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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 401

Xuxon | Posted 10/23/2006 2:39:15 AM | message detail
Dante won't exactly have much of a lead to murder. Maybe 200 votes if he's really lucky.
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Take off every sig.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/23/2006 2:49:25 AM | message detail
Morning vote starts around 6 doesn't it? Not 6:30. Maybe it gets in full swing by then.

Dante won't even have time to establish a lead...
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CB06 - Score: 46/50 Rank: Tied - 647th Yesterday's Pick: Snake
Today's Pick: Yoshi Tomorrow's Pick: Sora Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 2:50:20 AM | message detail
the before-school vote might go to Yoshi, but Dante should be able to gain all the way until school gets out. Jill did some good damage to Peach right around noontime, and so did Claire to Kairi. it's the afterschool avalanche that looks to bury Dante.

grr 3 vote lead
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xyzzy
voltch | Posted 10/23/2006 2:50:49 AM | message detail
3 vote difference?
imagine match was to end like this.
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:52:57 AM | message detail
OMG 15 VOTE SWING
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
Xuxon | Posted 10/23/2006 2:54:41 AM | message detail
Eh, Jill peaked at 6:30, but started losing a couple updates before then. 6:30 is what I've noticed, generally.

Right now, Dante leads. I give him 3:1 of actually staying ahead by the end, though.
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Take off every sig.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:58:15 AM | message detail
I'm sceptical to Yoshi's day vote. It's probably absolutely massive...but I'm in no way prepared to call this over until Yoshi makes like 5 50 vote cuts/gains in a row. >_>

Go Yoshi! Smack Dante like you smack Sandbag in SSBM!
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:59:07 AM | message detail
XD, Yoshi won that update from nowhere. XD
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:59:32 AM | message detail
Or could this be...THE MORNING VOTE!!??!?!?!!111
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
DS Gamer XVII | Posted 10/23/2006 3:03:38 AM | message detail
1 point lead to Dante.
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ertyu doesn't care about spelling. - yazzy14
darn right i dont or even for any of you - ertyu
ff6man | Posted 10/23/2006 3:04:13 AM | message detail
Moer liek 35 vote lead lolmirite?
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CB2006 Score: 47/50 points
Today's Match: Yoshi Vs. Dante
DS Gamer XVII | Posted 10/23/2006 3:05:29 AM | message detail
*buries bracket*
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ertyu doesn't care about spelling. - yazzy14
darn right i dont or even for any of you - ertyu
_Lagoona_ | Posted 10/23/2006 3:08:57 AM | message detail
*looks at own bracket*
I just hope Dante can survive the much-feared Nintendo day vote...
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PPC SC2k6:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30958879
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:12:45 AM | message detail
He probably can...sod's law dictates that I'm not going to get two close matches correct in a row, lol >_>
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
Gooper Blooper | Posted 10/23/2006 3:14:10 AM | message detail
SUPER HAPPY TREE
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face it cjay i have the high ground i have powend you - ertyu
ff6man | Posted 10/23/2006 3:14:12 AM | message detail
>_< C'mon Dante hold on to it... >_<
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CB2006 Score: 47/50 points
Today's Match: Yoshi Vs. Dante
CaptainFlufflez | Posted 10/23/2006 3:17:08 AM | message detail
16 votes down. go yosher!
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All my base are belong to Yoblazer, winner of the Guru Contest.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:17:30 AM | message detail
Wow, Dante needs to do a lot better than this.
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:19:44 AM | message detail
And now Yoshi's ahead by 3. LOLOLOLOLOLOL.
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
ff6man | Posted 10/23/2006 3:20:19 AM | message detail
Morning vote? Is that you? OH NO!
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CB2006 Score: 47/50 points
Today's Match: Yoshi Vs. Dante
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/23/2006 3:20:41 AM | message detail
If Yoshi gets any kind of good morning vote here, Dante is down and out.

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Can't think of a good sig.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:24:20 AM | message detail
Hmm, Yoshi up by 8...

Not phenomenal, but still good.
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
GavHarrison316 | Posted 10/23/2006 3:25:20 AM | message detail
*buries bracket*
This.
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*hides in a box*
dIsRuPtIvE
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 3:26:12 AM | message detail
I'm going to assume that Yoshi's day vote is superior to Peach's. Dante is stronger than Jill though and I would say that about balances them out. I personally would say that Dante needs a lead at least equal to Jill's to be in with a chance. However, Jill had a 500+ lead at this point in her match.

