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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 406

Big Bob | Posted 10/26/2006 4:36:56 PM | message detail
Hypothetical: Sonic and Mega Man are revealed to be in Super Smash Bros. Brawl.

Who does Crono lose to next year?
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 4:37:08 PM | message detail
And wait...what's this? ANOTHER Mortal Kombat release before a Sub-Zero match?
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
trannyscience | Posted 10/26/2006 4:38:41 PM | message detail
MKA isn't going away either. too bad he doesn't get a ninja pic (though it's better than a face pic - when I was picked Sub, I was scared to death he'd get a face pic).
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zizzy
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/26/2006 5:03:13 PM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog 52.49% 55800
Vincent Valentine 47.51% 50508

Amazing! They have the same number of votes rearranged! >_>
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caps
shadow8021 | Posted 10/26/2006 5:09:02 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero > Auron

I WENT THERE!!!
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Character Battle Score: 54/56 Guru Place: 5th
Today's Pick: Sonic the Hedgehog
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 5:10:49 PM | message detail
Yes, Sub-Zero will use that extra hour to defeat Auron!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/26/2006 5:13:39 PM | message detail
I hope Auron beats Sub-Zero worse than Alucard.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 5:16:10 PM | message detail
Too bad he won't!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
trannyscience | Posted 10/26/2006 5:16:31 PM | message detail
I hope Sub-Zero wins the entire thing just so HM has nightmares for the next 365 days.
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zizzy
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 5:21:00 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero > Ganondorf?

I like it!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/26/2006 5:22:26 PM | message detail
I hope Auron beats Sub-Zero worse than he beat Scorpion in 2k4. But I don't think that's possible.
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: CATS with 100%
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 5:23:47 PM | message detail
I hope Auron beats Sub-Zero worse than I did to GFK's bum last night.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Applekidjosh | Posted 10/26/2006 5:27:41 PM | message detail
*checks current page for EC foolishness*

*leaves satisfied*
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Pikaness is number-a one! AKJ is zero!
AKJ at work
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 5:29:41 PM | message detail
Check your underwear for spunk stains after seeing me!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/26/2006 5:30:08 PM | message detail
I enjoyed that violent beating, for your information
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: CATS with 100%
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 5:31:24 PM | message detail
I didn't say you didn't !!

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
trannyscience | Posted 10/26/2006 5:31:27 PM | message detail
hmm..who wins the board vote tonight?

actually, this entire Kirby/Luigi thing has utterly confused me.
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zizzy
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/26/2006 5:34:16 PM | message detail
more like Contest Spunk and Discussion
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: CATS with 100%
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 5:37:09 PM | message detail
shut up tranny we're talking about my sexual endevours

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 5:37:57 PM | message detail
Oh, and Kirby totally takes the board vote. I almost forgot about that sweet match-up with today's sweet match-up. Man the sausage factory kicks ass this year.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/26/2006 5:39:17 PM | message detail
But Samus tripling Rikku should be good too
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: CATS with 100%
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 5:40:25 PM | message detail
Both are very good with the board vote. It ultimately comes down to the bracket vote, and...I'm not sure who has it.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
trannyscience | Posted 10/26/2006 5:43:16 PM | message detail
Kirby has the board bracket vote, but I'd think Luigi has the rest. he did have a hefty percentage vs. Zero and is casual bait all the way.
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zizzy
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/26/2006 5:44:05 PM | message detail
Luigi won the board vote against Zero, which is very surprising given how much the board likes Zero and the bracket support that Zero enjoyed. Last year, the only time Kirby lead Bowser was at the 3 minute mark, which is kind of odd. I suppose you could say Kirby and Bowser split the board vote. So, like Leon said, it probably comes down to brackets, which probably favour Kirby. I'd be somewhat puzzled if either ran away with the board vote.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 5:44:42 PM | message detail
Well, Kirby had 72.24% beating Prince of Persia, and Luigi had 71.81% beating Zero. Of those two, I'd imagine Luigi is probably the overall favorite, but I'm not sure by how much.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/26/2006 5:47:11 PM | message detail
Well, I would think that the board's brackets, which favoured Zero by a wide margin, matter more in the first five or so minutes than the overall bracket support.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2006 5:47:15 PM | message detail
I doubt people will be bracket voting (during the first few seconds, anyway) this late into the contest. People who make up the "board vote" hopefully realize that it's a pointless effort if they've missed more than two matches, so they'll probably vote for their favorite.
trannyscience | Posted 10/26/2006 5:48:28 PM | message detail
I'll make a bold prediction and say that Luigi wins the board vote decisively.
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zizzy
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 5:49:31 PM | message detail
I really don't know what to think of any aspect of this match. I give the overall advantage to Kirby, but as far as trends go, I don't have a clue who does what with which part of the vote.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
trannyscience | Posted 10/26/2006 5:51:03 PM | message detail
yeah, I have no idea either - I wrote as much for my analysis. my only real opinion is that the match won't be a nailbiter.
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zizzy
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/26/2006 5:57:33 PM | message detail
I'm extremely confident in Luigi winning this for some reason.

