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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 408

KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2006 9:12:44 PM | message detail
Oh, and we were too busy going lol bowser to notice Luigi's terrible prediction percentage.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/27/2006 9:12:45 PM | message detail
So, what are the chances of MM>Male bracket now. >_>

My bracket is so screwed
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 9:12:46 PM | message detail
Measuring through Kratos, even giving him a boost, you have to say that Ryu 2k6 is the fluke, not Ryu 2k5. That's assuming MM hasn't dropped or anything because OH HE'S JUST MAKING IT TOO EASY GWA HA HA!!!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:13:04 PM | message detail
And since I seem to have forgot to post it here before I went to work:

Round 2

Time Divisional Semifinals- Match 1

Crono (1) vs Bowser (4)


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2527
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2528

Last round, Crono put up expected numbers on Captain Falcon while Bowser disappointed against a Leon who has had every reason to boost through the roof.

This match will be interesting as it should give us an accurate read on Bowser after he broke 40% on Sephiroth and going toe to toe with Snake last year.

Crono 54.18% 49,988
Bowser 45.82% 42,282
TOTAL VOTES 92,270


That's what the x-stats have to say, although Bowser's 2k5 value is likely overrated. Give Crono another percent or two to compensate for Bowser/Snake, and you should have a good prediction for this match.

TuRtLe's Prediction: Crono with 55.58%
TuRtLe's Bracket: Crono
TuRtLe's Vote: Crono

TuRtLe
~~~
49/54 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:14:26 PM | message detail
Sora > Mega Man is a lock!
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The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/27/2006 9:14:36 PM | message detail
I think it's still to early to say whether Mega Man dropped or not. Yeah, he's looked unimpressive so far, but his competition has been sketchy. Sora won't tell us much more, but I'll make my decision on the matter then.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Crono vs. Bowser- Bracket: Crono - Vote: Bowser (52/60)
Draco1214 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:14:43 PM | message detail
It doesn't make sense for Ryu to be what he was in 2005. He's the face of one of the most popular series on this site. Ever since I saw Street Fighter's performance in the series contest, I figured there had to have been something wrong with his value in 2005.
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Currently Playing: Okami, King of Fighters 2002/2003, Gradius V
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/27/2006 9:14:52 PM | message detail
Either way, Sonic > Crono isn't looking good for me right now...
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/27/2006 9:15:17 PM | message detail
I'll nominate sora turd in 2k7 if sora is the one to break the noble nine.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/27/2006 9:15:26 PM | message detail
Crono breaks 60%!

Crono 60.17% 1967
Bowser 39.83% 1302
TOTAL VOTES 3269
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/27/2006 9:15:40 PM | message detail
A 62+ update? Blargh
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2006 9:15:42 PM | message detail
Bowser is looking like crap right now.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/27/2006 9:15:53 PM | message detail
Over 60%. Wow.
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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/27/2006 9:16:04 PM | message detail
62.32% update for Crono this time.

Man, this CT night vote is one of the most powerful things I've ever seen.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:16:06 PM | message detail
Oh my god...

This is a disgraceful contest from Bowser.
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I don't know when, I don't know how, but I know something starting right now...
Watch and you'll see, someday I'll be... part of your world!
creativename | Posted 10/27/2006 9:16:12 PM | message detail
I'd really like to see Crono beat Samus (assuming he doesn't lose to Snake/Sonic/Mega Man). His chances should be under 50%, but not that far under. And right now it's looking better than pre-contest (though his % against Bowser will drop from this by the end of the match).
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/27/2006 9:16:16 PM | message detail
And Crono's over 60%. Looks like Vincent is assured the #10 spot barring Zelda pulling something amazing.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/27/2006 9:16:32 PM | message detail
Assuming Crono wins 60/40 or around there, what does Bowser get on Captain Falcon.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 9:16:37 PM | message detail
And I don't buy Bowser overperforming on Ryu in 2k5, either. 55% on Rikku is just plain bad, and we all know it. Rikku's not doing a lot to prove herself either, with her underwhelming performance on Kairi that made it look like people actually care about her.

Samus/Rikku may help us get some answers, though.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/27/2006 9:16:50 PM | message detail
And I believe we've found our Turd of the Round, folks.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
creativename | Posted 10/27/2006 9:17:43 PM | message detail
55% on Rikku is just plain bad, and we all know it.

Yeah, Ryu sucked last year. The slightly surprising thing is that he seems to have recovered.
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zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:17:51 PM | message detail
Megaman does indeed has dropped. Snake will probably beat him.
Looks like Sonic is no match for Crono this year.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2006 9:17:52 PM | message detail
Why do Turd of the Rounds always seem to pop up at the end of the round?

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
The_Lady_Ashe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:18:04 PM | message detail
From MegatokyoEd
And Crono's over 60%. Looks like Vincent is assured the #10 spot barring Zelda pulling something amazing.

I'm still going with Zelda > Samus. =/
~~~
The one. The only. Lady Ashe.
ExquisiteSamurai | Posted 10/27/2006 9:18:42 PM | message detail
What did Sephiroth get on Bowser in the villains contest?? Sorry lazy to check .. xD

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Eagerly awaiting Final Fantasy XII!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2006 9:18:46 PM | message detail
Well, since Mega Man has dropped, and Sonic seems to be out of the running as well...

