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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 404

THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/24/2006 10:17:39 AM | message detail
Well, based on what we have now, Phoenix Wright is still fodder, and Gordon is about as much as a midcarder as Kefka.

That doesn't exactly set off any red flags for me. It's not that unbelievable.


How high are you expecting Sora to be? Based off of where Riku looks to be right now, I'd have to put Sora in the 32% range. That puts Gordon at 24.36% on BL and Phoenix at 20.36% on BL. I don't buy either of those numbers at all. Gordon was highly suspect last year for a reason.

And why don't I buy Phoenix being non-fodder? Because he has no reason to be anything but fodder. All characters with backgrounds just like his are fodder. I really don't see why he's the exception.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/24/2006 10:19:22 AM | message detail
And even IF Gordon Freeman 2005 was legit, I'd still be disappointed in where that places Sora. Especially after seeing what Riku did, I would expect Sora to be higher than that. Heck, I think he could've beaten Leon Kennedy last year before KHII.
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Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship:
Week 5: Darkwing Duck (4-0)
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/24/2006 10:23:57 AM | message detail
I would expect Sora to be around 32% myself. But I'm also fairly confident that Sora will eventually bring this up to around 64% after school. Which puts Gordon right around where he was last year. Maybe about .5% off, but stats aren't always perfect
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
H__RR____H | Posted 10/24/2006 10:27:20 AM | message detail
Besides, HL2 was ported to the Xbox after last year's contest, and I think some Episode 1 thing for him has too? Even if he ends up just a little bit above the stats from last year, it would be justifiable.
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 10:39:53 AM | message detail
This match is awesome.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2006 10:42:39 AM | message detail
This isn't at all surprising for a character who barely tripled Tingle of all people. I certainly wouldn't even consider the absolutely absurd possibility of Sora being able to beat Yoshi or Dante. Plenty of people don't like Sora, and even though KH2 may have made him more likable, I haven't seen anyone suddenly put him at #1 on their favorite character list. KH2 doing less for Sora than DMC3 did for Dante makes perfect sense to me.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 10:45:08 AM | message detail
Why is Sora so bashed here? Yeah he may not be the stongest character in the contests, but for some reason I think he's better than he gets credit for. If I saw a Dante/Sora match, I would have predicted Sora without a second thought.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2006 10:49:01 AM | message detail
Why is Sora so bashed here? Yeah he may not be the stongest character in the contests, but for some reason I think he's better than he gets credit for. If I saw a Dante/Sora match, I would have predicted Sora without a second thought.

1. He gets SFF'd by friggin' everyone. I doubt that Dante would be an exception.

2. He couldn't triple Agent 47, he barely tripled Tingle, and it's looking like he won't double Gordon Freeman after KH2.

3. He's one of the least likable characters in his game. I've seen more hardcore Tidus fanboyism than I have Sora fanboyism.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
janembaman | Posted 10/24/2006 10:51:44 AM | message detail
Still,Sora is KH representative
A SFF match between him and Riku will be in Sora favor
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laff
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 10:52:32 AM | message detail
Then again my view on character stats is a little twisted and regardless of how well Dante might do I can't really see him as "strong". Maybe it's because I wasn't around to see the other contests before 2005, but if I had to hazard a prediction right now I'd say Sora > Yoshi > Dante.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/24/2006 10:54:23 AM | message detail
Maybe it's because I wasn't around to see the other contests before 2005

If you were, you'd probably have even less respect for Dante's strength. He wasn't very impressive in those years compared to his 2005 performance.

In fact, he was always around Knuckle's level. I think the fact that Dante and Knuckles ended up close again in 2005 is one of the reasons people support DD overrating.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 10:54:42 AM | message detail
Yoshi=Dante>Sora, easily. Sora never fails to unimpress (well, except for 2004, but that was when he was hidden behind SFF).

