GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 395
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/17/2006 11:10:23 PM | message detail |
| Hm. It does appear as though Zelda is taking a bit
of a slip here during the night, at least at a quicker pace than I was
anticipating. This shouldn't have any problems ending well above 75%,
but I'm not sure about 80%. Come on, Zelda, rock the day vote! --- "Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!" |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2006 11:11:53 PM | message detail |
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And I just realized that our 1 month sig bet ended at midnight. Finally, I can rid myself of this lame, overused phrase. TuRtLe ~~~ I used my brain and statistics to make my bracket. Karma Hunter used MGS fanboyism. KH won. Commit it to memory. |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2006 11:12:58 PM | message detail |
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if Jill/Peach taught me anything, it's that judging a Nintendo
character by the first hour is a Bad Idea. obviously Zelda's gonna do
just fine here, but that first hour is probably her best hour of the
entire match. remember FF/SMB? FF/Zelda? --- xyzzy |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/17/2006 11:14:08 PM | message detail |
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Finally, I can rid myself of this lame, overused phrase. You must be thinking of "Got it memorized?" I'm the only one that uses Commit it to memory., though I still can't fathom why. --- *kills self* Commit it to memory. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2006 11:14:39 PM | message detail |
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Huzzah! TuRtLe ~~~ 35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/17/2006 11:15:37 PM | message detail |
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Eh, I probably would disagree there. I still think she'll get numerous
80%+ updates when the after school votes hit. It may not be well over
80%, but they'll be around there. I don't think it's impossible that
she could do it given how horrible Terra is with the day vote and how
good Zelda is with it, but I think her best hour has yet to come. I don't know what her average was for that first hour, but I think she exceeds high 70s in her updates consistently later on. --- "Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!" |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/17/2006 11:17:46 PM | message detail |
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Although she has well exceeded her 72%
projection here by far, so I'm not sure why I keep arguing about just
how good her performance is. I suppose I just find that 80% number twice to be awesome. << --- "Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!" |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2006 11:18:12 PM | message detail |
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heh, 70% update. probably an anomaly, but as we get later I could see more and more of these happening. --- xyzzy |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2006 11:23:59 PM | message detail |
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Hmmm, Terra might be able to keep this under 77%. At any rate, since I
can't see Terra and Kerri both dropping, this either means Devil is
overrated, but Dante, Vincent's and Squall's new games boosted them to
their overrated levels, which bodes well for a Ganon boost, or Zelda
boosted to hell. TuRtLe ~~~ 35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/17/2006 11:26:10 PM | message detail |
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I think Zelda can pretty easily get this over 77% when all is said and
done. It's not like it'll be hard for Zelda to just dominate the day
vote given who she is and who her competition -- FFVI is like Resident
Evil levels of suck. --- "Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!" |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2006 11:27:06 PM | message detail |
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FF6 vs. old RE would make the polls stop. I think Terra even lost the day vote to Kerrigan. --- xyzzy |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2006 11:27:11 PM | message detail |
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So, with another FF6 character performing far less than they should be, this brings up the age old question: Why are characters from a popular Final Fantasy so damn weak? TuRtLe ~~~ 35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| Kaxon | Posted 10/17/2006 11:29:03 PM | message detail |
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I can't see Terra and Kerri both dropping I can, easily actually. Last year they both had some bandwagon effect going for them... they were rallied characters with inflated expectations. This year, people know they're chumps, which I think hurts their support among people who actually follow the contest. --- ....TCELES B HSUP |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/17/2006 11:29:23 PM | message detail |
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Tifa lost the after-school vote slightly to The Boss, and Celes
actually won the day vote against The Boss (which I'm pretty sure would
translate roughly to after-school vote)... not saying Terra has to be