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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/26/2006 5:59:20 PM | message detail
I have a hard time seeing how it won't be close. On the one hand, Kirby's match with Bowser alone could be classified as close and I don't think Luigi is going to outdo Bowser. On the other hand, I can't see someone who can 54-46 Zero losing comfortably to Kirby >_>
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 5:59:29 PM | message detail
I'm not! I'm still as confident as ever in Kirby... otherwise I would have never taken Luigi to beat Zero, and Kirby over Luigi. Still it could go either way. This 2nd round has been awesome.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/26/2006 6:00:42 PM | message detail
I figured if Luigi was strong enough to beat Zero he could take out Kirby - essentially the same reasoning I used last year for Mario. If he was strong enough to beat Samus he could take Crono. Luigi passed his first test with flying colours so I'm extremely confident in him here.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 6:01:05 PM | message detail
Assuming Sonic finishes with 52.50% here, the preliminary stats are as follows:

Samus Aran – 41.69%
Solid Snake – 41.45%
Mega Man – 38.79%
Sonic the Hedgehog – 38.50%
Vincent Valentine – 36.58%
Squall Leonhart – 35.16%
Ganondorf – 34.68%
Yoshi – 34.54%
Dante Sparda – 34.12%
Princess Zelda – 33.71%
Tifa Lockhart – 33.57%
Aeris Gainsborough – 32.81%
Ryu – 32.55%
Sora – 32.50%
Riku – 30.95%
Kratos – 27.92%
Rikku – 26.55%
Yuna – 26.10%
KOS-MOS – 25.17%
Chun-Li – 24.92%
Princess Peach – 23.75%
Jill Valentine – 23.74%
Gordon Freeman – 23.40%
Axel – 23.37%
Kairi – 22.15%
Lara Croft – 22.16%
Claire Redfield – 21.23%
Marle – 19.83%
Tidus – 19.68%
Phoenix Wright – 19.56%
Sheena Fujibayashi – 18.03%
Amy Rose – 17.40%
The Boss – 17.09%
Ada Wong – 16.86%
Ivy Valentine – 15.99%
Tingle – 15.85%
Kasumi – 15.58%
Nidoran F – 15.13%
CATS – 14.82%
Soma Cruz – 14.80%
Terra Branford – 13.85%
Celes Chere – 13.30%
Lenneth Valkyrie – 13.28%
Joanna Dark – 11.46%
Sarah Kerrigan – 11.45%
Roll – 10.81%
Alyx Vance – 9.94%
Carmen Sandiego – 9.38%
Cortana – 9.11%
Jade – 8.13%
Princess Daisy – 8.03%
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
trizob the hedgehog | Posted 10/26/2006 6:03:09 PM | message detail
lol, Snake = Samus
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"No, not just an urge - more than that. It was my destiny to be here; in the box."
- Naked Snake
KingBartz | Posted 10/26/2006 6:03:16 PM | message detail
Mega Man – 38.79%
Sonic the Hedgehog – 38.50%


BLASPHEMY!

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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 50/56 Today's pick: Sonic the Hedgehog
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 6:04:52 PM | message detail
As I mentioned before, the stats aren't intended to be 100% accurate. Mostly, I use it to spot irregularities and the like. Basing them off of their 2005 values and then gauging their opponents off of it is a good way to spot increases/decreases, in my opinion.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/26/2006 6:05:02 PM | message detail
If Kirby loses, my bracket is out of contention.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2006 6:07:02 PM | message detail
I would be extremely disappointed if Luigi lost. He needs to get out of the second round at least once.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
wavedash101 | Posted 10/26/2006 6:07:33 PM | message detail
Ouch below the fodder line for Tidus...man what a fall from grace...
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 6:08:35 PM | message detail
The good thing is that they both have great sprites, so we're looking for an awesome match picture against Sonic in the next round!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
Master Moltar | Posted 10/26/2006 6:19:30 PM | message detail
It'll be a great day if Kirby wins, seeing as how I'm not feeling too hot with him right now to be honest.

Kirby and Yoshi in Round 3, woo!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Vincent - Bracket: Sonic - Vote: Sonic (50/56)
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 6:23:54 PM | message detail
And best of all, no Ganondorf in sight!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
Master Moltar | Posted 10/26/2006 6:37:09 PM | message detail
darn you vincent

Ganondorf would have made this Round 3 perfect!

Oh well, at least Squall isn't there either. Last I heard, he was still moping over that ass-whipping courtesy of the great Solid Snake!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Sonic vs. Vincent - Bracket: Sonic - Vote: Sonic (50/56)
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/26/2006 6:38:02 PM | message detail
Actually, I heard he was pointing and laughing at Ganondorf because he didn't even win ONE match and Squall still has more Character Battle wins!
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 6:39:43 PM | message detail
I heard PoP was laughing at all of them because Kirby's getting ready to win the entire thing, and put PoP at number 2 in the x-stats. Yep, you heard me, not only is Kirby going to beat everyone, he's going to double them in a sick and twisted rampage.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/26/2006 6:41:08 PM | message detail
If Kirby does win, Prince of Persia is going to look pretty damn impressive for a new-comer.

Sub-Zero Vs. Prince of Persia eh? Hmmmm
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/26/2006 6:43:56 PM | message detail
PoP son! I think I would have been the only person to take that pre-contest. Now... I don't know.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Nyah | Posted 10/26/2006 6:44:48 PM | message detail
Sub-Zero
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"If truly there is evil in this world it lurks in the hearts of man" -- Edward D. Morrison