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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 400

transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:18:29 PM | message detail
nothing points to Yoshi either. people assume Yoshi is good with the day vote because he's a Nintendo character. people who are good with the day vote don't lose 2-3% vs. someone else who is good with the day vote. Yoshi is probably average with it.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2006 9:18:32 PM | message detail
I would be very surprised if Dante won this now.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Sir Auron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:18:59 PM | message detail
I'd like everyone to stop bringing up the Nintendo Boost until there is decisive evidence of such a thing. <<

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:19:08 PM | message detail
From Yesmar Posted 10/23/2006 12:17:32 AM
I wouldn't be so sure that this is a second Nintendo Boost yet. We really have no idea where Yoshi stood last year.

When have we EVER had any idea where Yoshi stood?

Although this match looks both good and bad for Luigi <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/22/2006 9:19:19 PM | message detail
This doesn't have to point to a second Nintendo boost if Yoshi was, y'know, stronger than Luigi all along...
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*kills self
Commit it to memory.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:19:30 PM | message detail
It's not over yet, Dante still has the night vote to comeback and win.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:19:33 PM | message detail
It won't matter what happens with the day vote at this rate, tranny. Dante has absolutely sucked it up thusfar.
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~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:20:00 PM | message detail
yeah, I move that the words "Nintendo Boost" be abolished from this topic.
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:20:42 PM | message detail
From transience Posted 10/23/2006 12:18:29 AM
nothing points to Yoshi either. people assume Yoshi is good with the day vote because he's a Nintendo character. people who are good with the day vote don't lose 2-3% vs. someone else who is good with the day vote. Yoshi is probably average with it.

Tranny, shut up. You're arguing that Dante can stand up to freaking Yoshi in the day because Yoshi lost some percentage against a KH2 character?

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Janus5000 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:20:43 PM | message detail
COM-

Wait, nevermind, that was just Yoshi increasing his lead again. Carry on!
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:20:48 PM | message detail
346 for Yoshi.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Sir Auron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:03 PM | message detail
nothing points to Yoshi either. people assume Yoshi is good with the day vote because he's a Nintendo character. people who are good with the day vote don't lose 2-3% vs. someone else who is good with the day vote. Yoshi is probably average with it.

If Yoshi is average with it, Dante is terrible with it. Have you not seen the opponents he's lost the day vote to? He lost them far worse than Yoshi did against Riku, who by all means should rock the day vote.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:04 PM | message detail
And with regard to having overperformances on fodder...

Do you guys really think it means nothing at all? Tifa does it against Vyse and ranks a percent above Aeris. Luigi does it against KOS-MOS and ranks 6% above where he was before. Samus does it against Lara and Sam Fisher and goes on to break 40% on Cloud. Is it really just a coincidence that all of these characters who have "random" overperformances end up looking great?
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:08 PM | message detail
If Yoshi loses now I'll be surprised...

I expect Dante to eventually even it up, but then Yoshi will take the day vote and just run away with it.
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CB06 - Score: 46/50 Rank: Tied - 647th Yesterday's Pick: Snake
Today's Pick: Yoshi Tomorrow's Pick: Sora Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:13 PM | message detail
seriously, Yoshi's best time is the early vote here. the night vote is going to bring Dante back once the first hour or two wears off. is it going to be enough? well, I wouldn't bet on it, but I bet he does take the lead before morning.
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xyzzy
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:20 PM | message detail
Yoshi > Snake!
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CB5 Points: 47/50, Current Oracle placement: 26/165
Now playing: Okami
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:25 PM | message detail
From Sir Auron Posted 10/23/2006 12:18:59 AM
I'd like everyone to stop bringing up the Nintendo Boost until there is decisive evidence of such a thing. <<

Pffft, I was bringing it up before there was any evidence of it <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:33 PM | message detail
Assuming this holds (which I'm admittedly worried may not happen), this is impressive as all hell from Yoshi. NOTHING pointed to him winning this convincingly, and he was worse than Dante in the stats every year.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX, FFL2
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:21:44 PM | message detail
Not bad. Looks like this is the first truly debated match (Kairi/Claire, Vincent/Ganondorf, now this), that I'll have called correctly.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:22:14 PM | message detail
I think all the energy spent arguing about SFF could have been better used debunking the myth of a supposed second Nintendo boost! (oh wait it's been debunked already >_>)

I'm loathe to judge matches this quickly into them, but Dante's not looking too hot here!
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This was Ed Bellis.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:22:28 PM | message detail
From transience Posted 10/23/2006 12:21:13 AM
seriously, Yoshi's best time is the early vote here. the night vote is going to bring Dante back once the first hour or two wears off. is it going to be enough? well, I wouldn't bet on it, but I bet he does take the lead before morning.

I'd be surprised if he didn't. It will be interesting to see how the morning vote goes. Jill and Claire both did good with the "during school" vote, so perhaps Dante can gain until 3pm

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Redtooth | Posted 10/22/2006 9:23:13 PM | message detail
Not bad. Looks like this is the first truly debated match (Kairi/Claire, Vincent/Ganondorf, now this), that I'll have called correctly.

Add Zero/Luigi and it sounds like me!

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:23:32 PM | message detail
Have you not seen the opponents he's lost the day vote to?

no.. examples, please? looking back, he went even with Vincent, lost 1% to Ryu Hayabusa (xbox) and 1% to Sonic. compare that to Yoshi who just lost something like 2.5% to Riku (don't feel like looking) - how is Yoshi completely superior to Dante here?
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xyzzy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:23:51 PM | message detail
By the end of the hour, at this rate, Yoshi will be pushing 1000 votes. 1 am has usually been when the "first hour" vote wears off and the true night vote begins. Let's see what Dante can do with it.

