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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 394

Just Some Person | Posted 10/17/2006 7:51:17 PM | message detail
Jill drops 15.

...It's over, folks. Peach has the high ground.

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If you hate Final Fantasy Mystic Quest, then you no longer exist to me. >_>
Tediz247 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:51:20 PM | message detail
199
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
King Bowser | Posted 10/17/2006 7:51:22 PM | message detail
Peach up to 199!

<3

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"Thank You Mario! But our Princess is in another castle!"
Terran | Posted 10/17/2006 7:51:29 PM | message detail
I think that gain was the final nail in the coffin for Jill..

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Microsoft, Sony and Nintendo merge to create...Microtendony!
"When the president does it, that means it is not illegal." - Richard Nixon
Gaddswell | Posted 10/17/2006 7:51:42 PM | message detail
Peach lead of 199 now.
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By the time we localize the programs, kids don’t even know they’re from Japan any more. - 4Kids CEO Al Kahn
Maniacal Llama | Posted 10/17/2006 7:52:18 PM | message detail
It's about time Jill starts her crazy upwards spiking again...
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God is all knowing......but can he see why kids love Cinnamon Toast Crunch?
Tai | Posted 10/17/2006 7:52:25 PM | message detail
Wow...nice. :-))
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I lost my sig. Can you find it for me? :(
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:52:28 PM | message detail
Almost at 200.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 7:52:54 PM | message detail
Ceej two minutes ago!

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=11&topic=31190846

dunno why I even noticed this or why I'm posting it
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xyzzy
Tediz247 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:53:24 PM | message detail
eah, I half expect Jill to win the next update by 40...

...n_n
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/17/2006 7:53:26 PM | message detail
Lol, people have said it's "over" for Jill about 5 times now. Then she goes omgwtfbbq on Peach's ass for 2 updates and everyone says it's on again.
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CB06 - Score: 34/38 Rank: Tied - 1458th Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Lockhart
Today's Pick: Peach Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:53:29 PM | message detail
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/JillPeach.txt

15 minute updates through 10:45
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Top100.pdf
Maniacal Llama | Posted 10/17/2006 7:54:04 PM | message detail
Jill makes a 20+ gain next update...you heard it here
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God is all knowing......but can he see why kids love Cinnamon Toast Crunch?
Just Some Person | Posted 10/17/2006 7:54:13 PM | message detail
There's 13 updates left.

Jill needs the power of Leon, Claire, Ashley, Nemesis and everyone else of the RE world to bring out a victory.

Jill: "Lend me your power!"

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If you hate Final Fantasy Mystic Quest, then you no longer exist to me. >_>
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/17/2006 7:55:15 PM | message detail
"Yah but what are the odds he'd overturn the result? Odds are there's been cheating on both sides."


Yeah but he should legitimately take away from both sides instead of saying "well they both cheated so its all good lolz". Its stupid if anyone can just rig any close match to whatever result they want, just because they know CJay will say that.

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Can't think of a good sig.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:55:28 PM | message detail
Watch Jill have a power comeback during the last 30 min.
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"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." - President Bush
Janus5000 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:55:54 PM | message detail
Peach goes up by 3...
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything."
http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=2916&diff=4
Maniacal Llama | Posted 10/17/2006 7:55:54 PM | message detail
Don't forget Ada!
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God is all knowing......but can he see why kids love Cinnamon Toast Crunch?
Tediz247 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:56:04 PM | message detail
202
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 7:56:08 PM | message detail
wow, Peach has really stopped the bleeding here. stall, stall, stall, stall, -40, stall, stall, stall...
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xyzzy
Ness26 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:56:18 PM | message detail
Did Luster seriously get axed for Peach stuffing? Or did I just read one post and jump to a conclusion? <_<
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Best. Board/Card Game. Ever Contest:
http://www.bracketmaker.com/tlist.cfm?tid=171196
Just Some Person | Posted 10/17/2006 7:56:46 PM | message detail
Jill drops by 3.

*begins playing the final boss theme from WA2*

Jill: "Lend me your power...everyone!"

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If you hate Final Fantasy Mystic Quest, then you no longer exist to me. >_>
Maniacal Llama | Posted 10/17/2006 7:56:51 PM | message detail
God damn it Jill..get your act together
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God is all knowing......but can he see why kids love Cinnamon Toast Crunch?
therealmnm | Posted 10/17/2006 7:56:53 PM | message detail
Yeah but he should legitimately take away from both sides instead of saying "well they both cheated so its all good lolz". Its stupid if anyone can just rig any close match to whatever result they want, just because they know CJay will say that.

