GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 405

Team Rocket Elite (35) | Board List | Topic List | Topic Closed

UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/24/2006 10:24:59 PM | message detail

Wireless internet is a joke.

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19

*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html

*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm

*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php

*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt

Manual Poll Updater: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php

KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 10:25:57 PM | message detail

orly
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CB5 Points: 51/54, Current Oracle placement: 21/165
Now playing: Okami

SensiShadeSlaye | Posted 10/24/2006 10:26:24 PM | message detail

Ulti, your site is STILL broke.
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why was my message deleted off the off topic board for being of topic - dagluginataking
I am a Christian.

Haste_2 | Posted 10/24/2006 10:31:49 PM | message detail

What's this? Mega Man's actually winning the night vote? Let's give it an hour or two more...

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Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here:
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rpgapzx | Posted 10/24/2006 10:52:35 PM | message detail

tag
---
Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 53/54 // Today: Megaman // Leaderboard: 9th

Starion | Posted 10/25/2006 2:09:36 AM | message detail

Hmm, Megaman got that update but 55% isn't impressive for him.
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Now playing: New SMB | Queue: Okami | Waiting for: SMT:Devil Summoner, FF12, Castlevania:POR

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 2:10:37 AM | message detail

The fact that we have to note when MM wins updates against Ryu isn't impressive in the slightest, I agree.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 2:10:40 AM | message detail

Ulti site is going to recover in 1/11?
Oh man...
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laff

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:15:29 AM | message detail

Where do i find out how many updates does Ryu won.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 2:16:40 AM | message detail

X_X
Two-three updates from now,Megaman percentages are going to be lower than Bowser had at this hour
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laff

Haste_2 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:18:33 AM | message detail

So, I've had veggies, cottage cheese, a chimichanga, a bowl of apricots, and two bowls of cereal for dinner...and I'm still hungry.

Should we consider more strongly the idea of Mega Man dropping in popularity? First Zero loses, and now this. Heh, if Mega Man can barely outdo Snake when Snake has SQUALL and Mega Man has RYU...meh, of course we'll see Mega Man beat Snake, anyway. ;_;

---
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 2:18:37 AM | message detail

Where do i find out how many updates does Ryu won.

www.gamefaqscontests.com

Also...

Bowser's percentage against Ryu at 5:15 -- 57.00%
Mega Man's percentage against Ryu at 5:15 -- 57.10%

Bowser was on the upswing right now too, Mega is on his way down. Granted Mega Man's day vote should be a fair bit more potent than Bowser's, but the new starting time should significantly cut down on trend swings.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 2:20:59 AM | message detail

I'm not going so far as to say Mega Man has dropped in popularity...but I will say that I chose between two big upsets for my bracket, either Snake > Mega Man or Mega Man > Samus.

I am, at the moment, infinitely relieved I chose the former.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 2:21:13 AM | message detail

It was about now that Bowser got stronger,but I can't see Megaman doing the same this hour
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laff

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 2:23:03 AM | message detail

05:20:00 Bowser - 57.08%
05:21:39 Megaman - 57.07%

:(((((((((((((
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laff

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 2:24:06 AM | message detail

And on a personal note, I believe I am on track to drop approximately one billion places in the Oracle Challenge after my 65% prediction for Mega Man. ph33r me
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:25:25 AM | message detail

Karma Hunter, who do you have as your champion.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 2:26:42 AM | message detail

Crono. Not exactly feeling bad about it either, though it'll sadden me in terms of preference.
---
*kills self
Commit it to memory.

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 2:27:16 AM | message detail

57.01% X_X
I take back my words about comparing Megaman to Bowser in the last topic
KH,you were right :(
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laff

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:27:35 AM | message detail

Karma Hunter, i know your favourite character are Mario and Snake.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:28:06 AM | message detail

janembaman, who do you have as champion.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

voltch | Posted 10/25/2006 2:29:45 AM | message detail

wtf,megaman should be doing much better than this or has ryu increased out of nowhere?
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 2:30:16 AM | message detail

Crono
Im sure he will take Snake/Megaman out,but I have no idea about his match against Samus...
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laff

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:32:09 AM | message detail

Megaman had been dropping all these years.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

Haste_2 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:32:25 AM | message detail

Ryu could've pulled a Snake...just randomly dropping one year, then recovering the next year.

---
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zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 2:34:27 AM | message detail

At least Snake had SSBB and MGS4 hype, was Ryu in any popular game this year.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 2:34:57 AM | message detail

He could have, but mind that Snake's value in 2004 is unreliable due to Link/Mega SFF (I maintain 2004 was MM's strongest year thanks to MMAC), and he had MGS3 for 2k5. Ryu has no such advantages, if anything he was supposed to have been overrated.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.

transience | Posted 10/25/2006 2:35:21 AM | message detail

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 2:42:13 AM | message detail

*doesn't live in the USA*
Isn't it 2AM now there?
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laff

transience | Posted 10/25/2006 2:43:24 AM | message detail

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 5:42:13 AM | message detail | #029
*doesn't live in the USA*
Isn't it 2AM now there?

that's eastern time.. the poll starts at midnight EST now. last year it started at midnight PST, which is three hours later.
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xyzzy

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 2:45:36 AM | message detail

I understand that the new starting time skews this a bit (like that'll stop me from using it!!) but with it comes less drastic voter shifts, if I understand correctly. Yeah, Ryu's got no second night vote to fall back on, but he shouldn't get as obliterated during the morning/afterschool vote as his Bowser match.

