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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 401

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2006 6:04:16 PM | message detail
3 hours until uh.... maybe a huge upset? hopefully? <_<



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19



*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/



*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html



*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm



*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php



*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 25/Top 10 Lists:
http://www.rpgdl.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=3251

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games (down for now, so here's a new link):
http://transience.paragonsigma.com/top100.txt



!worrapS kcaJ niatpaC thguac tsomla uoy taht yad eht sa siht rebmemer syawla lliw uoY
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 6:15:28 PM | message detail
Dream on, Ulti. You and me both.
---
*kills self
Commit it to memory.
Redtooth | Posted 10/22/2006 6:17:23 PM | message detail
I still don't get it...would Dante be the upset or Yoshi?

I've gotten so many mixed signals about that match I can't even tell who I want to win anymore <_>

---
Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
The_Dealer_7 | Posted 10/22/2006 6:17:36 PM | message detail
Who couldn't vote for Yoshi? ^_^

---
The line between _______ and _______ shall remain nameless.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/22/2006 6:19:21 PM | message detail
I don't see how it will be a huge upset no matter who wins.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2006 6:19:24 PM | message detail
From Karma Hunter Posted 10/22/2006 9:15:28 PM #002
Dream on, Ulti. You and me both.

*sigh*

I went with fanboyism. I love Yoshi. I hate Dante. Oh well.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX, FFL2
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 6:19:38 PM | message detail
Dante is the Guru/Casual favorite. Yoshi is the BOP favorite...but the BOP didn't get as many signups this year, so I use the Guru in terms of board representation. Dante has been more impressive and totally trashed Hayabusa, Yoshi struggled with Riku.

This is Yoshi's first real test, and while he still has a shot I've lost all faith in it.
---
*kills self
Commit it to memory.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 6:20:27 PM | message detail
Oh, but yeah, not a 'huge' upset no matter who wins. This was one of the most debated matches here. It'll be like Vincent > Ganondorf if Yoshi wins.
---
*kills self
Commit it to memory.
EvenMyROgetsB7 | Posted 10/22/2006 6:34:49 PM | message detail
I always feared Vincent > Ganon a lot more than Yoshi > Dante, not that, that means it automatically can't happen. It would just be an actual upset in my eyes, Vincent had the right to be the favorite in Ganon/Vincent.

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I'm so hardcore.
Big Bob | Posted 10/22/2006 6:37:19 PM | message detail
I'm going to abstain this match until a winner is determined. If it's close, I'm voting Dante. If not, I'm voting Yoshi.

Damn me for picking against my personal preferences..
---
Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:32:53 PM | message detail
In before the rush.
---
CB5 Points: 47/50, Current Oracle placement: 26/165
Now playing: Okami
DpObliVion | Posted 10/22/2006 9:33:12 PM | message detail
So, is this lead going to hold?

---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Sir Auron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:33:19 PM | message detail
Yoshi out to a 448 lead there! He's looking quite good.

Peach's highest lead, for the record, was 458 at the 40 minute update.

---
The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
ff6man | Posted 10/22/2006 9:33:31 PM | message detail
I hope not for the sake of my bracket. >_<
---
CB2006 Score: 47/50 points
Today's Match: Yoshi Vs. Dante
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2006 9:33:31 PM | message detail
<3 Yoshi.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:33:36 PM | message detail
Dante will go 50/50 within 15 minutes, and start cutting the lead sporadically at 1:20

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:33:40 PM | message detail
it probably will. I wouldn't call it a lock though.
---
xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:01 PM | message detail
And how are the votals looking?

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Draco1214 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:06 PM | message detail
Come on, Dante...
---
Character Battle V Score - 45/50 points
Current Prediction - Yoshi vs. Dante
CyberMachine08 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:07 PM | message detail
what ever yoshi es dum green dinosaur

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I thought lolicon would mean LOL ICON as in Lol internet - XIII is cool
*is raytan7585* in the Purg'D Prison (38 days left)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:13 PM | message detail
I say Yoshi holds onto it. Dante is so screwed!
---
CB5 Points: 47/50, Current Oracle placement: 26/165
Now playing: Okami
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:15 PM | message detail
The 200,000th stat topic post was the best one of all time.
---
~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
SHINE GET 64 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:28 PM | message detail
yoshi is going ALL THE WAY
---
Cardinals vs. Tigers - World Series - 1-1
Prediction - Tigers in 6
falcofan88 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:40 PM | message detail
*has a hangover from party in 400*
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This week's motto: Don't slack off - the wife and the heavens are watching!
wavedash101 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:47 PM | message detail
Yoshi has just gotta get 30 melons and he wins...
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
NClark128 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:34:59 PM | message detail
From last topic:
I say Dante cuts the lead within the next ten minutes.

