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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 401

HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 11:42:30 PM | message detail
No, but I think he did better with it against Jill twice than Peach did (someobdy check this please, I'm about to go to bed), and he still chopped down on Zero decently last year with it too.
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Draco1214 | Posted 10/22/2006 11:43:12 PM | message detail
Hayabusa chipped at Zero's percentage during the day in that match (and we all saw what Zero did to Luigi's percentage after he exploded in the morning).
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 11:43:29 PM | message detail
This is most pathetic comeback attempt since Vercetti's run against Kefka, though that whole match was fueled by cheating that kept it close for Kefka anyway.

So this is basically the worst comeback attempt since Liquid Snake, I guess.


Kuja/MH was very similar. Don't be so quick to call this yet.
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The Real Truth | Posted 10/22/2006 11:45:39 PM | message detail
Kaxon
Posted 10/22/2006 11:38:52 PM
message detail On the topic of DMC3 being hard...

http://www.penny-arcade.com/comic/2005/03/04


I remember that article from awhile back, it's still just as awesome.
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Janus5000 | Posted 10/22/2006 11:45:57 PM | message detail
At least the second time, Hayabusa brought Jill down from 54% to -27 votes at the end.
Peach only brought her down from 51%.
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MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/22/2006 11:46:24 PM | message detail
No, but I think he did better with it against Jill twice than Peach did (someobdy check this please, I'm about to go to bed), and he still chopped down on Zero decently last year with it too.

Percentage-wise, he did do better than Peach. But he never had to overcome a 1400 vote lead with it. Jill's highest lead was somewhere around 800 votes.

If you go from 6:00 AM, which is generally when the day vote starts I believe, until the end of the poll there was a whopping .24% taken off from Zero. If you go from the first hour, he took about 2% off. Zero's not exactly someone with a good day vote either, which just goes right back to the point of certain "casual friendly" characters just not being good with it.

Dante's not horrible with the day vote, but he's really quite average at the very best. The only character he's ever done something noticeably positive was against Terra Branford. I mean, really...

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HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 11:49:26 PM | message detail
QUICK WITHOUT THINKING: Dante, Yoshi, Knuckles...which of the three is the strongest?
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The Real Truth | Posted 10/22/2006 11:50:07 PM | message detail
Dante
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Nominate Barret Wallace for SC2k7, you know you want to
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/22/2006 11:50:11 PM | message detail
Yoshi.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2006 11:50:11 PM | message detail
3% against an FF6 character (and they've proven to be COMPLETE ass during the day) is not noticeably positive.

~*ST*~
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/22/2006 11:50:31 PM | message detail
Knuckles, if the match takes place in round 1.
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Supporter of Ryu.
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 11:54:48 PM | message detail
Knuckles got about 3% vs. Kefka.
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xyzzy
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 11:56:04 PM | message detail
Yeah, and Knux is the balls as far as day-votes go.
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/22/2006 11:56:42 PM | message detail
That was a cool update, if ypu want Dante to win >_>
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Supporter of Ryu.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2006 11:57:24 PM | message detail
Just to make sure, but do we all believe that Dante will have the lead at some point in this match? Yoshi HAD been holding off nicely for awhile, though Dante's beginning to deal nice damage.
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Xuxon | Posted 10/23/2006 12:02:08 AM | message detail
I don't think he'll take it before morning, but probably during school at least.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 10/23/2006 12:03:25 AM | message detail
Dante could get the lead, but Yoshi is doing his darndest to hold on until the day.

This Dante with the day vote talk is reminding me of the FF/Zelda comeback rambling...for all the high hoping that FF would perhaps do something or at least hold on during the day, it just ended up getting smashed.

FF made it respectable by the end despite never having a chance, and I more or less expect the same of Dante here. But I don't expect a win.
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transience | Posted 10/23/2006 12:04:37 AM | message detail
Yoshi's percentage by hour:

00:00 - 01:00 - 52.56%
01:00 - 02:00 - 49.60%
02:00 - 03:00 - 49.46%

not much of a change. Dante needs to get moving or he's in for a bigtime uphill battle.
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xyzzy
BDawg | Posted 10/23/2006 12:05:23 AM | message detail
I don't think he'll get a Jill lead but he shouldn't choke as bad either so it should be a good enough match.
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Should I start running now?
HaRRicH | Posted 10/23/2006 12:08:11 AM | message detail
MC/Sub-Zero went alot like LoZ/FF, in that the one favored never stood a chance and allowed the upset, yet the loser still made it more respectable by the end of it. Similar percentages, too...

...I find it funny that Sub-Zero had the lead at the five-minute update and never looked back though -- for it being as close as it was and for as many people as there was who took MC, he never saw the lead for more than, what, a minute or two?
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Xuxon | Posted 10/23/2006 12:22:30 AM | message detail
That was due to timing though. MC was winning updates for the last third of the match.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2006 12:34:01 AM | message detail
Dante finally gets within 400 votes.

