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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 406

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/25/2006 1:35:51 PM | message detail
Fear is only in our minds, but it's taking over all the time.

<3 Evanescence



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php



.ecifircas teews yned t'noD
Tirofog | Posted 10/25/2006 1:36:52 PM | message detail
Omg, so soon.
---
LOL TRIOFROG
http://www.ytmnd.com/users/Tirofog/
Alex Shelley | Posted 10/25/2006 1:37:09 PM | message detail
THIRD
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lol wate i mess up
Applekidjosh | Posted 10/25/2006 1:37:11 PM | message detail
Prier > Laharl
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Pikaness is number-a one! AKJ is zero!
AKJ @ Work
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/25/2006 1:37:38 PM | message detail
Luigi>Laharl

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/25/2006 1:38:13 PM | message detail
Laharl > KOS-MOS

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX
wavedash101 | Posted 10/25/2006 1:39:31 PM | message detail
Laharl > Huff N Puff

I went there...>_>
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/25/2006 3:21:27 PM | message detail
Tron Bonne > All Fodder Characters
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
wavedash101 | Posted 10/25/2006 3:23:02 PM | message detail
Tron Bonne and an army of Servbot s = greatest force in the known universe.
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
MyWorldIsShadow | Posted 10/25/2006 3:24:40 PM | message detail
Kim Lemon > Laharl
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cro_
"Leave us. The dog eats strangers..."
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/25/2006 3:29:25 PM | message detail
Snake > Mega Man!!
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
cyko | Posted 10/25/2006 8:48:02 PM | message detail
alright, Vincent - it's time to pull off the upset!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:48:09 PM | message detail
Seriously though, Luigi looks like he's trying to ward off the inevitable innundation of pink. And it's not working.
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CB5 Points: 51/54, Current Oracle placement: 21/165
Now playing: Okami
NClark128 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:49:08 PM | message detail
Tails > your favorite character
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Oklahoma State Cowboys: 4-3 - Last: lost to Texas A&M 34-33 (OT) - Next: vs. Nebraska (10/28)
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/25/2006 8:49:24 PM | message detail
alright, Vincent - it's time to pull off the upset!!

I can support this!

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:49:37 PM | message detail
Bowser is looking at Kirby/Luigi. Their happiness draws his ire and malcontent. ^o^
---
The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Redtooth | Posted 10/25/2006 8:49:55 PM | message detail
Luigi and Kirby both just look happy to be there. <3

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/25/2006 8:50:03 PM | message detail
Round 2

Blast Divisional Semifinals- Match 1

Sonic (1) vs Vincent Valentine (5)


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2523
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2524

Last round, Sonic puts up imperssive numbers on CATS while Vincent performs exactly as the x-stats predicted, despite Ganon likely being underrated and Vincent boosting from AC and DoC.

We have no idea where Vincent stands right now. He has a slim to nill chance at the upset, but a chance nonetheless.

Sonic 53.79% 50,213
Vincent 46.21% 43,133
TOTAL VOTES 93,345


Take into consideration that Vincent is probably slightly stronger and you have a match that will end up in the 51-52% range.

However, trends for the second round have been the statistical favourite impressing greatly in one match, then underperforming the next.

Since Mega Man underperformed on Ryu, it means Sonic will overperform on Vincent <_<

TuRtLe's Prediction: Sonic with 54.5%
TuRtLe's Bracket: Sonic
TuRtLe's Vote: Sonic