Or maybe not...it is Ryu we're talking about here, of course.
---
*kills self
Commit it to memory.

rpgapzx | Posted 10/25/2006 2:46:32 AM | message detail

you're reading Bowser's time wrong... remember that there's a three hour difference. at this point in the match, Bowser had 56.29%, though the match was only 2:35 old. Ryu has had the entire night vote to make this percentage comeback as well - there isn't going to be a second night vote hitting once the daytime comes

Tranny is correct.
It's very difficult to both get accurate comparisonal percentages that account for both percentage and weight. To get an accurate comparison of old percentages, one needs to account for both. For instance, to get the first 3 hours of a match now(9-12PM EST), one would likely want to take the 1st hour(0:00-1:00 now), and the last 2 hours(22:00-24:00) and scale the 22-24 to the correct number of votes. There may be a way to do this, but it would be quite difficult to get anything accurate for sure.

---
Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 53/54 // Today: Megaman // Leaderboard: 9th

transience | Posted 10/25/2006 2:48:19 AM | message detail

it's also Bowser though.. like I said earlier, I expect a 2.5% shift by the time the main afterschool vote is done, and it could be more. you know as well as I do how bad the SF early vote is. it won't be enough to redeem Mega Man here - he's getting 50% updates regularly but the percentage is still far above that, so when the day vote is significantly better it might not increase the actual percentage all that much - but at least it won't look like an absolute disaster as it does right now.
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xyzzy

rpgapzx | Posted 10/25/2006 2:52:51 AM | message detail

Easier way to say this.
The shift shouldn't change that much percentage wise other than the first hour when "FIRST/BOARD" votes are in play, but the votals do. The shift in time weakens the 2nd night vote, not only percentage wise, but weight wise as well.

-B

---
Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 53/54 // Today: Megaman // Leaderboard: 9th

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 3:02:01 AM | message detail

Ryu is definitely slowing down now...oh, is that the sun I see shining in the distance?

Well, y'had a good run, Ryu. Sorry for doubting ya, my boy.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 3:02:24 AM | message detail

So...Megaman is back on tracks...now he should gain a percentile or something
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laff

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 3:07:59 AM | message detail

4000+ lead...
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laff

XIII_rocks | Posted 10/25/2006 3:40:57 AM | message detail

XD @ MM. This is pathetic, but at least he'll attone somewhat during the morning hours.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 52/54 Today: Megaman

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 3:41:32 AM | message detail

Finally MM increased his % !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
(erm...)
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laff

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 3:43:35 AM | message detail

I think Megaman will break 52% on Ryu after the end of the match.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 3:44:01 AM | message detail

I mean 58% not 52%.
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After his match with Dante, Yoshi will do respectable against Snake

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 3:44:11 AM | message detail

52%? @_@
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laff

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 3:44:23 AM | message detail

Ah XD
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laff

transcience | Posted 10/25/2006 3:45:43 AM | message detail

Mega Man will get to 59% at least, I'd think. that is, assuming Ryu is done ripping percentage off him.
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xyzzy

XIII_rocks | Posted 10/25/2006 3:50:20 AM | message detail

Even 59% is disappointing for MM...that's only .02 higher than Ryu got against Bowser. And it's not like MM is a lock to hit 59%, either.
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AC2K6 Score: 52/54 Today: Megaman

Karma Hunter | Posted 10/25/2006 3:53:06 AM | message detail

I'm not willing to talk about the extent of this 'disappointing' until we actually see how much MM can recover.

*looks at last update* See, now that one was the best he's had in a LONG time. Ryu is pretty damn bad with the day, too. Stick around, we could see this over 60% if MM gets lucky.
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.

zwong1 | Posted 10/25/2006 3:53:33 AM | message detail

XIII_rocks | Posted 10/25/2006 3:54:21 AM | message detail

Oh, and GOD ****ING DAMMIT!

100 people with -2 or above and I'm STILL not on the damn leaderboard? Ugh. I'll never get a chance like this again...hopefully we lose a few today and on Sonic/Vincent, and that's my last chance - I have Zero winning on Friday.
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AC2K6 Score: 52/54 Today: Megaman

XIII_rocks | Posted 10/25/2006 3:57:56 AM | message detail

I have to say it but i am afraid of offending others. Zero and Megaman are declining this year. Snake had shown great boost from Snake vs Squall match. Snake will be beating Megaman regardless of whether its it sprite round.

Meh, it's still not a lock. I mean, Snake STILL has 57% to overturn in two years, let's not forget that...I've definitely got more faith in Snake, particularly if he boosted this year.
---
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AC2K6 Score: 52/54 Today: Megaman

janembaman | Posted 10/25/2006 4:13:38 AM | message detail

56.88% now...it's getting better
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laff

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