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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 401

nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/23/2006 4:14:38 AM | message detail
Yoshi's won 6 of the last 7 updates, and the other one he lost by one vote.

Yoshi starting to pull away do we think?
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I hope so.
rpgapzx | Posted 10/23/2006 4:15:14 AM | message detail
If Yoshi takes this from here on out, Dante's biggest lead will have been:
6:05 50.06% 35 votes.

Has anyone ever led a match with so few votes as their maximum after the opening hour?

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Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 49/50 // Today: YOSHI // Leaderboard: 14th
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/23/2006 4:15:51 AM | message detail
Yoshi lead of 110.

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Can't think of a good sig.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/23/2006 4:17:38 AM | message detail
The morning vote is Nintendo's best time. I'm actually surprised Yoshi isn't doing better now.

Luigi's percentage at 6:40 - 53.76%
Luigi's percentage at 13:00 (1 AM EST) - 55.28%

From then, it was all downhill for Luigi.
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Character Battle V Score - 45/50 points
Current Prediction - Yoshi vs. Dante
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/23/2006 4:19:21 AM | message detail
^^^^ Well Yoshi is definitely starting to do something, here...
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Dante with 53.93%
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/23/2006 4:19:58 AM | message detail
Up 140 votes right now
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Dante with 53.93%
voltch | Posted 10/23/2006 4:20:01 AM | message detail
how is luigi fitting into the match comparision?

i thought the patterns were taken straight out of peache's struggle against jill.
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/23/2006 4:23:14 AM | message detail
i thought the patterns were taken straight out of peache's struggle against jill.

Dante's day vote is nowhere near as bad as Jill's.
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Character Battle V Score - 45/50 points
Current Prediction - Yoshi vs. Dante
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/23/2006 4:24:35 AM | message detail
Yoshi is exploding.
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Dante with 53.93%
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 4:24:51 AM | message detail
Luigi's match was on a holiday though; Ganondorf's match, a weekend. this should have slightly different trends.
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xyzzy
cyko | Posted 10/23/2006 4:25:44 AM | message detail
well, at this point, i'm expecting this match to follow the voting trends of Jill vs. Peach; which it already has through th enight. although, keep in mind that at this point, Jill was still up by around 500 votes.

go Yoshi!!

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i have officially been Z1mZum'D in the guru contest.
Vincent Valentine to win the Blast Division!!
YoboD | Posted 10/23/2006 4:27:59 AM | message detail
Up 192, go Yoshi!
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Duff beer for me, Duff beer for you, I'll have a Duff, you'll have one too.
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 4:34:18 AM | message detail
hey, Dante actually cut at the lead. amazing.

I'm going to bed before I see any more bad news. night!
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xyzzy
jonthomson | Posted 10/23/2006 4:39:11 AM | message detail
Hmm. Not good. Yoshi has to be the favourite at this point, but I still have no idea where this performance is coming from at all :-(
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Jon Thomson - Z1mZum pwned me good and proper.
rpgapzx | Posted 10/23/2006 4:44:35 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
rpgapzx | Posted 10/23/2006 4:47:37 AM | message detail
Hmm. Not good. Yoshi has to be the favourite at this point, but I still have no idea where this performance is coming from at all :-(

Devil Division slightly overrated + NintendoFAQs + Vincent boost +slight varience in close matches is how I explain my bracket. Apparently, it's a working formula so far.

-B

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Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 49/50 // Today: YOSHI // Leaderboard: 14th
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/23/2006 5:08:11 AM | message detail
This match votalswise is higher than Luigi/Zero

Luigi/Zero: 37815
Yoshi/Dante: 38775
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And moving along steadily.
rpgapzx | Posted 10/23/2006 5:10:52 AM | message detail
Wow. Dante spikes over 200 for the first time in 5 1/2 hours.

-B

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Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 49/50 // Today: YOSHI // Leaderboard: 14th
Tediz247 | Posted 10/23/2006 5:20:45 AM | message detail
Come on Yoshi, keep it up during the day...
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2006 5:37:55 AM | message detail
Wow and my reasoning for picking Yoshi was that he's Yoshi.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Who Cares? | Posted 10/23/2006 5:40:59 AM | message detail
Ahh, so Dante did grab the lead, but the intial morning surge goes to Yoshi. Not looking good for Dante, he needs to jump back on it soon, like within the next hour or two.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Yuna (November 2nd)
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2006 5:47:47 AM | message detail
Dante can't really do anything until 9am PST (Noon EST).
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
H__RR____H | Posted 10/23/2006 6:05:02 AM | message detail
Yoshi's trying to drive this one home, and Dante's still putting up a real nice fight...