An awfully short amount of time to go from losing 50 votes per update to gaining votes... not that it can't happen, though.
---
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 4-3 - Last: lost to Texas A&M 34-33 (OT) - Next: vs. Nebraska (10/28)
DpObliVion | Posted 10/22/2006 9:35:34 PM | message detail
I don't think I can take another Peach/Jill type match again already, I hope Yoshi pulls away with this. Don't look back, Yoshi!

472 vote lead.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
Janus5000 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:35:40 PM | message detail
Yoshi appears to be slowing down.
---
"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:35:41 PM | message detail
this match is amazingly stable so far... not a single update that's more than a percent or so off.

*reloads*

Dante with his best one yet! still not enough, though...
---
xyzzy
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/22/2006 9:35:43 PM | message detail
Only a gain of 24 that time.
---
"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:35:47 PM | message detail
Not much of a gain there.
---
"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
ff6man | Posted 10/22/2006 9:35:51 PM | message detail
24 vote increase...c'mon Dante bring it back!
---
CB2006 Score: 47/50 points
Today's Match: Yoshi Vs. Dante
Sir Auron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:35:54 PM | message detail
Yoshi got 51.54% of the update that time, but extended his lead out to 478, which is higher than Peach ever had!!

---
The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:36:05 PM | message detail
Smaller gain there, but a gain nevertheless.
---
CB5 Points: 47/50, Current Oracle placement: 26/165
Now playing: Okami
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:36:08 PM | message detail
Come on Dante, this is just SILLY.
---
CB06 - Score: 46/50 Rank: Tied - 647th Yesterday's Pick: Snake
Today's Pick: Yoshi Tomorrow's Pick: Sora Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:36:13 PM | message detail
Hopefully Dante starts cutting in the next 10 minutes.
---
~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
NClark128 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:36:16 PM | message detail
And of course, as soon as I say that, Yoshi's gain per update is cut in half >_>
---
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 4-3 - Last: lost to Texas A&M 34-33 (OT) - Next: vs. Nebraska (10/28)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:37:11 PM | message detail
Dante gains one of the next 4 updates by a small margin

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:38:09 PM | message detail
SecksThaNemesis
Posted 10/23/2006 12:32:53 AM
message detail
#500 Sephiroth is the best video game character of all time.


That's right. Bear witness. 200,000th stats topic post of greatness!
---
~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:39:35 PM | message detail
So either Yoshi really was a hidden bastion of strength all this time, or Hayabusa (and Zero and Vincent) were much weaker than we thought.

After Squall/Vince/Dante impressed in round 1, I figured the DD = overrated argument would be buried.

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:40:32 PM | message detail
21

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 9:40:42 PM | message detail
If this were to amazingly turn out like another Peach/Jill, it would be so amazing. Two characters that people actually, y'know, care about in a close one? Wow!

I have a feeling Yoshi's not going to be in that much danger, though (he might lose the lead, however...).
---
*kills self
Commit it to memory.
DpObliVion | Posted 10/22/2006 9:40:55 PM | message detail
Up to 493. He should break 500 next update, that will be a nice start.

---
Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
NEW YORK METS: 2006 NL EASTERN DIVISION CHAMPS
BDawg | Posted 10/22/2006 9:40:55 PM | message detail
Looks like Dante wants to have a crazy party. Man he's such a tool.
---
Should I start running now?
Sir Auron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:40:56 PM | message detail
There's no need to even think about bringing it back up. This match doesn't point to that at all...and it just started.


Yoshi out to 493!

---
The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:41:11 PM | message detail
Slowing down...
---
CB5 Points: 47/50, Current Oracle placement: 26/165
Now playing: Okami
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/22/2006 9:41:22 PM | message detail
If Yoshi's afterschool vote isn't a lot better than Peach's, he may end up in danger.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/22/2006 9:41:54 PM | message detail
Oh well, I'm out. Go Yoshi!

We can always further discuss the Female Villain Contest during the riveting Sora/Gordon match anyway.
---
Hispanics 1 | Whites 5
Asians 4 | Blacks 3
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/22/2006 9:42:00 PM | message detail
"#500 Sephiroth is the best video game character of all time."


Why though? Who the heck couldn't come up with such a cliche character design? OMG I'm so badass wiht my long silver hair and my goth makeup and my kitana lawlz.

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Can't think of a good sig.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2006 9:42:02 PM | message detail
After Squall/Vince/Dante impressed in round 1, I figured the DD = overrated argument would be buried.

You mean the devil division outside of Vincent. Vincent was legit, but he boosted mid-contest last year for obvious reasons.

~*ST*~
---
Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX, FFL2