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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 403

HaRRicH | Posted 10/23/2006 2:26:46 PM | message detail
So how many votes per update must Dante get over Yoshi in order to win right now?
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2006 2:28:19 PM | message detail
So how many votes per update must Dante get over Yoshi in order to win right now?

10.36
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 2:29:24 PM | message detail
Assuming that last update wasn't a fluke, he's not out of it.

But it was.
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dragoontheguy | Posted 10/23/2006 2:29:42 PM | message detail
So how many votes per update must Dante get over Yoshi in order to win right now?

Just over 10.
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Big Bob | Posted 10/23/2006 2:29:55 PM | message detail
Go Dante! Go Dante! Beat Yoshi by 42 votes!
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:30:43 PM | message detail
Dante gained again...
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 2:31:43 PM | message detail
Still a fluke. If he gains like this consistently until the end of the match, they'll all be flukes. Don't question it !!

Also, WTF @ last topic. Oh Board 8, how I love and pity thee.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2006 2:32:25 PM | message detail
Yoshi will explode soon once the west coast kids get out of school.

You know, I've often been told that my online sarcasm is nearly undetectable. This is one instance where even I'm not sure if I'm being serious or not.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:32:25 PM | message detail
KH, please don't state directly whether you were for or against the flood.
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 2:32:37 PM | message detail
He can pull it off! he can pull it off!!

....
...
I can dream,can't it?
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laff
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/23/2006 2:33:12 PM | message detail
17:30 | Yoshi | 47292 | +944 | 49.06% | Dante | 46484 | +980 | 50.94% | 93776 | Lead of 808 | (Down 36)
17:15 | Yoshi | 46348 | +962 | 52.20% | Dante | 45504 | +881 | 47.80% | 91852 | Lead of 844 | (Up 81)
17:00 | Yoshi | 45386 | +1018 | 53.13% | Dante | 44623 | +898 | 46.87% | 90009 | Lead of 763 | (Up 120)
16:45 | Yoshi | 44368 | +1003 | 51.57% | Dante | 43725 | +942 | 48.43% | 88093 | Lead of 643 | (Up 61)
16:30 | Yoshi | 43365 | +1045 | 52.62% | Dante | 42783 | +941 | 47.38% | 86148 | Lead of 582 | (Up 104)

Definitely the best Dante's looked in quite some time.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:33:19 PM | message detail
PartOf (EC?)...same time post! Two in one day o_O
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therealmnm | Posted 10/23/2006 2:33:24 PM | message detail
Okay... what the hell is going on? Not with the match, but the stats topic. ASCII? LUEshi? Should I even attempt to catch up?
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THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/23/2006 2:33:39 PM | message detail
Keep that up, Dante.

HM, Leon and creative were the most outspoken against Ulti

Fixed.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 10/23/2006 2:34:09 PM | message detail
Don't bother reading the last stats topic. It's completely worthless.
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THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/23/2006 2:34:20 PM | message detail
Should I even attempt to catch up?

Nah, just read the first post of it. That's basically what the rest of the topic was like.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:35:06 PM | message detail
Okay... what the hell is going on? Not with the match, but the stats topic. ASCII? LUEshi? Should I even attempt to catch up?

Catch up until the flood towards the end. I copied and pasted the meaningful posts after that into this topic.


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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:36:55 PM | message detail
Lead up by 10 that time if I'm counting correctly. A bit of a relief, but still, I'm really not worried anyway.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:41:15 PM | message detail
XD, what the hell. These are such minute gains.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2006 2:41:59 PM | message detail
I'm telling you, the west coast after school boom is still looming. Give it 10-20 minutes.
janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 2:42:15 PM | message detail
As a Dante picker,im still offended by red topic :'(
But,seriously,is picking Dante was such a stupid choice?
It's a close match...but yet some people call Yoshi the "Clear Winner"
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laff
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:43:26 PM | message detail
I'm telling you, the west coast after school boom is still looming. Give it 10-20 minutes.

I know, but it's funny watching Dante trying to come back and failing miserably. So pathetic.
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Lopen | Posted 10/23/2006 2:43:34 PM | message detail
West Coast children have taste, Dante shall use that district to start his comeback!
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:44:43 PM | message detail
But,seriously,is picking Dante was such a stupid choice?

Not pre-contest. Dante was the statistical favourite.

It's a close match...but yet some people call Yoshi the "Clear Winner"

Now he is. He's got even more after school vote to come, as well.
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therealmnm | Posted 10/23/2006 2:50:45 PM | message detail
Well, I'm not the biggest Yoshi fan, but I feel vindicated for having to deal with people making it seem crazy to take Yoshi. I actually couldn't care less for Yoshi, but I still defended to the end that he was underrated. I can't count the number of times that I heard "Yoshi never looked better than Dante in any contest". It's not like the guy had a huge chance to shine in these contests...
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:52:10 PM | message detail
Yup. Yesterday, I think I posted somewhere that my hope for Yoshi to win this was him being underrated in each and every year.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2006 2:54:27 PM | message detail
Naturally, he'll now get a great sprite against Snake. After being underrated for three straight years, it almost seems owed to the poor dino.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 2:54:35 PM | message detail
Remember that whole Luigi = Yoshi = Bowser before any SFF? I recall that being a theory tossed around or something. It'd be pretty funny if they all ended up being similar strength this year.

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Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/23/2006 2:55:48 PM | message detail
Wow, a perfectly 50/50 update.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 2:56:01 PM | message detail
Heh, pre-contest I was arrogant as hell toward Yoshi. Him maintaining his proportion with Luigi clearly projected him nicely above Dante, he was Nintendo, Dante had the potential to be overrated...if you had told me Dante was going to put up even this much of a fight pre-contest, I would have laughed. I had said Yoshi > Snake was more of a threat than Dante > Yoshi from the beginning.

...yeah, I changed my mind toot sweet after the first round, huh. And I still ended up looking like an idiot. This wasn't an easy win for either, just a nice, good, close match.
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Lopen | Posted 10/23/2006 2:56:25 PM | message detail
As confident as I was in Dante beating Yoshi with a fairly high %, I won't say I thought Yoshi was a non-factor to win. It may not make sense to say "Dante'll win with 57%, but Yoshi could take it", but that's pretty much what I thought about it.

I still say Dante's not out of this yet, even though Yoshi's got a bigger lead than Peach ever had. Dante should do better in the second night vote than Jill did, because he's holding up with the after school vote that much better.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 2:56:57 PM | message detail
Remember that whole Luigi = Yoshi = Bowser before any SFF?

You laughed in my face when I brought that theory up in the first round! >_<
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/23/2006 2:58:00 PM | message detail
I can't count the number of times that I heard "Yoshi never looked better than Dante in any contest".

Heh...yeah, I said that alot. To be fair though, even when based off of all projections save for Bowser and Luigi, Yoshi looked like he would lose to Dante-2k5 with about 46% or less...and this year marks the biggest seeding disparity between them yet as well, less than both Bowser and Luigi (odd, considering Yoshi's favorite-status in the Mario-polls, but whatever).

I never said Yoshi couldn't win though, and before the contest started I said Yoshi/Dante would be the closest match in the contest. Silly impressions that came afterwards.....
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MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 2:58:41 PM | message detail
I still say Dante's not out of this yet, even though Yoshi's got a bigger lead than Peach ever had. Dante should do better in the second night vote than Jill did, because he's holding up with the after school vote that much better.

...Huh? It should have been obvious that Dante was going to do better with the after school vote than Jill. That comes from the fact that Dante doesn't have a terrible day vote. However, his night vote wasn't anything particularly crazy either. He won't be close to as good as Jill's.

You laughed in my face when I brought that theory up in the first round! >_<

You brought that up? I didn't even think anyone mentioned it this year. That was like a year, or maybe even further, that I remember hearing about it. >>

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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 2:59:34 PM | message detail
Don't make me root through the old stats topics to prove this insignificant point.
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MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 3:00:37 PM | message detail
Well, no matter. I was just commenting on how they all may end up actually being close to one another this year. I know that has been brought up a couple of years ago though. It isn't a recent thought at the least.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
Lopen | Posted 10/23/2006 3:02:37 PM | message detail
However, his night vote wasn't anything particularly crazy either. He won't be close to as good as Jill's

The second night vote is sorta like a mix of the first night vote and the afterschool vote, usually. At least that's how I see it. Master Chief, for example, gets dominated in the first night vote, but in the second one he does well for himself.

