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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 402 (ASCII)

MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 10:47:06 AM | message detail
Dante generally does better than Yoshi in the evening.

But he wasn't oustanding enough to lead by more than 35 at his absolute peak. He's got a favored night vote, but it will not be enough given the small timeframe the night vote exists in with the new start time. If Yoshi builds another 500 - 600 vote lead at the least, he'll be fine. We've already seen this before in this very match.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/23/2006 10:47:13 AM | message detail
It's funny how both of their previous matches were on weekends so we can't really speak what their trends are this year.

But, eh... Yoshi taking the morning vote advantage is probably enough evidence he'll take the after-school too.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 10:47:45 AM | message detail
And Seriously, Dante's not even using his best chance to build a lead. He's just sitting here right now, which is something he really cannot afford to do.

Exactly. Dante needs to make a move. Even if Yoshi doesn't win the after school vote convincingly (him winning it is fairly certain for me), it still might not matter if Dante keeps doing this.
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/23/2006 10:48:12 AM | message detail
Well there we are. Dante's night vote isn't anywhere near as good as Jill's and his day vote isn't anywhere near as bad. All Yoshi needs to do is build up a sizable lead -- Gee I think he's done that in this match before -- and he'll be fine.

Right, but my point is Yoshi won't be building up as big of a lead as Peach, and Dante won't have to come back as much as Jill. Should Yoshi be considered the favorite? Yeah. Should he be considered anywhere close to a lock? Hell no.

LEAD CUT TO 16!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
Rodri316 | Posted 10/23/2006 10:48:18 AM | message detail
But he wasn't oustanding enough to lead by more than 35 at his absolute peak. He's got a favored night vote, but it will not be enough given the small timeframe the night vote exists in with the new start time. If Yoshi builds another 500 - 600 vote lead at the least, he'll be fine. We've already seen this before in this very match.

By evening I mean to include the so-called "after-school vote" period.
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Character Battle V Score: 48/50
Current Prediction: Yoshi vs. Dante
neonreaper | Posted 10/23/2006 10:49:10 AM | message detail
who wants my nuts
…………………………………………………. __ . __……………………
……………………………………………….../’`: : `\,---`.„…………………
………………………………………………../|,-‘`¯¯`\(o)_\,----,,,_………..
………………„~*¯¯`”\,………... _„_………( `\(o),,_/` ¯ : o : : :o `-, …...
……………../ : · :(“,.~;*’¯¯¯”\, (_,-- ``”~,….\ : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : `\…..
………….....| : · :,/`,-*~;~··-„,/ (‘` ``)/· ,…\.,/` : : :_„„,: : : : : : : : : : : \…
…………….| : · / ,/`,--\ \’`c\,---„1 ‹’`--(_ ,/ / : : :,/` · · ): : : : : : : : : : : |…
……………..) : µ’` .\ (c) `¯ . . ·`), . ,-~`.. \ : : :| · · '”\, : : : : : : : : : : :/…
……………/` ,/_~-, .`;;`„-„,__,./, ```/……. `\: :\ · · · · `*-.,_ : : : : : :,-‘ ….
……………`-/¨;--;~’ `”*-=,=-_`” ,) ,/`……….`› : `\, · · · · · · ¯”~---,--`…….
…„„………__\, · ‘, · . . . `\„_,/ ,/;-;_ ……. /` ` | ./ · · · · · · · · „-“…………
.( :·`\,-~*`¯ · · ·`¯` `~--~*~---~;/`,-~*```*--, `1` / : | · · · ,---~*”`……………
. \·:··:”*~-,,„„____„„,.-~”`¯¯¯¯/ / · · · · · ‘\,) , / : :| · · · ·\………………….
…`”’~-,„„„„„„,,~‘`` . ( · · · ,.__| | · · · ·, `\„„/ ,/`: : / · · · · ·| ………………..
…………………….\`”””` · · ·`’~;-,„,,_)”`_-‘ : : / · · · · · · | ………………..
……… (`*”-,„,-”¯¯”`-;„· · · · · · , /'``,-~”`¯: : : :/ · · · · · · |.………………..
………. | : :(,;-===-„, `\,· · · ,-`| · ·/ : : : | :,/` · · · · · · ·| ………………..
……… . \ : :\, · · · · \\ · `\. ·)· / · / : :\ : :`~,_ · · · · · ./ …………………
………… \\,_`~.,_„,.-*\\, `/,/„/` ,/ : : :`’;-.„_ : ¯-, · · · /,…………………..
…………..`\,,`”| : :`-,„_„))’`"` ·,/`_„,~*’` · · ( · , ,`)· ·,-; `’\,………………..
……………..`*-\ : : : `~----~*` / · · · · · · · · “”~”` ·/` ·( _ :)………………
…………. ,.¬-,--\ : : : : : : : : / · · · · · · · · · ·,,-“`…..’-„,-‘……………….
…………..| |: :*:\ : : : : : : :_/ „____„„„„,---~*`……………………………
…………./ / : : : `~-„„„„„,.;;`,,.--`………………………………………….
…………| | : : : :|¯ : ,/ ¯ ………………………………………………….
………….\,\,_,„./---~`………………………………………………………
………………………………………………………………………………
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Donny: Are they gonna hurt us, Walter?
Walter: No, Donny. These men are cowards.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 10:49:10 AM | message detail
And as I type that, Dante wins a massive update.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 10:49:40 AM | message detail
Right, but my point is Yoshi won't be building up as big of a lead as Peach, and Dante won't have to come back as much as Jill. Should Yoshi be considered the favorite? Yeah. Should he be considered anywhere close to a lock? Hell no.