like Celes, but it's funny how Tifa's worse with the day than Celes. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/17/2006 11:29:44 PM | message detail |
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I think Terra even lost the day vote to Kerrigan. Indeed. Kerrigan brought it down from 60% to 58% over the course of the day. --- "Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!" |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2006 11:30:12 PM | message detail |
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I can, easily actually. Last year they both had some bandwagon
effect going for them... they were rallied characters with inflated
expectations. This year, people know they're chumps, which I think
hurts their support among people who actually follow the contest. All 100,000 of us? TuRtLe ~~~ 35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/17/2006 11:31:14 PM | message detail |
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"So, with another FF6 character performing far less than they should be, this brings up the age old question: Why are characters from a popular Final Fantasy so damn weak?" What I don't understand is why every single FF6 character bombs but Crono continues to be so damn strong. --- Can't think of a good sig. |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2006 11:31:49 PM | message detail |
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no she didn't - come morning Boss was at 59.68% and steadily increased until the poll closed. --- xyzzy |
| TehMissingLink | Posted 10/17/2006 11:31:58 PM | message detail |
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Tifa's definitely a night vote person and not a day vote person. I
think she's pretty much always lost it against her opponents, though
I'm not entirely for certain. --- "Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!" |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 10/17/2006 11:33:00 PM | message detail |
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Magus and Frog are also solid contest performers. Weird stuff. --- The Little Mermaid 2-Disc Platinum Edition DVD Coming October 3, 2006 |
| transience | Posted 10/17/2006 11:33:12 PM | message detail |
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though if you count the day vote as the afterschool and on vote, they went almost completely even. --- xyzzy |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/17/2006 11:33:35 PM | message detail |
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Indeed, Blade of Evil. It boggles my mind that Marle is more popular than Terra. --- Sign the Petition for more stats in the GameFAQs Contests here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=30693799 |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/18/2006 12:51:52 AM | message detail |
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Perhaps FFVI the game simply isn't as powerful as we like to think.
It's possible that it could have received a large amount of general
"Final Fantasy" votes in the games contest. Votes that wouldn't
transfer over at all to the character contest. Chrono Trigger on the other hand has no such name advantage, which could explain why its characters seem much more appropriately close to the game's strength. |
| greatone10 | Posted 10/18/2006 1:02:39 AM | message detail |
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I have been thinking that, but how did it get voted into the Top 10 games list then? --- RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Z1mZum made me look like Shadow Hearts in the Guru contest. |
| ChichiriMuyo | Posted 10/18/2006 1:07:20 AM | message detail |
| The characters lack the asthetic values that
people seek in video game characters. Every noble niner is liked
because they look cool and they are from a cool game. The need both.
FF6 is a cool game, but the characters sorta look lame in all of their
match pictures. Plus, the fact that there's no real main character means that none of them can stand very high up. If Terra was the undisputed main of FF6, she'd be able to beat Kefka at least by a tad. As it is, the game has an undisputed Villain and a bunch of supporting cast members. --- If this post was overly verbose, that means I tried very hard to not call you an idiot. If you mark someone for flaming/trolling, you probably deserved it. |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/18/2006 3:55:58 AM | message detail |
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I'd be posting about Jill disappointing me but, man, look at Zelda! I'm guessing this'll end with at least 78% in her favor, baby! --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/18/2006 6:28:40 AM | message detail |
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Good show calling Peach joke fodder, stats topic! :) You're being more delusional than Smurf right now, Ulti. Give it a rest, especially considering you were the one ripping me for being overly arrogant just a couple of weeks ago. --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0) |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/18/2006 6:33:03 AM | message detail |
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So, since the X-stats predicted Terra vs Kerrigan accurately, and since
the Devil Division is apparently not overrated, this is all Zelda, yes? <(^_^)> --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| Who Cares? | Posted 10/18/2006 6:34:24 AM | message detail |