Jill's first night vote was slightly better... but Dante's afterschool vote was much better than Jill's. I see him slashing much more with the second night than Jill did.
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SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/23/2006 3:02:52 PM | message detail
I didn't really have a problem with the LUEshi topic tbh, and I think a good number of people need to lighten the hell up.

But then it's a little hard for me to take Ulti talking about having fun seriously right after he gets done yelling at XiC about putting a funny link in the first post. >.>
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2006 3:03:03 PM | message detail
I think Luigi's next two matches (should he be involved in two) have the potential to be screwy, especially against Sonic. Who's to say whether he'll perform like Shadow did against Mario or like Yoshi did against Mega Man? Personally, I'm leaning toward the former (proxy factor, or whatever it is), but it's far from a sure thing.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:03:37 PM | message detail
Here it comes. Yoshi made another huge gain. This match could not be more over.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2006 3:03:39 PM | message detail
BOOM! West Coast'D
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 3:03:41 PM | message detail
Good gravy, what a spike for Yoshi there.

Fleeting thought -- if there is any cheating in this match, I'd be shocked if Yoshi weren't the heavy beneficiary of it. It's already been theorized LUE/LL proxy-voted/stuffed the hell out of Nidoran F, this is Yoshi that we're talking about. Whether they have the intelligence to actually pull it off is another story, but y'know how it goes...
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:05:22 PM | message detail
I'm sure there's somebody on LUE capable of it - quite a few, in fact - but losing a LUEsable account over it? Would they be that stupid?

...Probably >_>
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SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/23/2006 3:05:49 PM | message detail
On another note, I think this match is over. God DAMN the after school vote straight to hell, and I'd like to just beat the hell out of a good number of the kiddies that come home and ruin all our interesting matches.

However, if Dante pulled off a comeback or something like that, it would be absolutely legendary. And with the possibility of HEAVY Yoshi cheating, I don't see it being THAT impossible.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:06:30 PM | message detail
The lead is...OVER NINE HUNDREEEEEED!
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janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 3:07:11 PM | message detail
Hay geiz,lets ban the day vote!

Oh screw it,im going to sleep
Good luck Damte >_>
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laff
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/23/2006 3:08:15 PM | message detail

Fleeting thought -- if there is any cheating in this match, I'd be shocked if Yoshi weren't the heavy beneficiary of it. It's already been theorized LUE/LL proxy-voted/stuffed the hell out of Nidoran F, this is Yoshi that we're talking about. Whether they have the intelligence to actually pull it off is another story, but y'know how it goes...


As an actual Yoshi fan, I want to point out that they're in love with LUEshi not Yoshi, and the two are not synonymous. They just found an image to put themselves in, I don't think they even care for Yoshi himself all that much.
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Tediz247 | Posted 10/23/2006 3:08:26 PM | message detail
Most of LL's aroublemakers are banned from GameFAQs anyway, so I wouldn't be surprised to see some stuffing. Of course, CJayC's blocked most ways if I understand the sticky correctly, so there probably won't be any votes taken off. If there are, like Ulti, I hope it ends with a 402 vote victory for Yoshi.
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Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/23/2006 3:09:42 PM | message detail
How good is CJay at catching vote stuffing anyway? If LUE did cheat, would he know about it?

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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 3:11:22 PM | message detail
As an actual Yoshi fan, I want to point out that they're in love with LUEshi not Yoshi, and the two are not synonymous. They just found an image to put themselves in, I don't think they even care for Yoshi himself all that much.

As a long-time LUEser who basically has overseen every chapter of the LUEshi saga, I can say that's total bullcrap.

If there are, like Ulti, I hope it ends with a 402 vote victory for Yoshi.

Meh, Ceej won't actually make a public removal of votes unless it affects the winner of the match. He cares little for X-Stats and the like, it would seem. =(
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