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
H__RR____H | Posted 10/24/2006 10:55:46 AM | message detail
Sora looked mighty nice against Alucard last year.....
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 10:56:32 AM | message detail
And then got completely destroyed by Snake.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 10:57:05 AM | message detail
My messed up logic refuses to let me believe that Dante would beat Sora. I just can't see it.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 10:58:45 AM | message detail
I don't expect Sora to be anywhere near NN strength, but you know, maybe the Snake thing was a fluke. Anomlies happen as you all like to say. If Sora puts up decent numbers on Mega Man, I'd have an even harder time taking Dante over him.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
janembaman | Posted 10/24/2006 11:03:21 AM | message detail
So...how much percentages does Megaman needs tomorrow if he wants to beat Snake?
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laff
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:04:40 AM | message detail
Mega Man has a strength of 38.79 against Base Link.
Ryu has a strength of 29.98 against Base Link.


Mega Man 61.36% 54,646
Ryu 38.64% 34,418
TOTAL VOTES 89,063

Mega Man wins with 61.36% of the vote!

This is also Ryu overrated by Bowser/Snake, so MM should get a little higher. However, with that awful match pic, i wouldn't be surprised if MM underperformed.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:06:13 AM | message detail
One anamoly is something else, but when it happens quite a few times, you just have to accept that Sora isn't very strong. Dante and Yoshi would definitely beat him, and I'd probably take Riku over him too at this point.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
janembaman | Posted 10/24/2006 11:07:25 AM | message detail
CjayC could use Megaman picture from the first box art and it would still look better than his current picture -_-
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laff
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 11:07:59 AM | message detail
Where else has Sora failed to impress?
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:11:19 AM | message detail
2003: Blown out by Aeris
Games Contest: Almost loses to Soul Calibur, then gets beat by SC
2005: Snake blowout
2006: Disappoints a little against Tingle, can't double Gordon Freeman

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 11:13:06 AM | message detail
I still don't get why tripling Tingle is a disappointent. What did people expect, a quadding? That's not easy for anyone to do.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/24/2006 11:14:51 AM | message detail
Sora had a legitimate reason for SFF in 2003. The game contest wasn't even Sora, and doubling Gordon is something you should expect out of someone like Zelda or Vincent, not Sora.

As far as I'm concerned, his match with Snake is his only real "wow that sucks" moment
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:17:56 AM | message detail
Possibly, but what I was trying to say is that Sora would not beat Yoshi or Dante.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 11:18:51 AM | message detail
Nothing you've shown me makes me want to change my mind.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
WildCherrySoul | Posted 10/24/2006 11:19:06 AM | message detail
Gordon was highly suspect last year for a reason.

Doubt it. Having one of if not the most popular game of the year come out, your first in 7 or 8 years, will boost any character through the roof.

Follow that up with the same game coming out for XBox, and Half-Life 2: Episode 1 coming out, and Gordon should be stronger then last year easily. I will be seriously shocked if he somehow becomes weaker since last year.
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Good to the last drop
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:19:34 AM | message detail
So what's your reasoning then? Because everything else points otherwise.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2006 11:19:39 AM | message detail
Still,Sora is KH representative
A SFF match between him and Riku will be in Sora favor


lol Tidus vs. Auron, MM vs. Zero, etc.

Sora looked mighty nice against Alucard last year.....

The same Alucard that Auron made mincemeat out of this year. Alucard was never as strong as he looked in the 2k4 stats, and is even weaker now.

I still don't get why tripling Tingle is a disappointent. What did people expect, a quadding? That's not easy for anyone to do.

Knuckles 2k2 managed it, and he's the same strength as Alucard 2k3. A quadding isn't exactly difficult to accomplish, especially considering that Sora beat Alucard, and has had KH2 since then.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 11:20:11 AM | message detail
I don't have any proof either, it's just a gut feeling.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2006 11:20:46 AM | message detail
Earlier you said it was "logic". Why the change?
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:20:52 AM | message detail
Gut feeling only takes you so far. Sora is not that popular, and he would not beat Yoshi or Dante.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 11:21:24 AM | message detail
What if (GASP!) Tingle actually has some sort of strength rather than being complete, useless fodder?
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:21:59 AM | message detail
Tingle is probably even more hated than Master Chief, and that's saying something.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 11:22:51 AM | message detail
By "logic" I was going with the "this is GameFAQs, RPGs are heavily favored here, especially Sqeenix games, Sora is from said company, Dante is not, Sora > Dante"
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2006 11:23:51 AM | message detail
What if (GASP!) Tingle actually has some sort of strength rather than being complete, useless fodder?