...but he's hardly been winning the fight. Even, sure, but not winning thus far. The after-school vote will make or break this match.....
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Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio
janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 6:07:27 AM | message detail
Dante had the lead?!
Why...why couldn't he keep it...
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laff
charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:10:40 AM | message detail
Dante only had the lead for 30 min. with a peak at 35 votes.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 6:12:04 AM | message detail
And now Yoshi is going crazy,and the day vote is yet to come
**** it
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laff
Samurai7 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:16:49 AM | message detail
The morning vote is always nintendos best time, that said.... yoshi is definatly in a better position right now.
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It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade
helferty101 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:19:40 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
helferty101 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:22:55 AM | message detail
This Dante with the day vote talk is reminding me of the FF/Zelda comeback rambling...for all the high hoping that FF would perhaps do something or at least hold on during the day, it just ended up getting smashed.

I've noticed that this topic would rather use past matches against unrelated characters with different poll times and demographics than common sense.

How many Nintendo characters have to win the first hour and the day vote before people will catch on?

TuRtLe
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43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/23/2006 6:37:18 AM | message detail
Well wasn't this an interesting match? I'm very disappointed that Dante couldn't do more when he had the lead.


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Supporter of Ryu.
helferty101 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:38:10 AM | message detail
He'll probably take the lead back once the morning vote wears off, then you'll have people posting in this topic completely SHOCKED AND AMAZED.

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:44:35 AM | message detail
By the time the west coast is in school Yoshi's lead would be bigger than what he had during the night and Dante would have less time to comeback. He may cut into the lead, but I don't see him taking the lead unless he wins the afterschool vote.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
helferty101 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:45:28 AM | message detail
I dunno, Jill managed to cream Peach with the school vote, I can't see why Dante would do considerably worse.

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:45:54 AM | message detail
and as soon as I said that Dante takes off 25 votes.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
helferty101 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:47:35 AM | message detail
Heh

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/23/2006 6:49:18 AM | message detail
Surprisingly slow stats topic given how close this one is. This really is the worst comeback attempt in ages... probably because everyone knows how bad Dante is with the day vote.

I mean really, he'll have to either go berserk during school hours or win the after school vote outright to win this. Or he could simply keep it close and make a final run this evening, but I don't believe he's ever done well during the evening either. We'll see.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX, FFL2
janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 6:49:37 AM | message detail
His biggest update since Yoshi went crazy
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laff
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:50:19 AM | message detail
Ha, assuming Yoshi holds on this is two big(gish) upsets I've called now. Here's hoping I come up on the leaderboard for the first time ever!
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Damn you Z1mZum! Were it not for my owning at the hands of you I would've claimed the guru crown at the 1st attempt!
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 6:50:42 AM | message detail
Say Yoshi wins this....what's his pred %?

I say it would definitely be less than 50%. Dante being a 2 seed will obviously help. I know Yoshi was at a major seeding disavantage with Riku and still got 58%, but come on. It's ****ing Yoshi. Dante will have far more bracket support IMO.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/23/2006 6:51:53 AM | message detail
And Yoshi takes it all back.

Stats topic 402 next.... Yoshi scoring a 666x vote total earlier. This is DESTINY, dammit. Go Yosh!

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX, FFL2
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 6:52:27 AM | message detail
Ha, assuming Yoshi holds on this is two big(gish) upsets I've called now. Here's hoping I come up on the leaderboard for the first time ever!

Ditto. Hopefully we'll lose 100 or so of the -2s, which would hopefully put me on the leaderboard...

Then again, I wasn't there after Vince/Ganon and only 105 were perfect after that.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/23/2006 6:53:16 AM | message detail
I may be able to get back on the top 50 if Yoshi holds on, but I'll fall off again after Luigi/Kirby.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX, FFL2
janembaman | Posted 10/23/2006 6:53:19 AM | message detail
Bravo Dante,bravo
You won an update then you lost it...
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laff
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 6:53:27 AM | message detail
Oh good god. I just got why you put a LUEshi in the first post.

*Shotgun in mouth*
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:53:55 AM | message detail
Say Yoshi wins this....what's his pred %?

I'd be surprised if Yoshi got over 30%.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/23/2006 6:54:45 AM | message detail
25% had Vincent over Dante, and even if he was untested, he still was an FFVII character.

I think Yoshi will have about 28%. I think Dante is a huge bracket favourite and Riku could also have some support.
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Supporter of Ryu.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 6:54:55 AM | message detail

I'd be surprised if Yoshi got over 30%.


Really, that low? I figured he'd hover around Vincent's level.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2006 6:55:22 AM | message detail
If Kirby can survive Luigi then all I have left for upsets is my upset special, Aeris > Zelda.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 6:56:10 AM | message detail
Oh and if Yoshi wins I think I survive in the guru, as well, at least until Sonic/Crono.
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz
AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/23/2006 7:00:03 AM | message detail
I really really really hope Aeris beats Zelda (Unlikely I know), then I might eliminate all the gurus who have Sonic winning the male bracket. ^_^

But lets focus on the match now, were Dante once again tries to make a comeback
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Supporter of Ryu.