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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 399

Redtooth | Posted 10/21/2006 9:13:12 PM | message detail
Vincent and Ganon maybe, but I'd never take Zelda>Squall, even with TP out.

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/21/2006 9:13:21 PM | message detail
If Snake can keep this up, I'll give him a realistic shot at Mega Man. And the trend of "massive overperformance - massive underperformance - massive overperformance" is holding up. At this rate, we can expect Yoshi/Dante to be a 50/50 affair while Sora breaks 70% on Gordon Freeman <_<

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2006 9:13:27 PM | message detail
Round 4 is usually sprite round though

It's been the sprite round ONCE. Know your history.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
RevolverAk47 | Posted 10/21/2006 9:13:31 PM | message detail
oh snap youre right.. then WOOT, go snake
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"A cornered fox is more dangerous than a jackal." - Gray Fox
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/21/2006 9:13:54 PM | message detail
*checks poll*


Thank god. I was afraid for a while that Square was up this year. Now all that needs to happen is for Sonic to crush Vincent, Aeris to lose, and Link to win the BR handily and I'll be a happy guy.

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Can't think of a good sig.
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/21/2006 9:14:03 PM | message detail
My bad. This Snake>MM hype must be making me oozie with sickness. What is the damn appeal behind him.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/21/2006 9:14:23 PM | message detail
Ganon and Zelda wouldn't beat Squall, I think. With Vincent, it'd be terribly close, again.

I said next year, and I think they both would beat him. It's not like Ganon and Zelda are far from Squall at all. They're practically equal, or they would be practically equal, this year unless Vincent does go and beat Sonic. TP is more than capable of boosting them enough to beat Squall, who I don't think is the strongest non-Noble Nine character by any means. That spot goes to Vincent.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/21/2006 9:14:25 PM | message detail
Square is up.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2006 9:14:46 PM | message detail
Thank god. I was afraid for a while that Square was up this year.

Let's completely ignore the SFF and agree with this!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/21/2006 9:14:48 PM | message detail
Oh, and I still take Squall over every non-Noble. Make no mistake about that, he's going to snake-bite a ton of folks next time around.

I'd still take Bowser and probably Zelda, too.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
Who Cares? | Posted 10/21/2006 9:15:21 PM | message detail
The Elite Eight being the sprite round last year was an oddity, actually. I'm hoping it stays that way.

Didn't somebody suggest the reason for that was because of Master Chief making it to Round 3? Makes sense to me at least.
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Yuna (November 2nd)
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/21/2006 9:15:37 PM | message detail
*sighs*

The board sucks on days when Squall loses.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Ed Bellis | Posted 10/21/2006 9:15:47 PM | message detail
Assuming the trends right now hold for the rest of the match (LOL FIRST FIFTEEN MINUTES), I don't think it takes away from the fact that Square's been damn impressive thus far. There are other mitigating factors going into this match that shouldn't take away from that. (Besides, it's likely Snake boosted as well.)
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This was Ed Bellis.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/21/2006 9:15:50 PM | message detail
And to take that trend further, Sonic will outperform Crono on Vincent while Crono will make Bowser look like a midcarder.

lol xstats

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/21/2006 9:16:12 PM | message detail
LOL @ Dante doing worse than Squall next round. Not happening!
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caps
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/21/2006 9:16:15 PM | message detail
My bad. This Snake>MM hype must be making me oozie with sickness. What is the damn appeal behind him.

He's "badass" I guess. I've played through both mgs1 and 2 and don't really see much appeal either, but he's definitely more tolerable to have in the noble nine then cloud and sephiroth. Of course other noble niners that I happen to like, such as link and crono have pretty much zero personality, but meh.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/21/2006 9:16:21 PM | message detail
Well see. As long as Sonic doesn't lose and Cloud doesn't win...

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Can't think of a good sig.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2006 9:16:26 PM | message detail
Didn't somebody suggest the reason for that was because of Master Chief making it to Round 3? Makes sense to me at least.

HOPEFULLY I WILL BE A GENIUS
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/21/2006 9:16:58 PM | message detail
Awww, big decrease there =(

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/21/2006 9:17:03 PM | message detail
HEY GUYS SNAKE/SQUALL SFF NEVER HAPPENED, KHF EXISTS !!

>_>
<_<

HAW HAW KH.

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Portugal. The Man
Cheer Up Emo Kids
Master Moltar | Posted 10/21/2006 9:17:30 PM | message detail
...If Snake can do this to Squall, Dante is screwed next round.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Snake vs. Squall - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (44/48)
Just Some Person | Posted 10/21/2006 9:18:08 PM | message detail
In other news, brackets got utterly pwnt in the Chun Li/Lara Croft results.

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If you hate Final Fantasy Mystic Quest, then you no longer exist to me. >_>
Redtooth | Posted 10/21/2006 9:18:11 PM | message detail
Moltar, you mean Yoshi is screwed.

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 10/21/2006 9:18:25 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
45-----31-------51.6129032
44-----289------68.1660900
43-----764------61.1256545
42-----1506-----52.1912351
41-----2230-----44.9327354
40-----2941-----38.9663380
39-----3472-----34.6774194
38-----3512-----35.1936219
37-----3413-----32.9036039
36-----3200-----33.0937500
35-----2988-----31.1914324
34-----2694-----29.4729027
33-----2481-----28.0128980
32-----2305-----28.7635575
31-----1941-----27.5115920
30-----1664-----28.7259615
29-----1484-----26.4824798
28-----1251-----24.3005596
27-----998------26.7535070
26-----862------26.5661253
25-----674------22.1068249
24-----496------25.8064516
23-----396------25.0000000
22-----255------27.8431373
21-----181------30.3867403
20-----121------27.2727273
19-----70-------21.4285714
18-----45-------31.1111111
17-----38-------23.6842105
16-----26-------42.3076923
15-----15-------26.6666667
14-----9--------33.3333333
13-----5--------20.0000000
12-----4--------50.0000000
11-----10-------30.0000000
10-----5--------40.0000000
9------9--------44.4444444
8------18-------5.5555556
7------36-------2.7777778

Everybody with a score of 6 or lower got the match wrong.
Overall prediction percentage: 33.13%

What happened here? This match was obvious wasn't it? In the lastest BOP, 88 out of 90 or 97.78% of the participants had Chun-Li winning. The -1s barely crack 50 and do worse than the -2s, -3s and -4s. The -2s actually did well with a near 70 prediction percentage. Other than those four groups and the group of people with a score fo 12, no other group broke 50.

21 people fell off the Top 50 today. JimRune, Aziz_S, makemeking706, Shayersat8, madmanarcher, gatorman86, gamewinner_3000, Pepsi_Princess, Jusenkyo, Sevotathe, Armour_Yoshi, GauRocks, muffin_hat, Xtremeblur, FAHtastic, eddiebumpo, talonx66, Bender_X, KingofSweden, AGFan and former #1 ShadowAvatar87 did not have Chun-Li winning the match today.
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I got pwnt by Z1mZum in the July 2006 Guru Contest.
Support Toadette for the Summer 2006 Contest!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2006 9:18:35 PM | message detail
HEY GUYS SNAKE/SQUALL SFF NEVER HAPPENED, KHF EXISTS !!

>_>
<_<

HAW HAW KH.


Someone forgot I was one of the main proponents of Snake/Squall SFF. It's in my analysis!
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/21/2006 9:18:38 PM | message detail
Bold Prediction: Should Dante beat Yoshi, Snake will beat him even harder into the ground while Mega Man will seem to struggle with Sora

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/21/2006 9:18:49 PM | message detail
Watch, after this round Snake only beats Yoshi by like 55/45 or something.
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/21/2006 9:19:06 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Master Moltar | Posted 10/21/2006 9:19:17 PM | message detail
Moltar, you mean Yoshi is screwed.

Nope, I don't see anything wrong with my post!!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Snake vs. Squall - Bracket: Snake - Vote: Snake (44/48)
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/21/2006 9:19:28 PM | message detail
...This isn't the way I wanted to validate my "Snake overperformed on Squall in 2002" theory (Yes, I was the first to propose it!).
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/21/2006 9:19:35 PM | message detail
darn you moltar!