Uhhhh, if there's no unfair advantage for either side... what would taking away from both sides accomplish?
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Currently playing: Grand Theft Auto 3, Castlevania:Curse of Darkness, Mega Man ZX
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 10/17/2006 7:57:34 PM | message detail
Due to Luster''s actions, Peach may be getting some votes removed :(

TG
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 7:57:42 PM | message detail
ha, Luster got banned again! oh man, he would have been stuffing for Peach too.
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xyzzy
Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2006 7:58:28 PM | message detail
HAY GUYZ, THE REAL MATCH IS HERE, ZELDA/TERRA OH YEAH!



Triforce Division: Round 2 - Match 37 – (1)Zelda vs. (4)Terra Branford

Moltar’s Analysis

Zelda
Round 1 – 86.08% vs. Carmen (13.92%)

86% and over 100K votes on Carmen. Watch out everyone!

Terra
Round 1 – 58.69% vs. Kerrigan (41.31%)

In a match nearly perfectly predicted by the X-Stats, Terra beats Kerrigan.

From one impressive Zelda victory, to hopefully another. Since it seems that Terra and Kerrigan haven’t changed from last year, let’s see what the good ol’ Stats say on this!

Zelda (2005c) VS Terra (2005c)

Zelda has a strength of 33.71.
Terra has a strength of 18.65.

Zelda wins with 72.34% of the vote!
A win of 47,037 with 105,286 total votes cast.


72% for Zelda isn’t bad. I’ll go a little higher though, given Zelda’s impressive performance on Carmen.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Zelda will win.

Moltar’s Prediction is: Zelda: 74% - Terra: 26%



Ulti’s Analysis

Terra won a match and I completely forgot she was even in this contest. God the female half sucks.

*plugs in 2005 stats and gives Zelda extra 2% for no real reason*

Prediction: Zelda with 74.34%



HM’s Analysis

Zelda

Previous Matches:

Zelda – 86.08% -- 102,509

Carmen Sandiego – 13.92% -- 16,578

Terra Branford

Previous Matches:

Terra Branford – 58.69% -- 58,141

Sarah Kerrigan – 41.31% -- 40,922

In the last round, the lovely Princess of Hyrule sets some records with her performance, being the first character to ever break 100,000 individual votes and getting the largest blowout of the entire contest. She comes into this round looking exceptionally strong with the annihilation of Carmen. Terra, on the other hand, looked about how she was expected to against Kerrigan. The Final Fantasy VI heroine is in for a beat down of a lifetime this round.

This match is pretty much a no-brainer as far as result and percentage are concerned. Given that Terra is definitely not stronger than last year, Zelda is at least guaranteed to get about 72% or so in this match; however, I think she’ll get more thanks to a slight increase, along with this feeling that Zelda is just going to perform much better in the female half than she might normally in a usual bracket.

Zelda has been the most impressive character for Nintendo this contest, which is somewhat surprising but also rather expected given where she comes from and her competition. Nothing would give me greater pleasure than to see Zelda rock the female half of the bracket and end up in the finals – rSFF SAMUS HERE WE COME!

It’s one match at a time, though, and Zelda just needs to continue her domination of Final Fantasy characters en route to a showdown with Samus. That’s right – Aeris is just another Final Fantasy casualty against the mighty Legend of Zelda. I’m really anxious to see Zelda post-Twilight Princess, especially since she might have a big role for once! Zelda4Life!

Aitch Emm’s Bracket: Zelda

Aitch Emm’s Prediction: Zelda – 76.5% ; Terra Branford – 23.5%

Aitch Emm’s Vote: Zelda!



Yoblazer’s Analysis

She controls the crowd, you know she holds it down, when it drops you know it's jiggy when you hear the sound, from town to town until she's world-renowned, she'll rock Hyrule all year around.

My prediction: Zelda break dances all over Terra's uglyass face (75-25)
Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2006 7:58:40 PM | message detail
Lopen’s Analysis

Another match where I only have one of the two right, (this doesn't get old!) I was expecting Terra to get stopped by Kerrigan. Yes, I'd seen the last contest… but I figured because they were both fodder anything could happen. Okay, I was wrong.

What does that have to do with this match? The hell if I know. This one should be easy… I think the most interesting thing we'll see here is "how does Zelda compare to Dante". Dante got 71.50% on Terra last year. Will Zelda do better or worse? Me? Well, if you know me… obviously, I'm thinking "worse".

Why? Because DANTE IS INVINCIBLE! (the hell with you, Master Chief!)

Lopen's Prediction: Zelda with 68.50%



KH’s Analysis

lol x-stats history

Zelda

Summer 2003 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 19th Place [30.29%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 14th Place [30.89%]

Zelda sought, found, and beat the crap out of Carmen Sandiego last round (;_;), and is looking to follow that up with another fodder crushing today. All just an appetizer for the inevitable Zelda/Aeris clash, of course !!