...What?! Peach came back from 1400 votes and then build a lead of, what, 500? Uh, yeah, no kidding Yoshi isn't going to build a 2000 vote lead here. All he needs is 500+ and he'll be in good shape. Dante's night vote is nowhere near as good as Jill's.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 10:50:05 AM | message detail
16?!
*goes away again*
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laff
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 10:50:21 AM | message detail
who wants my nuts

I've missed that line so much. XD
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/23/2006 10:50:35 AM | message detail
By evening I mean to include the so-called "after-school vote" period.

Are you denying that an obvious after school vote exists on weekdays where it doesn't in the summer?
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/23/2006 10:50:42 AM | message detail
Fair enough, but that won't be happening! Dante's totally gonna build a lead of a couple hundred, and go 50/50 in the afterschool vote, leaving all of you floored and shocked!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 10:51:24 AM | message detail
We'll see about that !!

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/23/2006 10:52:02 AM | message detail
You'll be seeing, I'll be laughing!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/23/2006 10:52:27 AM | message detail
Dante could conceivably go 50/50 with the after school vote or possibly win it. Even if it isn't likely, it shouldn't be ruled out.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/23/2006 10:52:32 AM | message detail
Nah. This match is over, Yoshi wins. The trends are too predictable. gg my bracket
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~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/23/2006 10:53:24 AM | message detail
14 vote lead... -_-. FASTER DANTA, FASTER!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 10:54:20 AM | message detail
Phew, Dante only won that one by 2. Looks like that last update was just a spike.
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/23/2006 10:54:20 AM | message detail
Yeah. Come to think of it, there haven't been any matches where things DIDN'T go according to predictable trends. This match would be the first.
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 10:55:14 AM | message detail
Same time post, n00b! ^_^ Haven't had one of those in a while.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 10:55:51 AM | message detail
Regardless of the result, Yoshi did damn fine in this match after it was predicted to be, what, 55/45 in favor of Dante? GOOD SHOW DINO !!