TuRtLe
~~~
43/48 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2006 9:20:04 PM | message detail
Snake got 56% of the votes that time. Drop some more plz?

Huh? I read 59%.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/21/2006 9:20:15 PM | message detail
Round 3 won't be the sprite round, there's too many characters that don't have sprites like Rikku, Tifa, Aeris, Yuna, Dante (if he makes it), Sora and Auron.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/21/2006 9:20:26 PM | message detail
....

Snake/Squall SFF? Someone explain to me this SFF, please.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/21/2006 9:20:30 PM | message detail
If snake can actually stay at this level through the whole match, either the devil division is overrated after all, or snake shares some sort of sff with playstation square characters as seen last year in his match with sora. I'd be morei nclined to believe the ladder, since the devil division being overrated would leave the other devil divisioners first round performances with a hell of a lot of explaining to do.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/21/2006 9:20:52 PM | message detail
At this point, Dante is better off not beating Yoshi. Snake will completely maul him.
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/21/2006 9:20:58 PM | message detail
Huh? I read 59%.

Yeah. I read the stats wrong. >.>
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/21/2006 9:21:13 PM | message detail
Sora and Aeris have sprites. Chain of Memories!

Besides, it didn't stop him before from using polygons of Auron and those like him.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Super Luigi | Posted 10/21/2006 9:21:23 PM | message detail
lol @ people who thought Squall had a chance to beat Snake. Why do people pick on Snake every year? I mean, In the past we have had quite a few people boneheaded enough to think Zelda,Zero,Magus,Sora and now Squall to beat Snake.


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Currently playing : Splinter Cell DA(Xbox 360), NBA 2K7(Xbox 360), NHL 07(Xbox 360).
XBL GT - SuPeR MiKe 86
Redtooth | Posted 10/21/2006 9:21:25 PM | message detail
Just to screw with us, Gordon Freeman will be the one to break the N9.

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Z1mZum>Redtooth
Nice list, I counted twenty that would be in my top ten - BlondeAfroHero7
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/21/2006 9:21:34 PM | message detail
"Snake/Squall SFF? Someone explain to me this SFF, please."


Any match result that can't be explained with either a game that just came out or a game about to be out is SFF. Duh. >_>


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Can't think of a good sig.
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/21/2006 9:21:45 PM | message detail
Snake/Squall SFF? Someone explain to me this SFF, please.

Looking at what snake did to sora last year, it could be possible. I'm not putting much weight in it at this point, but I remember it being brought up a lot last year, and it might have some validity, however unlikely it may be.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/21/2006 9:22:32 PM | message detail
"He actually wouldn't at all, but okay."

Oh, Mr. Perfect(ly crazy) has a dead read on the KH2 boost now. And apparently it's worth noticably less than AC and DoC. Why don't I believe that?

Oh yeah, 2k3.
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If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot.
If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it.
Cavalier Lowen | Posted 10/21/2006 9:22:37 PM | message detail
Mario 59.31% 57,494
Squall 40.69% 39,451
TOTAL VOTES 96,945

(2k5 xstats). This would be the reason for Snake/Squall SFF Soul. Snake is not that close to Mario (or above him if Squall doesn't bring it down).
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Z1mZum owned me in the guru contest (by two points!). Damn you Z1mZum!
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/21/2006 9:22:40 PM | message detail
Round 3 won't be the sprite round, there's too many characters that don't have sprites like Rikku, Tifa, Aeris, Yuna, Dante (if he makes it), Sora and Auron.

Aeris and Sora have sprites courtesty of CoM. Auron and Dante have had their polygon used in the sprite round once before, and I'd expect that to be the same fix for Rikku and Aeris.

Though if Dante gets Viewtiful Dante against Snake...good gravy.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/21/2006 9:22:41 PM | message detail

Any match result that can't be explained with either a game that just came out or a game about to be out is SFF. Duh. >_>


Ah. I see.
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Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/21/2006 9:23:25 PM | message detail
Ya know, considering this is probably an SFF-match (we've seen Squall's jump in 2k3, FF7/MGS, Sephiroth/Liquid, Solid/Sora, MGS's performance in the Top Ten, and now today...just adds up, is all), I find it weird that -- even for the board vote -- Squall's not doing better right now. Between their match in 2k2 and today, here's three things that have gone in Squall's favor:

--KH, KH:CoM, and KH2 have been released since then, while Solid has a MGS2 port, MGS3 (which has spoilers that might be worth detracting from this), and SSB/MGS4 hype.
--Instead of it being a 2/15-seed match, it's now a 1/4-seed match.
--Solid now has a picture less people are familiar with. It's not bad at all, but it's from a game nobody's ever played...ever, yet, with him looking much older.

Yet despite that, Solid is still stomping that ass hardcore. Squall's goin' to make this look a good deal more respectable, but considering the gains he made indirectly on Solid and how this "shared fanbase" has had much more of Squall lately than Solid, I figured that this would make a bigger difference than it's doing. I guess in SFF matches, it's so much harder to make a voter change his mind for the other character? Would that be a fair thing to say?
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http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/
Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Adam Sandler (#1)
dragoontheguy | Posted 10/21/2006 9:23:43 PM | message detail
Any match result that can't be explained with either a game that just came out or a game about to be out is SFF. Duh. >_>

But this would be two matches in two years where snake has made a playstation square character that we've seen in action before look pathetic. It might be a bit more then a coincidence is all I'm saying.
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When D... I'd be able to finish this sig if Z1mZum didn't own me so hard in the guru contest. Congrats on your victory!
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/21/2006 9:23:48 PM | message detail
Snake/Squall SFF? Someone explain to me this SFF, please.

*points to FFVII/MGS, Sephiroth/Liquid, and Snake/Sora*

For some reason, MGS and FF-related things (for all intents and purposes, you might as well consider Sora among that group) have odd performances.

But if this is Snake being legitimate, he's beating the guy who beat Knuckles with a performance he'd normally put up on Knuckles.

In other words, watch out, Mega Man!
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2006 9:23:53 PM | message detail
From Super Luigi Posted 10/22/2006 12:21:23 AM #289
lol @ people who thought Squall had a chance to beat Snake. Why do people pick on Snake every year? I mean, In the past we have had quite a few people boneheaded enough to think Zelda,Zero,Magus,Sora and now Squall to beat Snake.

It's desperation to see the Noble Nine break.

Now on that note, MEGA MAN needs to be the one that people start picking on. barring SSBB, I can't ever see him increasing again.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI, MMZX