Snake>Crono! C'MON PEOPLE BANDWAGON

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
triviaman | Posted 10/27/2006 9:18:56 PM | message detail
well, after Bowser stunk it up against Leon and now Crono - maybe Bowser really did just drop this year?

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This is cyko posting from a friend's house!!!
>_>
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2006 9:18:58 PM | message detail
From ExquisiteSamurai
What did Sephiroth get on Bowser in the villains contest?? Sorry lazy to check .. xD

Around 60%.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/27/2006 9:19:09 PM | message detail
Ryu's performances against Rikku and Kratos don't look good, true, but Mega Man just looks awful otherwise.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 9:19:10 PM | message detail
Sephiroth got 59.55% on Bowser in the VC.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/27/2006 9:19:11 PM | message detail
Yeah, I brought up before how Rikku throws a wrench, but Samus/Rikku could shed a bit of light on it.

And Bowser is already pretty close to what Luigi 2005 gets on Crono...That means (using BL) a 5% overperformance on Solid ****.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Crono vs. Bowser- Bracket: Crono - Vote: Bowser (52/60)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:19:14 PM | message detail
From MegatokyoEd
And Crono's over 60%. Looks like Vincent is assured the #10 spot barring Zelda pulling something amazing.

Considering she's a Nintendo character going up against Samus, I wouldn't be surprised if Zelda overperforms.

TuRtLe
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49/54 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
creativename | Posted 10/27/2006 9:19:40 PM | message detail
I'm not quite ready to call Snake the favorite over Mega Man yet. That match is getting quite debatable though.
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therealmnm | Posted 10/27/2006 9:19:45 PM | message detail
Heh, I had a feeling that Bowser would end up bombing on Crono for some reason. I just didn't feel like saying anything about it out of bias.
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Devil May Cry, Mega Man ZX
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:12 PM | message detail
Wonder what Yoshi gets on the ****...
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
__hiei__ | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:25 PM | message detail
Crono is on Clinkeroth level now.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:29 PM | message detail
Too bad Sonic and Snake got all the potential Noble Nine breakers. If any of them were in Destiny Division, the Noble Nine would've been so screwed.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Sir Chris | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:30 PM | message detail
59.55%
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I felt the force of two true patriots: The Boss, who pwned Celes, and XIII, who is the superior bracketmaker!
I cry every morning when I have to wake up and realize I'm not Sir Chris. - LiselTestify
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:31 PM | message detail
60-40 right on
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Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:33 PM | message detail
IT'S COME BACK TIM-*is shot*
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Crono with 56.27%
Who Cares? | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:41 PM | message detail
...Now watch Sora do worse than Ryu next round and confound things even more! >.>
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Yuna (November 2nd)
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:46 PM | message detail
And exact 60-40 split.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:48 PM | message detail
Yay Crono.
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CB5 Points: 53/58, Current Oracle placement: 26/165
Now playing: Okami
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/27/2006 9:20:54 PM | message detail
Considering she's a Nintendo character going up against Samus, I wouldn't be surprised if Zelda overperforms.

One bad match and everyone thinks samus is sff'd all the time. Fact is she damn near negated it entirely against link. Mario made her look terrible with it last year, sure, but I still think she'll hold up against someone considerably weaker then her.
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Currently listening to: A Twist in the Myth, Amputechture, Deus Ex Machinae, Black Wings of Destiny, Let Mortal Heroes Sing your Fame, and others.
YoboD | Posted 10/27/2006 9:21:17 PM | message detail
Wow, looks like Bowser's the only Mario character who didn't boost.
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Duff beer for me, Duff beer for you, I'll have a Duff, you'll have one too.
zwong1 | Posted 10/27/2006 9:21:18 PM | message detail
As long as Bowser can bring this match back to 44-56, Nintendo fans will be happy.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/27/2006 9:21:37 PM | message detail
THERE IS NO SECOND NINTENDO BOOST
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/27/2006 9:21:45 PM | message detail
And I knew Bowser was going to bomb, but I figured I'd be high with a 55.5% guess.

lol dream division

Sadly, this kind of ruins any hope that Zero/Luigi was just a massive Luigi boost.

Poor Zero ;___;

TuRtLe
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49/54 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
BDawg | Posted 10/27/2006 9:22:00 PM | message detail
Well at least he stopped the bleeding for an update. It's still hard for me to believe the initial vote would favor Crono more than the regular night vote though.
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Should I start running now?
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2006 9:22:09 PM | message detail
I'd be surprised if Sora did better than Ryu on Mega Man.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.