoe and 0zma did not have Luigi winning the match today. Former #1 RageKage14 and RandomUser2 luck out and manage to stay on the Top 50 dispite getting the match wrong. --- I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest. Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest! |
| transience | Posted 10/27/2006 10:29:07 PM | message detail |
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darn you luigi --- xyzzy |
| MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/27/2006 10:30:07 PM | message detail |
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Ganon/Bowser was a nice match before this match began, but I doubt
you'll find anyone in favor of Bowser at this point, even his strongest
supporters. Ganon just too far ahead at this point. Until Crono destroys Sonic, anyway. And there's still a possibility that we may end up with Luigi > Ganondorf, which would be quite hilarious. But right now I'd prefer to cheer my crazy Sub-Zero > Auron upset. --- Hispanics 1 | Whites 5 Asians 4 | Blacks 3 |
| MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/27/2006 10:33:54 PM | message detail |
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Anyway, congrats on Luigi winning his fourpack, finally making Round 3,
and possibly **** up the lol xstats with a potentially weird
Sonic/Luigi match. Of course, if anyone's gonna **** up xstats, it's Crono, apparantly. I really hope Crono destroys Sonic just to make things even more hilarious. --- Hispanics 1 | Whites 5 Asians 4 | Blacks 3 |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 10:34:15 PM | message detail |
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At the 2:30 mark, this match has 19458 votes. To compare with other matches at the same time: Snake/Squall - 22631 Yoshi/Dante - 19631 Ryu/Mega Man - 19167 Sonic/Vincent - 19438 --- As you wish. |
| Kyle Bowen | Posted 10/27/2006 10:38:03 PM | message detail |
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It's not really that big, no. I'm not saying that Ganon is ahead of
Squall, but just that it is inconclusive right now on who is above who. Lets wait and see how Sonic does on Crono before we compare the two through him. You cannot use the previous match with Vincent as evidence to suggest that Squall is ahead because Vincent had plenty of reason to gain this year and looks to have done so. Squall has reason to boost this year as well. His match against Tidus would suggest it. I am still not sure what exactly happened against Snake. Whether they both boosted and Squall got SFF'd or no SFF... but I do know that Squall improved his score on Snake by 16% points in the past 4 years. If you think all of that comes from his appearance in KH and boost in 2K3 I wouldn't believe it. KHII did help out this year keeping him AT LEAST somewhere near his pace with Vince. Either way, the two should end up very close to each other regardless. It would probably just be best to put Vincent > Ganon = Squall at this point. Vincent > Squall > Ganon looks better to me right now based on the numbers. Ganon/Bowser was a nice match before this match began, but I doubt you'll find anyone in favor of Bowser at this point, even his strongest supporters. Ganon just too far ahead at this point. Which is one reason why it might be such a good upset pick... I would pick Ganon. KB --- I admit, Kyle Bowen's Social Bar and Lounge was the worst series of topics ever. Also, I hate Shadow Hearts.-10/21-10/28 |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 10:53:01 PM | message detail |
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And the love that GameFAQs has for Chrono Trigger never ceases to amaze
me. People should NEVER call for Crono to decrease, ever. At worst, he
stays constant. He may even get a little stronger, as unusual as that
may seem. Plus, the game just finished 2nd on IGN's Top 100 Games List. Chrono Trigger's seeming timelessness (oh, the irony!) transcends more than just this site, it seems. And it STILL beats Link to the Past in a rematch! --- As you wish. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 10:56:54 PM | message detail |
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You know, the Noble Nine > Zelda > FFVII > other Nintendo >
other FF > Seeding chain that I was pondering earlier in the contest
has a grand total of six established losses. Tingle > Sora, Phoenix
Wright > Gordon Freeman, Ganondorf > Vincent, Master Chief >
Sub-Zero Lara Croft > Chun-Li, and Tingle > Phoenix Wright. And
assuming you're a semi-intelligent bracketmaker, it realistically
decreases to Ganondorf > Vincent and MC > Sub-Zero as your only
losses. That's a leaderboard bracket. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:04:18 PM | message detail |
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I'm not sure why Zelda gets precedence over FFVII. --- As you wish. |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:12:07 PM | message detail |
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...Crono just continues to dominate even more as the night vote wears on. --- As you wish. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 11:12:49 PM | message detail |
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I structured the chain based on 'conventional wisdom', as it were. I
obviously didn't follow it, though I'm kind of wishing I had at this
point. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:13:23 PM | message detail |
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My humble opinion on Noble Nine performance this year. Samus-OK match against Nidoran and Good match against Ada Wong Snake-Good match against Soma and Great match against Squall Megaman-Below average match with Axel and bad match against Ryu Sonic-Good match against Cats and OK match against Vincent Crono-Good match against Captain Falcon and Great match against Bowser --- After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:13:30 PM | message detail |
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I'm not sure why Zelda gets precedence over FFVII. If I had to guess, it'd be primarily because of LoZ being this site's favorite series and Link being their favorite character. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:15:00 PM | message detail |
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Lets wait and see how Sonic does on Crono before we compare the two through him. That's basically all we should do on the matter. It's silly to put one ahead of the other when it could easily go the other way. The only thing that is for certain this year is that Vincent is ahead of both of them. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:16:07 PM | message detail |
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FFVII actually has more wins over Zelda, if you look at it. Cloud > Link Final Fantasy VII > Ocarina of Time Sephiroth > Ganondorf Vincent > Ganondorf Link > Cloud x 2 And give me Tifa over Zelda every time. --- As you wish. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:16:52 PM | message detail |
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I'll take Zelda over both Aeris and Tifa. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:16:59 PM | message detail |
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If I had to guess, it'd be primarily because of LoZ being this site's favorite series But the favorite game is Final Fantasy VII. I still take it over Ocarina of Time. --- As you wish. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:17:16 PM | message detail |
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And Link has won against Sephiroth twice as well. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:17:18 PM | message detail |
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I would say Zelda over Tifa too. --- After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 11:19:09 PM | message detail |
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I don't factor Link, Cloud, or Sephiroth into the equation since
they're in that 'Noble Nine' tier. That leaves Zelda, Ganondorf,
Vincent, Tifa, Aeris, etc. Although give me Tifa over Zelda every time now. I see no reason for Zelda to be drastically stronger than last year, and Tifa making her debut in KH2 has every reason to give her a very big boost. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:19:10 PM | message detail |
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Oh right, forgot about Link > Sephiroth But really, Link is the only Zelda entity that consistently beats FFVII. Actually, he's the only one. --- As you wish. |
| zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:21:02 PM | message detail |
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I forgot about Tifa role in KH2. Maybe Tifa>Zelda this year but next
year when TP is released, i believe it will be Ganon>Vincent and
Zelda>Tifa. --- After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:21:49 PM | message detail |
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and Tifa making her debut in KH2 has every reason to give her a very big boost. I would be hesitant to think that. I completely forgot that she was in KH2 until you just mentioned it. She's that forgettable in the game. --- CB5 Points: 55/60, Current Oracle placement: 26/165 Now playing: Okami |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:23:03 PM | message detail |
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...Oh, right, KH2. Eh, I'm really iffy on that large KH2 boost that
some people talk about with her. She didn't really do anything. Bleh. I suppose whenever such a match would occur, I'd be confident enough in Zelda over Tifa thanks to TP. Even now, though, I'd probably end up picking her. I don't really see that match as a foregone conclusion or anything. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 11:23:59 PM | message detail |
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I have no idea what KH2 you were playing, but Tifa actually had one of
the more memorable roles in the game. She has more than her share of
scenes that focus on her, whether they be serious or humorous, fights
alongside you...it's certainly no Aeris, that's for sure. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:25:09 PM | message detail |
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I would be hesitant to think that. I completely forgot that she was
in KH2 until you just mentioned it. She's that forgettable in the game. Remember what KH seems to have done for Sephiroth? Okay, now remember that Tifa is involved in the plotline surrounding that fight in KHII and actually looks pretty cool against Sephiroth. She's not forgettable. --- As you wish. |
| zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:25:14 PM | message detail |
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Just a lame question, is FF7 close to being one of the best selling game ever. --- After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:25:41 PM | message detail |
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Memorable? How is showing up 3 times looking for Cloud and punching a
wall memorable? I'd be shocked to find out that she had more than 15
lines throughout the entire game. --- CB5 Points: 55/60, Current Oracle placement: 26/165 Now playing: Okami |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:26:01 PM | message detail |
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Of all the FF characters, I would easily
expect Auron to be the biggest person to gain out of them all. So I'm
really hesistant to put Tifa even in the same category as him when it
comes to a gain. I remember her punching some walls and the fighting
alongside of you during that one little stretch toward the end of the
game. It was certainly more than Aeris, but it wasn't a Leon or an Auron or a Cloud or a Sephiroth. Her gain should be moderate, if anything. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:26:15 PM | message detail |
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She's there when you fight Sephiroth. What else does she need for a memorable role in KHII? --- As you wish. |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:28:03 PM | message detail |
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I have no idea what KH2 you were playing, but Tifa actually had one
of the more memorable roles in the game. She has more than her share of
scenes that focus on her, whether they be serious or humorous, fights
alongside you...it's certainly no Aeris, that's for sure. Yeah, thank you. Tifa's role in KH2 was certainly prominent and definitely cool. Her looks didn't hurt either. But more seriously, she's in the game, and it's reasonable to expect that she got a boost from it. --- Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:28:49 PM | message detail |
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It really isn't that memorable. You
won't forget that she was in the game, but you certainly don't come
away from it thinking Tifa was awesome or that she did something cool.