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*whistles* Zelda's looking good right here! So I guess it's up to Aeris
to just not look bad tomorrow. We likely can't take anything out of an
overperformance, but if KOS does pretty well, like avoid a doubling by
a good margin, things won't look good at all... Heh, and we should have Jill/DK next year, just to see who'll choke worse! :P --- Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go! *Currently playing Tales of the Abyss* |
| Yesmar | Posted 10/18/2006 6:36:55 AM | message detail |
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I seriously think that the lack of sprites for the FFVI crew hurts
them. I don't think they'd be anything massively popular with them, but
Kefka did substantially overperform on Wesker with his, and it wasn't
even the laughing sprite. Maybe Terra'd be able to barely break the
fodder line. Forget about Marle > Terra. I don't get how according to this, Cecil > Terra. --- Z1mZum totally owned me in the July 2006 Guru Contest The Funky Chickens in Trivia XVIII |
| THEJackSparrow | Posted 10/18/2006 6:37:07 AM | message detail |
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No, Zelda is not beating Mario, TCA. Preliminary stats based on Terra's current percentage (22.81%): Samus Aran – 41.69% Princess Zelda – 33.71% Tifa Lockhart – 33.57% Rikku – 26.55% Princess Peach – 23.75% Jill Valentine – 23.74% Kairi – 22.15% Claire Redfield – 21.23% Sheena Fujibayashi – 18.03% The Boss – 17.09% Ada Wong – 16.86% Ivy Valentine – 15.99% Terra Branford – 15.38% Nidoran F – 15.13% Celes Chere – 13.30% Lenneth Valkyrie – 13.28% Sarah Kerrigan – 12.71% Carmen Sandiego – 9.38% Jade – 8.13% Princess Daisy – 8.03% --- Captain Jack Sparrow's Run to the NCAA Character Contest II Championship: Week 4: #21 Doctor Zoidberg (3-0) |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/18/2006 6:38:11 AM | message detail |
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No, Zelda is not beating Mario, TCA. Good. <333 Mario --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/18/2006 6:49:47 AM | message detail |
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Why do people think Aeris failing to double KOS-MOS would mean the end
for her? Zelda is only expected to beat pre-XS3 KOS-MOS 68/32. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/18/2006 6:51:56 AM | message detail |
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Because it seems that Zelda got stronger. I'm not sure, but she is predicted to get 72% on Terra last year, right? --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/18/2006 7:00:02 AM | message detail |
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I'm hoping that a lot of this is Terra being weaker making my Yoshi
> Dante, Kirby > Luigi and Aeris > Zelda upsets look more
possible. Besides didn't most of us thought that Celes would be close
to Terra, well this match makes it look possible. >_> My bracket is so screwed isn't it? --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/18/2006 7:07:44 AM | message detail |
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Nowhere near as mine is; I had Ganon > MM. <_< --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| HoorayProxies | Posted 10/18/2006 7:53:57 AM | message detail |
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Zelda/Bowser? I would have taken Zelda pre-contest, and now. I think it
would be damn close, but I'd hate myself if Zelda didn't win, plus she
has all the intangibles if SFF were to come into play. --- Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies! |
| HoorayProxies | Posted 10/18/2006 7:57:36 AM | message detail |
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The characters lack the asthetic values that people seek in video
game characters. Every noble niner is liked because they look cool and
they are from a cool game. The need both. FF6 is a cool game, but the
characters sorta look lame in all of their match pictures. The king of match pictures do nothing.... blaming it on match pictures? *world implodes* --- Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies! |
| HoorayProxies | Posted 10/18/2006 8:00:10 AM | message detail |
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Oh, and I attribute this match to fodder fluctuation more than anything
else. Yes Terra/Kerri went exactly as planned, but the idea is more
that certain characters around the same strength are just more
universally known, thus being more capable of owning fodder into the
ground. --- Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies! |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/18/2006 8:10:45 AM | message detail |
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Should anybody be worried about Chun Li/Lara? If the Dream Division was
overrated and Legend boosting Lara and she was underrated by Samus this
could be a close match. --- "I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush |
| KingBartz | Posted 10/18/2006 8:11:27 AM | message detail |
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nah. Chun-Li wins. --- That was too close. You were almost a Jill sandwich. SC2k6: 36/40 Today's pick: Zelda |
| HaRRicH | Posted 10/18/2006 8:11:55 AM | message detail |
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Meh. I still plan to use where Terra and Kerrigan land in the final
stats as my most reliable info on the Devil Division last year.
Dante/Vincent/Squall all impressed, but all three had reason to gain
and Hayabusa/Tidus have reason to be SFF'd (though only minor SFF for
Hayabusa if it actually happened) and we dunno where Ganon really is
yet. Geno, Magus, and Knuckles missed the field, and Terra/Kerrigan are
left... ...and their match held up well, so at least their four-pack was fine. If Zelda doesn't rSFF Samus or if Aeris doesn't cause a big anomaly with FF12's release and beat Zelda, then they should still be great for use here. Terra and Kerrigan may be weak, but they're both still from two of the biggest games here, not to mention there was an assumed recent Square influx this year, so I don't think Kerrigan or especially Terra dropped (though I really doubt gained, too). Until further notice, I don't see why they're not reliable. --- http://wemajor12.myrockinprofile.com/ Next celebrity I hope to out-rank: Johnny Depp again (#15) |
| XIII_rocks | Posted 10/18/2006 8:38:49 AM | message detail |
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I give Lara a 30-35%ish chance of winning. Legend boosting her
significantly really isn't in question, the Dream Division has been
performing badly so far, and yeah, I don't like her performance against
Samus, either. Taking 2003 to be her strongest year, she gets 45.85% on
Chun-Li...now add in some Dream Division overratedness, and we have
something very nice...47% for Lara? It could happen. It's basically a question of how well you thought Legend boosted Lara (to her 2003 level? Past it? Below it slightly?), and how much if anything the Dream is overrated. I think Lara has a big chance of winning this. It's EASILY the second most questionable match of the remaining female bracket (Zelda/Aeris being the other). I don't know. It's definitely not a lock for Chun, anyway. --- http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=22242738 Sign plz AC2K6 Score: 38/40 Today: Zelda |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/18/2006 8:44:28 AM | message detail |
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Man, leave it to Jil/Peach to take up 3.5 stats topics, only to have this match barely result in 100 posts. At any rate, I would honestly like to see Jill and Frog go at it next year, especially if Jill gets a slight boost from her Wii game. TuRtLe ~~~ 35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/18/2006 8:46:46 AM | message detail |
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Zelda's doing damn good here. I wouldn't be surprised to see her push for 80 when all's said and done. --- CB5 Points: 37/40, Current Oracle placement: 38/163 Now playing: Okami |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/18/2006 8:47:52 AM | message detail |
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If Zelda breaks 80, I'm giving her a lock to beat Aeris with 55% and outperform Ganon on smaus TuRtLe ~~~ 35/40 in the contest. My analysis topic here: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=30498383&page=1 |
| HoorayProxies | Posted 10/18/2006 8:53:23 AM | message detail |
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I think Chun-Li/Lara is going to be very close. I'll take Chunners with 48%, but the range is huge on that match. --- Hooray Beer, Hooray Proxies! |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/18/2006 8:53:47 AM | message detail |
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Well, you know how SFF goes in Zelda/Metroid matches. Zelda/Samus could end up being closer than we think. --- CB5 Points: 37/40, Current Oracle placement: 38/163 Now playing: Okami |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 10/18/2006 8:54:28 AM | message detail |
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Well, you know how SFF goes in Zelda/Metroid matches. Zelda/Samus could end up being closer than we think. It won't be closer then Samus/Ganondorf last year. --- - Why the hell did I bet against a character as deep, awesome and badass as Lara Croft, instead favouring a character from something as lame as HL2? Forgive me, XIII. |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/18/2006 8:55:12 AM | message detail |
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How did Samus/Ganon turn out last year, again? --- CB5 Points: 37/40, Current Oracle placement: 38/163 Now playing: Okami |