TuRtLe
~~~
49/54 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Janus5000 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:51:45 PM | message detail
Kirby/Luigi is maybe the cutest match pic I've ever seen. That or Yoshi/Pac-Man.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:52:58 PM | message detail
I was just going to say that Luigi/Kirby feels like this year's Yoshi/Pac-Man, in that it radiates happiness.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
HaRRicH | Posted 10/25/2006 8:55:42 PM | message detail
Crono/Bowser's picture really feels like an epic...meanwhile, Kirby/Luigi makes me think they had a talk before the photo-shoot where they agreed no hard feelings no matter who wins.
---
http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:55:56 PM | message detail
Sonic: Heh, Noble 9 breaker! We'll see what these fools have to say after the match!
Vincent: Lather, rinse, repeat. Lather, rinse, repeat.

Kirby: Hiiiiiiiiiii!
Luigi: You should-a see what we're doing under the match-a pic! Wawawawawa!!

Crono: This match is easy money.
Bowser: We'll see about that, Future Trunks! BWAHAHA.

Auron: There's a good bench.
Sub-Zero: I think I see a better bench.

---
The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
cyko | Posted 10/25/2006 8:57:07 PM | message detail
and Vincent looks like he's about to beat Sonic in his pic!! yeah, i went there!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/25/2006 8:58:29 PM | message detail
Are you serious? Vincent looks like he's about to go drown himself because he's so scared of Sonic!
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/25/2006 8:58:40 PM | message detail
24 posts and no WTF EVANESCENCE?!? Come on, people.
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
charmander6000 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:58:57 PM | message detail
Auron: There's a good bench.
Sub-Zero: I think I see a better bench.


XD, it's funny because it's true.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/25/2006 8:59:12 PM | message detail
Ganon would have looked about twelve times as badass as Vincent there, for the record.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
trannyscience | Posted 10/25/2006 8:59:14 PM | message detail
ew evanescence

um mega man with 63% of the brackets
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zizzy
HaRRicH | Posted 10/25/2006 8:59:42 PM | message detail
Sonic/Vincent is a quality pic -- I don't really feel like giving either the edge pic-wise.

Auron/Sub-Zero though...man, we needed CLASSIC Sub-Zero, not that one...but still, I don't think it'll ruin his votes or anything. The benches-remarks are awesome though!
---
http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/25/2006 8:59:54 PM | message detail
Mega Man with 73%
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CB5 Points: 51/54, Current Oracle placement: 21/165
Now playing: Okami
trannyscience | Posted 10/25/2006 8:59:57 PM | message detail
also, why is Ultimate MK3 in the top 10? did it get released on xbox live or something?
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zizzy
Gaddswell | Posted 10/25/2006 9:00:26 PM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog 75% 6
Vincent Valentine 25% 2
TOTAL VOTES 8
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
trannyscience | Posted 10/25/2006 9:00:42 PM | message detail
whoa. not bad at all, Vincent.

I made the leaderboard! ha!
---
zizzy
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/25/2006 9:00:54 PM | message detail
also, why is Ultimate MK3 in the top 10? did it get released on xbox live or something?

Yeah, it just did. IGN has a review up of it.
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This was Ed Bellis, servant to the mighty Guru Z1mZum. Congrats, buddy!
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/25/2006 9:00:57 PM | message detail
58.81% for Mega Man! Good god!
---
The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Janus5000 | Posted 10/25/2006 9:01:05 PM | message detail
Sonic the Hedgehog 55.56% 105
Vincent Valentine 44.44% 84
TOTAL VOTES 189

Not as dominant a board vote as I'd expect from Sonic.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
MasterMoltar | Posted 10/25/2006 9:01:06 PM | message detail
lol @ MM prediction percent
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Back from the shadows...
TehMissingLink | Posted 10/25/2006 9:02:09 PM | message detail
The board vote is no fan of Vincent.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
trannyscience | Posted 10/25/2006 9:02:16 PM | message detail
ah, now Sonic's starting to gain percentage. Vincent was down like this on Ganondorf at first too.
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zizzy
MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/25/2006 9:02:21 PM | message detail
Dear God.

Don't tell me Sonic could actually get 60% on Vincent.
---
Hispanics 1 | Whites 5
Asians 4 | Blacks 3
MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/25/2006 9:02:52 PM | message detail
Vincent was down like this on Ganondorf at first too.

That's hot.
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Hispanics 1 | Whites 5
Asians 4 | Blacks 3
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/25/2006 9:03:02 PM | message detail
Sonic's starting to dominate now.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
cyko | Posted 10/25/2006 9:03:09 PM | message detail
- way to make the leaderboard, tranny!!

- how did under 60% take Mega Man out of his 4-pack?! good grief, that's low...

- this is just Sonic's board vote. Vincent will come back!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/25/2006 9:03:48 PM | message detail
Man, Kratos must have really burned a lot of casuals.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
HaRRicH | Posted 10/25/2006 9:03:51 PM | message detail
I want to see this at the fifteen-minute mark before I really say anything about it.
---
http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
trannyscience | Posted 10/25/2006 9:04:37 PM | message detail
Kratos is the reason.. MM actually had a tough fourpack compared to other NN people. excluding Sonic, of course.

for the record, Ganondorf had 54.5% on Vincent at :05.
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zizzy
Big Bob | Posted 10/25/2006 9:05:09 PM | message detail
Quick Question: What's the closest match percentage-wise where the loser didn't win an update?
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/25/2006 9:05:28 PM | message detail
At the freeze:

Sonic the Hedgehog 56.19% 822
Vincent Valentine 43.81% 641
TOTAL VOTES 1463
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/25/2006 9:05:28 PM | message detail
I'm gonna go shower now and see what happens after I finished.
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Hispanics 1 | Whites 5
Asians 4 | Blacks 3
greatone10 | Posted 10/25/2006 9:05:33 PM | message detail
Mega Man is also not exactly the biggest casual favorite either.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005
Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest.