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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 398

charmander6000 | Posted 10/20/2006 9:03:56 PM | message detail
The bracket vote would favor Chun-Li over Lara. <<

Overall I would think Lara has more bracket support.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2006 9:04:05 PM | message detail
I think it'll be safe to say Lara will end up above her 2k4 value though, which is nice.

...we still need to never see her again.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:04:16 PM | message detail
The bracket vote would favor Chun-Li over Lara. <<

...On the board, maybe. Overall, I'd expect Lara to be the favorite. Only 73.87% had Chun-Li beating Kasumi, for goodness sake.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Master Moltar | Posted 10/20/2006 9:04:29 PM | message detail
The bracket vote would favor Chun-Li over Lara. <<

Lara's the bracket favorite for sure. Hell, Chun didn't even get 75% of the brackets against Kasumi, and Lara's like, 10 times more mainstream!
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Chun-Li vs. Lara - Bracket: Chun-Li - Vote: Chun-Li (42/46)
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/20/2006 9:05:00 PM | message detail
I meant the board bracket vote.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/20/2006 9:05:28 PM | message detail
not much of a change in %
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Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/20/2006 9:05:41 PM | message detail
Chun Li 59.42% 716
Lara Croft 40.58% 489
TOTAL VOTES 1205


Nice to see this under 60% at the freeze.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
Gaddswell | Posted 10/20/2006 9:05:44 PM | message detail
And at the freeze:

Chun Li 59.42% 716
Lara Croft 40.58% 489
TOTAL VOTES 1205
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:06:15 PM | message detail
There's nothing nice about it. Chun-Li should be pulling a quadrupling at the very least, in an ideal world.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Master Moltar | Posted 10/20/2006 9:06:25 PM | message detail
But yeah, this will most likely end under 60%, unless Chun-Li explodes overnight or something.
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Moltar Status: Feeling good and hot-blooded.
Chun-Li vs. Lara - Bracket: Chun-Li - Vote: Chun-Li (42/46)
charmander6000 | Posted 10/20/2006 9:06:29 PM | message detail
Lara still holds on to over 40%
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2006 9:06:32 PM | message detail
Only 60%? Chunners, you disappoint me

TuRtLe
~~~
35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/20/2006 9:07:32 PM | message detail
There's nothing nice about it. Chun-Li should be pulling a quadrupling at the very least, in an ideal world.

It's all about getting Crew points!

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:08:15 PM | message detail
Only 60%? Chunners, you disappoint me

Coming from somebody who hailed this as a potential Magus/Knuckles, you need to shut up. You called Jill "disappointing" for going even with Peach even though you had Peach with 53-54% there.

In other words, just shut up.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2006 9:09:15 PM | message detail
Emphasis on potential.

Chun-Li getting only 60% at the first freeze tells me this is going to end well under 60.

Or have you forgotten Board 8's burning hatred for mainstream stuff?

TuRtLe
~~~
35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/20/2006 9:10:08 PM | message detail
I actually thought that Dante looked pretty awesome in that picture. It's perhaps his best picture yet.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:10:31 PM | message detail
Emphasis on potential.

And Chun-Li is ruining all potential of that, so just shut up about saying this is disappointing.

Chun-Li getting only 60% at the first freeze tells me this is going to end well under 60.

Or have you forgotten Board 8's burning hatred for mainstream stuff?


Yeah, which is why the only time MC led Sub-Zero was during the board vote.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
The_Ocelot | Posted 10/20/2006 9:10:55 PM | message detail
over 60%
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Xbox Live Gamertag: PhoenyX101
mmmApplesauce | Posted 10/20/2006 9:10:57 PM | message detail
There will never be a day as great as the day when BT hurls himself upon a rusty dagger.

*actually leaves*

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I love bananas.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/20/2006 9:11:13 PM | message detail
STATS FIGHT
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CB5 Points: 43/46, Current Oracle placement: 29/165
Now playing: Okami
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2006 9:11:53 PM | message detail
Yeah, that Link always does horribly with the board vote!