Dante is going to need to gain like crazy in schooltime without falling too far behind in the morning vote otherwise it's over.


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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 3:28:24 AM | message detail
this is following Jill/Peach trends really closely here. if this keeps up, Yoshi should be able to stall Dante and win some updates for three or so hours, Dante will win the next four decisively and then Yoshi will look to bury him with the afterschool vote. Dante won't have as big of a lead as Jill did, but Dante also won't have the day vote that Jill did. I'd feel better about having Yoshi here, but Dante isn't out of it by any means.
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xyzzy
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/23/2006 3:29:01 AM | message detail
Massive update for Dante.
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Taking back the lead.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/23/2006 3:29:38 AM | message detail
yeah Dante
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CB5 Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: Solid Snake with 54.54%
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 3:29:46 AM | message detail
The vote updates are out of sync again aren't they?

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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:30:41 AM | message detail
Holy crap...39 vote win?
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 3:30:51 AM | message detail
yeah, looks that way. can someone try and catch when GF is updating so creative can sync them up should the time come? I can do a manual update, but that's pretty useless since I'd have to do it every five minutes.
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xyzzy
Xuxon | Posted 10/23/2006 3:32:36 AM | message detail
It's pretty much been :x3, :x8.
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Take off every sig.
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 3:32:49 AM | message detail
I'll check on the next update but judging from Nintendogirl's post, I'd say around x3 and x8. Her post is 29:01. Too early for the x9.

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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 3:34:24 AM | message detail
x3 that time so x3 and x8.

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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:36:20 AM | message detail
Now is the time. Yoshi needs to be making huge wins any time now.
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/23/2006 3:38:33 AM | message detail
Nope.

Changed again.
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Syncs right out.
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 3:38:38 AM | message detail
there, got it on the updater.. yep, looks like :03 and :08 right on the nose.

grrr wonky update times
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xyzzy
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/23/2006 3:39:03 AM | message detail
Yeah, there's a confirmed 3 and 8.
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Woo!
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 3:39:46 AM | message detail
Definately x3 and x8. About 3-4 seconds in it changed for me so probably on the 01 and 02 seconds like usual.

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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/23/2006 3:41:15 AM | message detail
43.69% 56.31%
50.00% 50.00%
53.27% 46.73%

Last three update percentages.
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Not really very stable is it?
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 3:43:35 AM | message detail
ACTIVATE THE 3 VOTE BARRIER
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
voltch | Posted 10/23/2006 3:44:08 AM | message detail
so how many brackets are likely to get this match wrong?
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/23/2006 3:44:10 AM | message detail
Dammit Yoshi hurry up...

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Can't think of a good sig.
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 3:44:13 AM | message detail
that's the nature of a close match. no match has perfect trends. the smaller the updates, the more likely fluky updates are.

this is going to be back and forth for a good couple of hours.. likely to be indicitive of the rest of the match. if Dante can keep this at 50/50 for the next couple of hours, that bodes well to him being able to stand up to Yoshi during the afterschool vote.
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xyzzy
ff6man | Posted 10/23/2006 3:44:15 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
rpgapzx | Posted 10/23/2006 3:47:04 AM | message detail
I'm so happy that I've had a big problem set due tommorow and been able to follow this match since it's inception. Thanks for fixing the updater. That and this topic is all I'm watching.

-B

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Poker is proof that men are the irrational sex.
SC2K6: 49/50 // Today: YOSHI // Leaderboard: 14th
voltch | Posted 10/23/2006 3:48:44 AM | message detail
50/50.
don't you just love matches when they are this close even if it's for an hour or two/
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Z1mZum humiliated me to hell and back in the Best.Series.Ever contest.
transience | Posted 10/23/2006 3:48:49 AM | message detail
I can't fix it, I can just force it to update manually. creative would have to do that himself, because I sure as hell am not going to manually update it every five minutes for the rest of the match. even I have my limits!

also, WHOA YOSHI
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xyzzy
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 3:49:03 AM | message detail
Big Yoshi update there. I don't like the looks of this. My bracket could well be finished after this match.

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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
ff6man | Posted 10/23/2006 3:49:36 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/23/2006 3:49:42 AM | message detail
"I can't fix it, I can just force it to update manually."


How?

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Can't think of a good sig.