You mean Tingle...and Gordon Freeman...and Phoenix Wright.

People were saying the same thing about Luca Blight and Sam Fisher before Knuckles beat Magus, and we all know where that got them.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/24/2006 11:24:09 AM | message detail
Dante almost beat Vincent. Although it was before AC and DoC, so let's say Dante almost beat Squall. Woud you take Sora over Squall?

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/24/2006 11:24:27 AM | message detail
And keep in mind, I wasn't trying to convince anyone that Sora > Dante would be a lock or whatever, I was just trying to figure out why most people thought the opposite.
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CB5 Points: 45/48, Current Oracle placement: 27/165
Now playing: Okami
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2006 11:24:56 AM | message detail
By "logic" I was going with the "this is GameFAQs, RPGs are heavily favored here, especially Sqeenix games, Tidus is from said company, Kirby/Ganon/Bowser/Ryu is not, Tidus > the aforementioned"

Fixed!

What does Sora have that Tidus doesn't?
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
janembaman | Posted 10/24/2006 11:25:07 AM | message detail
What if (GASP!) Tingle actually has some sort of strength rather than being complete, useless fodder?
Possible,but I can't understand why
He is hated even among LoZ fans (me included),and even if you don't hate him,you don't care about him,either

Heh,30k of pity votes
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laff
janembaman | Posted 10/24/2006 11:29:05 AM | message detail
Speaking of Tingle,I think Malon can be stronger than him
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laff
KingBartz | Posted 10/24/2006 11:32:05 AM | message detail
MORE LIKE 30k OF ANTI-VOTES M I RITE?
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That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich.
SC2k6: 46/52 Today's pick: Sora
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/24/2006 11:33:41 AM | message detail
Heh, you're totally right. I know I voted for Tingle just because Sora's such a terrible character.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
NewLib | Posted 10/24/2006 11:34:03 AM | message detail
Malon would definitely be stronger, because many Zelda fans would fall right in line behind her.

Hell, I think Epona would come out somewhere between 20-26 BL
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--NL--
Z1mZum made me look like Toadette. And made me nominate her.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/24/2006 11:49:37 AM | message detail
So... err... why is Sora actually decreasing in % just when the after-school vote should be beginning?
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Sora with 62.59%
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/24/2006 11:52:55 AM | message detail
Well, he's not decreasing.

But he's not increasing either.

Uh oh... >_>
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/24/2006 11:57:03 AM | message detail
I'm quite dissapointed with Sora today. Assuming a constant Gordon, this showing does prove that he got SFFed badly by Snake and maybe gained a little.

But he's still a full tier behind somebody like Knuckles. And that's not going to be nearly enough to put MM in danger.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
transience | Posted 10/24/2006 12:00:03 PM | message detail
well, Dante did beat Hayabusa worse than Sora did, albeit that was before KH2. I'd pick Dante over Sora, but it wouldn't be a lock.
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xyzzy
__Smurf__ | Posted 10/24/2006 12:02:24 PM | message detail
Squall
Vincent
Bowser
Tifa
etc.
--------
Dante
Ganondorf
Yoshi
Kirby
Knuckles
etc.
---------
Sora
Tidus
Leon Kennedy
Magus
etc.


Right after a major game and with a 1st seed, that's just not on.
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Smurf. The Cream of Jill Valentine Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
WarThaNemesis | Posted 10/24/2006 12:02:33 PM | message detail
I was hoping that Magus or Knux would get the 8 seed in this division, just to see a one seed fall in the first round.
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War13104 had something weak beating something strong and he looks smarter than you or something - TessaTestarossa