Not much of a percentage change. And given how small my faith in Lara's day vote is given how little she gained against Alyx Vance in the day, I'm not holding my breath for any massive percentage shifts.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2006 9:12:27 PM | message detail
Yeah, which is why the only time MC led Sub-Zero was during the board vote.

Brackets?

TuRtLe
~~~
35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:12:45 PM | message detail
Which Lara would have the advantage in right now. What a coincidence!
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2006 9:13:22 PM | message detail
So Lara is the board 8 bracket favourite?

News to me.

TuRtLe
~~~
35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2006 9:13:35 PM | message detail
Brackets?

The board ALWAYS bracket votes. In that sense, since 99% of people here have Chun-Li and the fact that Chun-Li actually went up after the board vote is a bit telling.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:14:34 PM | message detail
So Lara is the board 8 bracket favourite?

News to me.


Huzzah for overestimating how much Board 8 actually influences the poll!
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2006 9:15:30 PM | message detail
In the first 10 minutes, about 2000 votes were cast. I'm willing to bet at least 500 of those are contest regulars.

TuRtLe
~~~
35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/20/2006 9:15:39 PM | message detail
Not much of a percentage change. And given how small my faith in Lara's day vote is given how little she gained against Alyx Vance in the day, I'm not holding my breath for any massive percentage shifts.

Well, Gordon had a pretty good shift against Phoenix, so it's not as though HL2 is horrible with the day vote. Still, Chun Li should do some very nice gaining with the night vote, and almost certainly end above where she's at now.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2006 9:16:24 PM | message detail
I'm not holding my breath for a close match, but I cannot see this staying over 58%

TuRtLe
~~~
35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:18:42 PM | message detail
Well, Gordon had a pretty good shift against Phoenix,

All things considered, you wouldn't expect Phoenix to have much of a day vote.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Who Cares? | Posted 10/20/2006 9:23:12 PM | message detail
Unless Lara has a monster day vote, Chun will likely grab like 2% during the night, lose it in the morning, and then cruise to about where she is now. Would've liked to see her dominate, but this is good enough I suppose...
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: Currently giving Croft a Kikoken to the face!
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:24:03 PM | message detail
Not good enough, considering your sig...
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2006 9:24:39 PM | message detail
Yeah, I don't expect Lara to do much with the day. I do expect Street Fighter to fold a bit in the morning, so this probably won't end up above 60%, but I wouldn't count on it being closer to 55%.

GOD I HATE THIS MATCH
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
Big Bob | Posted 10/20/2006 9:25:38 PM | message detail
Yoshi/Dante has been a pain for me ever since this bracket was released. It was the only match I made a change on, and if Dante doesn't win I'm eliminated from the Guru contest.

But I've never even played DMC3, and Yoshi is one of my favorite characters. Who am I going to vote for? ;_;
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Gordon Freeman finally won, but somehow, the universe survived... thus allowing me to tell said universe about how I was owned by NClark128.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/20/2006 9:26:01 PM | message detail
Is there any particular reason why SF does terrible with the morning vote?

It's something I've never really understood.