Terra

Summer 2005 Contest
Extrapolated Strength --- 50th Place [17.10%]

Terra does what's expected of her against Kerrigan despite all the hullaballoo concerning the match picture. FF6 gets another win under its belt (amazingly), but that all comes to an end here. Goodbye, Terra. Don't let the door smack you on the ass on the way out.

Notable Releases Since Last Appearance

Zelda: N/A
Terra: N/A

Upcoming Releases

Zelda: The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess (WII)
Terra: N/A

...yeah, I'm following Jill/Peach a little too closely right now to give this any sort of real analysis. But come on, it's freaking Zelda/Terra.

Typically you'd expect Square to look its best when it goes out to Nintendo...but this is FF6 we're talking about here. If this goes over a tripling I won't bat an eye.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Terra.

Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Zelda with 74.86%.

Do I doubt the Devil Division? No. Do I think Zelda is any stronger this year? No. But I'm getting the feeling that the name "Zelda" is an absolute fodder killer. Expect her to look like she can take down Snake here, but falter as soon as she runs into real competition.

Upset Potential: 0%

lol FF6



Guest’s Analysis - Lady Ashe

Oh, cool. It is time for another Square vs. Nintendo match. We have characters from the two most powerful series, The Legend of Zelda, and Final Fantasy, going head to head to see who gets to advance to round three. On one side of the mat we have Princess Zelda, the heavy favorite for this match. On the other side, we have Terra, one of the two lead characters from the best game of all time. Who will win in this epic conflict? Methinks you should read on and find out.
Tediz247 | Posted 10/17/2006 7:58:43 PM | message detail
So, does that cancel out the 45 votes for Jill that Ulti's been talking about?
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through to the end.
ZSB [aX]
Blade Of Evils Bane | Posted 10/17/2006 7:58:55 PM | message detail
"Uhhhh, if there's no unfair advantage for either side... what would taking away from both sides accomplish?"


Because any cheating going on would not be completely even despite what he says and it would determine the outcome of the match? I'm willing to bet almost every close poll has been effected by cheating in some way or another. Its probably the only reason Starcraft beat Halo.

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Can't think of a good sig.
Maniacal Llama | Posted 10/17/2006 7:59:20 PM | message detail
He stuffed for Peach
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God is all knowing......but can he see why kids love Cinnamon Toast Crunch?
Master Moltar | Posted 10/17/2006 7:59:39 PM | message detail
Let's take a look at Zelda, shall we? She is looking hot after a record shattering win against Carmen Sandiego, and is looking to move on to face Aeris next round. There isn't really much to say here, other than the fact that Zelda is from the most popular series on GameFAQs. As if that was not enough, said series has what is looking to be its best game ever coming out soon enough, as well as her role as a commonly played character in Super Smash Brothers Melee. But let's not forget that her opponent should not be any slouch, either. It's time to see what is going on over with everybody's favorite greenhead, Terra!

Back in round one, Terra faced off against the horribly deformed looking Sarah Kerrigan, and defeated her without much difficulty. It is generally accepted that her path for this contest ends here, but she is still aiming to put up a good fight before she goes. What does Terra have going for her to help her in this endeavor? Well, she is from the best game of all time. Sadly however, many GameFAQs users have never played a Final Fantasy game before Final Fantasy 7, and so this isn't incredibly likely to count for too much. After all, the best character from the best game ever lost to Diablo of all peo- demons. Terra does have Final Fantasy 6 coming to the DS, but it is most likely way too far off to have any significant impact on the way this match will turn out.

Well, we have taken a brief look at both of the characters, now what does it all mean? To be honest, I would like to base my entire argument for this match on the fact that Zelda got 100 000 freaking votes, but the possibility of Carmen being uber-fodder is just too great to ignore. Oh well, in that case I suppose that it would be best to take a look at the good old x-stats.

Terra (2005c) VS Zelda (2005c)

Terra has a strength of 18.65.

Zelda has a strength of 33.71.

Zelda wins with 72.34% of the vote!

A win of 47,037 with 105,286 total votes cast.

Taking Twilight Princess Hype and a possible drop for Terra into account, 75 or 76 is looking about right. But there is still one more point that I would like to bring up, and it is something that I doubt will be brought up by any of the Crew members. Zelda will benefit from Same Fan Factor. The newer Final Fantasy games don't share the same fanbase as The Legend of Zelda does, but the kind of people that have played Final Fantasy 6 and the other older Final Fantasy games have almost definitely played Zelda games as well. This will take away a fair amount of votes that Terra would have otherwise received, and make Zelda look even more impressive. While I would like for Terra to give off a somewhat respectable performance, I just can't see it happening for her.