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:24:03 PM | message detail
Damnit... =\ I wanted to hit the leaderboard before Kirby/Luigi. I was so sure that this match would do it...
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~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:24:14 PM | message detail
seriously, Yoshi's best time is the early vote here. the night vote is going to bring Dante back once the first hour or two wears off. is it going to be enough? well, I wouldn't bet on it, but I bet he does take the lead before morning.

It obviously depends just how long Yoshi keeps this 53% stuff going. As a yoshi fan, I'm very excited.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Sir Auron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:24:19 PM | message detail
Pffft, I was bringing it up before there was any evidence of it

We all, or at least a good portion of us, were pretty much thinking there would be another Nintendo Boost before the contest even started. It made sense after Nintendo's dominant E3 showing and LoZ winning in the Series Contest...but we don't need to cling to it desperately. It's apparent that there is not another big Nintendo boost this year. Certain characters look stronger and others don't exactly look so hot. It's fair to assume certain characters boosted and others didn't until we have evidence to prove otherwise.

There's little reason to constantly keep bringing up the Nintendo Boost as if it's clear that there is another.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/22/2006 9:24:30 PM | message detail
Yoshi > Snake!

Well, Yoshi does have some damn good sprites. I don't even think he has any crappy ones, since he debuted in the SNES era.

Of course, I still doubt Yoshi will win, but it's not a character contest without Snake having a very close match in the sprite round against a green animal, right?
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Hispanics 1 | Whites 5
Asians 4 | Blacks 3
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/22/2006 9:24:37 PM | message detail
Well I doubt Yoshi will run away with it in the day, Dante is hardly going to dominate either. They'll most likely go 50/50 meaning Dante needs to move now and instead Yoshi's walking all over him.
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Demyx > Axel
Z1mZum owned me in the Guru Contest with his mad skills!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:24:50 PM | message detail
By God.... if what tranny is doing now is what I've been doing to you guys this year, I'm truly and honestly sorry.

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2006 9:26:19 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be surprised to see Dante favor most of the day vote, it's the afterschool vote that'll kill him.

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/22/2006 9:26:42 PM | message detail
That lead gain was much less than the others. The beginnings of stall I hope, followed by a turnaround.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
transience | Posted 10/22/2006 9:26:54 PM | message detail
just for kicks, Peach was up 378 votes at 00:25 and ended up down 500 votes by noon. Yoshi's lead right now is 397.
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xyzzy
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:27:24 PM | message detail
While this match is nowhere near complete, it looks as though Dante can beat up fodder and near fodder with the best of em, but folds whenever he's up against decent competition.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:27:24 PM | message detail
ya what ever tranny
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CB5 Points: 47/50, Current Oracle placement: 26/165
Now playing: Okami
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:28:03 PM | message detail
Don't compare this to Peach/Jill; Jill's night vote is better than Dante's
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Who Cares? | Posted 10/22/2006 9:28:06 PM | message detail
Yeah, the match is looking about even with Jill/Peach thus far...just waiting to see if Dante will begin cutting in the next few updates.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Yuna (November 2nd)
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
wavedash101 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:28:11 PM | message detail
Hmmm is this just Yoshi underrated or did he boost from something...I mean YI 2 isnt even out yet and its not very hyped...
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Board 8's Unofficial Master of the Phoenix Down
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2006 9:28:27 PM | message detail
So...Yoshi=Vincent?

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:29:05 PM | message detail
While this match is nowhere near complete, it looks as though Dante can beat up fodder and near fodder with the best of em, but folds whenever he's up against decent competition.

Nah, even recognizing that it's still early, I don't think Dante falls under this category. He still did really well against Vincent.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:29:15 PM | message detail
I know why Yoshi is out to such a good start! The LUE vote >_> It could be true.
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CB06 - Score: 46/50 Rank: Tied - 647th Yesterday's Pick: Snake
Today's Pick: Yoshi Tomorrow's Pick: Sora Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:29:30 PM | message detail
From Adept of Aiur Posted 10/23/2006 12:26:42 AM
That lead gain was much less than the others. The beginnings of stall I hope, followed by a turnaround.

That was the result of both of them losing 50 votes that update. The votals are starting to trail off a bit. Dante doesn't do anything until it's closer to 1.

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2006 9:30:22 PM | message detail
From charmander6000 Posted 10/23/2006 12:28:03 AM
Don't compare this to Peach/Jill; Jill's night vote is better than Dante's

I expect this match to go EXACTLY like Peach/Jill, but I expect Yoshi to rock harder with the afterschool vote.

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2006 9:31:03 PM | message detail
Yoshi's gains may be smaller now, but a 50 vote gain is still huge.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/22/2006 9:32:02 PM | message detail
I say Dante cuts the lead within the next ten minutes.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Sir Auron | Posted 10/22/2006 9:32:22 PM | message detail
Yoshi out to a 448 lead there! He's looking quite good.

Peach's highest lead, for the record, was 458 at the 40 minute update.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
Aprosenf | Posted 10/22/2006 9:32:42 PM | message detail
http://yoshi.ytmnd.com/
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If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2006 9:32:43 PM | message detail
Yoshi>Snake

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Do you really need me to bring out the Ovaltine?-Stripey12isback on why hes a war hero.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:32:49 PM | message detail
Sephiroth is the best video game character of all time.
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~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/22/2006 9:32:53 PM | message detail
Sephiroth is the best video game character of all time.
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~*Ex-Tha*~
I live for this. You live for this. The whole world lives for this! Watch the World Series, on FOX!