TuRtLe
~~~
35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2006 9:27:18 PM | message detail
I have Yoshi in my bracket, but honestly I hope Dante beats the ever-loving piss out of him. Yoshi doesn't deserve to win crap here. He didn't deserve to beat Riku, much less Luigi.

And I'd be shocked if Dante didn't win at this point. Yoshi will need a second Nintendo boost in my mind to win there.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/20/2006 9:27:51 PM | message detail
He didn't deserve to beat Riku,

Oh yeah. Yeah, he did.

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2006 9:28:46 PM | message detail
Dark Aura > Link
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
MyWorldIsZelda | Posted 10/20/2006 9:29:33 PM | message detail
My brain is not allowed to process lies like that!

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The Master Sword is the most sought-after blade in Hyrule. He who wields it carries with him the hope of the kingdom.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/20/2006 9:29:47 PM | message detail
Riku and Yoshi are both terrible characters.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:30:21 PM | message detail
Meh, why does it matter what causes SF to have a bad day vote? All that matters is that it does.

Chun-Li gained percentage against Bowser until around...7:20 A.M. EST, and dropped until 2:40 P.M. EST, where she proceeded to gain until the end of the match.

Chun-Li slowly dropped after the board vote against Kasumi until pretty much the end of the match except for a brief surge in the 1 P.M. to 3 P.M. EST range.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/20/2006 9:30:28 PM | message detail
Dante should be the favorite in that match. I really don't understand why he's not on this board.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
MegaReincarnate | Posted 10/20/2006 9:31:14 PM | message detail
Well, that was an exciting match.

At least we get another 23.5 hours to further discuss the merits of a Female Villain Contest!
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Hispanics 1 | Whites 5
Asians 4 | Blacks 3
Gaddswell | Posted 10/20/2006 9:31:24 PM | message detail
But I've never even played DMC3, and Yoshi is one of my favorite characters. Who am I going to vote for? ;_;

I have Dante in my bracket, but Yoshi is my favourite Mario character... At the way things are looking, Dante's going to win the match, so we should vote Yoshi.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/20/2006 9:31:32 PM | message detail
Dante is the favorite in the Guru, just not the BOP. Likely due to not as many people signing up for the BOP for whatever reason.
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*kills self*
Commit it to memory.
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/20/2006 9:32:37 PM | message detail
Chun Li 60.14% 3333

Awesome!
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The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD
Coming October 3, 2006
Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/20/2006 9:33:31 PM | message detail
Oh, and bracket-voting is the lamest thing ever, just so you know. I never consider my bracket when voting, even when I'm completely apathetic to both characters. Always vote for your favorite.
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99% of people just make up statistics on the spot. If you are part of the 1%, post this in your sig
Adept of Aiur | Posted 10/20/2006 9:34:01 PM | message detail
Dante is the favorite in the Guru, just not the BOP. Likely due to not as many people signing up for the BOP for whatever reason.

Maybe. I still don't understand why the BOP was so unpopular this year. Yeah, I'm not Slowflake. Still...
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:34:33 PM | message detail
Assuming Chun-Li finishes with around 60% of the vote, here's what the female stats will look like through round 2:

Samus Aran – 41.69%
Princess Zelda – 33.71%
Tifa Lockhart – 33.57%
Aeris Gainsborough – 32.81%
Rikku – 26.55%
Yuna – 26.10%
KOS-MOS – 25.17%
Chun-Li – 24.92%
Princess Peach – 23.75%
Jill Valentine – 23.74%
Kairi – 22.15%
Claire Redfield – 21.23%
Lara Croft – 19.94%
Marle – 19.83%
Sheena Fujibayashi – 18.03%
Amy Rose – 17.40%
The Boss – 17.09%
Ada Wong – 16.86%
Amy Rose – 16.70%
Ivy Valentine – 15.99%
Kasumi – 15.58%
Nidoran F – 15.13%
Terra Branford – 13.85%
Celes Chere – 13.30%
Lenneth Valkyrie – 13.28%
Joanna Dark – 11.46%
Sarah Kerrigan – 11.45%
Roll – 10.81%
Carmen Sandiego – 9.38%
Cortana – 9.11%
Alyx Vance – 8.95%
Jade – 8.13%
Princess Daisy – 8.03%
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake
SquallidSnake | Posted 10/20/2006 9:35:21 PM | message detail
I never consider my bracket when voting, even when I'm completely apathetic to both characters. Always vote for your favorite.

So...you just abstain when you're completely apathetic? Because that's generally when I bracket vote.
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Some stories can't be told by words. Some legends are meant to die.
October 22 - Internal war rages between the Squallid and the Snake