At this point in their match, Peach was up by 147. Peach also relinquished the lead to Jill 35 minutes from now, so it seems that Yoshi will hold on for a good while longer at the very least.
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Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/23/2006 12:36:14 AM | message detail
I''m leaving for now. I expect Dante to get the lead in 3 or 4 hours, then have then lead for 1 or 2 hours, then lose it and never retake it.
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MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/23/2006 12:57:18 AM | message detail
Strange, a close match is going on and nobody gives a damn.
Does anybody actually care about either of these characters? >_<
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2006 12:59:40 AM | message detail
It's pretty late in the US.
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MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/23/2006 1:00:02 AM | message detail
That didn't stop them for Jill v Peach. <_<
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2006 1:01:48 AM | message detail
I'm pretty sure most of the Jill/Peach discussion came during the final hours.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
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transience | Posted 10/23/2006 1:03:03 AM | message detail
Yoshi's percentage by hour:

00:00 - 01:00 - 52.56%
01:00 - 02:00 - 49.60%
02:00 - 03:00 - 49.46%
03:00 - 04:00 - 47.00%

Dante's really getting it going during the dead hours.. unfortunately for him, not a ton of votes are coming in. still, at this rate he'll take the lead in an hour.
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xyzzy
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/23/2006 1:03:58 AM | message detail
You know what match this reminds me of? <____<
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Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism.
FOREVER INFERIOR TO HARMONICA.
ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 1:06:39 AM | message detail
I would like to think that Dante will win this but I don't have any real confidence in him.

If you look at the gains Dante is making, it isn't because he's doing any better, it's because Yoshi is tailing off. I personally think Dante will build a lead, not dissimilar to Jill's and then Yoshi will start eating into it again. It'll be close like that match too, probably not as close, but close nonetheless.


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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
MyworldisSmurf | Posted 10/23/2006 1:08:39 AM | message detail
Whenever a character builds a sizeable lead in the early stages, they always go on to win it. Even if they lose the lead for a while.

The only exception I can think to this is Knuckles v Magus.
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ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/23/2006 1:11:20 AM | message detail
What's there to talk about? We've seen this pattern plenty of times before and we know how it's going to end. Dante would need a miracle to win this, and he hasn't gotten it so far so, again, what is there to talk about?
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ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/23/2006 1:13:02 AM | message detail
We need someone to be overly delusional about the result or some claims of vote stuffing or something along those lines for us to discuss. So far it doesn't look too promising.

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Contest Score: 47/50 Todays Pick: Dante
Super Luigi | Posted 10/23/2006 1:16:37 AM | message detail
That was a pretty damn big gain right there for Dante....
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YoAriel33 | Posted 10/23/2006 1:19:47 AM | message detail
Looks like Dante will have the lead for a good three hours or more. Not what I was hoping for, but my confidence in Yoshi is higher than it was, say, a day ago.
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Vergil Sparda | Posted 10/23/2006 1:21:15 AM | message detail
Struggling with a cute and cuddly green dinosaur. Pathetic, Dante.
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voltch | Posted 10/23/2006 1:24:49 AM | message detail
this better not be another MC/DK.

once dante gets the lead he shouldn't drop dead to a dinosaur.
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rpgapzx | Posted 10/23/2006 1:30:57 AM | message detail
SC2K6 is panning out to be one of the top few contests already and we're only in the 2nd round. This round 2 has been way better than the supposed Gauntlet of yesteryear.

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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:07:51 AM | message detail
Meh, pre-contest the gauntlet was alright. The Nintendo boost ruined everything.

And woo go Yoshi! I was expecting to take up and find him losing convincingly. ^_^
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transience | Posted 10/23/2006 2:15:33 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
fatcat21 | Posted 10/23/2006 2:20:25 AM | message detail
seriously what can yoshi do that would beat dante? yoshi does not eat meat! what's he going to do lick him!?
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:20:33 AM | message detail
Trust me to kill the stats topic during a close match !!
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AC2K6 Score: 48/50 Today: Yoshi
Xuxon | Posted 10/23/2006 2:23:23 AM | message detail
...or the fact that it's 5 ****ing 20 AM. Notice the 37 minute gap before your post.
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AmazingKirby | Posted 10/23/2006 2:23:45 AM | message detail
o wtf dante

I knew this would happen! I blame Yoshi's clear picture advantage!
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Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/23/2006 2:24:11 AM | message detail
Dante has about 100 votes to go through and then he takes the lead and holds it till the morning vote. Then well see if he can fight Yoshi off...

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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:25:56 AM | message detail
...or the fact that it's 5 ****ing 20 AM. Notice the 37 minute gap before your post.

lolz *finger on lips*

Yoshi has to win now. DON'T SUCK, YOSHI!
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:26:22 AM | message detail
Oh by the way, when does the morning vote start?
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Xuxon | Posted 10/23/2006 2:33:02 AM | message detail
Bout an hour from now.
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Take off every sig.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/23/2006 2:35:07 AM | message detail
All right, so Yoshi can murder Dante's lead then
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GavHarrison316 | Posted 10/23/2006 2:36:09 AM | message detail
>_>
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