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
goku z | Posted 10/23/2006 10:55:54 AM | message detail
…………………………………………………. __ . __……………………
……………………………………………….../’`: : `\,---`.„…………………
………………………………………………../|,-‘`¯¯`\(o)_\,----,,,_………..
………………„~*¯¯`”\,………... _„_………( `\(o),,_/` ¯ : o : : :o `-, …...
……………../ : · :(“,.~;*’¯¯¯”\, (_,-- ``”~,….\ : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : `\…..Over nine THOUSAND?!?!
………….....| : · :,/`,-*~;~··-„,/ (‘` ``)/· ,…\.,/` : : :_„„,: : : : : : : : : : : \…
…………….| : · / ,/`,--\ \’`c\,---„1 ‹’`--(_ ,/ / : : :,/` · · ): : : : : : : : : : : |…
……………..) : µ’` .\ (c) `¯ . . ·`), . ,-~`.. \ : : :| · · '”\, : : : : : : : : : : :/…
……………/` ,/_~-, .`;;`„-„,__,./, ```/……. `\: :\ · · · · `*-.,_ : : : : : :,-‘ ….
……………`-/¨;--;~’ `”*-=,=-_`” ,) ,/`……….`› : `\, · · · · · · ¯”~---,--`…….
…„„………__\, · ‘, · . . . `\„_,/ ,/;-;_ ……. /` ` | ./ · · · · · · · · „-“…………
.( :·`\,-~*`¯ · · ·`¯` `~--~*~---~;/`,-~*```*--, `1` / : | · · · ,---~*”`……………
. \·:··:”*~-,,„„____„„,.-~”`¯¯¯¯/ / · · · · · ‘\,) , / : :| · · · ·\………………….
…`”’~-,„„„„„„,,~‘`` . ( · · · ,.__| | · · · ·, `\„„/ ,/`: : / · · · · ·| ………………..
…………………….\`”””` · · ·`’~;-,„,,_)”`_-‘ : : / · · · · · · | ………………..
……… (`*”-,„,-”¯¯”`-;„· · · · · · , /'``,-~”`¯: : : :/ · · · · · · |.………………..
………. | : :(,;-===-„, `\,· · · ,-`| · ·/ : : : | :,/` · · · · · · ·| ………………..
……… . \ : :\, · · · · \\ · `\. ·)· / · / : :\ : :`~,_ · · · · · ./ …………………
………… \\,_`~.,_„,.-*\\, `/,/„/` ,/ : : :`’;-.„_ : ¯-, · · · /,…………………..
…………..`\,,`”| : :`-,„_„))’`"` ·,/`_„,~*’` · · ( · , ,`)· ·,-; `’\,………………..
……………..`*-\ : : : `~----~*` / · · · · · · · · “”~”` ·/` ·( _ :)………………
…………. ,.¬-,--\ : : : : : : : : / · · · · · · · · · ·,,-“`…..’-„,-‘……………….
…………..| |: :*:\ : : : : : : :_/ „____„„„„,---~*`……………………………
…………./ / : : : `~-„„„„„,.;;`,,.--`………………………………………….
…………| | : : : :|¯ : ,/ ¯ ………………………………………………….
………….\,\,_,„./---~`………………………………………………………
………………………………………………………………………………
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Dirty old men > Squall || Make sure to check out Contact, the GotY 2006!
10th Place, 2005 Character Battle
Rodri316 | Posted 10/23/2006 10:55:55 AM | message detail
Are you denying that an obvious after school vote exists on weekdays where it doesn't in the summer?

I'm saying that it isn't always a drastic factor and that it shouldn't be assumed that it'll favor Yoshi.
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Character Battle V Score: 48/50
Current Prediction: Yoshi vs. Dante
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/23/2006 10:58:19 AM | message detail
I'm saying that it isn't always a drastic factor

It usually is, especially in a close match where any factor could tip the scales in one characters favour.

and that it shouldn't be assumed that it'll favor Yoshi.

No, it shouldn't be, but it's likely that it will favour him. The after school vote seems to frequently favour mario characters.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 10:58:36 AM | message detail
Haw haw! Lead of 33 for Yoshi!

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 10:59:08 AM | message detail
XD, 21 vote update win. Again, what the hell is Dante doing?
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
Rodri316 | Posted 10/23/2006 10:59:37 AM | message detail
Perhaps. We'll see.
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Character Battle V Score: 48/50
Current Prediction: Yoshi vs. Dante
goku z | Posted 10/23/2006 11:00:06 AM | message detail
lol, Rodri is still alive ;)
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Dirty old men > Squall || Make sure to check out Contact, the GotY 2006!
10th Place, 2005 Character Battle
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/23/2006 11:00:16 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Rodri316 | Posted 10/23/2006 11:00:54 AM | message detail
Hey classicalgamer!
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Character Battle V Score: 48/50
Current Prediction: Yoshi vs. Dante
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/23/2006 11:01:03 AM | message detail
A good rule of thumb for the after-school vote IMO is

Halo >= Kingdom Hearts > Nintendo

Nintendo isn't good to place since you range from people like Donkey Kong to, well, anyone else >_>
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
ZombieEltonJohn | Posted 10/23/2006 11:02:06 AM | message detail
Damnit, Dante! Take that lead!
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BRAAAAAAAINSSSSS
Elton John Ate my Neighbours!
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 11:02:08 AM | message detail
I SEE YOUR FIRST POST, N00B! YOU CAN'T HIDE FROM ME...!
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/23/2006 11:02:17 AM | message detail
Oh man... if Yoshi went DK with the afterschool, I'd die laughing.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/23/2006 11:02:31 AM | message detail
I SEE YOUR FIRST POST, N00B! YOU CAN'T HIDE FROM ME...!

YOU SAW NOTHING
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/23/2006 11:03:02 AM | message detail
I know Link did a number on Cloud with the after school vote, but pretty uncertain of how Zelda compares to Mario. LoZ does have a pretty damn good vote all-around though.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/23/2006 11:03:19 AM | message detail
What's that? Mario is better at the day vote then anything that isn't halo or KH? I think agree noob!
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/23/2006 11:03:24 AM | message detail
Dammit Dante stop losing updates kthx.

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 11:03:35 AM | message detail
YES I DID

And Yoshi is up by 6...wtf.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/23/2006 11:03:43 AM | message detail
Yoshi isn't going to lose this match ffs people.
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~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
Rodri316 | Posted 10/23/2006 11:04:12 AM | message detail
YES HE IS BRETT
YES HE IS
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Character Battle V Score: 48/50
Current Prediction: Yoshi vs. Dante
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/23/2006 11:04:41 AM | message detail
Don't make me go all Men in Black on you
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ertyu and VeghEsther are truly proof that there is much about this world we still do not understand.
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/23/2006 11:04:50 AM | message detail
Yoshi isn't going to lose this match ffs people.

Have faith Extha.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2006 11:04:51 AM | message detail
Based on past trends, the after school vote will hit in about 90 minutes. Dante is still down. At this rate, I'd be amazed if he mustered a lead of 300 votes. For comparison, remember that Jill's biggest lead was 1427 (1427 oh god). While Dante will fair better than Jill during the killer after school hours, he simply won't have enough of a cushion for it to make a difference. He'll need a trend-busting miracle in the last few hours, and that's not something I'd put my money on.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 11:06:47 AM | message detail
Don't make me go all Men in Black on you

You're holding the memory eraser the wrong way.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
voltch | Posted 10/23/2006 11:07:08 AM | message detail
imagine the state of this board if we didn't know of voting trends.
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
HoorayProxies | Posted 10/23/2006 11:08:13 AM | message detail
7 VOTES!

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Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies!
_Harmonica_ | Posted 10/23/2006 11:08:18 AM | message detail
Seven votes!
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Harmonica
Not even Midgar Zolom stands a chance against Guru winner Z1mZum!
ljtsg2002 | Posted 10/23/2006 11:08:21 AM | message detail
I've got 48 points right now... Unfortunatly I have Riku Down to win this round ;_;

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Older than Jesus on a pogo stick killing dinosaurs. -derangedmunky5
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/23/2006 11:08:48 AM | message detail
I find it very strange that Dante is consistently losing a couple of updates in a row and then hitting back with more than he lost in just oen update.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."