Most of the KH characters who seemed to make gains did so because how awesome
they were in the game. No one comes away from KH2 without talking about
how awesome Auron was or how cool Sephiroth or Leon is...but Tifa is
just sort of there and does some stuff. Again, it's no Aeris, but it's
certainly not anything like "Whoa! Tifa is going to gain big!" --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:29:18 PM | message detail |
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Plus, it doesn't hurt that Tifa is one of the few who you could
reasonably expect to benefit from Advent Children since she actually,
you know, had a role in it. --- As you wish. |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:29:49 PM | message detail |
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Exactly. She was there. And that's it. She didn't do anything. She was just...there
and watched. Another scene I completely forgot she was in until you
mentioned it. No one's going to pay attention to Tifa in the scene when
Cloud and Sephiroth are fighting. That's like saying people were pay
attention to the 3rd party candidate in a presidential election. --- CB5 Points: 55/60, Current Oracle placement: 26/165 Now playing: Okami |
| transience | Posted 10/27/2006 11:30:11 PM | message detail |
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if anyone would boost from AC, i'd think it would be Tifa. Tifa is
really an unknown to me right now, which is a shame since it doesn't
freaking matter at all. same with Squall. and Bowser, I guess. --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 11:30:22 PM | message detail |
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Tifa has 19 lines in KH2. Cloud has a grand total of 27 lines. It's obviously going to be no Auron of a boost -- which you all know I expect to be absolutely gargantuan anyway -- but even a 'moderate' boost gives her the clear advantage against Zelda. You know, the character that has no reason to boost this year. Next year is a different story of course, but I wasn't talking about that, now, was I? --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:31:24 PM | message detail |
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*looks at watch* 3:30? Just about time for my spelling and grammar to take a dive. --- CB5 Points: 55/60, Current Oracle placement: 26/165 Now playing: Okami |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:31:41 PM | message detail |
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She was just...there and watched. Another scene I completely forgot she was in until you mentioned it. ...And dodges every attempt Sephiroth makes to attack her. I thought that was pretty cool myself. --- As you wish. |
| zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:32:19 PM | message detail |
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If vincent took over the role of Auron in KH2, he might even beat Sonic or at least be very close to him this year. --- After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:32:55 PM | message detail |
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So, uhh...Any guess as to when Crono is going to stop gaining like
crazy? At this point, Bowser's going to have his work cut out to bring
this below 59% after all's said and done. --- As you wish. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 11:33:22 PM | message detail |
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If Vincent had been in Auron's place in KH2 in addition to everything
else he had, he would have definitely beaten Sonic. And it probably
wouldn't have been all that close. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:34:27 PM | message detail |
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Having no reason to boost doesn't mean she won't boost. It's not as though we have clear reasons for why some characters go up or down. I fully expect Zelda to be a bit stronger this year than she was last by a percentage point or two. Either way, Tifa's KH2 role hardly gives her a huge favor in that match. She'll gain, sure, but I've never agreed with her gaining big.
When KH2 doesn't seemed to have created any short of shift, the role is
going to be more important...and Tifa's role does not warrant big
things. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:36:19 PM | message detail |
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Much about Tifa warrants big things. That's like, her thing... --- As you wish. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:36:37 PM | message detail |
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So, uhh...Any guess as to when Crono is going to stop gaining like
crazy? At this point, Bowser's going to have his work cut out to bring
this below 59% after all's said and done. Bowser's going to need to hope that he can bring this down during the day because he's not going to match Luigi 2k5 if he doesn't. In fact, a constant Crono gets 60.72% on Luigi 2k5 and he currently has 61.65%. ...Yeah. --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:37:49 PM | message detail |
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61.65%? HM apparently hasn't checked the poll in the last 20 minutes! --- As you wish. |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:38:15 PM | message detail |
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Correction: 61.8%! Looks like I had forgotten to refresh the poll !! --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/27/2006 11:38:21 PM | message detail |
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Guess that just adds to the Bowser > Yoshi > Luigi > Bowser thing that some people were throwing around. --- By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn |
| zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 11:40:40 PM | message detail |
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It is very strange to me. Megaman got weaker every year when he had at least a new game coming out every year. On the other hand, Crono popularity never dropped even though he is the main lead of only one game. --- After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake |
| MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/27/2006 11:41:10 PM | message detail |
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It would be a really good idea for Bowser to bring this down during the
day by quite a bit. If this sort of thing keeps up, Leon will have had
to drop in order to get the percentage we saw last round. ...Or Crono boosted. Bring it down, Bowser, bring it down! --- "Let's face it: the princess Zelda has always been a symbol of sexual desire." |
| Sir Crono | Posted 10/27/2006 11:41:58 PM | message detail |
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Crono boosted! Crono > Samus confirmed! --- As you wish. |