My prediction? Zelda with 78.86%



Crew Consensus: Zelda wins by a little more than last year's stats predict. Mid 70's seems to be good.
AmazingKirby | Posted 10/17/2006 7:59:45 PM | message detail
Pfft, no way Peach gets votes taken away and Jill doesn't.
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caps
Just Some Person | Posted 10/17/2006 8:01:12 PM | message detail
Jill up by 18.

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If you hate Final Fantasy Mystic Quest, then you no longer exist to me. >_>
rains of destruction | Posted 10/17/2006 8:01:17 PM | message detail
Can someone explain to me what happened? A user got axed for stuffing for peach? were the votes taken off? is this confirmed?
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I prefer to be called Vorlik.
# of times I've been called Vorlik : 27
Maniacal Llama | Posted 10/17/2006 8:01:28 PM | message detail
Back to 184! Back to two updates ago...go Jill!
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God is all knowing......but can he see why kids love Cinnamon Toast Crunch?
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 8:02:01 PM | message detail
I'm not just laying down stupid allegations, peeps. Trust me, Peach wins barring a miracle, which would likely have to come from more Jill vote-stuffing anyway.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/17/2006 8:03:02 PM | message detail
Now watch that get chopped to 140!
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CB06 - Score: 34/38 Rank: Tied - 1458th Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Lockhart
Today's Pick: Peach Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC
Who Cares? | Posted 10/17/2006 8:03:02 PM | message detail
So trailing 184, needs roughly 15-16 every 5 min update, and votes are slowing down...very tall order!
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Chun-Li's Road to the Female Final Four: vs Lara (October 21st) One down, two to go!
*Currently playing Tales of the Abyss*
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/17/2006 8:03:21 PM | message detail
I'm inclined to believe you; you're not really one to throw the omg cheating ball around.
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Revenge is a dish best served by Z1mZum in the 2k6 Series Guru Contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 8:03:24 PM | message detail
From rains of destruction Posted 10/17/2006 11:01:17 PM #285
Can someone explain to me what happened? A user got axed for stuffing for peach? were the votes taken off? is this confirmed?

Yes, don't know yet, yes.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 8:03:40 PM | message detail
Peach's percentage by hour:

18:00 - 52.93%
19:00 - 51.15%
20:00 - 50.86%
21:00 - 49.56%
22:00 - 49.03%

DUN DUN DUN
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2006 8:04:53 PM | message detail
Jill is one update overdue for another spike.

Her average votes the last 5 updates = 156.

+20 = 176 votes next update or so, you watch. It's been clockwork (for a reason) all day.

~*ST*~
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Winner of the Spring 2004 "Best. Game. Ever." Contest
Now Playing: Disgaea 2, KH:COM (Sora), Castlevania: LoI
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/17/2006 8:06:14 PM | message detail
Or 172 >_>
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CB06 - Score: 34/38 Rank: Tied - 1458th Yesterday's Pick: Tifa Lockhart
Today's Pick: Peach Tomorrow's Pick: Zelda Losses: Cortana, Ganon, Zero, MC
Just Some Person | Posted 10/17/2006 8:06:16 PM | message detail
Jill up by 12.

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If you hate Final Fantasy Mystic Quest, then you no longer exist to me. >_>
Maniacal Llama | Posted 10/17/2006 8:06:24 PM | message detail
172....
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God is all knowing......but can he see why kids love Cinnamon Toast Crunch?
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/17/2006 8:06:28 PM | message detail
Anybody have a clue as to why I was booted from the AIM chat randomly?
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Proud Member of The Bonne Pirate Family and Creator of the Servbots!
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
creativename | Posted 10/17/2006 8:06:31 PM | message detail
Alright, I've made the updates even more frequent now. It's checking the poll 3 times every 5 minutes.

If people can post when, in GameFAQs time, the poll is being updated, it might help me to synch up the cron job for the future.

Though the poll update time seems to have already flipped three times today. I wonder what Ceej is doing?

I could continue the extra checks, or make it check every minute, but I'd rather not.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
transience | Posted 10/17/2006 8:07:12 PM | message detail
it looks like it's happening at :05, :10, etc.. your updater was picking it up at :07 or :08.
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xyzzy
Shivan Reincarnated | Posted 10/17/2006 8:07:58 PM | message detail
You have to hand it to Jill. She's giving it everything she's got. The RE fans are counting on her.

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Let the snow fall deep, the rain drive down, and the wind buffet my cloak. I care not for I've a road worth walking ~ Drizzt Do'Urden